| Literature DB >> 33149669 |
Qin Li1,2, Qin Xiao2,3, Jianwei Li3,4, Shaofeng Duan5, He Wang6, Yajia Gu2,3.
Abstract
PURPOSE: To identify MRI-based radiomics signature (Rad-score) as a biomarker of risk stratification for disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with HER2-positive invasive breast cancer treated with trastuzumab-based neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) and establish a radiomics-clinicoradiologic-based nomogram that combines Rad-score, MRI findings, and clinicopathological variables for DFS estimation. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 127 patients were divided into a training set and testing set according to the ratio of 7:3. Radiomic features were extracted from multiphase CE-MRI (CEm). Rad-score was calculated using the LASSO (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator) regression analysis. The cutoff point of Rad-score to divide the patients into high- and low-risk groups was determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. A Kaplan-Meier survival curves and the Log rank test were used to investigate the association of the Rad-score with DFS. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards model were used to determine the association of Rad-score, MRI features, and clinicopathological variables with DFS. A radiomics-clinicoradiologic-based nomogram combining the Rad-score, MRI features, and clinicopathological findings was plotted to validate the radiomic signatures for DFS estimation.Entities:
Keywords: breast cancer; magnetic resonance imaging; prognosis; radiomics
Year: 2020 PMID: 33149669 PMCID: PMC7602910 DOI: 10.2147/CMAR.S271876
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancer Manag Res ISSN: 1179-1322 Impact factor: 3.989
Figure 1Flow chart of patient recruitment.
Figure 2The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was used for feature selection.
Clinical Characteristics Between Training Set and Testing Set
| Characteristics | Training Set (n=89) | Testing Set (n=38) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age, mean (SD), years | 51.57±10.88 | 51.47±9.40 | 0.959 |
| Tumor size | 4.01±1.80 | 3.95±1.70 | 0.856 |
| Rad-score | −0.02±0.65 | 0.06±0.65 | 0.499 |
| Menopausal status | 0.473 | ||
| Premenopausal | 27 (27.78%) | 14 (35.61%) | |
| Postmenopausal | 62 (72.22%) | 24 (64.39%) | |
| Enhancement pattern | 0.411 | ||
| Mass | 65 (73.03%) | 25 (65.79%) | |
| Non-mass | 24 (26.97%) | 13 (34.21%) | |
| Multifocal or multicenter | 0.940 | ||
| Present | 24 (26.97%) | 10 (26.32%) | |
| Absent | 65 (73.03%) | 28 (73.68%) | |
| Mass shape | 0.841 | ||
| Round/oval | 8 (8.99%) | 3 (7.89%) | |
| Irregular | 81 (91.01%) | 35 (92.11%) | |
| Tum margin | 0.598 | ||
| Circumscribed | 42 (47.19%) | 16 (72.73%) | |
| Not circumscribed | 47 (52.81%) | 22 (27.27%) | |
| Internal enhancement | 0.227 | ||
| Homogeneous | 11 (12.36%) | 2 (5.26%) | |
| Heterogeneous | 78 (87.64%) | 36 (94.74%) | |
| Pre-NAC T stage | 0.740 | ||
| T2 | 63 (70.79%) | 28 (73.68%) | |
| T3 | 26 (29.21%) | 10 (26.32%) | |
| Pre-NAC N stage | 0.400 | ||
| N0 | 30 (33.71%) | 9 (23.68%) | |
| N1 | 44 (49.44%) | 23 (60.52%) | |
| N2 | 5 (5.62%) | 2 (5.26%) | |
| N3 | 10 (11.23%) | 4 (10.54%) | |
| Ki67 | 0.220 | ||
| High | 72 (80.89%) | 27 (71.05%) | |
| Low | 17 (19.11%) | 11 (28.95%) | |
| Type of surgery | 0.234 | ||
| Conservation | 17 (19.10%) | 4 (10.53%) | |
| Radical surgery | 72 (80.90%) | 34 (89.47%) | |
| PCR | 0.22 | ||
| Yes | 32 (35.95%) | 22 (57.89%) | |
| No | 57 (64.05%) | 16 (42.11%) |
Abbreviations: NAC, neoadjuvant chemotherapy; PCR, pathological complete response; SD, standard deviation.
Figure 3The potential features and their coefficients after LASSO.
Figure 4Kaplan–Meier survival curves according to the Rad-score for patients in the training set (A) and testing set (B).
Univariate Analysis of Disease-Free Survival in the Training Set
| Characteristics | Log Rank Test | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | >47 | 37.821 | 0.386 |
| ≤47 | |||
| Tumor size | >2.7 | 5.706 | 0.017 |
| ≤2.7 | |||
| Enhancement type | Mass | 2.848 | 0.091 |
| Non-mass | |||
| Multifocal or multicenter | Present | 1.030 | 0.310 |
| Absent | |||
| Mass shape | Round/oval | 0.998 | 0.318 |
| Irregular | |||
| Tumor margin | Circumscribed | 2.768 | 0.096 |
| Not circumscribed | |||
| Internal enhancement | Homogeneous | 1.742 | 0.187 |
| Heterogeneous | |||
| Site of tumor | Right | 1.118 | 0.29 |
| Left | |||
| Pre-NAC Tstage | 2 | 1.024 | 0.312 |
| 3 | |||
| Pre-NAC Nstage | 0 | 57.583 | <0.001 |
| 1 | |||
| 2 | |||
| 3 | |||
| Menopausal status | Premenopausal | 0.028 | 0.868 |
| Postmenopausal | |||
| Ki67 | High | 1.928 | 0.165 |
| Low | |||
| PCR | Yes | 0.700 | 0.403 |
| No | |||
Abbreviations: NAC, neoadjuvant chemotherapy; PCR, pathological complete response.
Multivariate Analysis of Disease-Free Survival in the Training Set
| Characteristics | HR | 95.0% CI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radscore | 10.276 | 2.511~42.048 | 0.001 | |
| Nstage | 0 | Ref | ||
| 1 | 0.65 | 0.058~7.256 | 0.727 | |
| 2 | 25.327 | 2.449~261.877 | 0.007 | |
| 3 | 16.304 | 2.229~119.269 | 0.006 | |
| Enhancement type | 0.126 | 0.021~0.739 | 0.022 | |
| Tumor margin | 0.514 | 0.098~2.691 | 0.431 | |
| Size | 0.000 | 0.000~3.090E+209 | 0.961 | |
Abbreviations: HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval.
Performance of the Two Nomogram for Prediction of Outcomes
| Nomogram | Training | Testing | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C-Index | 95% CI | C-Index | 95% CI | |
| Radiomics-clinicoradiologic based | 0.974 | 0.954~0.994 | 0.917 | 0.842~0.991 |
| Clinicoradiologic based | 0.855 | 0.739~971 | 0.831 | 0.643~0.999 |
Note: C-index, index of probability of concordance.
Figure 5The radiomics-clinicoradiologic-based nomogram was developed in the training set. The Rad-score was determined by drawing a vertical line to the points’ axis to determine how many points towards the probability of DFS for the patient. The process was repeated for Nstage and enhancement type. The points of the three risk factors were summed, and then the final points located on the Total Point axis.
Figure 6Calibration curves of radiomics-clinicoradiologic-based nomogram in the training set (Training) and testing set (Testing). The dashed line indicates a perfect match between the actual probability (y-axis) and the nomogram-predicted probability (x-axis).