| Literature DB >> 33349271 |
Jianjun Bai1, Fang Shi1, Jinhong Cao1, Haoyu Wen1, Fang Wang1, Sumaira Mubarik1, Xiaoxue Liu1, Yong Yu2, Jianbo Ding3, Chuanhua Yu4,5.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 related deaths in Wuhan, China and comprehend the changing trends of this epidemic along with analyzing the prevention and control measures in Wuhan.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; Coronavirus disease 2019; Death; Epidemiological characteristic; Wuhan city
Year: 2020 PMID: 33349271 PMCID: PMC7750392 DOI: 10.1186/s41256-020-00183-y
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Glob Health Res Policy ISSN: 2397-0642
The epidemiological characteristics of deceased patients of COVID-19 infection with different severities in Wuhan during the early stage
| Baseline characteristics | Total | Classification of severity (%) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mild | Common | Severe | Critical | Missing | ||
| 1833 | 682(37.2) | 101(5.5) | 551(30.1) | 249(13.6) | 250(13.6) | |
| | 70.0 (63.0–79.0) | 70.0 (62.0–78.0) | 72.0 (64.0–78.5) | 71.0 (64.0–80.0) | 69.5 (62.0–77.0) | 71.0 (62.0–79.0) |
| Male | 1211(66.1) | 438(64.2) | 71(70.3) | 371(67.3) | 155(62.2) | 176(70.4) |
| Female | 622(33.9) | 244(35.8) | 30(29.7) | 180(32.7) | 94(37.8) | 74(29.6) |
| Child and student | 2(0.1) | 1(0.2) | 0(0.0) | 1(0.2) | 0(0.0) | 0(0.0) |
| Cadre | 35(1.9) | 14(2.1) | 1(1.0) | 15(2.7) | 4(1.6) | 1(0.4) |
| Freelancer | 7(0.4) | 2(0.3) | 1(1.0) | 1(0.2) | 3(1.2) | 0(0.0) |
| Physical labor | 23(1.3) | 15(2.2) | 1(1.0) | 4(0.7) | 3(1.2) | 0(0.0) |
| Public service staff | 25(1.4) | 14(2.1) | 0(0.0) | 8(1.5) | 2(0.8) | 1(0.4) |
| Housework | 324(17.7) | 138(20.2) | 23(22.8) | 105(19.1) | 51(20.5) | 7(2.8) |
| Retirees | 854(46.7) | 343(50.3) | 56(55.5) | 296(53.7) | 129(51.8) | 30(12.0) |
| Farmer or worker | 66(3.6) | 29(4.3) | 4(4.0) | 22(4.0) | 10(4.0) | 1(0.4) |
| Health worker | 8(0.4) | 3(0.4) | 1(1.0) | 3(0.5) | 1(0.4) | 0(0.0) |
| Missing | 489(26.7) | 123(18.0) | 14(13.9) | 96(17.4) | 46(18.5) | 210(84.0) |
| Yes | 1204(65.7) | 430(63.1) | 59(58.4) | 367(66.6) | 172(69.1) | 176(70.4) |
| No | 583(31.8) | 234(34.3) | 38(37.6) | 173(31.4) | 68(27.3) | 70(28.0) |
| Missing | 46(2.5) | 18(2.6) | 4(4.0) | 11(2.0) | 9(3.6) | 4(1.6) |
| Hypertension | ||||||
| Yes | 742(40.5) | 264(38.7) | 37(36.6) | 231(41.9) | 112(45.0) | 98(39.2) |
| No | 1045(57.0) | 400(58.7) | 60(59.4) | 309(56.1) | 128(51.4) | 148(59.2) |
| Diabetes | ||||||
| Yes | 357(19.5) | 133(19.5) | 18(17.8) | 110(20.0) | 50(20.1) | 46(18.4) |
| No | 1430(78.0) | 531(77.9) | 79(78.2) | 430(78.0) | 190(76.3) | 200(80.0) |
| Cardiovascular disease | ||||||
| Yes | 329(17.9) | 119(17.4) | 16(15.8) | 109(19.8) | 36(14.5) | 50(20.0) |
| No | 1458(79.5) | 545(79.9) | 81(80.2) | 431(78.2) | 204(81.9) | 196(78.4) |
| Respiratory disease | ||||||
| Yes | 152(8.3) | 47(6.9) | 9(8.9) | 57(10.3) | 18(7.2) | 21(8.4) |
| No | 1635(89.2) | 617(90.5) | 88(87.1) | 483(87.7) | 222(89.2) | 225(90.0) |
| Cancer (any) | ||||||
| Yes | 82(4.5) | 29(4.3) | 5(5.0) | 29(5.3) | 9(3.6) | 10(4.0) |
| No | 1705(93.0) | 635(93.1) | 92(91.1) | 511(92.7) | 231(92.8) | 236(94.4) |
| 2019.12–2020.1.9 | 147(8.0) | 27(4.0) | 5(5.0) | 37(6.7) | 32(12.9) | 46(18.4) |
| 2020.1.10–1.21 | 525(28.6) | 154(22.6) | 11(10.9) | 149(27.0) | 79(31.7) | 132(52.8) |
| 2020.1.22–2.1 | 869(47.4) | 391(57.3) | 42(41.6) | 288(52.3) | 107(43.0) | 41(16.4) |
| 2020.2.2–2.24 | 288(15.7) | 110(16.1) | 43(42.6) | 77(14.0) | 31(12.4) | 27(10.8) |
| Missing | 4(0.2) | 0(0.0) | 0(0.0) | 0(0.0) | 0(0.0) | 4(1.6) |
| Central urban area | 1384(75.5) | 574(84.2) | 87(86.1) | 428(77.7) | 199(79.9) | 96(38.4) |
| Surrounding urban area | 286(15.6) | 102(15.0) | 13(12.9) | 108(19.6) | 41(16.5) | 22(8.8) |
| Out of city | 28(1.5) | 6(0.9) | 1(1.0) | 12(2.2) | 5(2.0) | 4(1.6) |
| Missing | 135(7.4) | 0(0.0) | 0(0.0) | 3(0.5) | 4(1.6) | 128(51.2) |
| 17.0(12.0–22.0) | 17.0(12.0–22.0) | 16.0(10.0–22.0) | 17.0(13.0–23.0) | 17.0(12.0–23.0) | 16.0(10.0–23.0) | |
| 10.0(6.0–14.0) | 10.0(6.0–14.0) | 9.0(4.0–15.0) | 11.0(7.0–15.0) | 11.0(7.0–15.0) | 10.0(5.0–14.0) | |
| 6.0(2.0–11.0) | 6.0(3.0–10.0) | 5.0(2.0–10.0) | 6.0(3.0–10.0) | 6.0(2.0–10.0) | 5.0(2.0–12.0) | |
aM Medians, IQR Interquartile ranges;
b The classification of severity were according to the diagnostic criteria of the new coronavirus infection pneumonia diagnosis and treatment plan (trial fifth version)
Fig. 1The age distribution of deaths in Wuhan
Fig. 2The epidemiological curves by date of symptom onset, date of diagnosis and date of death in Wuhan
Fig. 3Time distribution of interval from onset to death (a), interval from onset to diagnosis (b) and interval from diagnosis to death (c)
Distributional fits to key COVID-19 distributions
| Variable | Distribution | Parameter1 | Parameter2 | Parameter3 | Median | 25% | 75% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weibull | 8.2152 | 89.42 | −14.41 | 71.1 | 62.4 | 78.6 | |
| Log Logistic | −14.513 | 31.184 | 6.8020 | 16.7 | 12.0 | 22.1 | |
| Log Logistic | −7.7179 | 17.669 | 4.7575 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 14.5 | |
| InvGauss | 9.8986 | 19.1904 | −2.4969 | 5.4 | 2.6 | 10.0 |
Fig. 4a The geographic distribution of daily new COVID-19 death in administrative districts of Wuhan (2020/01 / 09–2020 / 02/24). b The geographic distribution of cumulative deaths and death rate in Wuhan
Death rate of COVID-19 cases in administrative districts of Wuhan
| District | Permanent population (10,000) | Residence | Reporting Unit area | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deaths, N | Death rate per 10,000 residents | Deaths, N | Death rate per 10,000 residents | ||
| Caidian | 76.16 | 43 | 0.56 | 153 | 2.01 |
| Dongxihu | 58.48 | 79 | 1.35 | 249 | 4.26 |
| Hannan | 13.58 | 36 | 2.65 | 88 | 6.48 |
| Hanyang | 66.42 | 161 | 2.42 | 112 | 1.69 |
| Hongshan | 167.73 | 159 | 0.95 | 164 | 0.98 |
| Huangpi | 101.19 | 58 | 0.57 | 54 | 0.53 |
| Jiang’an | 96.27 | 238 | 2.47 | 186 | 1.93 |
| Jianghan | 72.97 | 238 | 3.26 | 170 | 2.33 |
| Jiangxia | 96.20 | 29 | 0.30 | 32 | 0.33 |
| Qiaokou | 86.87 | 181 | 2.08 | 167 | 1.92 |
| Qingshan | 52.89 | 103 | 1.95 | 130 | 2.46 |
| Wuchang | 128.28 | 299 | 2.33 | 303 | 2.36 |
| Xinzhou | 91.06 | 41 | 0.45 | 25 | 0.27 |