Arata Sakai1, Atsuhiro Masuda2, Takaaki Eguchi3, Takahiro Anami4, Katsuhisa Nishi5, Keisuke Furumatsu6, Yoshihiro Okabe7, Saori Kakuyama8, Yu Sato9, Chiharu Nishioka10, Tsuyoshi Sanuki11, Yosuke Yagi12, Takashi Kobayashi1, Hideyuki Shiomi1, Yuzo Kodama1. 1. Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Kobe University Graduate School of Medicine, 7-5-1 Kusunoki-cho, Chuo-ku, Kobe, 650-0071, Japan. 2. Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Kobe University Graduate School of Medicine, 7-5-1 Kusunoki-cho, Chuo-ku, Kobe, 650-0071, Japan. atmasuda@med.kobe-u.ac.jp. 3. Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Osaka Saiseikai Nakatsu Hospital, Osaka, Japan. 4. Department of Gastroenterology, Yodogawa Christian Hospital, Osaka, Japan. 5. Department of Gastroenterology, Hyogo Prefectural Awaji Medical Center, Sumoto, Japan. 6. Department of Gastroenterology, Akashi Medical Center, Akashi, Japan. 7. Department of Gastroenterology, Kakogawa Central City Hospital, Kakogawa, Japan. 8. Department of Gastroenterology, Takatsuki General Hospital, Takatsuki, Japan. 9. Department of Internal Medicine, Hyogo Prefectural Tamba Medical Center, Tamba, Japan. 10. Division of Gastroenterology, Konan Medical Center, Kobe, Japan. 11. Department of Gastroenterology, Kita-harima Medical Center, Ono, Japan. 12. Department of Internal Medicine, Shiso Municipal Hospital, Shiso, Japan.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Surgical resection of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is strongly recommended for patients exhibiting high-risk stigmata (HRS). However, determining surgical indications for elderly patients with comorbidities is challenging, as clinical outcomes are not well characterized. This multicenter observational study elucidated the clinical outcomes of patients with IPMN exhibiting HRS who did not undergo surgery. METHODS: This study enrolled 101 IPMN patients exhibiting HRS with follow-up observations at 11 hospitals in Japan (2011-2016). The median observation period was 37 months (maximum: 86 months). Primary outcomes were estimated 5-year overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS). Survival was also stratified based on HRS features. RESULTS: Of 101 patients, 32 (31.7%) had the main pancreatic duct (MPD) measuring ≥ 10 mm and 80 (79.2%) had mural nodules measuring ≥ 5 mm. The estimated 5-year OS and DSS were 74% and 91%, respectively. In the stratified analysis, the co-presence of MPD ≥ 10 mm and mural nodules ≥ 5 mm or mural nodule ≥ 10 mm were related to worse 5-year DSS (MPD ≥ 10 mm and mural nodules ≥ 5 mm vs other characteristics: 60% vs 95%, log-rank test: p = 0.049; mural nodules ≥ 10 mm vs < 10 mm: 77% vs 95%, log-rank test: p = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: The estimated 5-year DSS of conservatively managed IPMN patients with mural nodules and main duct dilation was 91%. Only IPMN patients with plural HRS or large nodule formation might have an increased mortality risk. This is an important insight that can help facilitate appropriate clinical decision-making, especially in the elderly or high-surgical risk IPMN patients.
BACKGROUND: Surgical resection of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is strongly recommended for patients exhibiting high-risk stigmata (HRS). However, determining surgical indications for elderly patients with comorbidities is challenging, as clinical outcomes are not well characterized. This multicenter observational study elucidated the clinical outcomes of patients with IPMN exhibiting HRS who did not undergo surgery. METHODS: This study enrolled 101 IPMN patients exhibiting HRS with follow-up observations at 11 hospitals in Japan (2011-2016). The median observation period was 37 months (maximum: 86 months). Primary outcomes were estimated 5-year overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS). Survival was also stratified based on HRS features. RESULTS: Of 101 patients, 32 (31.7%) had the main pancreatic duct (MPD) measuring ≥ 10 mm and 80 (79.2%) had mural nodules measuring ≥ 5 mm. The estimated 5-year OS and DSS were 74% and 91%, respectively. In the stratified analysis, the co-presence of MPD ≥ 10 mm and mural nodules ≥ 5 mm or mural nodule ≥ 10 mm were related to worse 5-year DSS (MPD ≥ 10 mm and mural nodules ≥ 5 mm vs other characteristics: 60% vs 95%, log-rank test: p = 0.049; mural nodules ≥ 10 mm vs < 10 mm: 77% vs 95%, log-rank test: p = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: The estimated 5-year DSS of conservatively managed IPMN patients with mural nodules and main duct dilation was 91%. Only IPMN patients with plural HRS or large nodule formation might have an increased mortality risk. This is an important insight that can help facilitate appropriate clinical decision-making, especially in the elderly or high-surgical risk IPMN patients.