| Literature DB >> 33267310 |
Antonio Calcagnì1, Livio Finos1, Gianmarco Altoé1, Massimiliano Pastore1.
Abstract
In this article, we provide initial findings regarding the problem of solving likelihood equations by means of a maximum enpan>tropy (Entities:
Keywords: binary regression; data separation; maximum entropy; maximum likelihood; score function
Year: 2019 PMID: 33267310 PMCID: PMC7515101 DOI: 10.3390/e21060596
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Entropy (Basel) ISSN: 1099-4300 Impact factor: 2.524
List of symbols and abbreviations used throughout the manuscript.
| ME | maximum entropy |
| NR | Newton–Raphson algorithm |
| NFR | bias corrected Newton–Raphson algorithm |
| y | sample of observations |
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| sample space |
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| |
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| estimated vector of parameters |
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| reparameterized vector of parameters under ME |
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| density function |
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| likelihood function |
| score function | |
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| |
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| |
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| vector of estimated probabilities for |
Finney’s data on vasoconstriction in the skin of the digits. The response Y indicates the occurrence () or non-occurrence () of the vasoconstriction.
| Volume | Rate | Y |
|---|---|---|
| 3.70 | 0.825 | 1 |
| 3.50 | 1.090 | 1 |
| 1.25 | 2.500 | 1 |
| 0.75 | 1.500 | 1 |
| 0.80 | 3.200 | 1 |
| 0.70 | 3.500 | 1 |
| 0.60 | 0.750 | 0 |
| 1.10 | 1.700 | 0 |
| 0.90 | 0.750 | 0 |
| 0.90 | 0.450 | 0 |
| 0.80 | 0.570 | 0 |
| 0.55 | 2.750 | 0 |
| 0.60 | 3.000 | 0 |
| 1.40 | 2.330 | 1 |
| 0.75 | 3.750 | 1 |
| 2.30 | 1.640 | 1 |
| 3.20 | 1.600 | 1 |
| 0.85 | 1.415 | 1 |
| 1.70 | 1.060 | 0 |
Estimates for the iris logistic regression: ME (maximum entropy), NRF (biased-corrected Newton–Raphson), NR (Newton–Raphson). Note that the NRF algorithm implements the Firth’s bias correction [7].
| ME | NRF | NR | |
|---|---|---|---|
|
| 17.892 | 12.539 | 445.917 |
|
| −10.091 | −6.151 | −166.637 |
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| 12.229 | 6.890 | 140.570 |
Simulation study: proportions of separation occurred in the data and non-convergence (nc) rates for NR, NRF, ME algorithms.
| n | p | Separation |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 1 | 0.333 | 0.085 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| 50 | 1 | 0.002 | 0.002 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| 200 | 1 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| 15 | 5 | 0.976 | 0.237 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| 50 | 5 | 0.771 | 0.771 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| 200 | 5 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| 15 | 10 | 1.000 | 0.002 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| 50 | 10 | 0.949 | 0.950 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| 200 | 10 | 0.013 | 0.013 | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Simulation study: averaged bias, squared averaged bias, and MSE for NR, NRF, ME algorithms.
| NR | NRF | ME | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 15 | 1 | −5.54 | 236.70 | 30.67 | 267.36 | 0.22 | 0.35 | 0.05 | 0.40 | −1.17 | 6.28 | 1.37 | 7.64 |
| 50 | 1 | −0.13 | 3.42 | 0.02 | 3.44 | −0.00 | 1.41 | 0.00 | 1.41 | −0.12 | 1.99 | 0.01 | 2.00 |
| 200 | 1 | 0.03 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.03 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| 15 | 5 | 10.68 | 1553.37 | 113.98 | 1667.33 | −1.22 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 4.49 | 0.20 | 5.32 | 0.04 | 5.36 |
| 50 | 5 | 7.46 | 1918.18 | 55.65 | 1973.78 | −0.44 | 2.20 | 0.20 | 2.39 | −0.11 | 1.45 | 0.01 | 1.46 |
| 200 | 5 | 0.24 | 1.58 | 0.06 | 1.64 | 0.01 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.12 | 0.42 | 0.02 | 0.44 |
| 15 | 10 | −0.97 | 177.40 | 0.95 | 178.35 | −0.13 | 4.82 | 0.02 | 4.84 | −0.38 | 8.10 | 0.14 | 8.24 |
| 50 | 10 | 2.80 | 1490.39 | 7.83 | 1498.20 | −0.07 | 1.23 | 0.00 | 1.23 | −0.02 | 1.53 | 0.00 | 1.53 |
| 200 | 10 | 0.66 | 15.29 | 0.43 | 15.72 | 0.02 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 0.86 | 0.10 | 0.48 | 0.01 | 0.50 |
Figure 1Simulation study: averaged bias, squared averaged bias, and mean squared error (MSE) for Newton–Raphson (NR), bias-corrected Newton–Raphson (NRF), maximum entropy (ME) algorithms. Note that the number of predictors p is represented column-wise (outside) whereas the sample sizes n is reported in the x-axis (inside). The measures are plotted on logarithmic scale.
Figure 2Simulation study: relative bias for NRF and ME algorithms in the conditions (A) and (B). Note that plots are paired vertically by predictor. Rate of over-estimation (under-estimation): (A) ME = 0.54 (0.46), NRF = 0.49 (0.51); (B) ME = 0.53 (0.47), NRF = 0.47 (0.53).