| Literature DB >> 33123774 |
Alireza Abrishami1, Nooshin Dalili2, Peyman Mohammadi Torbati3, Reyhaneh Asgari4, Mehran Arab-Ahmadi5, Behdad Behnam6, Morteza Sanei-Taheri4,7.
Abstract
PURPOSE: Vitamin D deficiency has been reported as a key factor in the development of infectious diseases such as respiratory tract infections and inflammatory processes like acute respiratory distress syndrome. However, the impact of vitamin D on the severity and outcome of COVID-19 is still not fully known. Herein, we aimed to evaluate the prognostic role of serum vitamin D concentration on the extent of lung involvement and final outcome in patients with COVID-19.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; Computed tomography; Outcome; Vitamin D
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2020 PMID: 33123774 PMCID: PMC7595877 DOI: 10.1007/s00394-020-02411-0
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Eur J Nutr ISSN: 1436-6207 Impact factor: 5.614
Fig. 1Log minus log of hazard function. The evaluation of the assumption of proportionality of hazards in cox survival models. The parallel log minus log functions in 25(OH)D deficiency groups and Schoenfeld residues analysis (chi-square = 8.02, DF = 4, P = 0.10) indicates that comparing hazard of death in two groups does not depend on time and the proportionality assumption is hold in cox regression
Comparing patient’s baseline characteristics, comorbidity factors, laboratory, and lung CT scan findings based on outcomes
| Variables | Total | Discharged | Death | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 55.18 ± 14.98 | 54.92 ± 15.31 | 56.50 ± 13.71 | 0.74 |
| Sex | 0.12 | |||
| Male | 47 (64.4) | 37 (60.7) | 10 (83.3) | |
| Female | 26 (35.6) | 24 (39.3) | 2 (16.7) | |
| Signs and symptoms | ||||
| Fever | 43 (58.9) | 36 (59.0) | 7 (58.3) | 0.97 |
| Cough | 50 (68.5) | 43 (70.5) | 7 (58.3) | 0.50 |
| Sore throat | 7 (9.6) | 7 (11.5) | 0 (0) | 0.59 |
| Dyspnea | 47 (64.4) | 40 (65.6) | 7 (58.3) | 0.74 |
| Chilling | 13 (17.8) | 12 (19.7) | 1 (8.3) | 0.68 |
| Headache | 7 (9.6) | 7 (11.5) | 0 (0) | 0.59 |
| Myalgia | 18 (24.7) | 16 (26.2) | 2 (16.7) | 0.72 |
| Nausea | 7 (9.6) | 6 (9.8) | 1 (8.3) | 0.99 |
| Abdominal pain | 7 (9.6) | 6 (9.8) | 1 (8.3) | 0.99 |
| Diarrhea | 6 (8.2) | 5 (8.2) | 1 (8.3) | 0.61 |
| Comorbidity factors | ||||
| Asthma/COPD | 7 (9.6) | 6 (9.8) | 1 (8.3) | 0.99 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 11 (15.1) | 10 (16.4) | 1 (8.3) | 0.68 |
| Ischemic heart disease | 13 (17.8) | 10 (16.4) | 3 (25.0) | 0.44 |
| Hypertension | 18 (24.7) | 17 (27.9) | 1 (8.3) | 0.27 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 16 (21.9) | 9 (14.8) | 7 (58.3) | 0.003 |
| Liver disease | 1 (1.4) | 1 (1.6) | 0 (0) | 0.99 |
| Immune system disorders | 10 (13.7) | 5 (8.2) | 5 (41.7) | 0.008 |
| Comorbidity* | 42 (57.5) | 33 (54.1) | 9 (75.0) | 0.18 |
| Oxygen saturation | 90 (86.5–93) | 90 (86.5–93) | 88 (85.5–90) | 0.11 |
| Hospitalization (day) | 10 (7–17) | 10 (7–16) | 14 (9.3–19) | 0.22 |
| Laboratory findings | ||||
| 25(OH) D | 35.19 ± 19.05 | 38.41 ± 18.51 | 13.83 ± 12.53 | < 0.001 |
| Ca | 8.94 ± 0.68 | 8.50 ± 0.72 | 8.71 ± 0.62 | 0.95 |
| P | 3.65 ± 0.62 | 3.58 ± 0.58 | 3.93 ± 0.81 | 0.33 |
| Mg | 2.07 ± 0.66 | 2.11 ± 0.70 | 1.84 ± 0.18 | 0.40 |
| CT scan involvement pattern | 0.26 | |||
| Ground glass opacities | 47 (64.4) | 40 (65.6) | 7 (58.3) | |
| Consolidation | 13 (17.8) | 9 (14.8) | 4 (33.3) | |
| Reticular | 8 (11.0) | 8 (13.1) | 0 (0) | |
| Mixed | 5 (6.8) | 4 (6.6) | 1 (8.3) | |
| Involvement distribution | 0.95 | |||
| Peripheral | 53 (72.6) | 44 (72.1) | 9 (75.0) | |
| Central | 8 (11.0) | 7 (11.5) | 1 (8.3) | |
| Both | 12 (16.4) | 10 (16.4) | 2 (16.7) | |
| Zone involvement score | ||||
| Upper | 2 (1–3) | 2 (0–3) | 3.5 (2.2–5) | 0.005 |
| Middle | 3 (2–6) | 3 (2–4) | 6 (5–6.8) | < 0.001 |
| Lower | 4 (2–6) | 3 (2–5) | 7 (4.3–8) | < 0.001 |
| Total lung | 8 (5–15) | 8 (5–11) | 16 (13.5–18.8) | < 0.001 |
| CT-scan findings | ||||
| Airway thickening | 57 (78.1) | 46 (75.4) | 11 (91.7) | 0.28 |
| Crazy paving | 7 (9.6) | 6 (9.8) | 1 (8.3) | 0.99 |
| Reverse halo | 1 (1.4) | 1 (1.6) | 0 (0) | 0.99 |
| Lymph node | 4 (5.5) | 3 (4.9) | 1 (8.3) | 0.52 |
| Dilated vessel | 49 (67.1) | 37 (60.7) | 12 (100) | 0.006 |
| Airway dilatation | 34 (46.4) | 25 (41.0) | 9 (75.0) | 0.05 |
| Air bronchogram | 21 (28.8) | 14 (23.0) | 7 (58.3) | 0.03 |
| Septal thickening | 10 (13.7) | 8 (13.1) | 2 (16.7) | 0.67 |
Data are represented as mean ± SD, median (Q1–Q3), and frequency (percent)
Mean and median differences were tested using independent T test and Mann–Whitney U test, respectively. The distributions of categorical data were compared by chi-square test (with exact P value)
*At least one of the comorbidity features is positive
Multivariate linear regression results in the association of 25(OH) D concentration and lung involvement scores
| Variables | Upper Zone | Middle zone | Lower zone | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25(OH) D* | − 0.04 (0.011) | 0.003 | − 0.04 (0.012) | 0.003 | − 0.03 (0.014) | 0.02 | − 0.11 (0.034) | 0.003 |
| Age | 0.02 (0.014) | 0.29 | 0.03 (0.015) | 0.038 | 0.04 (0.018) | 0.04 | 0.08 (0.042) | 0.05 |
| Sex (male) | 0.79 (0.44) | 0.08 | 0.67 (0.47) | 0.16 | − 0.55 (0.56) | 0.33 | 0.91 (1.34) | 0.50 |
| Comorbidity (yes) | 0.78 (0.42) | 0.07 | 1.09 (0.45) | 0.018 | 0.68 (0.54) | 0.21 | 2.55 (1.28) | 0.05 |
| 25(OH) D** | − 0.03 (0.011) | 0.003 | − 0.03 (0.012) | 0.005 | − 0.04 (0.014) | 0.01 | − 0.10 (0.034) | 0.004 |
*Unadjusted multivariate model
**Adjusted multivariate model
Fig. 2a–c A 55-year-old man presented with 5-day history of fever and dry cough without any comorbidity [25(OH)D level was 40 ng/mL] with initial lung computed tomography (CT) involvement score of eight/24. On admission, CT images showed subtle patchy ground-glass opacities (GGO) (long arrows) predominantly in upper zones and reticular pattern (wide arrows) in lower zones. The patient discharged after 6 days. d–f A 54-year-old man presented with 4-day history of fever, dry cough and dyspnea and no other comorbidity [25(OH)D level was 7 ng/mL]. Lung CT score involvement score of ninety/24. On admission, CT images showed diffuse GGO (long arrows) with slight consolidation change (thick head arrow) in right mid zone. The patient died after 19 days
Fig. 3ROC curve analysis results to achieve predictive values of 25(OH)D in classifying patients into dead or discharge
ROC curve analysis results in differentiating dead and discharged patients using 25 (OH) D levels
| Variable | AUC (95% CI) | Cutoff | Sensitivity | Specificity | PLR | NLR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25(OH) D | 0.82 (0.68–0.95) | 0.001 | < 25 | 0.75 | 0.72 | 2.68 | 0.34 |
PLR positive likelihood ratio, NLR negative likelihood ratio
The hazard and odds of death affected by 25 (OH) D deficiencies in patients with COVID-19
| Models | Variables | Logistic model | Cox model | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | ||||
| Model 1 | 25(OH) D deficiency | 7.77 (1.87–32.17) | 0.005 | 3.91 (1.05–14.54) | 0.04 |
| Model 2 | Age | 1.01 (0.96–1.06) | 0.65 | 1.01 (0.97–1.06) | 0.69 |
| Sex (male) | 2.38 (0.43–13.12) | 0.32 | 1.31 (0.24–7.09) | 0.75 | |
| Comorbidity (yes) | 2.54 (0.57–11.34) | 0.22 | 0.98 (0.22–3.51) | 0.86 | |
| 25(OH) D deficiency | 6.84 (1.55–30.19) | 0.01 | 4.15 (1.07–16.19) | 0.04 | |
Model 1: crude effect, Model 2: adjusted effect
OR Odds Ratio, HR Hazard Ratio, CI Confidence interval
Fig. 4Cumulative hazard function of death in patients with and without 25(OH)D deficiency. The “death” status considered as the event and hospitalization days considered as the event time in cox regression