| Literature DB >> 33192402 |
Lucia Francesca Lucca1, Danilo Lofaro2, Elio Leto1, Maria Ursino1, Stefania Rogano1, Antonio Pileggi1, Serafino Vulcano3, Domenico Conforti2, Paolo Tonin1, Antonio Cerasa1,4.
Abstract
In this study, we sought to assess the predictors of outcome in patients with disorders of consciousness (DOC) after severe traumatic brain injury (TBI) during neurorehabilitation stay. In total, 96 patients with DOC (vegetative state, minimally conscious state, or emergence from minimally conscious state) were enrolled (69 males; mean age 43.6 ± 20.8 years) and the improvement of the degree of disability, as assessed by the Disability Rating Scale, was considered the main outcome measure. To define the best predictor, a series of demographical and clinical factors were modeled using a twofold approach: (1) logistic regression to evaluate a possible causal effect among variables; and (2) machine learning algorithms (ML), to define the best predictive model. Univariate analysis demonstrated that disability in DOC patients statistically decreased at the discharge with respect to admission. Genitourinary was the most frequent medical complication (MC) emerging during the neurorehabilitation period. The logistic model revealed that the total amount of MCs is a risk factor for lack of functional improvement. ML discloses that the most important prognostic factors are the respiratory and hepatic complications together with the presence of the upper gastrointestinal comorbidities. Our study provides new evidence on the most adverse short-term factors predicting a functional recovery in DOC patients after severe TBI. The occurrence of medical complications during neurorehabilitation stay should be considered to avoid poor outcomes.Entities:
Keywords: machine learning; medical complications; neurorehabiliation; predictor factors; severe traumatic brain injury (sTBI)
Year: 2020 PMID: 33192402 PMCID: PMC7641612 DOI: 10.3389/fnhum.2020.570544
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Hum Neurosci ISSN: 1662-5161 Impact factor: 3.169
Figure 1Flow diagram of participant recruitment and participation in the study.
Clinical characteristics of the study cohort.
| TBI ( | |
|---|---|
| Age (years) | 43.6 ± 20.8 (18–77) |
| Sex (male) | 69 (71.9%) |
| Length of stay ICU (days) | 27.0 (20–35) |
| Length of stay IRU (days) | 72.0 (43.8–128.2) |
| Cause of injury: | |
| Accidental fall | 17 (17.7) |
| High-level fall | 14 (14.6) |
| Car accident | 13 (13.5) |
| Motorcycle accident | 20 (20.8) |
| Pedestrian accident | 7 (7.3) |
| Other | 25 (26.0) |
| Marshall Score ICU (%) | |
| I | 0 (0.0) |
| II | 35 (38.0) |
| III | 18 (19.6) |
| IV | 2 (2.2) |
| V | 36 (39.1) |
| VI | 1 (1.1) |
| Number of SAH (%) | 44 (45.8) |
| Number of open head injuries (%) | 4 (4.3) |
| Number of cranial fractures (%) | 38 (39.6) |
| Extracranial injuries (%) | |
| Facial fractures | 45 (46.9) |
| Extremities fractures | 43 (44.8) |
| Vertebral fractures | 23 (24.0) |
| Thoracic trauma | 49 (51.0) |
| Abdominal trauma | 17 (17.7) |
| Spinal cord Injury | 2 (2.1) |
| Vascular trauma | 4 (4.2) |
| GCS at ICU admission | 4.0 (3.0–5.5) |
| GCS at ICU discharge | 12.0 (9.0–13.2) |
| GOS at ICU discharge | 3.0 (2.0–3.0) |
| CRS-r at IRU admission | 23.0 (9.0–23.0) |
| Tracheostomy | 59 (61.5) |
| Breath (%) | |
| Autonomous | 75 (78.9) |
| Autonomous + O2 | 18 (18.9) |
| Mechanical | 2 (2.1) |
| Feed (%) | |
| Oral | 36 (37.9) |
| NG tube | 41 (43.2) |
| PEG | 18 (18.9) |
| Urinary catheter | 91 (94.8) |
| Bedsore | 31 (32.3) |
| Craniectomy | 23 (24.0) |
ICU, intensive care unit; IRU, intensive rehabilitation unit; SAH, subarachnoid hemorrhage; GCS, Glasgow Coma Scale; GOS, Glasgow Outcome Scale; CRS-r, Coma Recovery Scale–revised; NG tube, nasogastric tube; PEG, percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy.
Clinical characteristics of the study cohort at admission and discharge from the rehabilitation unit.
| Admission | Discharge | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Diagnosis (%) | 0.040 | ||
| Death | 0 (0.0) | 11 (11.5) | |
| Emersion | 55 (57.3) | 73 (76.0) | |
| MCS | 21 (21.9) | 8 (8.3) | |
| VS | 20 (20.8) | 4 (4.2) | |
| GOSE | 3.0 (2.0–3.0) | 3.0 (3.0–7.0) | <0.001 |
| MCs ( | 5.0 (3.8–6.0) | 2.0 (1.0–3.0) | <0.001 |
| CRS-r | 23 (9–23) | 23 (21–23) | 0.014 |
| DRS | 18 (16–21) | 9 (5–15.2) | <0.0001 |
MCS, minimally conscious state; VS, vegetative state; CRS-r, Coma Recovery Scale–revised; DRS, Disability Rating Scale; GOSE, Extended Glasgow Outcome Score; MC, medical complication.
Figure 2The distribution of medical complications in traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients at the admission (left side) and during rehabilitation stay (right side). GI, gastrointestinal apparatus. EENT complications: eye, ear, nose, throat, and larynx.
Logistic model for association with functional improvement.
| Variables | OR (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 1.025 (0.993–1.059) | 0.131 |
| Sex male (vs. female) | 0.959 (0.26–3.544) | 0.951 |
| Marshall score at ICU admission III–VI (vs. I–II) | 2.135 (0.527–8.649) | 0.288 |
| MCS at admission (vs. emerged) | 1.585 (0.317–7.938) | 0.575 |
| VS at admission (vs. emerged) | 1.564 (0.366–6.679) | 0.546 |
| Total number of MCs during IRU period | 1.635 (1.058–2.526) | 0.027 |
MCS, minimally conscious state; VS, vegetative state; CRS-r, Coma Recovery Scale–revised; IRU, intensive rehabilitation unit; MC, medical complication.
Figure 3ROC curves for random forest (gray), lasso regression (solid black), and support vector machine (SVM) with polynomial kernel (dotted black).
Figure 4Variable importance ranking for random forest classification displaying the variables best discriminating patients based on Disability Rating Scale (DRS) scores measured before and after treatment in inpatient rehabilitation. ICU, intensive care unit; GI, gastrointestinal apparatus. EENT complications: eye, ear, nose, throat, and larynx.