| Literature DB >> 33317814 |
Brett A Johnson1, Anthony C Waddimba2, Gerald O Ogola3, James W Fleshman4, John T Preskitt5.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Thousands of cancer surgeries were delayed during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic. This study examines if surgical delays impact survival for breast, lung and colon cancers.Entities:
Keywords: Breast; COVID-19; Cancer; Colon; Lung; Surgery
Year: 2020 PMID: 33317814 PMCID: PMC7834494 DOI: 10.1016/j.amjsurg.2020.12.015
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Am J Surg ISSN: 0002-9610 Impact factor: 2.565
Summary of findings from 25 studies included in the systematic review.
| Source | Site | Outcomes measured | Patient No. | Stage(s) | TTS Comparison Groups (Days) | Raw | 95% CI | p-value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breast | OS | 683,604 | I | 1-42 vs 43-180 | ||||
| 387,198 | II | |||||||
| Lung | 193,058 | I | 1-42 vs 43-180 | |||||
| 49,386 | II | |||||||
| Breast | OS | 1946 | I-III | 1-28 vs 29-56 | 1.33 | 0.77–2.31 | NR | |
| 1-28 vs 57-84 | 0.77 | 0.30–1.97 | NR | |||||
| 1-28 vs 85-365 | 1.91 | 0.42–1.48 | NR | |||||
| Lung | 398 | I-II | 1-28 vs 29-56 | 1.05 | 0.67–1.65 | NR | ||
| 1-28 vs 57-84 | 0.65 | 0.28–1.48 | NR | |||||
| 1-28 vs 85-365 | 0.79 | 0.42–1.48 | NR | |||||
| Breast | OS | 29,047 | I-IV | 1-31 vs ≥ 32 | NR | |||
| Lung | 9094 | 1-37 vs ≥ 38 | NR | |||||
| Colon | 21,379 | 1-31 vs ≥ 32 | 1.10 | 1.00–1.21 | NR | |||
| Breast | OS | 351,087 | I-III | Each 30-day delay | ||||
| Breast | OS | 7930 | I-III | 1-30 vs 31-60 | ||||
| 1-30 vs 61-90 | ||||||||
| 1-30 vs 91-180 | ||||||||
| CSS | 1-30 vs 31-60 | 1.12 | 0.95–1.32 | 0.19 | ||||
| 1-30 vs 61-90 | 1.06 | 0.72–1.56 | 0.77 | |||||
| 1-30 vs 91-180 | 1.55 | 0.98–2.45 | 0.06 | |||||
| Breast | OS | 9699 | I-III | 1-21 vs 22-35 | 0.97 | 0.78–1.21 | ||
| 1-21 vs 36-365 | ||||||||
| 5033 | I | 1-21 vs 22-35 | 1.14 | 0.73–1.77 | ||||
| 1-21 vs 36-365 | ||||||||
| 3735 | II | 1-21 vs 22-35 | 0.92 | 0.68–1.25 | 0.39 | |||
| 1-21 vs 36-365 | 1.24 | 0.90–1.71 | ||||||
| 901 | III | 1-21 vs 22-35 | 1.21 | 0.75–1.95 | 0.77 | |||
| 1-21 vs 36-365 | 1.24 | 0.75–2.04 | ||||||
| Breast | OS | 7017 | I-III | Each 1-day delay | ||||
| Mansfield et al., 2017 | Breast | DFS | 1131 | I | 22-42 vs 43-63 | 0.576 | 0.320–1.034 | 0.07 |
| 835 | II | 1.202 | 0.723–1.997 | 0.48 | ||||
| Breast | OS | 94,544 | I-III | Each 30-day delay | ||||
| CSS | Each 60-day delay | |||||||
| OS | NR | I | Each 30-day delay | |||||
| CSS | Each 60-day delay | |||||||
| OS | NR | II | Each 30-day delay | |||||
| CSS | Each 60-day delay | 1.03 | 0.83–1.28 | 0.80 | ||||
| OS | NR | III | Each 30-day delay | 1.06 | 0.97–1.16 | 0.17 | ||
| CSS | Each 60-day delay | 1.04 | 0.82–1.33 | 0.74 | ||||
| OS | 115,790 | I-III | Each 30-day delay | |||||
| NR | I | |||||||
| NR | II | |||||||
| NR | III | 1.01 | 0.96–1.07 | 0.64 | ||||
| Breast | OS | 420,792 | I-III | 1-27 vs 28-55 | 0.98 | 0.96–1.00 | 0.07 | |
| 1-27 vs 56-83 | 1.03 | 0.99–1.06 | 0.11 | |||||
| 1-27 vs 84-182 | ||||||||
| NR | I | 1-27 vs 56-83 | NR | |||||
| 1-27 vs 84-182 | NR | |||||||
| NR | II | 1-27 vs 84-182 | NR | |||||
| NR | III | 1-27 vs 84-182 | NR | NR | NS | |||
| Yoo et al., 2016 | Breast | OS | 1702 | I-III | 1-29 vs ≥ 30 | NR | NR | 0.95 |
| DFS | 1.109 | 0.782–1.572 | 0.56 | |||||
| Breast | OS | 4143 | I-IV | 1-13 vs 14-27 | 0.96 | 0.65–1.42 | ||
| 1-13 vs 28-41 | 1.11 | 0.69–1.78 | ||||||
| 1-13 vs 42+ | ||||||||
| Breast | OS | 5389 | I-II | 25-38 vs 39-62 | 1.09 | 0.93–1.29 | NR | |
| Vujovic et al., 2009 | Breast | DFS | 397 | I-III | 1-83 vs ≥ 84 | NR | NR | |
| CSS | NR | NR | ||||||
| Huang et al., 2020 | Lung | OS | 561 | I | 1-21 vs ≥ 22 | |||
| Lung | OS | 4984 | I | 1-38 vs ≥ 39 | ||||
| Samson et al., 2015 | Lung | OS | 27,022 | I | 1-55 vs ≥ 56 | NR | NR | |
| Aragoneses et al., 2002 | Lung | OS | 1082 | I-II | 1-20 vs 21-40 | 0.9 | 0.7–1.1 | 0.56 |
| 1-20 vs 41-60 | 1.0 | 0.8–1.3 | 0.71 | |||||
| 1-20 vs 61-154 | 1.0 | 0.7–1.4 | 0.73 | |||||
| Colon | OS | 118,504 | I-III | Each 14-day delay | ||||
| Colon | OS | 4685 | I-III | 1-7 vs 8-14 | 1.02 | 0.92–1.14 | 0.7 | |
| 1-7 vs 15-21 | 1.03 | 0.90–1.17 | 0.68 | |||||
| 1-7 vs 22-28 | 1.05 | 0.89–1.23 | 0.59 | |||||
| 1-7 vs 29-35 | 1.12 | 0.92–1.36 | 0.25 | |||||
| 1-7 vs 36-42 | 1.14 | 0.89–1.46 | 0.31 | |||||
| 1-7 vs 43-49 | 1.11 | 0.79–1.56 | 0.54 | |||||
| 1-7 vs 50-63 | 1.17 | 0.86–1.60 | 0.32 | |||||
| 1-7 vs 63-84 | 1.07 | 0.73–1.57 | 0.73 | |||||
| 1-7 vs 85+ | ||||||||
| Colon | OS | 4326 | I-IV | 1-55 vs ≥ 56 | 1.07 | 0.91–1.24 | 0.42 | |
| CSS | 0.82 | 0.66–1.03 | 0.83 | |||||
| Colon | OS | 908 | I-III | 1-30 vs ≥ 31 | 0.823 | 0.627–1.081 | 0.17 | |
| DFS | 0.886 | 0.611–1.283 | 0.52 | |||||
| Amri et al., 2014 | Colon | OS | 741 | I-IV | Each quartile delay | 0.91 | NR | 0.24 |
| DFS | 0.95 | NR | 0.47 | |||||
| Colon | OS | 7989 | I-IV | 1-14 vs 15-28 | 1.0 | 0.9–1.1 | 0.74 | |
| 1-14 vs 29-42 | 1.0 | 0.9–1.1 | 0.76 | |||||
| 1-14 vs 43-120 | ||||||||
| CSS | 1-14 vs 15-28 | 0.9 | 0.8–1.0 | 0.21 | ||||
| 1-14 vs 29-42 | 0.9 | 0.7–1.0 | 0.08 | |||||
| 1-14 vs 43-120 | 1.0 | 0.8–1.1 | 0.63 | |||||
| Colon | OS | 458 | I-IV | 1-29 vs ≥ 30 | 0.84 | 0.62–1.13 | NR |
TTS, time-to-surgery; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; NR, not report; NS, non-significant; OS, overall survival; CSS, cancer-specific survival; DFS, disease-free survival.
Studies expressed in bold indicate inclusion in the meta-analysis.
HRs; 95% CIs; p-values expressed in bold indicate statistical significance.
Empty cells indicate the text above applies for the row.
Hazard ratios as reported in each individual study.
Analysis of SEER-Medicare dataset.
Analysis of NCDB dataset.
Excluded from meta-analysis because study contributed an overall weight of <0.0% to final pooled analysis.
Expressed in terms of relative risk.
Quartile ranges include days 1–13; 14–23; 24–37; 38-798.
Fig. 1Meta-analysis of the estimated hazard ratio for overall survival for a delay in surgery of 12 Weeks among patients with breast cancer.
Fig. 2Stage-specific meta-analyses of the estimated hazard ratios for overall survival for a delay in surgery of 12 Weeks among patients with breast cancer.
Fig. 3Meta-analysis of the estimated hazard ratio for overall survival for a delay in surgery of 12 Weeks among patients with lung cancer.
Fig. 4Meta-analysis of the estimated hazard ratio for overall survival for a delay in surgery of 12 Weeks among patients with colon cancer.
Legend (Fig. 1, Fig. 2, Fig. 3, Fig. 4) The size of the boxes represents the weight the study has in the overall analysis; the black lines coming off of each box represent the 95% confidence intervals of the study; confidence interval lines that cross the line of no effect indicate results are not significant; the center of the diamond(s) represents the overall HR and the edges represent the 95% confidence interval; Abbreviations: OS, overall survival; HR, hazard ration; CI, confidence interval.