| Literature DB >> 33160872 |
Olga Laosa1, Laura Pedraza2, Alejandro Álvarez-Bustos2, Jose A Carnicero1, Fernando Rodriguez-Artalejo3, Leocadio Rodriguez-Mañas4.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the role of functional status along with other used clinical factors on the occurrence of death in patients hospitalized with COVID-19.Entities:
Keywords: Barthel Index; COVID-19; disability; function; intensive care; mortality
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 33160872 PMCID: PMC7543696 DOI: 10.1016/j.jamda.2020.10.002
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Am Med Dir Assoc ISSN: 1525-8610 Impact factor: 4.669
Multivariate Logistic Regression on Mortality According to Number of Comorbidities
| ≥1 Comorbidity | ≥2 Comorbidities | ≥3 Comorbidities | ≥4 Comorbidities | ≥5 Comorbidities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | ||||||
| Gender: female | 0.23 (0.11-0.47) | <.001 | 0.23 (0.11-0.47) | <.001 | 0.23 (0.11-0.47) | <.001 | 0.26 (0.13-0.53) | <.001 | 0.26 (0.13-0.53) | <.001 |
| Age: 1 y | 1.07 (1.04-1.10) | <.001 | 1.07 (1.04-1.10) | <.001 | 1.07 (1.03-1.10) | <.001 | 1.07 (1.04-1.10) | <.001 | 1.07 (1.04-1.10) | <.001 |
| qSOFA: 1 point | 1.31 (0.89-1.95) | .17 | 1.34 (0.90-1.99) | .15 | 1.27 (0.86-1.89) | .23 | 1.31 (0.87-1.95) | .19 | 1.34 (0.90-2.01) | .16 |
| Barthel Index: 5 points | 1.13 (1.04-1.22) | .002 | 1.12 (1.04-1.21) | .004 | 1.11 (1.03-1.21) | .007 | 1.11 (1.02-1.20) | .014 | 1.11 (1.03-1.21) | .008 |
| Comorbidity | 2.63 (0.61-1.39) | .20 | 1.82 (0.74-4.47) | .20 | 2.15 (1.07-4.31) | .032 | 2.60 (1.31-5.17) | .006 | 2.91 (1.37-6.15) | .005 |
| Polypharmacy: ≥5 drugs | 1.85 (0.98-3.48) | .06 | 1.74 (0.91-3.35) | .10 | 1.49 (0.76-2.94) | .25 | 1.31 (0.65-2.66) | .45 | 1.33 (0.65-2.70) | .44 |
qSOFA, Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment.
Baseline Characteristics of the Patients
| Total (n = 375) | Death (n = 74) | Recovered (n = 299) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (SD) | 66.06 (15.3) | 76.76 (9.7) | 63.38 (15.4) | <.001 |
| Sex, male | 207 (55.2) | 59 (79.77) | 146 (48.8) | <.001 |
| Morbidities | ||||
| Hypertension | 179 (47.7) | 55 (74.3) | 123 (41.1) | <.001 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 80 (21.3) | 38 (51.4) | 50 (16.7) | <.001 |
| Obesity | 135 (36.0) | 31 (41.9) | 104 (34.9) | .57 |
| Dyslipidemia | 132 (35.2) | 33 (44.6) | 97 (32.4) | .023 |
| Ischemic heart disease | 34 (9.1) | 17 (23) | 16 (5.4) | <.001 |
| Heart failure | 55 (14.7) | 28 (37.8) | 26 (8.7) | <.001 |
| Atrial fibrillation | 35 (9.3) | 13 (17.6) | 22 (7.4) | .023 |
| Thromboembolic disease | 24 (6.4) | 5 (6.8) | 19 (6.4) | .93 |
| Stroke | 39 (10.4) | 15 (20.3) | 24 (8.0) | .008 |
| COPD | 28 (7.5) | 12 (16.2) | 15 (5.0) | <.001 |
| Asthma | 34 (9.1) | 6 (8.1) | 28 (9.4) | .86 |
| Cancer | 51 (13.6) | 20 (27.0) | 30 (10.0) | <.001 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 33 (8.8) | 19 (25.7) | 14 (4.7) | <.001 |
| Severity index (qSOFA), no. of criteria | ||||
| 0 | 183 (48.8) | 25 (33.8) | 156 (52.2) | .043 |
| 1 | 145 (38.7) | 33 (44.6) | 112 (37.5) | |
| 2 | 44 (11.7) | 15 (20.3) | 29 (9.7) | |
| 3 | 3 (0.8) | 1 (1.4) | 2 (0.7) | |
| Current treatment, no. of drugs | ||||
| <5 | 298 (79.5) | 44 (59.5) | 253 (84.6) | <.001 |
| ≥5 | 77 (20.5) | 30 (40.5) | 46 (15.4) | |
| Barthel Index | ||||
| 0-60 | 18 (4.9) | 10 (13.9) | 8 (2.7) | <.001 |
| 65-85 | 19 (5.1) | 8 (11.1) | 11 (3.7) | |
| 90-95 | 27 (7.3) | 11 (15.3) | 16 (5.4) | |
| 100 | 306 (82.7) | 43 (59.7) | 261 (88.2) | |
COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; SD, standard deviation.
Unless otherwise noted, values are n (%).
Two patients were still in hospital at the time of closing the database, so they have been excluded for the analyses by groups.
Five patients do not have data about Barthel Index.
Logistic Regression Model for Mortality
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | |||||
| Gender: female | 0.23 (0.12-0.47) | <.001 | 0.23 (0.11-0.46) | <.001 | 0.23 (0.12-0.47) | <.001 | 0.23 (0.11-0.47) | <.001 |
| Age: 1 y | 1.08 (1.05-1.11) | <.001 | 1.08 (1.05-1.11) | <.001 | 1.07 (1.04-1.10) | <.001 | 1.07 (1.03-1.10) | <.001 |
| Barthel Index, 5 points | 1.13 (1.05-1.22) | .002 | 1.12 (1.04-1.21) | .004 | 1.12 (1.04-1.21) | .005 | 1.11 (1.03-1.20) | .008 |
| qSOFA: 1 point | 1.28 (0.87-1.90) | .21 | 1.34 (0.90-2.00) | .14 | 1.29 (0.87-1.93) | .21 | ||
| Polypharmacy: ≥5 drugs | 2.05 (1.07-3.92) | .030 | 1.54 (0.77-3.08) | .23 | ||||
| Comorbidity: ≥3 diseases | 2.15 (1.08-4.30) | .030 | ||||||
Model 1: adjusted by gender, age, and Barthel; model 2: adds qSOFA to model 1; model 3: adds polypharmacy (≥5 drugs) to model 2; model 4: adds ≥3 morbidities to model 3.
Multivariate Logistic Regression on Mortality by Individual Diseases
| OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender: female | 0.25 (0.12-0.51) | <.001 | 0.27 (0.13-0.54) | <.001 |
| Age: 1 y | 1.07 (1.04-1.10) | <.001 | 1.07 (1.04-1.10) | <.001 |
| Barthel: 5 points | 1.12 (1.04-1.22) | .004 | 1.11 (1.03-1.20) | .010 |
| qSOFA: 1 point | 1.23 (0.82-1.85) | .32 | 1.38 (0.92-2.06) | .12 |
| Polypharmacy: ≥5 drugs | 1.51 (0.75-3.05) | .25 | 1.68 (0.85-3.32) | .14 |
| Heart failure | 2.85 (1.36-5.98) | .006 | ||
| Chronic kidney disease | 2.93 (1.21-7.12) | .018 |
qSOFA, Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment.
Risk of Mortality in Men Excluding qSOFA
| Age | Morbidities | Barthel Index | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 90 | 75 | 60 | ||
| 35 | <3 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| ≥3 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.10 | |
| 50 | <3 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| ≥3 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.23 | |
| 65 | <3 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| ≥3 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.37 | 0.45 | |
| 80 | <3 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.39 | 0.47 |
| ≥3 | 0.48 | 0.53 | 0.61 | 0.69 | |
Risk of Mortality in Women Excluding qSOFA
| Age | Morbidities | Barthel Index | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 90 | 75 | 60 | ||
| 35 | <3 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| ≥3 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | |
| 50 | <3 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| ≥3 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.07 | |
| 65 | <3 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| ≥3 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.16 | |
| 80 | <3 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.17 |
| ≥3 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.27 | 0.34 | |
Risk of Mortality in Men
| Age | Comorbidities | qSOFA | Barthel Index | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 90 | 75 | 60 | |||
| 35 y | <3 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| 1 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.05 | ||
| 2 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.06 | ||
| 3 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.07 | ||
| ≥3 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.09 | |
| 1 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.11 | ||
| 2 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 0.13 | ||
| 3 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.16 | ||
| 50 y | <3 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| 1 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 0.11 | ||
| 2 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.14 | ||
| 3 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.17 | ||
| ≥3 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.16 | 0.21 | |
| 1 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.24 | ||
| 2 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 0.29 | ||
| 3 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.27 | 0.33 | ||
| 65 y | <3 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| 1 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.25 | ||
| 2 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.30 | ||
| 3 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.28 | 0.35 | ||
| ≥3 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.40 | |
| 1 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.38 | 0.46 | ||
| 2 | 0.31 | 0.36 | 0.44 | 0.51 | ||
| 3 | 0.36 | 0.41 | 0.49 | 0.57 | ||
| 80 y | <3 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.28 | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| 1 | 0.28 | 0.32 | 0.39 | 0.47 | ||
| 2 | 0.32 | 0.37 | 0.45 | 0.53 | ||
| 3 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.50 | 0.58 | ||
| ≥3 | 0 | 0.43 | 0.49 | 0.57 | 0.64 | |
| 1 | 0.49 | 0.54 | 0.62 | 0.69 | ||
| 2 | 0.54 | 0.60 | 0.67 | 0.74 | ||
| 3 | 0.60 | 0.65 | 0.72 | 0.78 | ||
Risk of Mortality in Women
| Age | Comorbidities | qSOFA | Barthel Index | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 | 90 | 75 | 60 | |||
| 35 y | <3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| 1 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | ||
| 2 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | ||
| 3 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | ||
| ≥3 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | |
| 1 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | ||
| 2 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | ||
| 3 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.04 | ||
| 50 y | <3 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| 1 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | ||
| 2 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.04 | ||
| 3 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.04 | ||
| ≥3 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.06 | |
| 1 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.07 | ||
| 2 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.08 | ||
| 3 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.10 | ||
| 65 y | <3 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| 1 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.07 | ||
| 2 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.09 | ||
| 3 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.11 | ||
| ≥3 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.14 | |
| 1 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.16 | ||
| 2 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.20 | ||
| 3 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 0.23 | ||
| 80 y | <3 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.14 |
| 1 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.17 | ||
| 2 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.16 | 0.21 | ||
| 3 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.24 | ||
| ≥3 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 0.29 | |
| 1 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.27 | 0.34 | ||
| 2 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.32 | 0.39 | ||
| 3 | 0.26 | 0.30 | 0.37 | 0.45 | ||
Sensitivity Analysis: Multivariate Logistic Regression on Mortality (≥41 Years)
| Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | |||||
| Gender: female | 0.23 (0.12-0.47) | <.001 | 0.23 (0.11-0.46) | <.001 | 0.23 (0.11-0.47) | <.001 | 0.23 (0.11-0.47) | <.001 |
| Age: 1 y | 1.08 (1.05-1.11) | <.001 | 1.08 (1.05-1.11) | <.001 | 1.07 (1.04-1.10) | <.001 | 1.06 (1.03-1.10) | <.001 |
| Barthel: 5 points | 1.13 (1.05-1.22) | .002 | 1.12 (1.04-1.21) | .004 | 1.12 (1.04-1.21) | .005 | 1.11 (1.03-1.20) | .008 |
| qSOFA: 1 point | 1.29 (0.87-1.91) | .202 | 1.35 (0.91-2.01) | .137 | 1.30 (0.87-1.94) | .197 | ||
| Polypharmacy: ≥5 drugs | 2.05 (1.07-3.91) | .030 | 1.54 (0.77-3.08) | .223 | ||||
| Comorbidity: ≥3 morbidities | 2.14 (1.07-4.27) | .031 | ||||||
qSOFA, Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assesssment.
Model 1: adjusted by gender, age, and Barthel; model 2: adds qSOFA to model 1; model 3: adds polypharmacy (≥5 drugs) to model 2; model 4: adds ≥3 morbidities to model 3.