| Literature DB >> 33329379 |
Yuanfan Ye1, Sadeep Shrestha1, Greer Burkholder2, Anju Bansal2, Nathaniel Erdmann2, Howard Wiener1, Jianming Tang1,2.
Abstract
The prevalence of various comorbidities continue to rise in aging persons living with HIV-1 infection (PLWH), and our study here aimed to assess the rates and correlates of incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in PLWH from a retrospective, southeastern U.S. cohort. Based on electronic health records, we examined patient demographics, body mass index (BMI), HIV-1-related outcomes, hepatitis C virus co-infection, common comorbidities (e.g. shingles and asthma), usage of protease inhibitors, and usage of statins as potential correlates for T2DM occurrence. Among 3,975 PLWH with ≥12 months of follow-up between January 1999 and March 2018, the overall rate of incident T2DM was 135 per 10,000 person-years, almost 2-fold higher than the rate reported for the general U.S. population. In multivariable models (354 T2DM patients and 3,617 control subjects), sex, BMI, nadir CD4+ T-cell count, HIV-1 viral load (VL) and duration of statin use were independent correlates of incident T2DM (adjusted P <0.05 for all), with clear consistency in several sensitivity analyses. The strongest associations (adjusted odds ratio/OR >2.0 and P <0.0001) were noted for: i) statin use for ≥6 months (OR = 10.2), ii) BMI ≥30 kg/m2 (OR = 3.4), and iii) plasma VL ≥200 copies/ml (OR = 2.2). Their collective predictive value was substantial: the C-statistic for area under the receiver operating characteristics curve was 0.87 (95% CI = 0.84-0.91), showing close similarity between two major racial groups (C-statistic = 0.87 for African Americans and 0.91 for European Americans). Overall, these findings not only establish a promising algorithm for predicting incident T2DM in PLWH but also suggest that patients who are obese and use statins should require special consideration for T2DM diagnosis and prevention.Entities:
Keywords: HIV-1 infection; obesity; race; statin; type 2 diabetes mellitus
Year: 2020 PMID: 33329379 PMCID: PMC7719801 DOI: 10.3389/fendo.2020.555401
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Endocrinol (Lausanne) ISSN: 1664-2392 Impact factor: 5.555
Overall characteristics of the study cohort stratified by type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM).
| Characteristics | No T2DM ( | Incident T2DM ( |
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age at enrollment (mean ± SD) | 38.8 ± 10.9 | 44.3 ± 9.4 | <0.0001 | <0.001 |
| Age group at incident T2DM or last clinical visit | <0.0001 | <0.001 | ||
| 18–44 years | 1738 (48.0) | 111 (31.4) | Ref. | |
| 45–64 years | 1712 (47.3) | 223 (63.0) | <0.0001 | <0.001 |
| ≥65 years | 171 (4.7) | 20 (5.6) | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Sex | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
| Men | 2821 (21.5) | 245 (69.2) | Ref. | |
| Women | 779 (77.9) | 108 (30.5) | 0.0001 | <0.001 |
| Transgenders | 21 (0.6) | 1 (0.3) | >0.50 | >0.50 |
| Race/ethnicity | 0.49 | >0.50 | ||
| African American (AA) | 2124 (58.7) | 202 (57.1) | Ref. | |
| European American (EA) | 1419 (39.2) | 147 (41.5) | 0.45 | 0.50 |
| Others | 78 (2.2) | 5 (1.4) | 0.40 | 0.46 |
| BMI group at incident DM or last clinical visit (Missing 364 subjects) | <0.0001 | <0.001 | ||
| <25 | 1348 (40.6) | 58 (19.9) | Ref. | |
| 25–29 | 1091 (32.9) | 79 (27.0) | 0.003 | 0.005 |
| ≥30 | 880 (26.5) | 155 (53.1) | <0.0001 | <0.001 |
| Median nadir CD4 count over the last 24 months | 0.021 | 0.027 | ||
| <200 cells/µl | 850 (23.5) | 81 (22.9) | 0.36 | 0.43 |
| 200-500 cells/µl | 1231 (34.0) | 145 (41.0) | 0.006 | 0.008 |
| >500 cells/µl | 1540 (42.5) | 128 (36.1) | ref | |
| Highest VL over the last 24 months | <0.0001 | <0.001 | ||
| <200 | 2108 (58.2) | 168 (47.5) | Ref. | |
| 200-23,596 (Q3) | 614 (17.0) | 92 (26.0) | <0.0001 | <0.001 |
| >23,596 | 899 (24.8) | 94 (26.5) | 0.044 | 0.055 |
| Protease inhibitor (PI) use | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
| No PI in the last 2 years | 2267 (62.6) | 184 (52.0) | Ref. | |
| PI use for 0–2 years | 435 (12.0) | 54 (15.2) | 0.010 | 0.014 |
| PI use for ≥2 years | 919 (25.4) | 116 (32.8) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Statin use | <0.001 | |||
| Never | 2753 (76.0) | 111 (31.4) | Ref. | |
| Atorvastatin | 379 (10.5) | 104 (29.4) | <0.0001 | <0.001 |
| Pravastatin | 312 (8.6) | 82 (23.2) | <0.0001 | <0.001 |
| Pitavastatin | 2 (0.1) | 0 (0.00) | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| Others | 175 (4.8) | 57 (16.0) | <0.0001 | <0.001 |
| Duration of statin use | <0.0001 | <0.001 | ||
| No use | 2753 (76.0) | 111 (31.3) | Ref. | |
| Use for <6 months | 115 (3.2) | 30 (8.5) | <0.0001 | <0.001 |
| Use ≥6 months | 753 (20.8) | 213 (60.2) | <0.0001 | <0.001 |
aFor comparisons involve multiple categories within a specific variable, the group with the largest sample size is set as the norm/reference.
Figure 1Kaplan-Meier curves showing time from study enrollment or initiation of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) to diagnosis of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in PLWH stratified by sex. Numbers of subjects remaining at various visit intervals (between January 1999 and March 2018) are indicated for each group (excluding 22 transgender subjects). Estimates of hazards ratios (HR) use men as the reference group.
Independent correlates of incident T2DM, as defined by a reduced multivariable model.
| Factors in the final modela | n (%) | Adjusted ORb | 95% CIb |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sex | ||||
| Men | 3,063 (77.1) | Ref. | – | |
| Women | 886 (22.3) | 1.47 | 1.13-1.93 | 0.005 |
| Transgenders | 22 (0.55) | 1.23 | 0.16-9.71 | >0.50 |
| BMI at incident DM or last visit (missing 364) | ||||
| <25 | 1,406 (38.9) | Ref. | – | |
| 25–29 | 1,168 (32.4) | 1.46 | 1.01-2.10 | 0.043 |
| ≥30 | 1,033 (28.7) | 3.36 | 2.40-4.70 | <0.0001 |
| Nadir CD4+ T-cell counta in the last 24 months | ||||
| <200 cells/µl | 931 (23.4) | 1.02 | 0.69-1.49 | >0.50 |
| 200–500 cells/µl | 1,374 (34.6) | 1.40 | 1.06-1.42 | 0.020 |
| >500 cells/µl | 1,666 (42.0) | Ref. | – | |
| Highest plasma viral loada in the last 24 months | ||||
| <200 | 2,273 (57.2) | Ref. | – | |
| 200–23,596 (Q3) | 705 (17.8) | 2.24 | 1.64-3.05 | <0.0001 |
| >23,596 | 993 (25.0) | 2.21 | 1.55-3.15 | <0.0001 |
| Duration of statin use | ||||
| No use | 2,864 (72.1) | Ref | – | |
| Use for <6 months | 145 (3.7) | 8.92 | 5.87-13.58 | <0.0001 |
| Use ≥6 months | 962 (24.3) | 10.21 | 7.71-13.53 | <0.0001 |
aAt least one entry in each categorical variable has shown independent association with T2DM (adjusted P < 0.05).
bThe odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval have been adjusted for all factors in the model, as well as age, race, study enrollment dates, exposure to HIV-1 protease inhibitors, and statin groups (atorvastatin, lovastatin, and simvastatin as lipophilic; pravastatin, rosuvastatin, and fluvastatin as hydrophilic). For comparisons involve multiple categories within a specific variable, the group with the largest sample size is set as the norm/reference.
Figure 2Area under the receiver operating characteristics curves (ROCs) in several rounds of comparative analyses. First (top panel), for all factors identified as independent predictor of incident T2DM in a reduced multivariable (MV) model ( ), the C-statistic for ROC (line in blue) is 0.87 (95% CI = 0.84-0.91); removing statin use from the model (line in red) leads to an ROC of 0.78 (95% CI = 0.73-0.83). Second (bottom panel), with reference to the new guidelines of statin therapy (introduced in 2013), T2DM diagnosed before 2013 (line in blue) and since 2013 (line in red) have ROC of 0.86 (95% CI = 0.83-0.90) and 0.86 (95% CI = 0.78-0.84), respectively.
Partial correlation among factors associated with T2DMa.
| Sex | Age | BMI | Statin use | CD4 count | HIV-1 VL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sex | 1.00 | 0.05 | 0.15 | -0.02 | 0.03 | <0.01 |
| Age | 0.001 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 0.07 | -0.22 |
| BMI | <0.0001 | 0.001 | 1.00 | 0.16 | 0.21 | -0.21 |
| Statin use | 0.294 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | 1.00 | 0.13 | -0.18 |
| CD4 count | 0.053 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | 1.00 | -0.51 |
| HIV-1 VL | 0.862 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | 1.00 |
aDefined by positive or negative Spearman rho (ρ) and restricted to variables shown in . The ρ values (two decimals) for pairwise correlation are shown on and above the diagonal; the corresponding P values (at least three decimals) are listed below the diagonal.