| Literature DB >> 33364614 |
Devin P Leland1, Chad W Parkes1, Christopher D Bernard1, Aaron J Krych1, Diane L Dahm1, John M Tokish2, Christopher L Camp1.
Abstract
PURPOSE: To report the annual incidence of anterior shoulder instability (ASI) diagnosis, injury severity, and surgical stabilization in a U.S. population.Entities:
Year: 2020 PMID: 33364614 PMCID: PMC7754528 DOI: 10.1016/j.asmr.2020.06.012
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Arthrosc Sports Med Rehabil ISSN: 2666-061X
Patient Demographics
| Male, n (%) | 506 (77.6%) |
| Female, n (%) | 146 (22.4%) |
| Mean age, years (range) | 21.5 (3.6-39.5) |
| Mean body mass index, kg/m2 (SD) | 25.5 (5.5) |
| Dominant arm involvement | 53.1% |
| Acute traumatic inciting event | 88.2% |
| Current/former smoker | 20.9% |
| Hyperlaxity | 8.1% |
| Athlete | 66.6% |
| Seizure disorder | 2.5% |
| Laborer occupation | 8.6% |
Overall Incidence Rates of Anterior Shoulder Instability From 1994-2016 (per 100,000 Person-Years)
| Age Group | M (#) | F (#) | Male | Female | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-15 | 103 | 45 | 28.1 | 12.8 | 20.6 |
| 16-20 | 199 | 35 | 203.3 | 37.5 | 122.5 |
| 21-25 | 83 | 21 | 90.1 | 20.8 | 53.9 |
| 26-30 | 50 | 22 | 41.8 | 17.7 | 29.5 |
| 31-40 | 71 | 23 | 30.8 | 10.1 | 20.5 |
| Age-adjusted, male (95% CI) | Age-adjusted, female (95% CI) | Age- and sex-adjusted (95% CI) | |||
| Total | 506 | 146 | 61.1 (55.7-66.5) | 17.0 (14.2-19.8) | 39.5 (36.4-42.5) |
CI, confidence interval.
Fig 1Incidence of anterior shoulder instability diagnosis by age at initial instability. The red (male) and green (female) dotted lines represent raw incidence rates by age. The red (male) and green (female) solid lines represent the modeled incidence rates based on a smoothed function of age in a Poisson regression.
Overall Age- and Sex-Adjusted Anterior Shoulder Instability Incidence Rates by Calendar Year (per 100,000 Person-Years)
| Calendar years | Age-adjusted, Male (95% CI) | Age-adjusted, Female (95% CI) | Age- and Sex-adjusted (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-1998 | 66.8 (54.3-79.3) | 18.4 (12.0-24.9) | 43.0 (35.9-50.2) |
| 1999-2003 | 78.8 (65.6-91.9) | 28.0 (20.2-35.8) | 53.9 (46.2-61.6) |
| 2004-2009 | 61.3 (50.8-71.8) | 14.5 (9.5-19.5) | 38.4 (32.5-44.3) |
| 2010-2016 | 45.6 (37.4-53.9) | 11.2 (7.2-15.2) | 28.7 (24.1-33.4) |
CI, confidence interval.
Fig 2Incidence of anterior shoulder instability diagnosis by calendar year. The red (male) and green (female) dotted lines represent raw incidence rates by age. The red (male) and green (female) solid lines represent the modeled incidence rates based on a smoothed function of year in a Poisson regression.
Trends in the Number of Dislocations and Total Instability Events Prior to Consultation and Surgery
| Year of Physician Visit | Mean # Dislocations Prior to Consult (SD) | Mean # Instability Events Prior to Consult | Calendar Years | Mean # Instability Events Prior to Surgery | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-1999 | 0.99 (1.09) | 0.016 | 2.25 (1.77) | 0.041 | 1994-1999 | 4.69 (2.77) | 0.180 |
| 2000-2004 | 1.35 (1.49) | 2.52 (2.27) | 2000-2004 | 4.39 (3.18) | |||
| 2005-2009 | 1.38 (1.33) | 2.57 (1.99) | 2005-2009 | 5.87 (3.61) | |||
| 2010-2014 | 1.44 (1.56) | 2.82 (2.34) | 2010-2014 | 5.23 (2.81) | |||
| 2015-2016 | 1.85 (1.79) | 3.38 (2.29) | 2015-2018 | 5.69 (3.17) |
SD, standard deviation.
Significant differences shown between these groups.
Subset of patients who underwent surgery.
Trends Over Time in the Rate of BB or HS on MRI, Surgery, Arthroscopic Surgery, and Latarjet Procedures
| Calendar Years | BB or HS on MRI (n) | Progressed to Surgery (n) | Odds Ratio | Arthroscopic Surgery (n) | Odds Ratio | Latarjet Procedure (n) | 95% CI (for rates) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994-1999 | 53% (9/17) | 20% (30/154) | 1.0 | 47% (14/30) | 1.0 | 0% (0/25) | N/A | |||
| 2000-2004 | 56% (38/68) | 0.827 | 25% (44/178) | 1.36 | 0.254 | 72% (31/43) | 2.95 | 0.030 | 0% (0/43) | N/A |
| 2005-2009 | 81% (55/68) | 0.021 | 29% (39/134) | 1.70 | 0.058 | 90% (35/39) | 10.0 | <.001 | 0% (0/36) | N/A |
| 2010-2014 | 82% (69/84) | 0.012 | 38% (53/140) | 2.52 | <.001 | 83% (44/53) | 5.59 | <.001 | 14% (7/51) | (5.7%-26.3%) |
| 2015-2018 | 96% (27/28) | 0.005 | 70% (32/46) | 9.45 | <.001 | 66% (21/32) | 2.18 | 0.135 | 31% (10/32) | (16.1%-50.0%) |
BB, bony Bankart lesion; CI, confidence interval; HS, Hill-Sachs lesion; MRI, magnetic resonance imaging; N/A, not applicable.
Reference for P value comparisons.
Fig 3Rate of diagnosis of Hill-Sachs or Bony Bankart on MRI by calendar year. The solid line represents the modeled probability, and the dashed lines represent the 95% confidence interval.
Fig 4Trends in the percentage of (A) arthroscopic surgery and (B) open Latarjet procedures in patients who underwent surgical stabilization, by calendar year. The solid line represents the modeled probability; the dashed lines represent the 95% confidence interval.