| Literature DB >> 33286375 |
Abdulhakim A Al-Babtain1, Abdul Hadi N Ahmed2, Ahmed Z Afify3.
Abstract
In this paper, we propose and study a new probability mass function by creating a natural discrete analog to the continuous Lindley distribution as a mixture of geometric and negative binomial distributions. The new distribution has many interesting properties that make it superior to many other discrete distributions, particularly in analyzing over-dispersed count data. Several statistical properties of the introduced distribution have been established including moments and moment generating function, residual moments, characterization, entropy, estimation of the parameter by the maximum likelihood method. A bias reduction method is applied to the derived estimator; its existence and uniqueness are discussed. Applications of the goodness of fit of the proposed distribution have been examined and compared with other discrete distributions using three real data sets from biological sciences.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19 data; characterization; discrete Lindley analog; estimation; extreme values; mean residual life; negative binomial distribution; reliability
Year: 2020 PMID: 33286375 PMCID: PMC7517138 DOI: 10.3390/e22060603
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Entropy (Basel) ISSN: 1099-4300 Impact factor: 2.524
Figure 1Probability mass function (pmf) plots of the natural discrete Lindley (NDL) distribution: (left panel) and (right panel).
Figure 2pmf plots of the NDL distribution: (left panel) and (right panel).
Figure 3pmf plots of the NDL distribution: (left panel) and (right panel).
Figure 4Hazard rate function (hrf) plots of the NDL distribution: (left panel) and (right panel).
Figure 5hrf plots of the NDL distribution: (left panel) and (right panel).
Numerical values of mean, variance, and index of dispersion ().
|
| Mean | Variance |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01 | 197.0198 | 19,798.06 | 100.4877 |
| 0.05 | 37.0952 | 758.2766 | 20.4413 |
| 0.09 | 19.3873 | 223.1595 | 11.5105 |
| 0.10 | 17.1818 | 178.5124 | 10.3896 |
| 0.20 | 7.3333 | 38.8888 | 5.3030 |
| 0.30 | 4.1282 | 14.7271 | 3.5674 |
| 0.40 | 2.5714 | 6.8877 | 2.6785 |
| 0.50 | 1.6666 | 3.5555 | 2.1333 |
| 0.60 | 1.0833 | 1.9097 | 1.7628 |
| 0.70 | 0.6806 | 1.0168 | 1.4939 |
| 0.80 | 0.3888 | 0.5015 | 1.2896 |
| 0.90 | 0.1695 | 0.1915 | 1.1292 |
| 0.95 | 0.0796 | 0.0845 | 1.0613 |
| 0.99 | 0.0151 | 0.0153 | 1.0117 |
Entropy of versus .
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03 | 5.06555 | 0.35 | 2.29581 | 0.70 | 1.13240 |
| 0.05 | 4.54033 | 0.40 | 2.10362 | 0.75 | 0.97926 |
| 0.10 | 3.80629 | 0.45 | 1.92492 | 0.80 | 0.82278 |
| 0.15 | 3.35507 | 0.50 | 1.75615 | 0.85 | 0.65954 |
| 0.20 | 3.01817 | 0.55 | 1.59462 | 0.90 | 0.48397 |
| 0.25 | 2.74307 | 0.60 | 1.43811 | 0.95 | 0.28415 |
| 0.30 | 2.50644 | 0.65 | 1.28467 | 0.99 | 0.07885 |
Figure 6Entropy of , versus .
Simulation results for the NDL(θ).
|
| 20 | 30 | 50 | 100 | 150 | 300 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AVE |
| 0.06971 | 0.06945 | 0.06904 | 0.06901 | 0.06899 | 0.06886 |
| MSE | 0.00008 | 0.00004 | 0.00002 | 0.00001 | 0.00001 | 0.00001 | |
| ABI | 0.00029 | 0.00055 | 0.00096 | 0.00099 | 0.00101 | 0.00114 | |
| BI-C | 3.63772 | −1.27307 | −0.31543 | −0.13907 | −0.03452 | −0.01538 | |
| MRE | 0.10028 | 0.07619 | 0.05407 | 0.04439 | 0.03307 | 0.02872 | |
| AVE |
| 0.14664 | 0.14546 | 0.14506 | 0.14500 | 0.14477 | 0.14472 |
| MSE | 0.00031 | 0.00019 | 0.00011 | 0.00008 | 0.00006 | 0.00005 | |
| ABI | 0.00336 | 0.00454 | 0.00494 | 0.00500 | 0.00523 | 0.00528 | |
| BI-C | −0.40219 | −0.14380 | −0.03537 | −0.01562 | −0.00390 | −0.00173 | |
| MRE | 0.09436 | 0.07546 | 0.05587 | 0.04870 | 0.04126 | 0.03831 | |
| AVE |
| 0.23795 | 0.23627 | 0.23573 | 0.23565 | 0.23532 | 0.23525 |
| MSE | 0.00080 | 0.00058 | 0.00039 | 0.00033 | 0.00028 | 0.00026 | |
| ABI | 0.01205 | 0.01373 | 0.01427 | 0.01435 | 0.01468 | 0.01475 | |
| BI-C | −0.10355 | −0.03711 | −0.00916 | −0.00405 | −0.00101 | −0.00045 | |
| MRE | 0.09293 | 0.07949 | 0.06616 | 0.06207 | 0.05972 | 0.05922 | |
| AVE |
| 0.32440 | 0.32240 | 0.32179 | 0.32172 | 0.32132 | 0.32124 |
| MSE | 0.00168 | 0.00137 | 0.00109 | 0.00099 | 0.00092 | 0.00089 | |
| ABI | 0.02560 | 0.02760 | 0.02821 | 0.02828 | 0.02868 | 0.02876 | |
| BI-C | −0.04822 | −0.01730 | −0.00428 | −0.00190 | −0.00047 | −0.00021 | |
| MRE | 0.09734 | 0.08970 | 0.08309 | 0.08157 | 0.08200 | 0.08216 | |
| AVE |
| 0.44514 | 0.44415 | 0.44273 | 0.44242 | 0.44234 | 0.44240 |
| MSE | 0.00438 | 0.00396 | 0.00371 | 0.00360 | 0.00346 | 0.00341 | |
| ABI | 0.05486 | 0.05585 | 0.05727 | 0.05758 | 0.05766 | 0.05760 | |
| BI-C | −0.02734 | −0.00978 | −0.00244 | −0.00108 | −0.00027 | −0.00012 | |
| MRE | 0.11523 | 0.11327 | 0.11468 | 0.11519 | 0.11532 | 0.11520 | |
| AVE |
| 0.56005 | 0.55840 | 0.55781 | 0.55710 | 0.55663 | 0.55676 |
| MSE | 0.00963 | 0.00935 | 0.00895 | 0.00894 | 0.00887 | 0.00879 | |
| ABI | 0.08995 | 0.09160 | 0.09219 | 0.09290 | 0.09337 | 0.09324 | |
| BI-C | −0.02390 | −0.00854 | −0.00212 | −0.00094 | −0.00023 | −0.00010 | |
| MRE | 0.13896 | 0.14096 | 0.14182 | 0.14292 | 0.14365 | 0.14345 | |
| AVE |
| 0.69453 | 0.69328 | 0.69296 | 0.69238 | 0.69203 | 0.69217 |
| MSE | 0.01961 | 0.01948 | 0.01925 | 0.01919 | 0.01916 | 0.01908 | |
| ABI | 0.13547 | 0.13672 | 0.13704 | 0.13762 | 0.13797 | 0.13783 | |
| BI-C | −0.03173 | −0.01124 | −0.00278 | −0.00123 | −0.00031 | −0.00014 | |
| MRE | 0.16322 | 0.16472 | 0.16511 | 0.16580 | 0.16623 | 0.16606 | |
| AVE |
| 0.80194 | 0.80115 | 0.80106 | 0.80066 | 0.80044 | 0.80056 |
| MSE | 0.02268 | 0.02263 | 0.02241 | 0.02246 | 0.02244 | 0.02238 | |
| ABI | 0.14806 | 0.14885 | 0.14894 | 0.14934 | 0.14956 | 0.14944 | |
| BI-C | −0.06013 | −0.02111 | −0.00519 | −0.00229 | −0.00057 | −0.00025 | |
| MRE | 0.15585 | 0.15668 | 0.15678 | 0.15720 | 0.15743 | 0.15730 |
Figure 7Comparison of the bias and bias corrected for (left panel) and (right panel).
Some descriptive statistics for remission times, numbers of fires, and COVID-19 data.
| Data | Min | 1st Qu. | Median | Mean | 3rd Qu | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data Set I | 1.00 | 7.00 | 16.50 | 19.55 | 28.25 | 49.00 |
| Data Set II | 0.00 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 5.40 | 8.00 | 43.00 |
| Data Set II | 1.00 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 8.34 | 12.50 | 22.00 |
Fitted estimates for remission times, numbers of fires, and COVID-19 data.
| Data | Model | Estimates | KS | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data Set I | NDL( | 0.089342(0.013524) | 0.11756 | 0.94505 | |
| DL( | 0.095408(0.015115) | 0.12546 | 0.91128 | ||
| Gc( | 0.048662(0.010609) | 0.14475 | 0.79613 | ||
| DB( | 18.627559(38.92987) | 0.979964(0.041469) | 0.34111 | 0.01904 | |
| DP( | 0.695781(0.056437) | 0.35630 | 0.01247 | ||
| DBH( | 0.998365(0.009288) | 0.751305 | 0.00000 | ||
| Data Set II | NDL( | 0.250054(0.014091) | 0.13702 | 0.01974 | |
| DL( | 0.300157(0.019435) | 0.15155 | 0.00703 | ||
| Gc( | 0.156290(0.012944) | 0.16364 | 0.00276 | ||
| DB( | 2.502556(0.486995) | 0.761172(0.042739) | 0.19247 | 0.00022 | |
| DP( | 0.546251(0.029829) | 0.249597 | 0.00000 | ||
| DBH( | 0.983652(0.012697) | 0.54740 | 0.00000 | ||
| Data Set III | NDL( | 0.181266(0.017119) | 0.09331 | 0.80782 | |
| DL( | 0.206932(0.021521) | 0.10142 | 0.71910 | ||
| DB( | 32.10536(34.10685) | 0.983601(0.017297) | 0.29787 | 0.00048 | |
| DP( | 0.617625(0.043428) | 0.30551 | 0.00031 | ||
| Gc( | 0.107062(0.014756) | 0.21650 | 0.02441 | ||
| DBH( | 0.991326(0.014370) | 0.67242 | 0.00000 | ||
Figure 8Probability–probability (PP) plots for data set I.
Figure 9PP plots for data set II.
Figure 10PP plots for data set III.