| Literature DB >> 33200572 |
Zvi Segal1, Kira Radinsky1, Guy Elad1, Gal Marom1, Moran Beladev1, Maor Lewis1, Bar Ehrenberg1, Plia Gillis1, Liat Korn2, Gideon Koren3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Opioid use disorder (OUD) affects an estimated 16 million people worldwide. The diagnosis of OUD is commonly delayed or missed altogether. We aimed to test the utility of machine learning in creating a prediction model and algorithm for early diagnosis of OUD. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: We analyzed data gathered in a commercial claim database from January 1, 2006, to December 31, 2018 of 10 million medical insurance claims from 550 000 patient records. We compiled 436 predictor candidates, divided to six feature groups - demographics, chronic conditions, diagnosis and procedures features, medication features, medical costs, and episode counts. We employed the Word2Vec algorithm and the Gradient Boosting trees algorithm for the analysis.Entities:
Keywords: Opioid use disorder; algorithm; big data analytics; diagnosis; machine learning
Year: 2020 PMID: 33200572 PMCID: PMC7670130 DOI: 10.1002/prp2.669
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Pharmacol Res Perspect ISSN: 2052-1707
A sample of mean differences and significance of clinical features between cases and control independent groups
| Feature groups | Feature |
Cases Group‐ OUD positive (n = 3239) |
Control group‐ OUD negative (n = 126,881) |
Significant
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Medication features | Number of annual opioid prescriptions | 3.66 [±5.75] | 0.64 [±1.81] | <.0001 |
| Days of opioid treatment (per year) | 87.63 [±144.58] | 11.96 [±47.52] | <.0001 | |
|
Overlapping opioid prescriptions (per year) | 10.70 [±23.19] | 1.76 [±10.13] | <.0001 | |
| Longest consecutive opioid prescription period (average) | 126.27 [±319.15] | 28.84 [±156.13] | <.0001 | |
|
Nonopioid analgesics prescriptions (per year) | 2.59 [±4.06] | 0.72 [±1.59] | <.0001 | |
|
Benzodiazepine prescriptions (per year) | 1.78 [±3.43] | 0.48 [±1.56] | <.0001 | |
| Diagnosis and Procedures |
Intervertebral disc disorder events (per year) | 0.94 [±2.58] | 0.22 [±0.96] | <.0001 |
| Pain disorders diagnosis (per year) | 0.41 [±1.58] | 0.04 [±0.39] | <.0001 | |
| Post laminectomy syndrome | 0.28 [±1.35] | 0.02 [±0.30] | <.0001 | |
| Episodes and Costs | ER visits (per year) | 0.82 [±1.74] | 0.31 [±0.60] | <.0001 |
| Outpatient visits (per year) | 14.80 [±14.04] | 10.19 [±9.53] | <.0001 | |
| Total costs (in dollars per year) | 31 242.8 [±78 000.7] | 16 266 [±30 471.7] | <.0001 | |
| Inpatient ER costs (in dollars per year) | 14 981.8 [±67 426.4] | 6873.4 [±19 780.5] | <.0001 |
Figure 1Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for the diagnosis of OUD. Area under the curve (AUC) for is 0.959
Figure 2Precision‐Recall curve for the diagnosis of OUD. Chen, T., Guestrin, C. 2016XGBoost: a scalable tree boosting system. KDD conference 2016
|
1. Continued use despite worsening physical or psychological health |
|
2. Continued use leading to social and interpersonal consequences |
|
3. Decreased social or recreational activities |
|
4. Difficulty fulfilling professional duties at school or work |
|
5. Excessive time to obtain opioids, or recover from taking them |
|
6.A tendency to take more than intended |
|
7. The individual has cravings |
|
8. The individual is unable to decrease the amount used |
|
9. Tolerance |
|
10. Continued use despite it being physically dangerous |
|
11. Withdrawal |
| Opioid Use Disorder | |
|---|---|
| ICD‐10 Codes | ICD‐9 Codes |
| F11.1, F11.10, F11.12, F11.120, F11.121, F11.122, F11.129, F11.14, F11.15, F11.18, F11.19, F11.2, F11.20, F11.21, F11.22, F11.23, F11.24, F11.25, F11.28, F11.29, T40.3X1A, T40.3X2A, T40.3X3A, T40.3X4A | 305.5, 305.50, 305.51, 305.52, 305.53, 304.0, 304.7, 304.70, 304.71,304.72, 304.73, E850.1, E935.1, 965.02 |
| RXCUI Drug Codes | |
| 6813, 218 337 | Methadone |
| RXCUI Drug Codes ‐ Inclusion Criteria for Opioid Use Disorder | |
|---|---|
| RXCUI Codes | RxNorm Class |
| 352 362, 1819, 1841, 3290, 22 713, 4337, 3423, 484 259, 6754, 6761, 7052, 7238, 1 545 902, 1 806 700, 7676, 7804, 7894, 8001, 8119, 8354, 8785, 787 390, 10 597, 10 689 | Opioids |
| International Classification of Diseases Codes ‐ Exclusion Criteria | ||
|---|---|---|
| ICD‐10 Codes | ICD‐9 Codes | Description |
| C00‐C26, C30‐C41, C43‐C58, C60‐C96, C7A, C7B | 140‐165, 170‐176, 179‐209 excluding benign neoplasms under 209.x (209.4, 209.5, and 209.6) | Cancer Diagnosis Codes |
| Z51.5 | V662, V667 | Encounter for palliative care |
| International Classification of Diseases Codes ‐ Comorbidities | ||
|---|---|---|
| ICD‐10 Codes | ICD‐9 Codes | Description |
| F14.1, F14.2, F14.9, F16.1, F16.2, F16.9 | 291.0, 303, 304.2, 304.4, 304.5, 304.8, 304.9, 305.7, 305.3 | psychoactive substances use or dependence |
| F55 | Abuse of nonpsychoactive substances | |
| F10.1, F10.2, F10.9 | 303, 305.0 | Alcohol use or dependence |
| F17.2 | 305.1 | Tobacco/ Nicotine use or dependence |
| F12.1, F12.2, F12.9 | 304.3, 305.2 | Cannabis use or dependence |
| F20‐F29 | 295, 297 | nonmood psychotic disorders |
| F30‐F39 | 296 | Mood (affective) disorders |
| F40‐F48 | 300, 309 | Nonpsychotic mental disorders |
| F50, F51, F53 | 307.4, 307.5 | Behavioral syndromes |
| F60 | 301 | Personality disorders |
| F63 | 312 | Impulse disorders |
| F10.24 | 291 | Alcohol induced mental disorders |
| 292 | Drug induced psychotic disorders | |
| G43 | 346 | Migraine |
| M54.4, M54.5, M54.8, M54,9 | 724 | Back pain |
| M797 | 729.1 | Fibromyalgia |
| G44, R51 | 339 | Headache |
| K590.0 | E9352, 564.00, 564.09 | Opioid adverse effects |
| T400, T401, T402, T404, T406 | 965.00, 965.01, 965.09 | Poisoning by opioids and narcotics |
| T39, T42, T43, T505, T506, T508, T509, T519 | 965, 966, 967, 968, 969, 970, 971, 972, 973, 975, 977, 980 | Other drug/ substance‐related overdose |
| M43, M45, M46, M47, M48, M50, M51, M53, M54, M6788, M961 | 721‐724 | Diseases of the musculoskeletal system and connective tissue |
| B02.22, B02.23, F45.41, F45.42, G45.41, G45.42, G50.0, G54.6, G56.40, G57.70, G58.9, G89.0, G89.4, G90.519, G90.529, G90.59 | 053.12, 053.13, 307.80, 307.89, 337.20, 337.21, 337.22, 337.29, 338.0, 338.4, 350.1, 353.6, 354.4, 355.71, 355.9 | Pain disorders |
| G89.12, G89.18, G89.21, G89.22, G89.28 | 338.12, 338.18, 338.21, 338.22, 338.28 | Postoperative pain |
| G89.11 | 338.11 | Pain due to trauma |
| M26.6 | 524.60, 524.61, 524.62, 524.63, 524.69 | Temporomandibular Joint Disorders |
| M15, M16, M17, M19 | 715.00, 715.04, 715.09, 715.11‐715.15, 715.17, 715.25, 715.16, 715.26, 715.80. 715.89, 715.90 | Osteoarthritis |
| B20, Z21 | 42, V08 | HIV |
| K8020, K8021, K8070, K8071, N200, N201, N202, N209 | 574.20, 574.21, 574.90, 574.91, 592.0,592.1, 592.9 | Kidney or gallbladder stones |
| 617, 625.2, 625.4, 625.5, 625.8, 629.89, 629.9 | Menstrual or genital pain | |
| M40, M41 | 737.30, 737.32, 737.34, 737.39, 737.43 | Scoliosis |
| M45 | 720.0 | Ankylosing spondylitis |
| M46 | 720.1 | Spinal enthesopathy |
| M47 | 721.0 | Spondylosis |
| M10.0 | 274 | Gout |
| M11.0 | 712.8 | Hydroxyapatite Deposition Disease |
| G60, G61, M79.2 | 340, 341, 356, 357, 729.2 | Neuropathies |
| Generic Drug Code Number associated with Opioid Use Disorder | |
|---|---|
| RXCUI Codes | RxNorm Class |
| 25 480, 187 832, 1 101 333 | Gabapentinoids |
| 2101, 2410, 21 949, 6845, 7715 | Muscle Relaxants |
| 94, 17 698, 704, 722, 47 111 ,42 347, 19 895, 2556, 2597, 3247 ,734 064, 3332, 3634, 3638, 72 625, 321 988, 2 119 365 ,4493, 42 355, 5691, 5979 6011 ,6465 ,6646, 29 434, 446 248, 6929, 588 250, 30 031, 15 996, 30 121, 31 565, 7394, 7500 7531, 7674, 32 937, 8123, 8886, 35 242, 60 842, 36 437, 258 326, 38 252, 38 382, 10 734, 10 737, 10 834, 10 898, 39 786, 1 086 769, 11 196, 1 455 099 | Antidepressants |
| Current Procedural Terminology ( | |
|---|---|
| CPT Codes | Procedure |
| 20 610, 20 605, 20 600, 27 096, 20 552, 23 350, 27 093, 64 450, 64 640 | Joints and Bursa – Injection or Aspiration |
| 20 550, 20 551, 20 552, 20 553 | Tendons, Ligaments, and Muscle Injections |
| 64 405, 64 450, 64 418, 64 420, 64 421, 64 425, 64 400, 64 505, 64 510, 64 517, 64 520, 64 530, 64 455 | Nerve blocks |
| 62 321, 62 323, 64 479, 64 480, 64 483, 64 484 | Epidural Steroid Injections (ESI) |
| 64 490, 64 491, 64 492, 64 493, 64 494, 64 495 | Facet Joint Procedures |
| 64 633, 64 634, 64 635, 20 552, 27 096, 64 450, 64 635, 64 640 | Radiofrequency Ablation (RFA) |
| 22 510, 22 511, 22 512, 22 513, 22 514, 22 515 | Vertebroplasty/ Kyphoplasty |
| 63 650, 63 655, 62 291, 62 290 | Neurostimulation |
| 95 874, 64 616, 64 614, 64 615, 20 526 | Botulinum Toxin Injections |
| 97 813, 97 810, 98 925, 98 926, 98 927, 98 928, 98 929, 97 110, 97 530 | Noninvasive chronic pain treatment |
| 27 447, 47 600, 47 605, 47 610, 27 130, 19 301, 19 302, 19 303, 19 180, 47 562, 47 563, 47 564, 44 950, 44 960, 59 510, 59 514, 59 515 | Surgeries associated with chronic opioid use |
| 80 305, 80 306, 80 307 | Presumptive drug testing |
| G0283 | Transcutaneous Electrical Nerve Stimulation |
| 97 112 | Neuromuscular reeducation |