| Literature DB >> 33194752 |
Xi Yang1, Jusheng An1, Yuanyuan Zhang1, Yong Yang2, Siye Chen2, Manni Huang1, Lingying Wu1.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: To develop nomograms to assess prognostic factors for 5-year overall survival (OS) and 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) in locally advanced cervical squamous cell carcinoma (LACSC).Entities:
Keywords: FIGO 2018 stage; cervical squamous cell carcinoma; locally advanced stage; nomogram; prognostic model
Year: 2020 PMID: 33194752 PMCID: PMC7606940 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2020.591700
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
Clinical characteristics of patients and distribution of FIGO staging system.
| Characteristic | No. Patients | % |
|---|---|---|
| Age (year) | ||
| 31–40 | 32 | 5.2 |
| 41–50 | 172 | 28.1 |
| 51–60 | 243 | 39.6 |
| 61–70 | 134 | 21.9 |
| ≥71 | 32 | 5.2 |
| BMI (kg/m2) | ||
| <18.5 | 23 | 3.8 |
| 18.5~23.9 | 285 | 46.5 |
| 24~29.9 | 274 | 44.7 |
| ≥30 | 31 | 5.1 |
| SCC-Ag (ng/ml) | ||
| ≤1.5 | 108 | 17.6 |
| 1.6~5.0 | 179 | 29.2 |
| 5.1~10.0 | 113 | 18.4 |
| 10.1~20 | 93 | 15.2 |
| >20 | 120 | 19.6 |
| HGB (g/L) | ||
| <60 | 15 | 2.4 |
| 60-89 | 135 | 22.0 |
| 90–109 | 267 | 43.6 |
| ≥110 | 196 | 32.0 |
| Tumor size (cm) | ||
| ≤4 | 235 | 38.3 |
| 4.1~5.9 | 276 | 45.1 |
| ≥6 | 102 | 16.6 |
| PLNM | ||
| No | 293 | 47.8 |
| Yes | 320 | 52.2 |
| PALNM | ||
| No | 578 | 94.3 |
| Yes | 35 | 5.7 |
| Pelvic wall involvement | ||
| No | 373 | 60.8 |
| Yes | 240 | 39.2 |
| FIGO 2009 stage | ||
| IB | 26 | 4.3 |
| IIA | 17 | 2.7 |
| IIB | 324 | 52.9 |
| IIIA | 6 | 1.0 |
| IIIB | 232 | 37.8 |
| IVA | 8 | 1.3 |
| FIGO 2018 stage | ||
| IB | 16 | 2.6 |
| IIA | 5 | 0.8 |
| IIB | 193 | 31.5 |
| IIIA | 3 | 0.5 |
| IIIB | 71 | 11.6 |
| IIIC1r | 282 | 46.0 |
| IIIC2r | 35 | 5.7 |
| IVA | 8 | 1.3 |
| Radiotherapy | ||
| 2D | 317 | 51.7 |
| IMRT | 296 | 48.3 |
| Neoadjuvant chemotherapy | ||
| No | 503 | 82.1 |
| Yes | 110 | 17.9 |
| Concurrent chemotherapy | ||
| No | 66 | 10.8 |
| Yes | 547 | 89.2 |
| Platinum | 324 | 52.8 |
| Paclitaxel + platinum | 200 | 32.6 |
| Platinum + 5FU | 23 | 3.8 |
| Adjuvant chemotherapy | ||
| No | 520 | 84.8 |
| Yes | 93 | 15.2 |
BMI, body mass index; SCC-Ag, squamous cell carcinoma antigen; HGB, hemoglobin; PLNM, pelvic lymph node metastasis; PALNM, para-aortic lymph node metastasis; FIGO, International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics; 2D, two dimensions radiotherapy; IMRT, intensity modulated radiotherapy; 5FU, 5-fluorouracil.
Figure 1Kaplan-Meier overall survival (OS) curve and progression-free survival (PFS) curve for all 613 patients included in the analyses.
Overall survival and progression-free survival according to FIGO staging system.
| FIGO2009 | FIGO2018 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | 5y-OS (%) | 5y-PFS (%) | n | 5y-OS (%) | 5y-PFS (%) | |
| IB | 26 | 88.3 | 84.6 | 16 | 80.8 | 75.0 |
| IIA | 17 | 88.2 | 82.4 | 5 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| IIB | 324 | 89.7 | 81.1 | 193 | 93.5 | 87.1 |
| IIIA | 6 | 83.3 | 66.7 | 3 | 100 | 100.0 |
| IIIB | 232 | 71.9 | 59.2 | 71 | 72.2 | 65.2 |
| IIIC1r | 282 | 82.5 | 70.3 | |||
| IIIC2r | 35 | 50.3 | 27.8 | |||
| IVA | 8 | 53.6 | 60.0 | 8 | 53.6 | 60.0 |
Multivariate analysis for overall survival.
| Variable | Multivariate | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95%CI | P | |
| SCC-Ag (ng/ml) | 1.010 | 1.001–1.021 | 0.026 |
| BMI (<18.5 kg/m2 vs. ≥18.5 kg/m2) | 2.622 | 1.309–5.251 | 0.007 |
| Tumor size (cm) | |||
| ≤4 | |||
| 4.1~5.9 | 1.785 | 1.088–2.929 | 0.022 |
| ≥6 | 1.934 | 1.072–3.491 | 0.029 |
| Pelvic wall involvement (yes vs. no) | 1.907 | 1.261–2.883 | 0.002 |
| PALNM (yes vs. no) | 2.460 | 1.408–4.297 | 0.002 |
SCC-Ag, squamous cell carcinoma antigen; BMI, body mass index; PALNM, para-aortic lymph node metastasis; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval.
Multivariate analysis for progression-free survival.
| Variable | Multivariate | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95%CI | P | |
| BMI (kg/m2) | 0.965 | 0.924–1.007 | 0.098 |
| HGB (g/L) | 0.987 | 0.978–0.996 | 0.004 |
| Tumor size (cm) | |||
| ≤4 | |||
| 4.1~5.9 | 1.401 | 0.967–0.996 | 0.075 |
| ≥6 | 1.063 | 0.660–1.713 | 0.802 |
| Pelvic wall involvement (yes vs. no) | 1.905 | 1.365–2.660 | 0.002 |
| PLNM (yes vs. no) | 1.490 | 1.050–2.114 | 0.026 |
| PALNM (yes vs. no) | 3.266 | 2.047–5.208 | <0.001 |
BMI, body mass index; HGB, hemoglobin; PLNM, pelvic lymph node metastasis; PALNM, para-aortic lymph node metastasis; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval.
Figure 2(A) nomogram for 5-year overall survival; (B) nomogram for 5-year progression-free survival. Abbreviations: SCC-Ag, squamous cell carcinoma antigen; BMI, body mass index; HGB, hemoglobin; PLNM, pelvic lymph node metastasis; PALNM, para-aortic lymph node metastasis.
Figure 3Internal validation of the nomogram to predict overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) likelihoods in patients with LACSC. The nomogram-predicted probability of OS and PFS is plotted on the x axis; the actual OS and PFS is plotted on the y axis. (A) calibration curve for 5-year OS; (B) calibration curve for 5-year PFS.
Overall survival and progression-free survival according to nomogram score groups.
| Nomogram | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | 5y-OS(%) | n | 5y-PFS(%) | |
| Group 1 (0–50) | 13 | 100 | 87 | 90.5 |
| Group 2 (50–100) | 208 | 90.9 | 247 | 80.6 |
| Group 3 (100–150) | 169 | 87.1 | 170 | 69.1 |
| Group 4 (150–200) | 109 | 78.0 | 80 | 55.9 |
| Group 5 (>200) | 113 | 62.2 | 29 | 22.9 |
Figure 4Overall survival and progression-free survival stratified by nomogram score. (A) Kaplan-Meier overall survival curves. (B) Kaplan-Meier progression-free survival curves. The groups are divided by nomogram score (Group 1: less than 50; Group 2: 50–100; Group 3: 100–150; Group 4: 150–200; Group 5: over 200).
Figure 5(A) Kaplan-Meier overall survival curves according to the FIGO 2009 stage; (B) Kaplan-Meier progression-free survival curves according to the FIGO 2009 stage; (C) Kaplan-Meier overall survival curves according to the FIGO 2018 stage; (D) Kaplan-Meier progression-free survival curves according to the FIGO 2018 stage.
Figure 6Comparison of nomogram and FIGO staging system. (A) AUC for predicting 5-year overall survival (OS). (B) AUC for predicting 5-year progression-free survival (PFS). (C) The time-dependent AUC between 6 and 72 months for OS. (D) The time-dependent AUC between 6 and 72 months for PFS.