Literature DB >> 33350765

Relationship of the lunar cycle with Down's syndrome screening and its effects.

Kun Yan1, Juan Men2, Yang Wang1, Lanjun Zhong1.   

Abstract

ABSTRACT: The present study aimed to analyze the positive rate of Down syndrome in second-trimester pregnant women in 1 lunar cycle and calculate variation coefficients of daily person numbers and daily positive rates in this population so as to explore the relationship of the lunar cycle with Down syndrome screening and its effects.Data and laboratory results of 51,450 second-trimester pregnant women who underwent Down syndrome screening between May 2013 and June 2017 of the Chinese lunar calendar were collected. The patients were allocated into groups according to the time period of the lunar cycle based on the start date of their last menstruation. In the Chinese lunar calendar, 1 lunar cycle is divided into eight time periods. The positive rate of Down syndrome in pregnant women with the same start date of last menstruation and changes in their variation coefficients of daily person numbers and daily positive rates were analyzed.The findings displayed the lowest positive rate of Down syndrome in the group of pregnant women who had the start date of last menstruation within the full-moon time period. The greatest variation coefficients of daily person numbers and daily positive rates were also found in the same group.The study showed that the moon indeed affected pregnant women, and the effect reached the peak by the full moon. The effect interfered with the body homeostasis of pregnant women to a certain degree. Therefore, the relationship of the lunar cycle with Down syndrome screening reflected the interaction of the moon with the homeostasis of pregnant women.
Copyright © 2020 the Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.

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Year:  2020        PMID: 33350765      PMCID: PMC7769297          DOI: 10.1097/MD.0000000000023792

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Medicine (Baltimore)        ISSN: 0025-7974            Impact factor:   1.817


Introduction

Studies of the moon and life aspects have attracted adequate attention in China and overseas.[ Medical studies explored the relationship of the lunar cycle with cardiovascular disease, acute coronary event, gastrointestinal bleeding, rare extreme mania, and aggressive behavior.[ Correlative studies covered the relationship of the lunar cycle with human delivery, birth, and birth frequency,[ and also the relationship between the moon, lunar cycle, and menstrual cycle.[ On the basis of previous studies, this study aimed to explore the relationship of the lunar cycle with Down syndrome screening in pregnant women using a combination of descriptive and explorative strategies. The study proved that the lunar cycle somehow affected Down syndrome screening, thereby highlighting the significance of calculating the risk rate during Down syndrome screening to further improve its accuracy and hence guiding clinical practice.

Materials and methods

Down syndrome screening is a prenatal test used to measure serum AFP (alpha fetoprotein) and fβ-hCG (free β human chorionic gonadotropin) levels in the second-trimester pregnancy and calculate the risk rate based on factors such as age and gestational week. The detection rate could reach 60%–80%. It is a simple and noninvasive method feasible for large-scale screening among pregnant women. The screening result is a probability reflecting the risk rate of pregnant women carrying a fetus with Down syndrome. The dividing line of risk rate is 1/270, with >1/270 defined as positive. This study analyzed nearly 5 years (the Chinese lunar calendar 51 months vs the Gregorian calendar 50 months) of Down syndrome screening data and relevant information from singleton pregnancy in the second trimester (14 weeks and 0 days to 21 weeks and 6 days) of 51,450 individuals. These data were generated by the Cytogenetics Laboratory of Gansu Provincial People's Hospital Testing Center (Lanzhou City, China) from May 2013 to intercalary June 2017 of the Chinese lunar calendar (June 2013 to July 2017 of the Gregorian calendar). The maternal serum samples were collected by the hospital from Lanzhou City and adjacent regions. In nearly 5 years (2013–2017), the laboratory consistently adopted Down syndrome screening double test to measure the risk rate of fetal Down syndrome in second-trimester pregnancy (14 weeks and 0 days to 21 weeks and 6 days). The biochemical analysis was conducted using a Thales Simplicity II time-resolved fluorescence immunoassay system (Guangzhou Fenghua Bioengineering Co., Ltd, China) and its corollary reagents. First, data were collected and allocated into groups. As the Chinese lunar calendar was applied in this study, the start dates of last menstruation recorded in data sets were first converted from the Gregorian calendar to the Chinese lunar calendar. Next, the pregnancy data with the same start date of last menstruation were allocated into the same group. Therefore, 1506 days of 51 months gave rise to 1506 groups (named dataset A to differ from the other dataset). Next, each month was divided by 4 important time lines in the Chinese lunar calendar. They were the new moon, waxing crescent, full moon, and waning crescent. The new moon referred to the first lunar date of a month, with the characterization of the invisible moon; the waxing crescent was roughly the lunar 8th; the full moon was the lunar 15th; and the waning crescent was about the lunar 23rd. Each day of the 4 time lines plus the prior 2 days and following 1 day were regarded as 1 time period, which comprised 4 days; the remaining interval naturally formed 4 time periods, which comprised 3 to 4 days. Therefore, eight time periods were generated. Finally, 1506 A groups from data of 51 months were accordingly divided into 8 time periods, giving rise to another 8 data groups (named dataset B to differ from A). Then the last menstrual period starting date of that's 51 months of data is converted into the corresponding Gregorian calendar, removing those months in which the conversion of the Gregorian calendar to the lunar calendar results in a loss of days. We obtained the data of the beginning date of the last menstruation of 48 months in the Gregorian calendar. This group of data will be the control group C, which will also be divided into 8 large groups according to similar grouping method as group A (for convenience of distinction, these 8 large groups are named as Group D), and the 31st day in the Gregorian calendar will be put into I group in Group D. This study consisted of 4 steps. In the first step, positive numbers and total numbers were analyzed according to the lunar calendar in eight B time period groups from June 2013 to intercalary June 2017 of the Chinese lunar calendar (June 2013 to July 2017 of the Gregorian calendar, 51 months), and the positive rate of each of eight B time period groups was calculated by dividing the former with the latter. Also, the change trend of positive rates was studied. The results showed the lowest positive rate of 6.40% in the full-moon time period group and the highest of 6.90% in the waning crescent–new moon interval (the end of the month) group, with a value difference of 0.005 (Table 1). Next, a line chart was plotted according to Table 1, in which the lunar cycle was matched with eight B time period groups. It more clearly displayed the lowest positive rate in the full-moon time period group and the highest positive rate in the waning crescent–new moon interval (the end of the month) group (Fig. 1). In the same way, the total positive number and total number of each group in the 8 D groups were counted, and the total positive rate was obtained by dividing the total positive number by the total positive number (Table 2). The changing trend of the total positive rate was observed, and it was found that there was no minimum value in the period corresponding to the full moon group according to the Gregorian calendar statistics, as shown in (Fig. 2)
Table 1

Positive rates of 8 B time period groups in accordance with the lunar cycle.

New moonNew moon–waxing crescent intervalWaxing crescentWaxing crescent–full moon intervalFull moonFull moon–waning crescent intervalWaning crescentWaning crescent–new moon interval
Positive number476346468332454463461437
Total number70305212688150777094692669006330
Positive rate in each group6.77%6.64%6.80%6.54%6.40%6.68%6.68%6.90%
Figure 1

Line chart derived from Table 1.

Table 2

Positive rates of 8 D time period groups in accordance with the Gregorian calendar.

IIIIIIIVVVIVIIVIII
Positive number469342441347466443388468
Total number65955000617352067012718759667468
Positive rate in each group7.11%6.84%7.14%6.67%6.65%6.16%6.50%6.27%
Figure 2

Line chart derived from Table 2.

Positive rates of 8 B time period groups in accordance with the lunar cycle. Line chart derived from Table 1. Positive rates of 8 D time period groups in accordance with the Gregorian calendar. Line chart derived from Table 2. The time period of each group referred to the following: new moon, lunar 28th, 29th, 1st, and 2nd in lesser lunar months, while lunar 29th, 30th, 1st, and 2nd in greater lunar months; new moon–waxing crescent interval, lunar 3rd, 4th, and 5th; waxing crescent, lunar 6th, 7th, 8th, and 9th; waxing crescent–full moon interval, lunar 10th, 11th, and 12th; full moon, lunar 13th, 14th, 15th, and 16th; full moon–waning crescent interval, lunar 17th, 18th, 19th, and 20th; waning crescent, lunar 21st, 22nd, 23rd, and 24th; and waning crescent–new moon interval, lunar 25th, 26th, and 27th in lesser lunar months, while lunar 25th, 26th, 27th, and 28th in greater lunar months. In the second step, the numbers of pregnant women with the same start date of last menstruation in each of A groups were analyzed according to each B time period group, and the standard deviations and variation coefficients were calculated for each B time period group. The results showed the highest variation coefficient 0.7661 in the full-moon time period group, with a difference of 0.119 between the highest and the lowest values (Table 3). Next, the variation coefficients of eight B time period groups, as listed in Table 2, were used to plot a line chart, in which the lunar cycle was matched with the eight B time period groups. The line chart showed the highest variation coefficient in A groups within the full-moon time periods, for the same start date of last menstruation (Fig. 3). In the same way, the standard deviation and coefficient of variation of group D were counted, and it was found that there was no peak value in the period corresponding to the full moon group according to the Gregorian calendar statistics (Table 4) (Fig. 4).
Table 3

Standard deviations, means, and variation coefficients of the numbers of pregnant women with the same start date of last menstruation in each of 8 B lunar time period groups.

New moonNew moon–waxing crescent intervalWaxing crescentWaxing crescent–full moon intervalFull moonFull moon–waning crescent intervalWaning crescentWaning crescent–new moon interval
dateYear&.month28293012345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728
20130622141514161424219201418119191316136191513201281217161221
20130716151013112518121415251212151227914111621181620613123617
20130824102114121612231316131218111016142715142313252014238131813
201309242021161324151910121917161321168271015141920131720151314
2013102315271722221811132661822142828142293513202316321828221112
2013111915181929182215113111141519171325262333171923172322233112
201312221634161322242220302024242321145514243026332322402135252535
2014012923153829201630201733304119222019292519262144172332223425
201402294426152326303012361931133425253915241522312320253026212630
2014031212122618171829222625153020261518342024282230141617333519
20140422331420282019181521121513221719192521171823162513914162113
2014051722151752813181327149251729141412142313191315311391028
2014063215162012172114715222013271424823151728161213162614141723
20140717222134122110352615916142123102215172116212391713241310
20140827232613142210189261518131215122221321422161724212119152514
201409182419242219221613261625121415191516231617122018142218112812
2014 Intercalary9201818282716321324623151513232216231624212019163821132413
20141044112025242216233291525182121202224352145202324223025171919
2014113416213323302325311524133825332937252729203018292524312919
201412323132232626193819182718181638262829392621322055253330464425
2015013246154423242721322416412939262027231927143327282418343522
201502411952272232273025323019161239273429333529362043213034264338
2015033452337123373738513736553028563434304833435439663841453474
2015044332433271323752418650306029401979445358454546724778445058
201505406742486845765455574790485476425175654653585546653886406271
2015063883525667488361435672746649575055348454504954535466478545
2015075057588948495944954447545187696359356121816153546849517248103
2015084860824886524465381065956685580555887355481505741614959625583
20150928535364885460724586437057679273801054170321027871698273709260
2015101256780796898818091601225471926512682751065376106758492108808189
20151182120557985911187582996214166909393137878112368706412981941151269085
201512115771357697102931479310512761147897910312014010890118848257147101111119116
2016019411312191144105899010111987778776140587062587258546645584648465843
20160246562046302629333428202416291229241626248229141229261719
201603322113251727181830203126292112361818312119251528171527232023
201604212622221729132620202416172223331419162133221739715183318
201605222127281918152216161613291292315302219142227151327142523
201606231716191419221929142317153319201713261710192732152522131716
20160723212112232016141322191614152622924153481624141423172116
20160817101924192116162019921132820142715172311391716242034213639
201609222444274030474640392564364635276835364230663133502555363645
2016102527203934413558313335275930392728563347463064292740456328
2016113660224043243937454236492966353114138633450532587233137374027
201612323626301638312117331518261734202027254218222517561929283154
2017013234502737315243283935404342264824323854413327353353213430
201702364638334251343531352129341835202434395926404228592736383443
2017033737492029184531352845384141304926323620574227313160253234
201704244339283617324828372835283229274322323828463044373356183134
2017053230273737212512422835283225303525441841252648281935274827
2017062919233331303411283819262945232621284029291623463827361732
2017 Intercalary 6222825233926233826341731232823252815241836222028302616161417
Standard deviation23.323024.447224.962324.023426.640121.970822.789924.1385
Mean34.460834.065433.730433.183034.774533.951033.823535.1667
Variation coefficient0.67680.71770.74010.72400.76610.64710.67380.6864
Figure 3

Line chart of 8 variation coefficients of B time period groups derived from Table 3.

Table 4

Standard deviations, means, and variation coefficients of the numbers of pregnant women with the same start date of last menstruation in each of 8 D Gregorian calendar time period groups.

IIIIIIIVVVIVIIVIII
date Year &.month293031123456789101112
13141516171819202122232425262728
20130829123083112138219312421516615710813911102511181212131414151525161217121815191220272192214231124162521261827162820
20130926341717162410211412161223131613121811101614271514231325201423
201310613123617242021161324151910121917161321168271015141920131720
201311813181327172222181113266182214282814229351320231632182822
20131215131423151819291822151131111415191713252623331719231723222331
201401111219151322242220302024242321145514243026332322402135252535
20140212221634162016302017333041192220192925192621441723322234252944
20140329231538292326303012361931133425253915241522312320253026212630
20140426151718292226251530202615183420242822301416173335192233
2014051212122618191815211215132217191925211718231625139141621131722
2014061420282018132714925172914141214231319131531139102832151620
20140715175281371522201327142482315172816121316261414172317222134
2014081217211415916142123102215172116212391713241310272326131422
20140912211035261813121512222132142216172421211915251418241924221922
2014101018926152512141519151623161712201814221811281220181828271632
201411161326161513232216231624212019163821132413441120252422162332
2014121324623152121202224352145202324223025171919341621332330232531
20150191525183329372527292030182925243129193231322326261938191827
20150215241338252829392621322055253330464425324615442324272132241641
20150318181638262620272319271433272824183435224119522722322730253230
20150429393429333529362043213034264338345233712337373851373655
20150519161239273430483343543966384145347443324332713237524186503060
201506302856345358454546724778445058406742486845765455574790485476
20150729401979444653585546653886406271388352566748836143567274664957
201508425175655049545354664785455057588948495944954447545187696359
2015095055348454535468495172481034860824886524465381065956685580555887
201510356121816157416149596255832853536488546072458643705767927380105
2015113554815071698273709260125678079689881809160122547192651268275106
201512417032102788492108808189821205579859111875829962141669093931378781123
201601537610675941151269085115771357697102931479310512761147897910312014010890118
2016026870641298111111911694113121911441058990101119877787761405870625872585466
201603848257147101484658434656204630262933342820241629122924162624822
2016044558461719322113251727181830203126292112361818312119251528
2016059141229262023212622221729132620202416172223331419162133221739
20160617152723222127281918152216161613291292315302219142227151327
2016077151833181716191419221929142317153319201713261710192732152522
2016081425232321122320161413221916141526229241534816241414231721
20160913172321192116162019921132820142715172311391716242034213639
20161016171019244030474640392564364635276835364230663133502555363645
201611222444274135583133352759303927285633474630642927404563283660
201612252720393439374542364929663531141386334505325872331373740273236
201701224043242117331518261734202027254218222517561929283154323450
20170226301638312839354043422648243238544133273533532134303646383342
20170327373152433531352129341835202434395926404228592736383443373749
20170451343528453841413049263236205742273131602532342443392836
20170520291845313728352832292743223238284630443733561831343230273737
201706173248283528322530352544184125264828193527482729192333313034
20170721251242282629452326212840292916234638273617322228252339262338
Standard deviation22.709223.826421.916426.026725.875026.547720.100125.4511
Mean30.929634.722232.151036.152836.520837.432331.072938.8958
Variation coefficient0.73420.68620.68170.71990.70850.70920.64690.6543
Figure 4

Line chart of 8 variation coefficients of D time period groups derived from Table 4.

Standard deviations, means, and variation coefficients of the numbers of pregnant women with the same start date of last menstruation in each of 8 B lunar time period groups. Line chart of 8 variation coefficients of B time period groups derived from Table 3. Standard deviations, means, and variation coefficients of the numbers of pregnant women with the same start date of last menstruation in each of 8 D Gregorian calendar time period groups. Line chart of 8 variation coefficients of D time period groups derived from Table 4. In the third step, the numbers of pregnant women with the same start date of last menstruation and the numbers of pregnant women with positive Down syndrome screening were analyzed in each of A groups according to eight B time period groups, and the positive rates were calculated. Subsequently, the standard deviations, means, and variation coefficients of positive rates in each of 8 B time period groups were analyzed, which consisted of all positive rates in A groups. The results demonstrated the highest variation coefficient of 0.9144 in the full-moon time period group; the difference between the highest and lowest was 0.167. The variation coefficients of eight B time period groups, as listed in Table 5, were applied to a line chart, matching with the lunar cycle. It displayed the highest variation coefficient of positive rates of all A groups within the full-moon time period group (Fig. 5). In the same way, the standard deviation and coefficient of variation of group D were counted, and it was found that there was no peak value in the period corresponding to the full moon group according to the Gregorian calendar statistics (Table 6) (Fig. 6).
Table 5

Standard deviations, means, and variation coefficients of positive rates in each of 8 B time period groups comprising all A groups.

new moonNew moon–waxing crescent intervalWaxing crescentWaxing crescent-full moon intervalFull moonFull moon–waning crescent intervalWaning crescentWaning crescent–new moon interval
date Year&.month28293012345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728
2013060.00000.00000.06670.21430.06250.00000.08330.23810.11110.15000.00000.00000.18180.11110.15790.07690.12500.38460.16670.05260.20000.07690.25000.16670.37500.08330.11760.18750.00000.0476
2013070.12500.20000.10000.15380.09090.12000.00000.08330.07140.13330.16000.16670.08330.20000.25000.11110.11110.00000.09090.18750.04760.16670.06250.05000.00000.00000.08330.11110.1176
2013080.04170.20000.04760.28570.00000.00000.25000.21740.00000.31250.07690.33330.00000.09090.00000.06250.07140.03700.06670.07140.08700.00000.00000.00000.14290.08700.00000.07690.11110.1538
2013090.08330.00000.04760.12500.07690.16670.06670.10530.00000.16670.10530.05880.06250.15380.04760.06250.00000.11110.10000.06670.21430.05260.05000.07690.05880.10000.13330.23080.1429
2013100.13040.20000.07410.17650.18180.13640.00000.09090.07690.00000.00000.16670.09090.07140.03570.10710.14290.09090.11110.11430.00000.05000.13040.18750.03130.00000.03570.13640.09090.0833
2013110.15790.00000.11110.05260.06900.00000.04550.20000.09090.12900.09090.07140.06670.00000.11760.00000.04000.07690.13040.06060.00000.00000.17390.11760.08700.00000.00000.06450.0000
2013120.04550.12500.00000.00000.07690.13640.04170.18180.15000.00000.05000.12500.12500.00000.14290.14290.10910.21430.04170.06670.07690.06060.21740.13640.07500.04760.05710.16000.04000.0857
2014010.06900.17390.00000.07890.03450.05000.12500.10000.25000.05880.06060.00000.04880.21050.04550.05000.10530.10340.12000.10530.03850.09520.02270.05880.08700.06250.09090.11760.0800
2014020.17240.11360.11540.06670.08700.03850.03330.06670.16670.00000.05260.00000.00000.08820.04000.08000.15380.13330.12500.00000.04550.00000.08700.00000.00000.10000.07690.00000.03850.0667
2014030.00000.00000.00000.11540.11110.11760.27780.00000.18180.15380.08000.13330.16670.05000.19230.00000.05560.14710.10000.08330.14290.00000.16670.00000.06250.05880.03030.08570.0000
2014040.00000.00000.00000.10000.14290.00000.05260.27780.00000.04760.08330.00000.00000.09090.05880.00000.15790.04000.00000.05880.05560.08700.00000.04000.07690.11110.00000.06250.00000.0000
2014050.17650.18180.06670.11760.00000.14290.07690.05560.23080.07410.14290.11110.04000.05880.03450.07140.14290.08330.07140.00000.30770.05260.00000.06670.06450.15380.00000.00000.0714
2014060.00000.06670.00000.00000.25000.17650.00000.21430.14290.06670.13640.15000.23080.03700.21430.12500.00000.04350.06670.11760.07140.12500.08330.07690.18750.11540.14290.28570.11760.0870
2014070.05880.13640.14290.05880.16670.09520.10000.05710.11540.06670.22220.00000.14290.04760.13040.00000.09090.06670.11760.00000.06250.04760.08700.00000.11760.00000.04170.00000.1000
2014080.07410.08700.00000.00000.00000.09090.10000.05560.00000.03850.06670.05560.00000.16670.06670.00000.09090.00000.09380.14290.04550.00000.05880.00000.00000.09520.05260.13330.00000.0000
2014090.05560.04170.00000.12500.04550.05260.09090.06250.00000.03850.00000.04000.00000.00000.00000.15790.06670.06250.04350.00000.05880.00000.05000.16670.07140.04550.00000.09090.07140.0833
2014 Intercalary 90.10000.00000.11110.07140.03700.06250.12500.07690.04170.00000.04350.00000.06670.07690.21740.09090.06250.00000.00000.04170.04760.05000.05260.06250.02630.14290.07690.08330.0000
2014100.06820.00000.05000.08000.12500.09090.00000.00000.12500.11110.13330.04000.00000.14290.04760.05000.09090.04170.02860.00000.00000.15000.17390.04170.00000.06670.12000.11760.15790.1053
2014110.05880.00000.00000.03030.08700.06670.04350.12000.06450.20000.04170.07690.13160.12000.09090.24140.05410.08000.07410.17240.15000.10000.16670.06900.08000.04170.03230.06900.0000
2014120.06250.03230.12500.00000.07690.00000.00000.15790.00000.05560.07410.05560.05560.12500.02630.03850.03570.10340.02560.07690.04760.03130.15000.05450.08000.06060.00000.06520.02270.0000
2015010.03130.00000.06670.06820.04350.04170.11110.00000.03130.04170.06250.04880.03450.17950.00000.05000.00000.08700.05260.03700.07140.00000.03700.07140.08330.11110.02940.00000.0909
2015020.04880.00000.03850.07410.09090.06250.03700.03330.08000.03130.10000.05260.00000.08330.07690.07410.05880.06900.03030.08570.03450.05560.00000.02330.04760.06670.02940.07690.04650.0263
2015030.05880.01920.06060.09860.08700.10810.13510.02630.05880.02700.02780.09090.03330.03570.03570.00000.02940.10000.08330.06060.04650.09260.02560.03030.07890.00000.08890.02940.0405
2015040.02330.03130.04650.06250.05630.09380.08110.07690.04880.03490.02000.03330.06670.06900.05000.05260.03800.02270.03770.06900.04440.06670.06520.02780.04260.06410.02270.02000.0000
2015050.05000.00000.04760.04170.08820.06670.02630.01850.05450.01750.04260.04440.04170.07410.00000.09520.03920.08000.03080.04350.03770.06900.03640.04350.06150.02630.06980.05000.04840.0845
2015060.05260.04820.01920.10710.04480.00000.01200.01640.02330.03570.00000.00000.06060.06120.03510.04000.01820.02940.05950.05560.06000.02040.03700.05660.05560.00000.06380.08240.0889
2015070.06000.01750.12070.05620.16670.02040.05080.02270.09470.04550.02130.05560.03920.05750.01450.04760.05080.14290.06560.04760.11110.01640.05660.03700.08820.02040.05880.06940.04170.0485
2015080.04170.05000.04880.12500.03490.13460.04550.09230.10530.06600.06780.07140.07350.01820.07500.09090.06900.08050.11430.11110.04940.10000.07020.12200.00000.08160.06780.06450.07270.0602
2015090.07140.03770.05660.09380.09090.03700.11670.05560.04440.04650.11630.02860.15790.01490.09780.09590.03750.07620.04880.02860.03130.03920.05130.08450.07250.08540.05480.07140.06520.1500
2015100.05600.05970.05000.06330.08820.09180.08640.05000.06590.01670.05740.09260.04230.07610.06150.03970.06100.02670.10380.01890.05260.09430.05330.13100.07610.08330.11250.04940.1124
2015110.08540.07500.03640.05060.09410.07690.05080.09330.08540.07070.03230.04260.04550.03330.07530.03230.05840.04600.03700.06500.14710.08570.06250.05430.12350.06380.05220.08730.11110.0588
2015120.13910.05190.06670.05260.05150.03920.03230.06120.09680.07620.14960.06560.09520.08990.06330.07770.10000.06430.08330.12220.07630.08330.09760.12280.08160.04950.06310.05880.1121
2016010.11700.07080.09090.08790.09030.05710.07870.08890.07920.05040.10340.02600.11490.07890.07140.01720.07140.08060.12070.12500.10340.07410.15150.13330.15520.19570.10420.10870.17240.1163
2016020.13040.19640.10000.13040.13330.19230.06900.15150.17650.21430.00000.04170.06250.06900.00000.13790.25000.06250.15380.12500.00000.13640.00000.35710.25000.10340.30770.11760.0000
2016030.12500.09520.00000.04000.05880.07410.11110.05560.13330.15000.09680.03850.13790.23810.08330.00000.00000.00000.09680.14290.10530.08000.06670.07140.05880.00000.14810.04350.05000.0435
2016040.09520.03850.27270.04550.00000.06900.07690.11540.05000.15000.08330.06250.05880.09090.04350.12120.14290.36840.12500.09520.06060.04550.23530.10260.00000.13330.16670.12120.2222
2016050.18180.04760.03700.10710.15790.16670.26670.13640.00000.25000.12500.23080.06900.08330.11110.17390.13330.03330.04550.05260.14290.09090.11110.06670.15380.11110.07140.20000.0435
2016060.21740.05880.00000.15790.07140.10530.13640.05260.06900.00000.08700.11760.00000.03030.00000.00000.17650.00000.00000.05880.00000.00000.11110.00000.06670.08000.13640.00000.11760.1250
2016070.04350.00000.00000.00000.13040.05000.06250.00000.15380.04550.00000.06250.00000.06670.00000.13640.11110.12500.13330.05880.00000.00000.04170.00000.00000.04350.00000.14290.1250
2016080.17650.00000.05260.04170.15790.00000.00000.00000.10000.10530.00000.09520.15380.07140.05000.00000.00000.13330.17650.00000.09090.07690.05880.12500.12500.10000.17650.09520.11110.0769
2016090.00000.04170.04550.11110.07500.03330.08510.02170.10000.05130.12000.15630.05560.10870.05710.00000.08820.08570.05560.09520.00000.06060.16130.09090.04000.08000.05450.05560.08330.0444
2016100.08000.14810.00000.15380.02940.09760.05710.10340.06450.03030.02860.00000.06780.10000.10260.00000.03570.14290.12120.14890.06520.10000.07810.03450.07410.07500.11110.07940.0357
2016110.13890.08330.09090.02500.02330.04170.02560.02700.02220.07140.00000.02040.03450.06060.02860.03230.04960.02630.00000.00000.06000.03770.04000.01150.08700.03230.02700.00000.02500.0000
2016120.00000.00000.00000.06670.06250.00000.00000.04760.05880.00000.00000.05560.07690.05880.02940.00000.05000.00000.04000.00000.00000.04550.04000.00000.00000.05260.03450.00000.03230.0185
2017010.06250.00000.02000.00000.00000.03230.03850.00000.00000.02560.05710.00000.02330.07140.03850.02080.00000.03130.02630.03700.00000.12120.00000.00000.00000.00000.04760.02940.0333
2017020.11110.04350.05260.09090.04760.03920.05880.02860.00000.08570.04760.03450.08820.00000.02860.05000.00000.05880.10260.05080.15380.02500.00000.00000.05080.03700.00000.05260.05880.0698
2017030.05410.05410.00000.10000.00000.11110.00000.00000.00000.03570.02220.02630.02440.04880.03330.02040.03850.03130.02780.00000.05260.04760.11110.00000.03230.05000.04000.06250.0294
2017040.08330.02330.02560.03570.05560.05880.00000.06250.07140.00000.03570.05710.00000.06250.00000.07410.09300.00000.06250.02630.10710.10870.00000.04550.00000.09090.05360.05560.00000.0588
2017050.06250.03330.07410.05410.02700.00000.08000.00000.07140.00000.05710.07140.00000.16000.03330.02860.00000.04550.00000.04880.08000.00000.04170.03570.05260.02860.00000.02080.2222
2017060.03450.00000.08700.03030.03230.03330.02940.18180.07140.05260.05260.11540.03450.02220.00000.07690.00000.07140.10000.06900.10340.00000.08700.06520.05260.00000.08330.00000.0625
2017 Intercalary 60.04550.03570.20000.13040.02560.00000.04350.07890.03850.11760.05880.06450.04350.00000.00000.04000.00000.13330.00000.05560.08330.04550.05000.10710.06670.11540.00000.06250.07140.0000
Standard deviation0.05790.05650.06240.05820.06220.05020.06070.0565
Mean0.06810.07080.07340.07040.06810.06710.07080.0696
Variation coefficient0.84940.79790.85080.82660.91440.74740.85820.8113
Figure 5

Line chart of variation coefficients of 8 B time period groups derived from Table 5.

Table 6

Standard deviations, means, and variation coefficients of positive rates in each of 8 D time period groups comprising all C groups.

IIIIIIIVVVIVIIVIII
date Year&.month29303112345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728
2013080.16670.37500.08330.11760.18750.00000.04760.12500.20000.10000.15380.09090.12000.00000.08330.07140.13330.16000.16670.08330.20000.25000.11110.11110.00000.09090.18750.04760.16670.06250.0500
2013090.00000.00000.08330.11110.11760.04170.20000.04760.28570.00000.00000.25000.21740.00000.31250.07690.33330.00000.09090.00000.06250.07140.03700.06670.07140.08700.00000.00000.00000.14290.0870
2013100.00000.07690.11110.15380.08330.00000.04760.12500.07690.16670.06670.10530.00000.16670.10530.05880.06250.15380.04760.06250.00000.11110.10000.06670.21430.05260.05000.07690.05880.1000
2013110.13330.23080.14290.13040.20000.07410.17650.18180.13640.00000.09090.07690.00000.00000.16670.09090.07140.03570.10710.14290.09090.11110.11430.00000.05000.13040.18750.03130.00000.03570.1364
2013120.09090.08330.15790.00000.11110.05260.06900.00000.04550.20000.09090.12900.09090.07140.06670.00000.11760.00000.04000.07690.13040.06060.00000.00000.17390.11760.08700.00000.00000.0645
2014010.00000.04550.12500.00000.00000.07690.13640.04170.18180.15000.00000.05000.12500.12500.00000.14290.14290.10910.21430.04170.06670.07690.06060.21740.13640.07500.04760.05710.16000.04000.0857
2014020.06900.17390.00000.07890.03450.05000.12500.10000.25000.05880.06060.00000.04880.21050.04550.05000.10530.10340.12000.10530.03850.09520.02270.05880.08700.06250.09090.11760.08000.17240.1136
2014030.11540.06670.08700.03850.03330.06670.16670.00000.05260.00000.00000.08820.04000.08000.15380.13330.12500.00000.04550.00000.08700.00000.00000.10000.07690.00000.03850.0667
2014040.00000.00000.00000.11540.11110.11760.27780.00000.18180.15380.08000.13330.16670.05000.19230.00000.05560.14710.10000.08330.14290.00000.16670.00000.06250.05880.03030.08570.00000.00000.0000
2014050.00000.10000.14290.00000.05260.27780.00000.04760.08330.00000.00000.09090.05880.00000.15790.04000.00000.05880.05560.08700.00000.04000.07690.11110.00000.06250.00000.00000.17650.1818
2014060.06670.11760.00000.14290.07690.05560.23080.07410.14290.11110.04000.05880.03450.07140.14290.08330.07140.00000.30770.05260.00000.06670.06450.15380.00000.00000.07140.00000.06670.00000.0000
2014070.25000.17650.00000.21430.14290.06670.13640.15000.23080.03700.21430.12500.00000.04350.06670.11760.07140.12500.08330.07690.18750.11540.14290.28570.11760.08700.05880.13640.14290.0588
2014080.16670.09520.10000.05710.11540.06670.22220.00000.14290.04760.13040.00000.09090.06670.11760.00000.06250.04760.08700.00000.11760.00000.04170.00000.10000.07410.08700.00000.00000.00000.0909
2014090.10000.05560.00000.03850.06670.05560.00000.16670.06670.00000.09090.00000.09380.14290.04550.00000.05880.00000.00000.09520.05260.13330.00000.00000.05560.04170.00000.12500.04550.05260.0909
2014100.06250.00000.03850.00000.04000.00000.00000.00000.15790.06670.06250.04350.00000.05880.00000.05000.16670.07140.04550.00000.09090.07140.08330.10000.00000.11110.07140.03700.06250.1250
2014110.07690.04170.00000.04350.00000.06670.07690.21740.09090.06250.00000.00000.04170.04760.05000.05260.06250.02630.14290.07690.08330.00000.06820.00000.05000.08000.12500.09090.00000.00000.1250
2014120.11110.13330.04000.00000.14290.04760.05000.09090.04170.02860.00000.00000.15000.17390.04170.00000.06670.12000.11760.15790.10530.05880.00000.00000.03030.08700.06670.04350.12000.0645
2015010.20000.04170.07690.13160.12000.09090.24140.05410.08000.07410.17240.15000.10000.16670.06900.08000.04170.03230.06900.00000.06250.03230.12500.00000.07690.00000.00000.15790.00000.05560.0741
2015020.05560.05560.12500.02630.03850.03570.10340.02560.07690.04760.03130.15000.05450.08000.06060.00000.06520.02270.00000.03130.00000.06670.06820.04350.04170.11110.00000.03130.04170.06250.0488
2015030.03450.17950.00000.05000.00000.08700.05260.03700.07140.00000.03700.07140.08330.11110.02940.00000.09090.04880.00000.03850.07410.09090.06250.03700.03330.08000.03130.1000
2015040.05260.00000.08330.07690.07410.05880.06900.03030.08570.03450.05560.00000.02330.04760.06670.02940.07690.04650.02630.05880.01920.06060.09860.08700.10810.13510.02630.05880.02700.02780.0909
2015050.03330.03570.03570.00000.02940.10000.08330.06060.04650.09260.02560.03030.07890.00000.08890.02940.04050.02330.03130.04650.06250.05630.09380.08110.07690.04880.03490.02000.03330.0667
2015060.06900.05000.05260.03800.02270.03770.06900.04440.06670.06520.02780.04260.06410.02270.02000.00000.05000.00000.04760.04170.08820.06670.02630.01850.05450.01750.04260.04440.04170.07410.0000
2015070.09520.03920.08000.03080.04350.03770.06900.03640.04350.06150.02630.06980.05000.04840.08450.05260.04820.01920.10710.04480.00000.01200.01640.02330.03570.00000.00000.06060.06120.0351
2015080.04000.01820.02940.05950.05560.06000.02040.03700.05660.05560.00000.06380.08240.08890.06000.01750.12070.05620.16670.02040.05080.02270.09470.04550.02130.05560.03920.05750.01450.04760.0508
2015090.14290.06560.04760.11110.01640.05660.03700.08820.02040.05880.06940.04170.04850.04170.05000.04880.12500.03490.13460.04550.09230.10530.06600.06780.07140.07350.01820.07500.09090.06900.0805
2015100.11430.11110.04940.10000.07020.12200.00000.08160.06780.06450.07270.06020.07140.03770.05660.09380.09090.03700.11670.05560.04440.04650.11630.02860.15790.01490.09780.09590.03750.0762
2015110.04880.02860.03130.03920.05130.08450.07250.08540.05480.07140.06520.15000.05600.05970.05000.06330.08820.09180.08640.05000.06590.01670.05740.09260.04230.07610.06150.03970.06100.02670.1038
2015120.01890.05260.09430.05330.13100.07610.08330.11250.04940.11240.08540.07500.03640.05060.09410.07690.05080.09330.08540.07070.03230.04260.04550.03330.07530.03230.05840.04600.03700.0650
2016010.14710.08570.06250.05430.12350.06380.05220.08730.11110.05880.13910.05190.06670.05260.05150.03920.03230.06120.09680.07620.14960.06560.09520.08990.06330.07770.10000.06430.08330.12220.0763
2016020.08330.09760.12280.08160.04950.06310.05880.11210.11700.07080.09090.08790.09030.05710.07870.08890.07920.05040.10340.02600.11490.07890.07140.01720.07140.08060.12070.12500.10340.07410.1515
2016030.13330.15520.19570.10420.10870.17240.11630.13040.19640.10000.13040.13330.19230.06900.15150.17650.21430.00000.04170.06250.06900.00000.13790.25000.06250.15380.12500.00000.1364
2016040.00000.35710.25000.10340.30770.11760.00000.12500.09520.00000.04000.05880.07410.11110.05560.13330.15000.09680.03850.13790.23810.08330.00000.00000.00000.09680.14290.10530.08000.06670.0714
2016050.05880.00000.14810.04350.05000.04350.09520.03850.27270.04550.00000.06900.07690.11540.05000.15000.08330.06250.05880.09090.04350.12120.14290.36840.12500.09520.06060.04550.23530.1026
2016060.00000.13330.16670.12120.22220.18180.04760.03700.10710.15790.16670.26670.13640.00000.25000.12500.23080.06900.08330.11110.17390.13330.03330.04550.05260.14290.09090.11110.06670.15380.1111
2016070.07140.20000.04350.21740.05880.00000.15790.07140.10530.13640.05260.06900.00000.08700.11760.00000.03030.00000.00000.17650.00000.00000.05880.00000.00000.11110.00000.06670.08000.1364
2016080.00000.11760.04350.00000.00000.00000.13040.05000.06250.00000.15380.04550.00000.06250.00000.06670.00000.13640.11110.12500.13330.05880.00000.00000.04170.00000.00000.04350.00000.1429
2016090.12500.17650.00000.05260.04170.15790.00000.00000.00000.10000.10530.00000.09520.15380.07140.05000.00000.00000.13330.17650.00000.09090.07690.05880.12500.12500.10000.17650.09520.11110.0769
2016100.00000.04170.04550.11110.07500.03330.08510.02170.10000.05130.12000.15630.05560.10870.05710.00000.08820.08570.05560.09520.00000.06060.16130.09090.04000.08000.05450.05560.08330.0444
2016110.08000.14810.00000.15380.02940.09760.05710.10340.06450.03030.02860.00000.06780.10000.10260.00000.03570.14290.12120.14890.06520.10000.07810.03450.07410.07500.11110.07940.03570.13890.0833
2016120.09090.02500.02330.04170.02560.02700.02220.07140.00000.02040.03450.06060.02860.03230.04960.02630.00000.00000.06000.03770.04000.01150.08700.03230.02700.00000.02500.00000.00000.0000
2017010.00000.06670.06250.00000.00000.04760.05880.00000.00000.05560.07690.05880.02940.00000.05000.00000.04000.00000.00000.04550.04000.00000.00000.05260.03450.00000.03230.01850.06250.00000.0200
2017020.00000.00000.03230.03850.00000.00000.02560.05710.00000.02330.07140.03850.02080.00000.03130.02630.03700.00000.12120.00000.00000.00000.00000.04760.02940.03330.11110.04350.05260.09090.0476
2017030.03920.05880.02860.00000.08570.04760.03450.08820.00000.02860.05000.00000.05880.10260.05080.15380.02500.00000.00000.05080.03700.00000.05260.05880.06980.05410.05410.0000
2017040.10000.00000.11110.00000.00000.00000.03570.02220.02630.02440.04880.03330.02040.03850.03130.02780.00000.05260.04760.11110.00000.03230.05000.04000.06250.02940.08330.02330.02560.03570.0556
2017050.05880.00000.06250.07140.00000.03570.05710.00000.06250.00000.07410.09300.00000.06250.02630.10710.10870.00000.04550.00000.09090.05360.05560.00000.05880.06250.03330.07410.05410.0270
2017060.00000.08000.00000.07140.00000.05710.07140.00000.16000.03330.02860.00000.04550.00000.04880.08000.00000.04170.03570.05260.02860.00000.02080.22220.03450.00000.08700.03030.03230.03330.0294
2017070.18180.07140.05260.05260.11540.03450.02220.00000.07690.00000.07140.10000.06900.10340.00000.08700.06520.05260.00000.08330.00000.06250.04550.03570.20000.13040.02560.00000.04350.0789
Standard deviation0.06790.05890.06080.05540.05690.04930.05800.0466
Mean0.07570.07040.07360.07010.07020.06330.06760.0626
Variation coefficient0.89730.83630.82660.78980.81060.77910.85800.7438
Figure 6

Line chart of variation coefficients of 8 D time period groups derived from Table 6.

Standard deviations, means, and variation coefficients of positive rates in each of 8 B time period groups comprising all A groups. Line chart of variation coefficients of 8 B time period groups derived from Table 5. Standard deviations, means, and variation coefficients of positive rates in each of 8 D time period groups comprising all C groups. Line chart of variation coefficients of 8 D time period groups derived from Table 6. In the fourth step, the SPSS Statistics 17.0 software was used to statistically analyze the variation coefficients of the positive rates of Down syndrome and numbers of pregnant women with the same start date of last menstruation in eight B time period groups. First, the Shapiro–Wilk test proved the normal distribution of both variants (Sig >0.05). Pearson correlation analysis reflected no statistical correlation of both variation coefficients (r = 0.671 and P = 0.068; Table 4) (Table 7).
Table 7

Results of Pearson correlation analysis.

Variation coefficient of the numbers of pregnant women with the same start date of last menstruationVariation coefficient of positive rate of Down syndrome in pregnant women with the same start date of last menstruation
New moon0.67680.8494
New moon–waxing crescent interval0.71770.7979
Waxing crescent0.74010.8508
Waxing crescent–full moon interval0.72400.8266
Full moon0.76610.9144
Full moon–waning crescent interval0.64710.7474
Waning crescent0.67380.8582
Waning crescent–new moon interval0.68640.8113
Shapiro–Wilk testSig = 0.893Sig = 0.926
Pearson correlation analysisr = 0.671
Significance (two-side)P = 0.068
Results of Pearson correlation analysis.

Results

This study collected and sorted data and laboratory results of 51,450 singleton pregnant women who underwent Down syndrome screening in the second trimester (14 weeks and 0 days to 21 weeks and 6 days), spanning 51 lunar months (50 Gregorian months) of nearly 5 years, from May 2013 to June 2017 of the Chinese lunar calendar (June 2013 to July 2017 of the Gregorian calendar). These data were allocated into 1506 groups according to the Chinese lunar date and further classified into another 8 groups of lunar time periods. The positive rates of Down syndrome in pregnant women with the same start date of last menstruation and variation coefficients of their daily numbers and daily positive rates were analyzed and compared between the eight B time period groups to explore the specific relationship of the lunar cycle with Down syndrome screening, thereby postulating the effect of the moon on Down syndrome screening. The results of the eight B time period groups demonstrated the lowest positive rate of 6.40% in the full-moon time period group (considering the start date of last menstruation) and the highest of 6.90% in the waning crescent–new moon interval (the end of the month) group, with the value difference of 0.005. It was rational to postulate that, compared with other pregnant women, those who had the start date of last menstruation within the full-moon lunar cycle would have a lower probability of carrying a fetus with Down syndrome. Meanwhile, the results of the eight B time period groups showed that the variation coefficient of the numbers of pregnant women with the same start date of last menstruation was the highest of 0.7661 in the full-moon time period group. Hence, it was presumed that, compared with other pregnant women, the variation of daily numbers caused by certain factors was greater in women with the start date of last menstruation within the full-moon lunar cycle and the influencing factor was likely the moon. In this study, data from the Gregorian calendar starting date of the last menstrual cycle were used as the control group, and the same statistics were carried out. However, the same data change trend did not appear in the period corresponding to the full moon (i.e., the full moon) group, which proved that such a change trend would only appear when the statistics were made based on the lunar calendar. This study also analyzed the variation coefficients of positive rates in pregnant women with the same start date of last menstruation. The results of the eight B time period groups demonstrated the highest of 0.9144 in the full-moon time period group. Therefore, the variation of daily positive rates reached the highest in pregnant women with the start date of last menstruation within the full-moon lunar cycle. This phenomenon was caused by some influencing factors, which could be the moon or changes in daily numbers of pregnant women with the start date of last menstruation within the full-moon lunar cycle. This hypothesis was evaluated in the fourth step of this study by conducting the correlation analysis of the variation coefficient of person numbers with the variation coefficient of the positive rates of Down syndrome in pregnant women who had the same start date of last menstruation. No statistical correlation was detected between 2 variation coefficients (r = 0.671, P = .068), indicating that the change in daily numbers of pregnant women with the same start time of last menstruation caused no change in the variation of daily positive rates. Therefore, it was presumed that the moon could be the influencing factor for a greater variation of daily positive rates in the full-moon time period group. the full moon had an effect on the number of pregnant women with the same start date of last menstruation and their positive rates of Down syndrome, respectively,leading to the highest monthly values of both.

Discussion

The conclusions and hypothesis were confirmed by applying a very specific grouping method, which was different but based on previous studies. The participants were allocated into different groups according to the start lunar date of last menstruation recorded in Down syndrome screening data. As the Chinese lunar calendar reflects the lunar cycle, four important lunar time lines were adopted to divide each month: new moon, waxing crescent, full moon, and waning crescent. This grouping method favored data analysis and processing, and had a unique study vision. This study explored the effect of the moon on Down syndrome screening from 2 perspectives. In the first step, data of 51 months were sorted and analyzed, demonstrating the lowest positive rate of Down syndrome in the full-moon lunar cycle out of eight B time period groups. It indicated that the moon was involved in or affected pregnant women carrying a fetus with Down syndrome to a certain degree, and its effect reached the peak by the full moon. In the second step, the variation coefficients of numbers of pregnant women with the start date of last menstruation in the same time period were analyzed, and the variation coefficients of their positive rates of Down syndrome were calculated. The results demonstrated that both variation coefficients reached the highest in the full-moon time period group, indicating the greatest variation and changes in this group. Therefore, it was postulated that the moon acted as an interference factor, interfering with the original variation in both data and achieving the maximum significance in the full-moon lunar cycle.

Conclusions

This study proved that the moon indeed affected pregnancy, reaching the peak by the full moon. However, this effect was mild and could be measured only after the long-term accumulation of relevant data. Moreover, based on these results, it was postulated that since pregnant women had their own homeostasis, pregnancy-relevant measurements would fluctuate around a certain value in some time periods. If the moon affected pregnant women, their body homeostasis would resist it to preserve the original balance. Hence, the measurements at this time point would display more fluctuation around a certain value. The variation coefficients of numbers of pregnant women with the start time of last menstruation in the full-moon time period and the variation coefficients of their positive rates of Down syndrome were the highest out of the eight B time period groups, indicating the greatest variations and changes. These data reflected that the moon interfered with the body homeostasis of pregnant women, reaching the peak by the full-moon lunar cycle. This study mainly observed and analyzed the changes in the comprehensive external data, including numbers of pregnant women, their positive rates of Down's syndrome, and variation in daily positive rates of Down syndrome, without organizing and analyzing specific laboratory data, such as AFP and fβ-hCG. Risk rate of this experiment is to detect pregnant women serum AFP and fβ-hCG levels, coupled with the gestational week (from the day of the last menstrual period to the day of blood samples collected), weight, age and other data, calculated by a specific formula. the AFP and fβ-hCG levels will change with the progress of the pregnancy process continuously, in different pregnant weeks, its value is different. This experiment select risk rate as the research object, choose the date of the last menstrual period as a basis for grouping, can avoid concentration differences of the AFP and fβ-hCG because of different gestational age, but if we want to further study what caused the research results, it is necessary to research the AFP and fβ-hCG concentration change in phases of the moon cycle, this experiment did not do this, is because the hospital can’t force pregnant women at a specified date to collect blood samples, this led to the collection of specimens with the same date of the last menstrual period and with the same gestational week is very difficult, The 2 screening criteria resulted in a significant reduction in the number of experimental samples, making statistical analysis impossible. This also leads to the fact that this study is not in-depth enough. If further research is to be carried out, more hospital cooperation and a large number of volunteers are needed.

Author contributions

Conceptualization: Kun Yan. Data curation: Kun Yan. Formal analysis: Kun Yan. Investigation: Kun Yan, Yang Wang, Lanjun Zhong. Methodology: Kun Yan. Project administration: Kun Yan. Resources: Kun Yan, Yang Wang, Lanjun Zhong. Software: Kun Yan. Supervision: Kun Yan, Juan Men. Validation: Kun Yan, Juan Men, Yang Wang, Lanjun Zhong. Visualization: Kun Yan, Juan Men. Writing – original draft: Kun Yan, Juan Men. Writing – review & editing: Kun Yan, Juan Men.
  19 in total

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