| Literature DB >> 33195473 |
Francesca Polverino1,2, Debra A Stern1, Gaetano Ruocco3, Elisabetta Balestro4, Matteo Bassetti5, Marcello Candelli6, Bruno Cirillo7, Marco Contoli8, Angelo Corsico9, Filippo D'Amico10, Emilia D'Elia11, Giuseppe Falco12, Stefano Gasparini13, Stefano Guerra1, Sergio Harari14,15, Monica Kraft1, Luigi Mennella16, Alberto Papi8, Roberto Parrella17, Paolo Pelosi5, Venerino Poletti18, Mario Polverino19, Claudio Tana20, Roberta Terribile21, Jason C Woods22, Fabiano Di Marco23, Fernando D Martinez1.
Abstract
Background: Italy has one of the world's oldest populations, and suffered one the highest death tolls from Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) worldwide. Older people with cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), and in particular hypertension, are at higher risk of hospitalization and death for COVID-19. Whether hypertension medications may increase the risk for death in older COVID 19 inpatients at the highest risk for the disease is currently unknown.Entities:
Keywords: ACE inhibitors; COVID-19; cohort study; comorbidities; mortality
Year: 2020 PMID: 33195473 PMCID: PMC7583635 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2020.585866
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Cardiovasc Med ISSN: 2297-055X
Figure 1Italian Cartographic representation of the study subjects: Cartographic representation of the patients in this study cohort, with the area of each red circle proportional to the combined number of patients from each compact metropolitan area.
Figure 2Flow chart of patient sample sizes.
Figure 3Risk factors for mortality—all risk factors were included in the model, clustered by site (n = 2,868). ARB, Angiotensin receptor blocker; ACEi, Angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor; BB, Beta-blocker; Di, Diuretic; CA, Ca-antagonist.
Characteristics of all patients, recovered patients and deceased patients.
| Sex | Female | 1,008 | 31.7 | 764 | 33.5 | 244 | 27.2 |
| Male | 2,171 | 68.3 | 1,518 | 66.5 | 653 | 72.8 | |
| Age | <20 | 10 | 0.3 | 10 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 <30 | 35 | 1.1 | 34 | 1.5 | 1 | 0.1 | |
| 30 <40 | 102 | 3.2 | 101 | 4.4 | 1 | 0.1 | |
| 40 <50 | 260 | 8.2 | 250 | 11.0 | 10 | 1.1 | |
| 50 <60 | 547 | 17.2 | 497 | 21.8 | 50 | 5.6 | |
| 60 <70 | 707 | 22.2 | 572 | 25.1 | 135 | 15.1 | |
| 70 <80 | 828 | 26.1 | 525 | 23.0 | 303 | 33.8 | |
| 80+ | 690 | 21.7 | 293 | 12.8 | 397 | 44.3 | |
| Age | <65 | 1,320 | 41.5 | 1,205 | 52.8 | 115 | 12.8 |
| ≥65 | 1,859 | 58.5 | 1,077 | 47.2 | 782 | 87.2 | |
| Each comorbidity | Atrial fibrillation | 256 | 8.1 | 142 | 6.2 | 114 | 12.7 |
| Blood cancer | 28 | 0.9 | 19 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.0 | |
| Coronary artery disease | 359 | 11.3 | 186 | 8.2 | 173 | 19.3 | |
| Cardiomyopathy | 105 | 3.3 | 54 | 2.4 | 51 | 5.7 | |
| Chronic heart failure | 119 | 3.7 | 59 | 2.6 | 60 | 6.7 | |
| COPD | 188 | 5.9 | 98 | 4.3 | 90 | 10.0 | |
| Chronic renal failure | 157 | 4.9 | 72 | 3.2 | 85 | 9.5 | |
| Diabetes | 518 | 16.3 | 319 | 14.0 | 199 | 22.2 | |
| Hypertension | 1,500 | 47.2 | 960 | 42.1 | 540 | 60.2 | |
| Obesity | 218 | 6.9 | 163 | 7.1 | 55 | 6.1 | |
| Organ cancer | 135 | 4.3 | 82 | 3.6 | 53 | 5.9 | |
| Stroke | 107 | 3.4 | 52 | 2.3 | 55 | 6.1 | |
| Comorbidities | 0 | 1,096 | 34.5 | 939 | 41.2 | 157 | 17.5 |
| Count | 1 | 1,043 | 32.8 | 756 | 33.1 | 287 | 32.0 |
| 2 | 644 | 20.3 | 388 | 17.0 | 256 | 28.5 | |
| 3 | 274 | 8.6 | 144 | 6.3 | 130 | 14.5 | |
| ≥4 | 122 | 3.8 | 55 | 2.4 | 67 | 7.5 | |
| Smoking | Never | 1,963 | 68.6 | 1,437 | 68.9 | 526 | 67.7 |
| Ex | 692 | 24.2 | 496 | 23.8 | 196 | 25.2 | |
| Current | 208 | 7.3 | 153 | 7.3 | 55 | 7.1 | |
| Race | Caucasian | 2,983 | 97.5 | 2,133 | 96.6 | 850 | 99.8 |
| Not caucasian | 77 | 2.5 | 75 | 3.4 | 2 | 0.2 | |
| Regional areas | Lombardia | 1,397 | 43.9 | 901 | 39.5 | 496 | 55.3 |
| Northeastern | 634 | 19.9 | 481 | 21.1 | 153 | 17.1 | |
| Northwestern | 380 | 12.0 | 272 | 11.9 | 108 | 12.0 | |
| Central | 400 | 12.6 | 340 | 14.9 | 60 | 6.7 | |
| Southern | 368 | 11.6 | 288 | 12.6 | 80 | 8.9 | |
Percentage with each comorbidity was calculated as the number with the comorbidity divided by the total for that column.
Number of comorbidities were summed for each patient and included: atrial fibrillation, blood cancer, organ cancer, coronary artery disease, cardiomyopathy, chronic heart failure, COPD, chronic renal failure, diabetes, hypertension, obesity and stroke.
316 patients were missing smoking information.
119 patients were missing race information.
Proportion of patient groups who died vs. recovered at the time of data collection.
| Sex | Female | 1,008 | 764 | 244 | 24.2 | ref | ref | ||||
| Male | 2,171 | 1,518 | 653 | 30.1 | 1.42 | 1.2, 1.7 | 0.001 | 1.56 | 1.3, 1.9 | <0.001 | |
| Age | <65 | 1,320 | 1,205 | 115 | 8.7 | ref | ref | ||||
| ≥65 | 1,859 | 1,077 | 782 | 42.1 | 8.25 | 6.4, 10.6 | <0.001 | 6.35 | 4.9, 8.2 | <0.001 | |
| Comorbidities | 0 | 1,096 | 939 | 157 | 14.3 | ref | ref | ||||
| 1 | 1,043 | 756 | 287 | 27.5 | 2.59 | 2.0, 3.3 | <0.001 | 1.71 | 1.3, 2.2 | <0.001 | |
| 2 | 644 | 388 | 256 | 39.8 | 4.54 | 3.5, 6.0 | <0.001 | 2.52 | 1.9, 3.4 | <0.001 | |
| 3 | 274 | 144 | 130 | 47.5 | 6.69 | 4.7, 9.4 | <0.001 | 3.29 | 2.3, 4.7 | <0.001 | |
| ≥4 | 122 | 55 | 67 | 54.9 | 9.26 | 5.7, 14.9 | <0.001 | 4.49 | 2.7, 7.4 | <0.001 | |
Univariate and multivariable estimates for the relation of sex, age, and number of comorbidities to patient mortality, with clustering for site.
Odds ratio for death estimated with clustering for site (56 sites).
Number of comorbidities were summed for each patient and included: atrial fibrillation, blood cancer, organ cancer, coronary artery disease, cardiomyopathy, chronic heart failure, COPD, chronic renal failure, diabetes, hypertension, obesity and stroke.
Multivariable model included sex, age divided into those <65 and those ≥65 years old, and the number of comorbidities as a categorical covariate with clustering for site as a random effect.
Multivariable model for the risk of death associated with each comorbidity after adjustment for sex and age, clustering for site as a random effect.
| Atrial fibrillation | 0.97 | 0.69, 1.36 | 0.874 |
| Blood Cancer | 0.93 | 0.29, 2.97 | 0.901 |
| Coronary artery disease | 1.11 | 0.83, 1.49 | 0.471 |
| Cardiomyopathy | |||
| Chronic heart failure | 0.74 | 0.44, 1.23 | 0.240 |
| COPD | |||
| Chronic renal failure | |||
| Diabetes | 1.21 | 0.93, 1.58 | 0.149 |
| Hypertension | |||
| Obesity | |||
| Organ cancer | |||
| Stroke | |||
| Male | |||
| Age, years | |||
P <0.05 are indicated in bold.
List of risk factors included in the model, clustered for site as a random effect.
| Comorbidities | 0 | 982 | 845 | 137 | 14.0 | ref | ||
| 1 | 927 | 690 | 237 | 25.6 | 1.64 | 1.19, 2.24 | 0.020 | |
| 2 | 595 | 365 | 230 | 38.7 | 2.64 | 1.85, 3.78 | <0.001 | |
| 3 | 250 | 129 | 121 | 48.4 | 3.56 | 2.29, 5.55 | <0.001 | |
| ≥4 | 114 | 50 | 64 | 56.1 | 4.88 | 2.73, 8.72 | <0.001 | |
| ARB | No | 2,446 | 1,767 | 679 | 27.8 | ref | ||
| Yes | 422 | 312 | 110 | 26.1 | 0.65 | 0.47, 0.89 | 0.025 | |
| ACE inhibitor | No | 2,339 | 1,742 | 597 | 25.5 | ref | ||
| Yes | 529 | 337 | 192 | 36.3 | 0.97 | 0.73, 1.29 | 0.929 | |
| Beta-blocker | No | 2,247 | 1,702 | 545 | 24.3 | ref | ||
| Yes | 621 | 377 | 244 | 39.3 | 0.85 | 0.65, 1.12 | 0.244 | |
| Diuretic | No | 2,456 | 1,870 | 586 | 23.9 | ref | ||
| Yes | 412 | 209 | 203 | 49.3 | 1.66 | 1.23, 2.25 | 0.020 | |
| Ca-antagonist | No | 2,488 | 1,842 | 646 | 26.0 | ref | ||
| Yes | 380 | 237 | 143 | 37.6 | 1.13 | 0.84, 1.53 | 0.773 | |
| Sex | Female | 904 | 684 | 220 | 24.3 | ref | ||
| Male | 1,964 | 1,395 | 569 | 29.0 | 1.65 | 1.29, 2.09 | <0.001 | |
| Age | <65years | 1,207 | 1,100 | 107 | 8.9 | ref | ||
| ≥65 years | 1,661 | 979 | 682 | 41.1 | 5.92 | 4.47, 7.83 | <0.001 | |
| Smoking | No | 1,771 | 1,293 | 478 | 27.0 | ref | ||
| Ex | 642 | 470 | 172 | 26.8 | 0.89 | 0.68, 1.17 | 0.412 | |
| Current | 187 | 135 | 52 | 27.8 | 1.04 | 0.66, 1.62 | 0.879 | |
| Unknown | 268 | 181 | 87 | 32.5 | 1.65 | 1.08, 2.52 | 0.020 | |
The risk factors for mortality are also listed in .
aMultivariable model included sex, age, number of comorbidities as a categorical covariate, smoking and each hypertension medication, with clustering for site as a random effect (55 sites); a dummy category for patients with missing smoking history was included in the model.
Number of comorbidities were summed for each patient and included: atrial fibrillation, blood cancer, organ cancer, coronary artery disease, cardiomyopathy, chronic heart failure, COPD, chronic renal failure, diabetes, hypertension, obesity and stroke.
Patients who were missing information about smoking were included as a separate smoking category in the model.