| Literature DB >> 33102926 |
Amartya Chakraborty1, Sunanda Bose1.
Abstract
The world is going through an unprecedented crisis due to COVID-19 breakout, and people all over the world are forced to stay indoors for safety. In such a situation, the rise and fall of the number of affected cases or deaths has turned into a constant headline in most news channels. Consequently, there is a lack of positivity in the world-wide news published in different forms of media. Texts based on news articles, movie reviews, tweets, etc. are often analyzed by researchers, and mined for determining opinion or sentiment, using supervised and unsupervised methods. The proposed work takes up the challenge of mining a comprehensive set of online news texts, for determining the prevailing sentiment in the context of the ongoing pandemic, along with a statistical analysis of the relation between actual effect of COVID-19 and online news sentiment. The amount and observed delay of impact of the ground truth situation on online news is determined on a global scale, as well as at country level. The authors conclude that at a global level, the news sentiment has a good amount of dependence on the number of new cases or deaths, while the effect varies for different countries, and is also dependent on regional socio-political factors. © Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2020.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; Correlation; News agenda; News negativity; News sentiment analysis; Unsupervised opinion mining
Year: 2020 PMID: 33102926 PMCID: PMC7576103 DOI: 10.1007/s42001-020-00088-3
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Comput Soc Sci ISSN: 2432-2725
Fig. 1Illustration of the significance of the three sentiments in global news during the period of study, determined using AFINN lexicon. News with neutral sentiment has minimum presence, and positive news sentiment seems to be slowly catching up with the negativity
Fig. 2Illustration of the significance of the three sentiments on global news during the period of study, determined using Naive Bayes. News with neutral sentiment has minimum presence, and there is a substantial gap between the positivity and negativity in news sentiment
Fig. 3Statistical distribution of three sentiment polarities during the 60 days of study (using AFINN—unsupervised approach)
Fig. 4Statistical distribution of three sentiment polarities during the 60 days of study (using Naive Bayes—transfer learning approach)
Fig. 5This word-cloud highlights the specific words which are present in each day’s most negative news articles. The relatively large size of words, such as death, fatality, case, coronavirus, died, infection, and hospitalized are representative of their frequencies of occurrence during the 60-day period of study
Fig. 6Distribution of data in the three variables used for the study. a shows the distribution of data on negative indices in global news, b illustrates the characteristics of data on the number of deaths. and c gives the data distribution for the number of cases during the 60-day period of study. d illustrates a sample normal distribution
Fig. 7Illustration of the number of cases vs the characteristics of negative news sentiment for 60 days. Both the variables are kept to scale in the illustration
Fig. 8Illustration of the number of deaths due to COVID-19 vs the characteristics of negative news sentiment for 60 days. Both the variables are kept to scale in the illustration
Distribution of Pearson correlation coefficient values for global news sentiment polarity and COVID-19-related variables
| Variables | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Negativity, no. of cases | 0.08 | 0.18 | 0.36 | 0.17 | 0.06 | |
| Negativity, no. of deaths | 0.22 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.38 | 0.20 |
Maximum values of correlation corresponding to each row is indicated in bold
Fig. 9Illustration of the number of deaths due to COVID-19 vs the characteristics of negative news sentiment values shifted by a window of 3 days. Both the variables are kept to scale in the illustration
Fig. 10Illustration of the number of deaths due to COVID-19 vs the characteristics of negative news sentiment values shifted by a window of 2 days. Both the variables are kept to scale in the illustration
A set of 60 most common tri-grams
| Tri-gram | Weighted frequency |
|---|---|
| Tested positive COVID | 0.069332 |
| Tested positive coronavirus | 0.045802 |
| President Donald Trump | 0.044983 |
| Personal protective equipment | 0.039804 |
| Confirmed case COVID | 0.03488 |
| New York city | 0.03191 |
| World Health Organization | 0.028425 |
| Center disease control | 0.028324 |
| Social distancing measure | 0.026897 |
| Due coronavirus pandemic | 0.026391 |
| Confirmed COVID case | 0.024802 |
| Coronavirus disease COVID | 0.024442 |
| Disease control prevention | 0.023252 |
| Health care worker | 0.023102 |
| Amid coronavirus pandemic | 0.021448 |
| People tested positive | 0.021336 |
| Due to COVID pandemic | 0.020209 |
| John Hopkins University | 0.019181 |
| Confirmed coronavirus case | 0.019104 |
| Number confirmed case | 0.018606 |
| Number COVID case | 0.01772 |
| Number coronavirus case | 0.017468 |
| Confirmed case coronavirus | 0.017438 |
| Tested positive virus | 0.017265 |
| Social distancing guideline | 0.016958 |
| Intensive-care unit | 0.015946 |
| Spread novel coronavirus | 0.013718 |
| County health department | 0.013658 |
| Practice social distancing | 0.013599 |
| Department public health | 0.012858 |
| Coronavirus task force | 0.0126 |
| Prevent spread COVID | 0.012448 |
| Public health official | 0.011636 |
| Bringing total number | 0.011597 |
| New coronavirus case | 0.011139 |
| Prevent spread coronavirus | 0.010432 |
| Novel coronavirus COVID | 0.010243 |
| Prime Minister Boris | 0.009862 |
| Protective equipment ppe | 0.009651 |
| Slow spread coronavirus | 0.009387 |
| Long-term care facility | 0.008477 |
| Social distancing rule | 0.008442 |
| Minister Boris Johnson | 0.008237 |
| New COVID case | 0.007513 |
| Prime Minister Narendra | 0.007379 |
| Total number case | 0.007077 |
| New case COVID | 0.006727 |
| Chief medical officer | 0.006686 |
| Amid COVID pandemic | 0.004926 |
| Minister Narendra Modi | 0.004636 |
| Slow spread COVID | 0.004222 |
| Due coronavirus outbreak | 0.004134 |
| Wearing face mask | 0.004061 |
| Health human service | 0.00215 |
| Health care system | 0.002131 |
| People stay home | 0.001947 |
| Positive case COVID or Positive COVID case | 0.001921 |
| Novel coronavirus pandemic | 0.001721 |
| Wear face mask | 0.001662 |
Distribution of Pearson correlation coefficient values for sliding window-based global news sentiment regarding China and COVID-19-related statistics in that country
| Variables | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Negativity, no. of cases | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 0.17 | 0.22 | |
| Negativity, no. of deaths | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.01 |
Maximum values of correlation corresponding to each row is indicated in bold
Fig. 11Visualization of the distribution of normalized number of cases in China with the normalized global negative news sentiment about China, for the duration of maximum correlation
Fig. 12Visualization of the distribution of normalized number of deaths in China with the normalized global negative news sentiment about China, for the duration of maximum correlation
A set of online news articles that may have contributed to global news sentiment regarding China during the period of study
| Article # | News text |
|---|---|
| 1 | The World Health Organization is facing a mounting backlash over its handling of China’s cover-up of the novel coronavirus. WHO leaders, including Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, have run interference for China’s propaganda war meant to absolve the communist nation of responsibility for the global spread of COVID-19. The WHO is now under increasing pressure from experts and Republican senators. “A reevaluation of World Health Organization (WHO) leadership is urgently called for” |
| 2 | “When you have intentional, cold-blooded, premeditated action as you have with China, this would be considered first-degree murder.” Executives at large U.S. companies such as 3M and Honeywell reported to authorities that China was disallowing exports of face masks, shields, and gloves |
| 3 | All-around cooperation between China, Japan, and South Korea is essential in view of a new trend of regionalization and localization of supply chains emerging in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic. To ensure such cooperation, the three countries should push for new mechanisms of cooperation in the manufacturing sector |
| 4 | President Donald Trump has threatened to put a “very powerful” hold on US funding to the World Health Organization, accusing the UN agency of being “very China centric” and criticising it for having “missed the call” in its response to the coronavirus pandemic. Trump slammed the global health agency for its early guidance aimed at countering the international spread of the coronavirus |
| 5 | Among those who have spoken out against the Chinese government’s role in the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic, are the US secretary of state Mike Pompeo and French Nobel Laureate Luc Montagnier, the co-discoverer of HIV. It came from the scientific labs in Wuhan – that host China’s only and the highest rated Level 4 microbiology lab—and not from the Chinese ’wet’ animal markets, claim those in the know. Given China’s public relations drive, countries that are either financially weak or dependent on Chinese handouts, are not willing to speak up, choosing to play safe |
| 6 | Missouri’s lawsuit was immediately praised by supporters of the president and many Republican congressional counterparts Tuesday: “Huge news. Given the lies and disinformation from China throughout this process a very appropriate move. Therefore, many lives and jobs lost that could have been avoided!” tweeted Donald Trump Jr., praising the legal action Tuesday. Republican lawmakers made Missouri the first state to file a lawsuit against the Chinese government over the country’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic |
| 7 | The Wuhan-originated novel coronavirus that globally killed around 180,000 people so far have mutated into at least 30 different genetic variations, according to a new study in China. The study conducted by professor Li Lanjuan and others from Zhejiang University in Hangzhou was published in a non-peer-reviewed paper released on Sunday |
| 8 | A 103-year-old Chinese grandmother has made a full recovery from COVID-19 after being treated for 6 days in Wuhan, China |
| 9 | While China shut down the last of its several makeshift hospitals in Wuhan following a decline in domestically transmitted COVID-19 cases, its recent attempt to ease lockdown restrictions resulted in thousands of people crowding one of its popular tourist spots in the country, throwing social distancing caution to the winds |
| 10 | In the battle against the novel coronavirus outbreak, many of the country’s top epidemiologists and physicians, who are also members of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, worked in Wuhan, Hubei Province, the city hardest hit by the epidemic in China. On the front line of the battle, along with 40,000 medical workers from all over China, they helped the city gradually return to normal |
| 11 | Cars queued up at expressway toll gates and passengers prepared to board trains and planes to leave Wuhan, Hubei province at midnight. The city, the hardest-hit area by the COVID-19 outbreak on the Chinese mainland, reopened on Wednesday after a 76-day lockdown |
Distribution of Pearson correlation coefficient values for sliding window-based global news sentiment regarding the United States of America and COVID-19-related statistics in that country
| Variables | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Negativity, no. of cases | − 0.05 | 0.05 | − 0.02 | 0.10 | − 0.16 | |
| Negativity, no. of deaths | − 0.24 | − 0.25 | 0.01 | − 0.10 | − 0.02 |
Maximum values of correlation corresponding to each row is indicated in bold
Fig. 13Visualization of the distribution of normalized number of cases in USA with the normalized global negative news sentiment about USA, for the duration of maximum correlation
Fig. 14Visualization of the distribution of normalized number of deaths in USA with the normalized global negative news sentiment about USA, for the duration of maximum correlation
A set of online news articles that may have contributed to global news sentiment regarding USA during the period of study
| Article # | News text |
|---|---|
| 1 | Across America, some leaders are responding swiftly and sagely. New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo and California Gov. Gavin Newsom quickly ramped up state efforts, requiring social distancing and ordering many establishments to close. In Washington, D.C., President Donald Trump refuses to take basic steps using federal power to supply local and state governments with what they need for looming coronavirus demands |
| 2 | “I’m frightened, for my patients, my colleagues, my family and my own health, both mental and physical.” by Dr. Tom Inglesby. “We shouldn’t be considering the relaxing of strong social distancing measures until we have drastically slowed the rate of spread, dealt with our dire shortages of supplies and diagnostic capacity and prepared our health care system to deal with surges in patients.” Dr. Tom Frieden spoke with USA TODAY’s Editorial Board on Tuesday as New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo warned that the new coronavirus is ’spiking’ in his state and President Donald Trump said he wants ’the country opened up and just raring to go by Easter.’ Frieden is a former director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and former New York City health commissioner |
| 3 | More than 1100 people with COVID-19 have now died in the US. However, President Donald Trump still wishes to relax social distancing guidelines for some parts of the states. As the USA overtook China President Trump simply cast doubt on the numbers coming out of Beijing |
| 4 | More than 800,000 physicians across the country signed a letter urging President Donald Trump to keep social distancing practices in place after he said he wants to reopen businesses by Easter. “Significant COVID-19 transmission continues across the United States, and we need your leadership in supporting science-based recommendations on social distancing that can slow the virus,” the letter, released by the Council of Medical Specialty Societies, said. “Our societies have closely adhered to these measures by moving our staff to fulltime telework and canceling in-person meetings (including annual meetings). These actions have helped to keep physicians and other health professionals in health care facilities, including hospitals, and reduce the risk of spreading COVID-19” |
| 5 | Health care workers say that they are being asked to reuse and ration disposable masks and gloves. A shortage of ventilators, crucial for treating serious COVID-19 cases, has also become critical, as has a lack of test kits to comply with the World Health Organization’s exhortations to test as many people as possible. In the United States, a fierce political battle over ventilators has emerged, especially after President Donald Trump told state governors that they should find their own medical equipment if they think they can get it faster than the U.S. government |
| 6 | President Donald Trump signed into law the unprecedented $2 trillion economic stimulus package Friday, capping a week that saw markets yo-yo as recession concerns grew world-wide. Now that the package has been signed into action, attention turns to how quickly the U.S. Treasury and other departments can distribute checks to individual Americans and businesses grappling with the ongoing effects of COVID-19. It could prove to be a Herculean effort to flood the money into the economy quick enough to prevent more job losses and businesses going under |
| 7 | President Donald Trump signed an unprecedented $2.2 trillion economic rescue package into law after swift and near-unanimous action by Congress to support businesses, rush resources to overburdened health care providers, and help struggling families during the deepening coronavirus epidemic. Acting with unity and resolve unseen since the 9/11 attacks, Washington moved urgently to stem an economic free fall caused by widespread restrictions meant to slow the spread of the virus that have shuttered schools, closed businesses and brought American life in many places to a virtual standstill. “This will deliver urgently needed relief,” Trump said as he signed the bill Friday in the Oval Office, flanked only by Republican lawmakers |
| 8 | China and the United States should “unite to fight” the deadly coronavirus pandemic, President Xi Jinping said in a call with Donald Trump on Friday, as he called for the US to improve relations. China’s Xi, speaking with Trump, calls on U.S. to improve relations. Chinese President Xi Jinping told U.S. President Donald Trump during a phone call on Friday that he hopes the United States will take substantive action to improve bilateral ties |
| 9 | Trump was responding to a question on the virtual commencement address by Obama a day earlier. US President Donald Trump on Sunday called his predecessor Barak Obama a ’grossly incompetent president’. The Trump’s reaction came after Obama on Saturday criticised the US authorities’ response to the coronavirus outbreak |
| 10 | US President Donald Trump has said that he does not want to talk to his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping right now, indicating his displeasure at the Chinese leadership’s handling of the coronavirus outbreak which has now spread across the world, killing over 4.5 million people. “Just don’t want to talk to him right now. We will see what happens over the next little while,” |
| 11 | Advocacy group Public Citizen encouraged the House of Representatives to pass the Heroes Act, a new piece of coronavirus relief legislation that would include $75 billion for expanding testing capacity. Public Citizen and the school health officials called on the Senate and the White House to address the allegedly inadequate testing capacity throughout the country. “Until an enormous national program of testing and contact tracing is fully funded and implemented, the ongoing varying attempts by states to reopen American businesses—even partially—are fatally flawed and pure folly,” said the director of Public Citizen’s Health Research Group Dr. Michael Carome |
| 12 | US President Donald Trump has confirmed that his administration has asked for the withdrawal of billions of dollars in American pension fund investments in China and that other similar actions are under consideration. The US and China relations have deteriorated after the coronavirus outbreak |
| 13 | President Donald Trump attacked the United Nations health body as a Chinese “puppet” on Monday and confirmed he is considering slashing or cancelling US support. “They’re a puppet of China, they’re China-centric to put it nicer,” he said at the White House. Trump said the United States pays around $450 million annually to the World Health Organization, the largest contribution of any country. Plans are being crafted to slash this because “we’re not treated right. They gave us a lot of bad advice,” he said of the WHO |
Distribution of Pearson correlation coefficient values for sliding window-based global news sentiment regarding Italy and COVID-19-related statistics in that country
| Variables | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Negativity, no. of cases | 0.39 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.43 | 0.42 | |
| Negativity, no. of deaths | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.48 |
Fig. 15Visualization of the distribution of normalized number of cases in Italy with the normalized global negative news sentiment about Italy, for the duration of maximum correlation
Fig. 16Visualization of the distribution of normalized number of deaths in Italy with the normalized global negative news sentiment about Italy, for the duration of maximum correlation
A representative set of online news articles that may have contributed to global news sentiment regarding Italy during the period of study
| Article # | News text |
|---|---|
| 1 | Italy’s death toll continues falling, lockdown to be lifted evenly Italy’s overall fight to contain the spread of the coronavirus continued to show results, with the number of deaths, intensive-care cases, and new infections all trending downward, based on information from the Ministry of Health and the country’s Civil Protection Department on Sunday. Italy’s daily death toll continued to fall as a further 433 people had died of COVID-19 in the past 24 hours, raising the country’s death toll to 23,660, official data showed |
| 2 | President of the Chamber of Deputies of the Parliament of the Italian Republic, Roberto Fico thanked his Greek colleagues for the symbolic gesture of solidarity for Italy who is suffering a major coronavirus emergency. The Italian flag will be illuminated on Greek Parliament until Monday’s sunrise. “Thanks to the Greek friends,” Fico wrote when he retweeted the post by the Italian Embassy in Athens, which read: “From tonight and throughout the weekend the #Parlamento Greco will be illuminated by the #tricolor” |
| 3 | The French lockdown, in place since March 17, has been particularly tough for families jammed together in small apartments in the poorer Paris suburbs. Paris police are facing a modest uptick of unrest in the oft-troubled suburbs of the locked-down French capital, making a small number of arrests after fires were set and fireworks lobbed to shatter the calm imposed by stay-home measures to counter the coronavirus |
Distribution of Pearson correlation coefficient values for sliding window-based global news sentiment regarding India and COVID-19-related statistics in that country
| Variables | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Negativity, no. of cases | − 0.24 | − 0.25 | − 0.19 | − 0.15 | − | − |
| Negativity, no. of deaths | − 0.19 | − 0.23 | − 0.23 | − 0.14 | − | − 0.12 |
Maximum values of correlation corresponding to each row is indicated in bold
Fig. 17Visualization of the distribution of normalized number of cases in India with the normalized global negative news sentiment about India, for the duration of maximum correlation
Fig. 18Visualization of the distribution of normalized number of deaths in India with the normalized global negative news sentiment about India, for the duration of maximum correlation
A representative set of online news articles that may have contributed initially to global news sentiment regarding India
| Article # | News text |
|---|---|
| 1 | Mumbai Police Friday arrested three men for allegedly storing 5000 bottles of hand sanitiser, worth an estimated Rs 2.5 lakh, at a flat in Mahim and illegally selling them above their maximum retail prices. The crime branch raided the flat after it received information that 100 ml bottles of hand sanitiser were being sold for Rs 65, which was Rs 15 more than the MRP |
| 2 | The National Commission of Women NCW has received over 250 complaints, since the country-wide lockdown was imposed to control the spread of coronavirus out of which 69 were cases of domestic violence which it said has been increasing since then. Since the lockdown was imposed, a total of 257 complaints related to various offences against women were received out of which 69 complaints are related to domestic violence the data released by the NCW showed. NCW chairperson Rekha Sharma said the number of cases of domestic violence must be much higher, but the women are scared to complain due to constant presence of their abuser at home |
| 3 | For hours on March 29, family and friends of a 45-year-old man from Ludhiana’s Chakki village refused to touch his body fearing that he had succumbed to the deadly coronavirus. Villagers refused to allow a cremation without a medical test into the reasons behind the cough and fever that took his life. The final rites could only be performed after the state’s Health Department intervened and allayed fears |
| 4 | Kumar said, his union is in touch with nearly 1000 families who need the rations urgently, having lost incomes for over a week now. For lakhs of migrant workers in Maharashtra, lack of clear information has continued to cause anxiety, especially after the Centre and state governments issued instructions Sunday to prevent them from attempting to return to their native places. Their biggest concern being accessible accommodation and food for the remainder of the 21-day lockdown period. “What’s going to happen will be reminiscent of the Bengal famine” |
| 5 | “While no definite conclusion can be drawn, this is probably due to the circumspection on the part of victims in reporting such incidents due to the presence of the perpetrators in the house and the fear of further violence if such attempt to report were made known to the perpetrator”, the commission had said. It had also said that the cases of molestation, sexual assault, rape, kidnapping, and stalking have decreased manifold presumably, since a large number of these incidents take place outside the domestic setting and by third parties. AICHLS in its plea has contended that incidents of domestic violence and child abuse have gripped not only India, but countries such as Australia UK and USA, and the reports suggest that countries are witnessing a horrific surge in domestic violence cases |
| 6 | The video showed around 40 migrant workers sitting on the roadside in full clothes, including women, while water jets were showered on them through fire tenders by men in white protective kit. In the video, one of the officials is heard asking the migrants to keep their eyes shut |
| 7 | After the lockdown announcement, the badli workers in West Bengal’s jute mills are the worst affected out of the lot |
| 8 | “We may survive from corona but not hunger”: Bengal’s daily wage workers struggle for survival. In India, thousands of workers are lining up twice a day for bread and fried vegetables to keep hunger at bay |
| 9 | Job loss pay cuts worry Indians the most during lockdown: Survey. Every 1 in 5 Indians is now worried about losing his or her job as the coronavirus pandemic has shut industries and businesses in India, a new survey warned on Wednesday. According to the survey conducted by YouGov, an Internet-based market research and data analytics firm, some Indians worry about the economic impact of the virus such as losing their jobs (20%), getting a pay cut (16%), or not getting a bonus or increment this year (8%) |