| Literature DB >> 33394700 |
Yue Chen1, Bao-Qiang Lian2, Lei Peng3, Chen-Yu Ding2, Yuan-Xiang Lin2, Liang-Hong Yu2, Deng-Liang Wang2, De-Zhi Kang2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Although a variety of risk factors of pneumonia after clipping or coiling of the aneurysm (post-operative pneumonia [POP]) in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) have been studied, the predictive model of POP after aSAH has still not been well established. Thus, the aim of this study was to assess the feasibility of using admission neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) to predict the occurrence of POP in aSAH patients.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 33394700 PMCID: PMC7989986 DOI: 10.1097/CM9.0000000000001304
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Chin Med J (Engl) ISSN: 0366-6999 Impact factor: 2.628
Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage patients’ demographics and baseline characteristics according to the occurrence of POP.
| Characteristics | POP group ( | non-POP group ( | Statistical values | HR | |
| Demographics | |||||
| Age (years) | 60.12 ± 10.94 | 52.91 ± 10.75 | 8.22∗ | <0.001 | 1.042 |
| Female | 133 | 303 | 0.05† | 0.829 | 0.800 |
| Admission clinical grade | |||||
| WFNS grade | 2 (1–4) | 1 (1–1) | 11.91∗ | <0.001 | 1.726 |
| I | 88 | 413 | |||
| II | 24 | 39 | |||
| III | 15 | 8 | |||
| IV | 45 | 26 | |||
| V | 47 | 6 | |||
| Modified Fisher scale | 3 (1–4) | 1 (1–2) | 11.37∗ | <0.001 | 1.287 |
| Medical history | |||||
| Hypertension | 119 | 175 | 22.01† | <0.001 | 1.132 |
| Diabetes | 24 | 38 | 14.14† | 0.158 | 1.524 |
| Smoking history | 32 | 88 | 0.53† | 0.282 | 1.121 |
| Aneurysm characteristics | |||||
| Multiple aneurysms | 54 | 111 | 0.37† | 0.541 | 1.186 |
| Ruptured aneurysm size (mm) | 5.70 ± 2.67 | 5.61 ± 3.00 | 0.39∗ | 0.694 | 0.982 |
| Treatment | |||||
| Time to admission >24 h | 102 | 260 | 9.04† | 0.123 | 1.013 |
| Admission to surgical treatment >48 h | 114 | 281 | 5.75† | 0.210 | 0.834 |
| Surgical treatment method | 12.19† | <0.001 | 0.672 | ||
| Clipping | 189 | 367 | |||
| Coiling | 30 | 125 | |||
| Mechanical ventilator used | 219.44† | <0.001 | 5.187 | ||
| 0–23 h | 109 | 472 | |||
| 24–47 h | 16 | 7 | |||
| 48–71 h | 26 | 5 | |||
| ≥72 h | 68 | 8 | |||
| Admission laboratory results | |||||
| RBC (1012/L) | 4.40 ± 0.51 | 4.41 ± 0.57 | 0.10∗ | 0.920 | 1.104 |
| WBC (109/L) | 13.58 ± 5.19 | 10.92 ± 3.92 | 6.70∗ | <0.001 | 0.990 |
| Neutrophil (109/L) | 11.75 ± 4.91 | 8.91 ± 3.72 | 7.63∗ | <0.001 | 1.053 |
| Lymphocyte (109/L) | 1.02 ± 0.47 | 1.29 ± 0.61 | –4.81∗ | <0.001 | 0.829 |
| NLR | 14.11 ± 8.90 | 8.80 ± 5.82 | 8.64∗ | <0.001 | 1.049 |
| Platelet (109/L) | 219.54 ± 68.17 | 220.17 ± 60.03 | –0.12∗ | 0.902 | 1.001 |
| Interactions | |||||
| WFNS grade × NLR | 29.67 (10.42, 57.80) | 7.96 (4.40, 13.42) | 10.97∗ | <0.001 | 1.006 |
Values are expressed as n, mean ± standard deviation, or median (interquartile range). ∗F value for normally distributed numeral variables. †χ2 value for categorical variables. POP: Post-operative pneumonia; NLR: Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; RBC: Red blood cell; WBC: White blood cell; WFNS: World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies.
Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage patients’ demographics and baseline characteristics by the NLR value.
| Characteristics | Lower NLR (NLR ≤8.50) | Higher NLR (NLR >8.50) | Statistical values | |
| Patients | 356 | 355 | – | |
| POP events | 67 (18.82) | 152 (42.82) | 48.02† | <0.001 |
| Demographics | ||||
| Age (years) | 54.89 ± 11.27 | 55.37 ± 11.34 | –0.57∗ | 0.571 |
| Female | 214 (60.11) | 222 (62.54) | 0.44† | 0.507 |
| Admission clinical grade | ||||
| WFNS grade | 1 (1–1) | 1 (1–4) | –8.86∗ | <0.001 |
| I | 298 (83.71) | 203 (57.18) | ||
| II | 29 (8.15) | 34 (9.58) | ||
| III | 4 (1.12) | 19 (5.35) | ||
| IV | 18 (5.06) | 53 (14.93) | ||
| V | 7 (1.97) | 46 (12.96) | ||
| Modified Fisher scale | 1 (1–2) | 2 (1–4) | –8.77∗ | <0.001 |
| Medical history | ||||
| Hypertension | 139 (39.04) | 155 (43.66) | 1.56† | 0.522 |
| Diabetes | 30 (8.43) | 32 (9.01) | 2.71† | 0.781 |
| Smoking history | 66 (18.54) | 64 (18.03) | 3.52† | 0.860 |
| Aneurysm characteristics | ||||
| Multiple aneurysms | 86 (24.16) | 79 (22.25) | 0.36† | 0.548 |
| Ruptured aneurysm size (mm) | 5.44 ± 2.86 | 5.84 ± 2.93 | –1.84∗ | 0.066 |
| Treatment | ||||
| Time to admission >24 h | 190 (53.37) | 172 (48.45) | 55.71† | 0.189 |
| Admission to surgical treatment >48 h | 206 (57.87) | 189 (53.24) | 11.25† | 0.215 |
| Surgical treatment method | 0.19† | 0.664 | ||
| Clipping | 276 (77.53) | 280 (78.87) | ||
| Coiling | 80 (22.47) | 75 (21.13) | ||
| Mechanical ventilator used >24 h | 35 (9.83) | 95 (26.76) | 0.04† | <0.001 |
| Admission Laboratory | ||||
| RBC (1012/L) | 4.40 ± 0.52 | 4.41 ± 0.54 | –0.03∗ | 0.977 |
| WBC (109/L) | 9.77 ± 3.64 | 13.71 ± 4.47 | –12.92∗ | <0.001 |
| Neutrophil (109/L) | 7.41 ± 3.10 | 12.17 ± 4.07 | –17.52∗ | <0.001 |
| Lymphocyte (109/L) | 1.61 ± 0.64 | 0.86 ± 0.30 | 19.93∗ | <0.001 |
| Platelet (109/L) | 220.58 ± 63.77 | 219.38 ± 61.49 | 0.26∗ | 0.799 |
Values are expressed as n, n (%), mean ± standard deviation, or median (interquartile range). ∗F value for normally distributed numeral variables. †χ2 value for categorical variables. POP: Post-operative pneumonia; NLR: Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; RBC: Red blood cell; WBC: White blood cell; WFNS: World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies.
Multivariate model analysis of possible predictors of POP.
| Final model (Model 6)† | |||||
| Factors | B | SE | Wald | Adjusted HR | |
| Age | 0.041 | 0.007 | 39.618 | 1.042 | <0.001 |
| WFNS grade | 0.773 | 0.189 | 16.745 | 2.166 | <0.001 |
| Modified Fisher scale | 0.278 | 0.078 | 12.615 | 1.320 | <0.001 |
| Endovascular treatment | -0.693 | 0.199 | 12.076 | 0.500 | 0.001 |
| NLR | 0.044 | 0.009 | 21.968 | 1.045 | <0.001 |
| WFNS × NLR | 0.009 | 0.003 | 8.357 | 1.009 | 0.004 |
∗Multivariate analysis: all variables in Table 1 having P < 0.05 were included in multivariate analysis. †Backward stepwise regression methods were used to produce the final model, in which process the least nonsignificant variable was removed from the model 1 at a time until all remaining variables had P < 0.05. POP: Post-operative pneumonia; NLR: Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; WFNS: World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies.
Figure 1ROC curve analyses comparing NLR, WFNS grade, WBC count, and WFNS × NLR at admission for identifying POP in aSAH patients. The AUCs of NLR, WFNS grade, WBC count and WFNS × NLR were 0.707 (95% CI: 0.666–0.748), 0.739 (95% CI: 0.696–0.783), 0.657 (95% CI: 0.614–0.701), and 0.781 (95% CI: 0.743–0.820), respectively. Z test revealed that the AUCs of NLR and WFNS grade were comparable (Z = 1.052, P = 0.293); but the AUC of WBC count was significantly lower than that of WFNS grade (Z = 2.636, P = 0.008). The AUC of NLR was significantly increased after the WFNS grade was combined with the NLR (Z = 2.552, P = 0.011). aSAH: Aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage; AUC: Area under curve; CI: Confidence interval; NLR: Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; POP: Post-operative pneumonia; ROC: Receiver operating characteristic; WBC: White blood cell; WFNS: World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies.
Figure 2The Kaplan-Meier curve of the 30-day POP survival rate of patients with NLR >10 and NLR ≤10. The Kaplan-Meier curve shows a 30-day POP survival rate of 85.05% (330/388) for good-grade patients having NLR ≤10, of 69.32% (122/176) for good-grade patients having NLR >10, of 43.59% (17/39) for poor-grade patients having NLR ≤10, and of 21.30% (23/108) for poor-grade patients having NLR >10. The log-rank test showed that P < 0.001. Post-hoc log-rank testing revealed that the good-grade patients having NLR ≤10 had significantly worse POP survival rate than good-grade patients having NLR >10 (P < 0.001), and the poor-grade patients having NLR ≤10 had significantly worse POP survival rate than poor-grade patients having NLR >10 (P = 0.014). Moreover, the POP survival rate of good-grade patients with admission NLR >10 was still better than that of poor-grade patients with NLR ≤10 (P = 0.002). NLR: Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; POP: Post-operative pneumonia.