A quantitative systems pharmacological approach identified activation of JNK signaling pathway as a promising treatment strategy for refractory HER2 positive breast cancer.

HER2-positive breast cancer (BC) is a rapidly growing and aggressive BC subtype that predominantly affects younger women. Despite improvements in patient outcomes with anti-HER2 therapy, primary and/or acquired resistance remain a major clinical challenge. Here, we sought to use a quantitative systems pharmacological (QSP) approach to evaluate the efficacy of lapatinib (LAP), abemaciclib (ABE) and 5-fluorouracil (5-FU) mono- and combination therapies in JIMT-1 cells, a HER2+ BC cell line exhibiting intrinsic resistance to trastuzumab. Concentration-response relationships and temporal profiles of cellular viability were assessed upon exposure to single agents and their combinations. To quantify the nature and intensity of drug-drug interactions, pharmacodynamic cellular response models were generated, to characterize single agent and combination time course data. Temporal changes in cell-cycle phase distributions, intracellular protein signaling, and JIMT-1 cellular viability were quantified, and a systems-based protein signaling network model was developed, integrating  protein dynamics to drive the observed changes in cell viability. Global sensitivity analyses for each treatment arm were performed, to identify the most influential parameters governing cellular responses. Our QSP model was able to adequately characterize protein dynamic and cellular viability trends following single and combination drug exposure. Moreover, the model and subsequent sensitivity analyses suggest that the  activation of the stress pathway, through pJNK, has the greatest impact over the observed declines of JIMT-1 cell viability in vitro. These findings suggest that dual HER2 and CDK 4/6 inhibition may be a promising novel treatment strategy for refractory HER2+ BC, however, proof-of-concept in vivo studies are needed to further evaluate the combined use of these therapies.