| Literature DB >> 33157938 |
Shuai Shao1,2,3, Zhiling Zhao1,2,3, Feng Wang1,2,3, Dandan Chang4, Yong Liu5, Shi Liu6, Xiaoguang Xu7, Xuyan Li1,2,3, Chunguo Jiang1,2,3, Ziren Tang8.
Abstract
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has rapidly spread on a global scale. Therefore, it is urgent to identify risk factors that could be associated with severe type of COVID-19 from common type.For this retrospective study, we recruited patients with COVID-19 in Wuhan and Zhoukou. Patients were classified into a severe group and common group based on guidelines after admission. Clinical manifestations and laboratory tests were compared, and univariate binary logistic regression and multivariate regression analyses were applied to assess potential risk factors.A total of 126 patients were recruited from January 23 to March 23, 2020. Ninety cases were identified as the common type and 36 as the severe type. The average age in the severe group was significantly older than that in the common group (P = .008). Patients with severe COVID-19 exhibited higher proportions of dyspnea (P = .001), weakness (P = .023), and diarrhea (P = .046). Moreover, there were more patients with hypertension (P = .01) or coinfection (P = .001) in the severe group than in the common group. Additionally, severe COVID-19 was associated with increased neutrophil counts (P < .001), C-reactive protein (P < .001), procalcitonin (P = .024) and decreased lymphocyte counts (P = .001), hemoglobin (P < .001), total protein (TP) (P < .001), and albumin (ALB) (P < .001). Based on logistic regression analysis, dyspnea (P < .001), TP (P = .042), and ALB (P = .003) were independent risk factors for severe disease.Patients with lower TP, ALB, and dyspnea should be carefully monitored, and early intervention should be implemented to prevent the development of severe disease.Entities:
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Year: 2020 PMID: 33157938 PMCID: PMC7647556 DOI: 10.1097/MD.0000000000022971
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Medicine (Baltimore) ISSN: 0025-7974 Impact factor: 1.817
Demographic characteristics of common patients and severe patients with coronavirus disease 2019.
| Variables | Common group (N = 90) | Sever group (N = 36) | |
| Age (yr)∗ | 46.66 ± 14.81 | 58.14 ± 13.96 | .008 |
| Gender Male, N (%)† | 49 (54%) | 19 (51%) | .865 |
| Comorbidities, N (%)† | 37 (41.1%) | 17 (47.2%) | .531 |
| Hypertension† | 12 (13.3%) | 12 (33.3%) | .01 |
| Asthma† | 1 (1.1%) | 0 | 1.000 |
| Diabetes† | 7 (7.8%) | 6 (16.7%) | .138 |
| Malignancy† | 2 (2.2%) | 1 (2.8%) | 1.000 |
| Cardiovascular disease† | 4 (4.4%) | 2 (5.6%) | 1.000 |
| COPD† | 0 | 2 (5.6%) | .080 |
| Others† | 11 (12.2%) | 3 (8.3%) | .754 |
| Co-infection, N (%)† | 32 (35.6%) | 24 (66.7%) | .001 |
Clinical symptoms and signs between the common and severe groups with coronavirus disease 2019.
| Variables | Common group (N = 90) | Sever group (N = 36) | |
| D from symptom onset to admission (d)∗ | 5.00 (2.00, 10.50) | 9.50 (5.00, 12.00) | .032 |
| D from disease onset to improvement (d)∗ | 8.50 (6.00, 13.25) | 16.00 (11.25, 20.75) | .000 |
| D from PCR negative (d)∗ | 18.00 (13.00, 24.00) | 21.00 (16.75, 24.50) | .349 |
| Positive throat swab | 88 (97.8%) | 29 (80.6%) | .001 |
| Symptoms | |||
| Fever, N (%)† | 77 (85.8%) | 34 (94.4%) | .277 |
| Duration of fever (d)∗ | 7.00 (4.00, 11.00) | 12.00 (8.00, 15.00) | .001 |
| Maximum body temperature (°C)∗ | 38.20 (38.00, 38.60) | 38.55 (38.00, 39.00) | .033 |
| Cough, N (%)† | 56 (62.2%) | 28 (77.8%) | .094 |
| Dyspnea, N (%)† | 9 (10.0%) | 34 (94.4%) | .001 |
| Pharyngalgia, N (%)† | 14 (15.6%) | 5 (13.9%) | .813 |
| Rhinorrhea, N (%)† | 3 (3.3%) | 3 (8.3%) | .467 |
| Headache, N (%)† | 7 (7.8%) | 4 (11.1%) | .803 |
| Nasal congestion, N (%)† | 3 (3.3%) | 4 (11.1%) | .197 |
| Weakness, N (%)† | 45 (50.0%) | 26 (72.2%) | .023 |
| Mental symptoms, N (%)† | 1 (1.1%) | 1 (2.8%) | 1.000 |
| Myalgia, N (%)† | 13 (14.4%) | 10 (27.8%) | .080 |
| Chills, N (%)† | 9 (10.0%) | 1 (2.8%) | .322 |
| Conjunctival congestion | 0 | 0 | |
| Diarrhea, N (%)† | 5 (5.6%) | 6 (16.7%) | .046 |
| Nausea or vomiting, N (%)† | 6 (6.7%) | 4 (11.1%) | .639 |
| Chest pain, N (%)† | 4 (4.4%) | 0 (0.0%) | .577 |
| Respiration rate (beats/min)∗ | 21.00 (20.00, 22.00) | 26.00 (23.25, 28.00) | .000 |
Laboratory test findings between the common and severe groups with coronavirus disease 2019.
| Variables | Normal value range | Common group (N = 90) | Sever group (N = 36) | |
| 3.5–9.5 | 5.56 (4.01, 7.32) | 5.98 (4.45, 10.18) | .063 | |
| Neutrophil count | 1.8–6.3 | 3.29 (2.46, 4.2) | 5.32 (3.92, 7.86) | .000 |
| Lymphocyte count | 1.1–3.2 | 1.28 (0.87, 1.77) | 0.82 (0.63, 1.37) | .001 |
| Neutrophil % | 40–75 | 62.95 (55.30, 71.80) | 78.80 (69.50, 83.55) | .000 |
| Lymphocyte % | 20–50 | 2.85 (2.00, 24.85) | 10.75 (4.10, 18.83) | .812 |
| RBC | 4.3–5.8 | 4.83 (4.21, 5.39) | 4.08 (3.52, 4.59) | .000 |
| Hemoglobin (g/L) | 130–175 | 144.50 (130.00, 157.75) | 121.0 (107.50, 144.25) | .000 |
| Platelet | 125–350 | 206.50 (171.50, 239.00) | 211.50 (184.50, 233.25) | .527 |
| CRP (mg/L) | 0–5.0 | 8.06 (5.12, 30.91) | 34.30 (18.97, 67.79) | .000 |
| Potassium (mmol/L) | 3.5–5.3 | 4.11 (3.87,4.36) | 3.73 (3.37, 4.03) | .000 |
| Sodium (mmol/L) | 137–147 | 139.40 (137.20, 143.50) | 138.85 (137.73, 142.53) | .464 |
| Total protein (g/L) | 65–85 | 70.85 (65.45, 76.83) | 54.05 (60.95, 65.88) | .000 |
| Albumin (g/L) | 40–55 | 44.30 (38.33, 49.60) | 28.50 (26.30, 33.15) | .000 |
| ALT (U/L) | 9–50 | 28.50 (18.68, 48.70) | 34.50 (22.75, 53.25) | .093 |
| AST (U/L) | 15–40 | 23.80 (18.75, 34.25) | 28.50 (22.00, 49.50) | .077 |
| Creatinine (umol/L) | 57–97 | 64.70 (54.00, 73.90) | 60.25 (53.93, 79.33) | .712 |
| Bun (mmol/L) | 2.9–7.5 | 3.94 (3.03, 5.01) | 5.21 (3.53, 6.67) | .016 |
| LDH (U/L) | 120–250 | 197.00 (156.50, 247.00) | 283.50 (204.00, 394.75) | .000 |
| CK (U/L) | 50–310 | 65.00 (48.10, 98.75) | 39.50 (22.75, 116.00) | .011 |
| CKMB (ng/mL) | 0–5.0 | 10.10 (6.23, 16.25) | 10.50 (6.00, 17.00) | .720 |
| Tni (ng/mL) | 0–0.04 | 0.31 (0.01, 2.73) | 1.75 (0.01, 3.40) | .669 |
| ESR (mm/h) | 2–15 | 13.50 (11.00, 44.00) | 11.50 (6.00, 48.75) | .214 |
| Procalcitonin (ng/mL) | 0–0.05 | 0.04 (0.02, 0.08) | 0.06 (0.04, 0.15) | .024 |
Figure 1Imaging characteristics of chest computed tomography from common type of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and severe type patients. A and B, 35-year-old male with common type COVID-19 patient exhibited multiple ground-glass opacities in both lungs. C and D, 49-year-old male with severe type COVID-19 exhibited diffuse ground-glass opacities and consolidation distributed in multiple lobes and segments.
Treatment regimen between the common and severe groups with coronavirus disease 2019.
| Treatment regimen | Common group (N = 90) | Sever group (N = 36) | |
| Lianhuaqingwen, N (%) | 25 (27.8%) | 4 (11.8%) | .101 |
| Oseltamivir, N (%) | 2 (2.2%) | 0 | 1.000 |
| Vidarabine, N (%) | 3 (3.3%) | 2 (5.9%) | .895 |
| Interferon, N (%) | 53 (58.9%) | 10 (28.6%) | .002 |
| Lopinavir/ritonavir, N (%) | 56 (62.2%) | 11 (31.4) | .002 |
| Ribavirin, N (%) | 28 (31.1%) | 9 (25.7%) | .553 |
| Arbidol Hydrochloride, N (%) | 33 (36.7%) | 22 (62.9%) | .008 |
| Chloroquine, N (%) | 1 (1.1%) | 1 (2.9%) | 1.000 |
| Xuebijing injection, N (%) | 37 (41.6%) | 11 (31.4%) | .297 |
| Glucocorticoids, N (%) | 19 (21.3%) | 17 (50.0%) | .002 |
| Anti-bacteria therapy, N (%) | 56 (64.4%) | 25 (73.5%) | .336 |
| Immunoglobulin, N (%) | 9 (10.1%) | 8 (25.0%) | .038 |
| Adverse drug reactions, N (%) | 33 (37.1%) | 9 (29.0%) | .419 |
Univariable and multivariate analysis of independent risk factors for differentiating coronavirus disease 2019 of severe type from common type.
| Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | |||||
| OR | 95% CI | OR | 95% CI | |||
| Age (yr) | 1.055 | 1.024–1.086 | .000 | |||
| D from disease onset to improvement (d) | 1.100 | 1.035–1.169 | .002 | |||
| Duration of fever (d) | 1.073 | 1.009–1.141 | .024 | |||
| Symptoms | ||||||
| Dyspnea | 153.00 | 31.399–745.529 | .000 | 1732.85 | 41.40, 72526.21 | <.001 |
| Weakness | 2.600 | 1.124–6.012 | .025 | |||
| Respiration rate (beats/min) | 1.412 | 1.237–1.611 | .000 | |||
| Co-infection | 3.625 | 1.602–8.201 | .002 | |||
| Hypertension | 3.250 | 1.293–8.169 | .012 | |||
| Neutrophil % | 1.082 | 1.042–1.123 | .000 | |||
| Neutrophil count | 1.443 | 1.201–1.733 | .000 | |||
| RBC | 0.506 | 0.337–0.759 | .001 | |||
| Hemoglobin (g/L) | 0.960 | 0.940–0.980 | .000 | |||
| CRP (mg/L) | 1.031 | 1.014–1.049 | .000 | |||
| Potassium (mmol/L) | 0.401 | 0.213–0.757 | .005 | |||
| Total protein (g/L) | 0.926 | 0.889–0.964 | .000 | 0.88 | 0.78–0.99 | .042 |
| Albumin (g/L) | 0.829 | 0.774–0.887 | .000 | 0.79 | 0.67–0. 92 | .003 |
| LDH (U/L) | 1.011 | 1.006–1.016 | .000 | |||
| Procalcitonin (ng/mL) | 123.157 | 1.944–7800.828 | .023 | |||
Figure 2Multivariate regression analysis for specific risk factors for coronavirus disease 2019 of severe type from common type. Plots reporting variables independently associated with the risk for severe type of coronavirus disease 2019 in the final model, with their 95% confidence intervals. COVID-19 = corona virus disease 2019, RBC = red blood cell, CRP = C-reactive protein, LDH = lactic dehydrogenase, BUN = blood urea nitrogen, CK = creatine kinase, OR = odds ratio, CI = confidence interval.