| Literature DB >> 33101595 |
M Bechtold1,2, G J M De Lannoy1, R D Koster3, R H Reichle3, S P Mahanama3,4, W Bleuten5, M A Bourgault6, C Brümmer7, I Burdun8, A R Desai9, K Devito10, T Grünwald11, M Grygoruk12, E R Humphreys13, J Klatt14, J Kurbatova15, A Lohila16,17, T M Munir18, M B Nilsson19, J S Price20, M Röhl21, A Schneider22, B Tiemeyer7.
Abstract
Peatlands are poorly represented in global Earth system modeling frameworks. Here we add a peatland-specific land surface hydrology module (PEAT-CLSM) to the Catchment Land Surface Model (CLSM) of the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) framework. The amended TOPMODEL approach of the original CLSM that uses topography characteristics to model catchment processes is discarded, and a peatland-specific model concept is realized in its place. To facilitate its utilization in operational GEOS efforts, PEAT-CLSM uses the basic structure of CLSM and the same global input data. Parameters used in PEAT-CLSM are based on literature data. A suite of CLSM and PEAT-CLSM simulations for peatland areas between 40°N and 75°N is presented and evaluated against a newly compiled data set of groundwater table depth and eddy covariance observations of latent and sensible heat fluxes in natural and seminatural peatlands. CLSM's simulated groundwater tables are too deep and variable, whereas PEAT-CLSM simulates a mean groundwater table depth of -0.20 m (snow-free unfrozen period) with moderate temporal fluctuations (standard deviation of 0.10 m), in significantly better agreement with in situ observations. Relative to an operational CLSM version that simply includes peat as a soil class, the temporal correlation coefficient is increased on average by 0.16 and reaches 0.64 for bogs and 0.66 for fens when driven with global atmospheric forcing data. In PEAT-CLSM, runoff is increased on average by 38% and evapotranspiration is reduced by 19%. The evapotranspiration reduction constitutes a significant improvement relative to eddy covariance measurements.Entities:
Year: 2019 PMID: 33101595 PMCID: PMC7580791 DOI: 10.1029/2018MS001574
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Adv Model Earth Syst ISSN: 1942-2466 Impact factor: 6.660
Figure 1.Schematic illustration of the two different spatial scales across which (a) CLSM and (b) PEAT-CLSM integrate groundwater table depth and soil moisture variability, shown here for the (light brown) catchment deficit variable under hydrostatic equilibrium conditions.
Overview of Studies With Quantitative Information on Microtopography
| Microtopography information (m) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reference | Peatland type and location | Maximum to minimum elevation | Mean elevation difference between hummock and hollow | Standard deviation of elevations |
| Bog (Schechenfilz, Germany) | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.06 to 0.09 | |
| Bog (Howland, USA) | 0.6 | 0.29 +/− 0.09 | n/a | |
| Bog (Caribou, USA) | 0.6 | 0.43 +/− 0.12 | n/a | |
| Bog (Akhult, Sweden) | n/a | 0.2 to 0.3 | n/a | |
| various bogs (Irland) | n/a | 0.4 | n/a | |
| Bog (Mer Bleue, Canada) | n/a | 0.25 | 0.07 | |
| Bog (S1-Bog, USA) | n/a | 0.3 | n/a | |
| Fen (Lehstenbach, Germany) | 0.6 | 0.2 to 0.4 | n/a | |
| Bog-Fen complex (Lac Saint-Jean, Canada) | n/a | 0.3 | n/a | |
| Fen (Experimental Lakes Area, Canada) | n/a | 0.28 | n/a | |
Figure 2.Relationship between total runoff Q (mm/day) and spatial mean groundwater table depth . Field observations were extracted from Weiss et al. (2006) and include data from (blue) a fen and (light brown) a bog site. The runoff function of PEAT-CLSM is shown as a green line.
Overview of the Model Configurations, Land Model Parameters, and Boundary Conditions of the Simulation Experiments ExpA, ExpB, and ExpC
| Simulation experiment | ExpA | ExpB | ExpC |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLSM Version | SMAP L4_SM Version 3 | SMAP L4_SM Version 3 | PEAT-CLSM |
| Peat soil | No | Yes | Yes |
| Soil hydraulic parameters | Textural input from NGDC ( | ||
| Topography/catchments | HYDRO1k (USGS) | No topography input used | |
| Meteorological forcing | MERRA-2 ( | ||
| Land cover | USGS Global Land Cover Characteristics Data Base Version 2.0 (GLCCv2), | ||
| Leaf area index (LAI) | Hybrid of Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and GEOLAND2 ( | ||
| Greeness fraction | GSWP-2 ( | ||
| Albedo | Estimated by a modified Simple Biosphere Model (SiB) albedo parameterization scheme and (for the snow-free fraction) scaled by MODIS albedo climatology ( | ||
Figure 3.(a) Retention curves and (b) corresponding unsaturated hydraulic conductivity curves (if available) for the acrotelm peat layer from a range of studies (different colors), including the functions used in CLSM (De Lannoy et al., 2014) and PEAT-CLSM, with variables as explained in equations (4) and (5). Full lines pertain to average or deeper parts of the acrotelm, whereas dashed variants of the curves apply to shallower horizons within the acrotelm.
Figure 4.Distribution of (gray) peat soils in the temperate, boreal, and subarctic zone of the Northern Hemisphere based on De Lannoy et al. (2014), with the red line indicating the boundary of continuous permafrost (Brown et al., 1997). Markers locate peatland complexes (Table A1) with (filled circles) one or more groundwater table sites and (bold edge) additional eddy covariance data in (a) bogs and (b) fens.
Overview of Peatland Sites (Grouped by Country and Alphabetically Sorted) With Groundwater Table Depth and Eddy Covariance (EC) Data That Were Used for Evaluation
| Site code | Site/area name | Lat (°) | Lon (°) | # WT and period | # EC and period | *MAP | *MAT (°C) | Peatland type | Dominant vegetation | References |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY_berez_* | Rozhnianskaje | 54.7554–54.7556 | 28.2806–28.2815 | 4[ | 0 | 572 | 5.5 | bog | Sphagnum mosses and spruce | n/a |
| BY_azery_* | Azery | 53.8121–53.8229 | 24.2199–24.245 | 2[ | 0 | 560 | 6.8 | fen | Sphagnum mosses and spruce | |
| BY_svanets_aw | Zvaniec | 52.033 | 24.8515 | 1[ | 0 | 521 | 7.6 | fen | Brown mosses and sedges | |
| BY_dok_log1.2 | Dakudauskaje | 53.7997 | 25.4426 | 1[ | 0 | 568 | 6.4 | bog | Sphagnum mosses and spruce | |
| BY_eig_f0910 | Sparauskaje-Vysokaje | 52.4011 | 25.0979 | 1[ | 0 | 527 | 7.3 | fen | Sphagnum mosses and spruce | |
| BY_sp_zdit_ghg | Sparauskaje-Zditava | 52.4207 | 25.2703 | 1[ | 0 | 527 | 7.3 | fen | Sedges | |
| BY_scara_3 | Scara | 52.7876 | 25.7829 | 1[ | 0 | 537 | 6.9 | fen | Sedges | |
| BY_sp-pesch-p1 | Sparauskaje-Pescanka | 52.4516 | 25.0399 | 1[ | 0 | 527 | 7.3 | fen | Sedges and willows | |
| BY_sp_vy_p1 | Sparauskaje-Vysokaje | 52.4016 | 25.1029 | 1[ | 0 | 527 | 7.3 | fen | Sedges and willows | |
| BY_yelnia_* | Jelnia | 55.5434–55.5732 | 27.8203–27.828 | 1[ | 0 | 590 | 5.4 | bog | Sphagnum mosses and spruce | |
| CA_FOM_PAUCI | Pauciflora Basin, Fort McMurray | 56.3751 | −111.2342 | 1[ | 0 | 394 | 0.5 | fen | Mosses, shrubs, sparse larches, and spruces | |
| CA_FOM_POP | Poplar Fen, Fort McMurray | 56.9333 | −111.5333 | 1[ | 0 | 362 | 0.3 | fen | Mosses, larches, and spruces | |
| CA_FOM_SAL | Fort McMurray | 56.5747 | −111.2773 | 1[ | 0 | 389 | 0.4 | fen | Grasses, birches, and willows | |
| CA_MER | Mer Bleue | 45.4094 | −75.5186 | 1[ | 1[ | 735 | 6 | bog | Mosses and shrubs | |
| CA_WP1 | Canadian western | 54.9538 | −112.467 | 1[ | 1[ | 336 | 2.4 | fen | Trees, shrubs, and mosses | |
| CA_WP2 | peatland flux stations | 55.5375 | −112.3343 | 1[ | 1[ | 359 | 1.5 | fen | Shrubs, grasses, and mosses | |
| CA_WP3 | 54.47 | −113.32 | 1[ | 1[ | 364 | 3 | fen | Grasses and mosses | ||
| CA_SK_FEN | Sandhill fen, Saskatchewan | 53.8021 | −104.618 | 1[ | 0 | 375 | 1.1 | fen | Larches, shrubs, sedges, and mosses | |
| CA_URSA_171_1 | Utikuma Region Study Area | 55.9809 | −115.1885 | 1[ | 0 | 388 | 1.8 | bog | Spruce trees, shrubs, and mosses | |
| CA_URSA_171_15 | Utikuma Region Study Area | 55.98 | −115.19 | 1[ | 0 | 388 | 1.8 | fen | Spruce trees, shrubs, and mosses | |
| CA_WA_CTRL | Wandering River | 55.3539 | −112.5177 | 1[ | 0 | 349 | 1.9 | bog | Trees, shrubs, and mosses | |
| CA_LAW_SSE | Sainte-Séraphine, St. Lawrence lowlands (LAW) | 46.042 | −72.345 | 1[ | 0 | 817 | 5.4 | bog | Mosses and shrubs | |
| CA_LAW_LCY | Lac Cypres, LAW | 45.95 | −72.187 | 1[ | 0 | 828 | 5.2 | bog | Mosses and shrubs | |
| CA_LAW_VIC | Victoriaville, LAW | 46.023 | −72.077 | 1[ | 0 | 829 | 5.1 | bog | Mosses and shrubs | |
| CA_LAW_VR | Villeroy, LAW | 46.376 | −71.838 | 1[ | 0 | 815 | 4.8 | bog | Mosses, shrubs, and sedges | |
| CA_LAW_ISO | Issoudun, LAW | 46.579 | −71.597 | 1[ | 0 | 807 | 4.5 | bog | Mosses, shrubs, and sedges | |
| CA_LAW_CH | Covey Hill, LAW | 45.008 | −73.828 | 1[ | 0 | 769 | 6.7 | bog | Mosses, shrubs, and sedges | |
| DE_AF_* | Ahlenmoor | 53.6859–53.6901 | 8.8272–8.8362 | 8[ | 0 | 774 | 9.2 | bog | Mosses, grasses, shrubs, and sparse birches | |
| DE_BM_* | Bourtanger Moor | 52.6551–52.6559 | 7.1818–7.1839 | 5[ | 1[ | 750 | 9.5 | bog | Mosses, shrubs, grasses, sparse birches, and pines | |
| DE_SFS_* | Schechenfilz | 47.81 | 11.33 | 5[ | 1[ | 967 | 7.9 | bog | Mosses, pines, and shrubs | |
| DE_BIR_* | Birkenried | 47.9473–47.9498 | 8.5741–8.5797 | 5[ | 0 | 923 | 8.1 | fen | Sedges and willows | n/a |
| DE_REM_K2 | Kissleg | 47.8227 | 9.9 | 1[ | 0 | 975 | 8.4 | bog | Mosses, shrubs, and pines | |
| DE_HMB_* | Bissendorfer Moor | 52.4981–52.5037 | 9.663–9.6866 | 3[ | 0 | 676 | 9.2 | bog | Mosses and shrubs | n/a |
| DE_AKM_* | Anklam | 53.8662–53.8665 | 13.6818–13.6834 | 2[ | 1[ | 592 | 8.7 | fen | Willows, reed, and sedges | n/a |
| EE_MAE_kaev_* | Männikjärve | 58.8773–58.8789 | 26.2163–26.2217 | 2[ | 0 | 556 | 5 | bog | Mosses, shrubs, grasses, and sparse dwarf pines | |
| FI_HA | Halssiaapa | 67.3686 | 26.6541 | 1[ | 0 | 463 | −0.6 | fen | Mosses and sedges | |
| FI_LOM | Lompolojankka | 67.9972 | 24.2092 | 1[ | 1[ | 450 | −0.8 | fen | Willows, sedges, shrubs, and mosses | |
| PL_BNP_* | Biebrza National Park | 53.349–53.7123 | 22.5718–23.3642 | 12[ | 0 | 548 | 7 | fen | treeT, shrubs, and sedges | |
| RU_MU_* | Mukhrino | 60.8877–60.892 | 68.658–68.6837 | 4[ | 0 | 468 | −1.7 | bog[ | Mosses, sedges, shrubs, and dwarf trees | |
| RU_STA | Staroselsky Moch Hollow | 56.474 | 33.04 | 1[ | 0 | 612 | 4 | bog | Mosses, sedges, and trees | |
| SE_DEG | Degero Stormyr | 64.1833 | 19.55 | 1[ | 1[ | 555 | 2.1 | fen | Shrubs, sedges, and mosses | |
| SE_FAJ | Fäjemyr | 56.2655 | 13.5535 | 1[ | 1[ | 775 | 7.4 | bog | Shrubs, sedges, and mosses | |
| US_LOS | Lost Creek shrub fen | 46.0827 | −89.9792 | 1[ | 1[ | 656 | 4.7 | fen | Trees, shrubs, and sedges | |
| US_S1_* | SI Bog of SPRUCE Project | 47.5029 | −93.4828 | 2[ | 0 | 560 | 4.2 | bog | Trees, shrubs, and mosses |
Note. Sites of the same peatland complex were aggregated. Lat: latitude; Lon: longitude; #WT: number of groundwater table depth monitoring wells; #EC: number of eddy covariance sites; MAP: long-term mean annual MERRA-2 precipitation (1987–2017); MAT: long-term mean annual MERRA-2 air temperature (1987–2017).
bog-fen complex: Fen areas receive groundwater from raised ombrotrophic bog parts and not from mineral aquifers, which represents a specific scenario in the data set. All monitoring wells of RU_MU_* were treated as bogs in summary statistics.
Data owner/source.
University of Greifswald, Institute of Botany and Landscape Ecology, Germany (Annett Schneider)
Wetland Hydrology Lab, University of Waterloo, Canada
Carleton University, Trent University and McGill University, FLUXNET CANADA TEAM (2016)
Department of Biological Sciences, University of Lethbridge, Canada, FLUXNET CANADA TEAM (2016)
Garth van der Kamp (Environment Canada, Montreal); Global Institute for Water Security, University of Saskatchewan
Department of Biological Sciences, University of Alberta, Canada, HEAD RESEARCH
Tariq Munir, University of Calgary, Sun Gro Horticulture Canada
Marc André Bourgault, Université du Québec à Montréal
Thuenen Institute for Climate Smart Agriculture, Braunschweig, Germany
Institute for Meteorology and Climatology – -Atmospheric Environmental Research (IMK-IFU), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany
Markus Röhl Hochschule für Wirtschaft und Umwelt Nürtingen
Region Hannover
Thomas Gruenwald, Technische Universität Dresden, Institute of Hydrology and Meteorology, Tharandt, Germany
University of Tartu, Tooma mire research station
Finnish Meteorological Institute, http://litdb.fmi.fi/peatland.php
Annalea Lohila; Fluxnet; European fluxes database
Mateusz Grygoruk, Warsaw University of Life Sciences-SGGW, Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering
Wladimir Bleuten, Utrecht University, The Netherlands
Juliya Kurbatova, A. N. Severtsov Institute of Ecology and Evolution of Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
Mats B. Nilsson, Department of Forest Ecology and& Management, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Sweden
Magnus Lund, European Fluxes Database Cluster
Ankur R. Desai, University of Wisconsin
Oak Ridge National Laboratory, https://mnspruce.ornl.gov/.
Figure 5.Long-term (1 January 1988 through 31 December 2017) (a) time-averaged spatial mean groundwater table depth (), (b) temporal standard deviation of , (c) time-averaged spatial mean volumetric soil moisture in the top 5 cm of the soil, <θ5cm>, and (d) temporal standard deviation of θ5cm (σ), for all three 9-km resolution simulations in ExpA, ExpB, and ExpC. Long-term statistics were computed with daily data from nonfrozen and snow-free periods. The titles include the spatial mean (m) and standard deviation (s) for 40°N to 75°N.
Figure 6.Groundwater table depth (a) bias (model-minus-observation), (b) root-mean-squared difference (RMSD), (c) unbiased root-mean-squared difference (ubRMSD), (d) time series correlation coefficient (R), and (e) anomaly time series correlation coefficient (anomR) for the 30″ simulations (ExpA, ExpB, and ExpC), computed separately for bogs and fens. Bog metrics are based on 55 sites collected into 14 regional clusters. Fen metrics are based on 39 sites collected into 11 regional clusters. The anomR metric is computed from slightly fewer sites (44 and 38, respectively, with 11 clusters each). The time period (1988–2017) varies per site depending on data availability and the length of snow and freezing periods, which were excluded. Also shown are 95% confidence intervals.
Skill Metrics for Groundwater Table Depth at the 94 Groundwater Table Sites
| Site | Type | BIAS (m) | RMSD (m) | ubRMSD (m) | anomR (−) | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ExpA | ExpB | ExpC | ExpA | ExpB | ExpC | ExpA | ExpB | ExpC | ExpA | ExpB | ExpC | ExpA | ExpB | ExpC | ||
| BY_berez01 | Bog | −0.86 | −1.70 | 0.06 | 1.05 | 1.81 | 0.11 | 0.61 | 0.60 | 0.09 | 0.46 | 0.44 | 0.55 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| BY_berez03 | Bog | −1.12 | −1.97 | −0.18 | 1.27 | 2.06 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.59 | 0.09 | 0.46 | 0.44 | 0.55 | 0.28 | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| BY_berez04 | Bog | −1.09 | −1.94 | −0.15 | 1.25 | 2.03 | 0.18 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.09 | 0.40 | 0.36 | 0.58 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| BY_berz02 | Bog | −1.13 | −1.98 | −0.19 | 1.27 | 2.07 | 0.21 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.09 | 0.48 | 0.41 | 0.62 | 0.45 | 0.32 | 0.44 |
| BY_dok_log1.2_17752 | Bog | −2.22 | −3.42 | −0.14 | 2.32 | 3.44 | 0.15 | 0.68 | 0.42 | 0.05 | 0.84 | 0.82 | 0.91 | - | - | - |
| BY_yelnia-1 | Bog | −1.47 | −2.38 | −0.13 | 1.61 | 2.43 | 0.15 | 0.68 | 0.48 | 0.08 | 0.81 | 0.66 | 0.81 | 0.52 | 0.08 | 0.72 |
| BY_yelnia-2 | Bog | −1.39 | −2.31 | −0.06 | 1.57 | 2.37 | 0.10 | 0.73 | 0.55 | 0.08 | 0.43 | 0.23 | 0.83 | 0.28 | −0.16 | 0.69 |
| BY_yelnia-3 | Bog | −1.47 | −2.38 | −0.09 | 1.64 | 2.44 | 0.12 | 0.73 | 0.53 | 0.08 | 0.45 | 0.23 | 0.79 | 0.39 | −0.09 | 0.65 |
| BY_yelnia4 | Bog | −1.07 | −1.91 | 0.08 | 1.28 | 1.99 | 0.10 | 0.71 | 0.54 | 0.06 | 0.71 | 0.56 | 0.74 | 0.44 | 0.08 | 0.62 |
| BY_yelnia5 | Bog | −1.17 | −2.01 | −0.02 | 1.36 | 2.08 | 0.07 | 0.70 | 0.53 | 0.07 | 0.83 | 0.73 | 0.65 | 0.51 | 0.22 | 0.55 |
| BY_yelnia6 | Bog | −1.26 | −2.10 | −0.11 | 1.43 | 2.16 | 0.15 | 0.68 | 0.50 | 0.11 | 0.80 | 0.71 | 0.50 | 0.34 | 0.02 | 0.32 |
| BY_yelnia-7 | Bog | −1.22 | −2.08 | −0.12 | 1.39 | 2.14 | 0.16 | 0.67 | 0.52 | 0.11 | 0.73 | 0.50 | 0.68 | 0.57 | 0.00 | 0.63 |
| BY_yelnia-8 | Bog | −1.21 | −2.06 | −0.06 | 1.41 | 2.13 | 0.09 | 0.73 | 0.56 | 0.07 | 0.54 | 0.36 | 0.57 | 0.18 | −0.20 | 0.29 |
| BY_yelnia-9 | Bog | −1.16 | −2.01 | −0.01 | 1.34 | 2.07 | 0.07 | 0.68 | 0.51 | 0.07 | 0.85 | 0.70 | 0.71 | 0.59 | 0.22 | 0.65 |
| CA_LAW_CH | Bog | −0.77 | −3.16 | −0.16 | 0.80 | 3.18 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.10 | 0.75 | 0.80 | 0.72 | - | - | - |
| CA_LAW_ISO | Bog | −0.74 | −0.96 | −0.04 | 0.95 | 1.15 | 0.07 | 0.59 | 0.64 | 0.06 | 0.38 | 0.37 | 0.32 | - | - | - |
| CA_LAW_LCY | Bog | −1.16 | −1.45 | 0.24 | 1.33 | 1.54 | 0.25 | 0.65 | 0.52 | 0.07 | 0.52 | 0.50 | 0.61 | - | - | - |
| CA_LAW_SSE | Bog | −1.11 | −1.60 | 0.21 | 1.31 | 1.69 | 0.22 | 0.70 | 0.54 | 0.06 | 0.40 | 0.35 | 0.70 | - | - | - |
| CA_LAW_VIC | Bog | −1.26 | −1.79 | 0.01 | 1.43 | 1.87 | 0.05 | 0.67 | 0.54 | 0.04 | 0.49 | 0.43 | 0.73 | - | - | - |
| CA_LAW_VR | Bog | −0.99 | −1.17 | −0.03 | 1.13 | 1.28 | 0.05 | 0.54 | 0.52 | 0.04 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 0.59 | - | - | - |
| CA_MER | Bog | −2.98 | −3.79 | 0.01 | 3.20 | 3.83 | 0.10 | 1.17 | 0.55 | 0.10 | 0.64 | 0.57 | 0.78 | 0.59 | 0.46 | 0.68 |
| CA_URSA_171_1 | Bog | −1.77 | −2.71 | 0.02 | 1.80 | 2.73 | 0.18 | 0.36 | 0.35 | 0.18 | 0.35 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.30 | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| CA_WA_CTRL | Bog | −4.55 | −6.53 | −0.23 | 4.56 | 6.53 | 0.26 | 0.23 | 0.17 | 0.12 | −0.14 | −0.16 | −0.07 | −0.54 | −0.56 | −0.48 |
| DE_AF_af_naturnah_sp | Bog | −1.73 | −2.86 | −0.22 | 1.86 | 2.91 | 0.23 | 0.70 | 0.52 | 0.09 | 0.55 | 0.44 | 0.77 | 0.47 | 0.33 | 0.67 |
| DE_AF_af_noerd5seen_6041 | Bog | −1.73 | −2.86 | −0.24 | 1.87 | 2.91 | 0.26 | 0.71 | 0.52 | 0.09 | 0.54 | 0.41 | 0.73 | 0.32 | 0.15 | 0.54 |
| DE_AF_af_noerdhochfl_2415 | Bog | −1.72 | −2.86 | −0.23 | 1.87 | 2.91 | 0.26 | 0.74 | 0.54 | 0.10 | 0.44 | 0.33 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.27 | 0.63 |
| DE_AF_af_pegelwest_5432 | Bog | −1.75 | −2.83 | −0.22 | 1.89 | 2.89 | 0.24 | 0.72 | 0.55 | 0.09 | 0.45 | 0.32 | 0.76 | 0.35 | 0.28 | 0.65 |
| DE_AF_af_seepegel_5888 | Bog | −1.67 | −2.81 | −0.19 | 1.81 | 2.85 | 0.21 | 0.71 | 0.52 | 0.09 | 0.50 | 0.39 | 0.78 | 0.43 | 0.30 | 0.68 |
| DE_AF_af_siteam4_6043 | Bog | −1.64 | −2.72 | −0.09 | 1.77 | 2.77 | 0.12 | 0.68 | 0.52 | 0.08 | 0.62 | 0.54 | 0.85 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.73 |
| DE_AF_af_siteam5_5886 | Bog | −1.64 | −2.77 | −0.15 | 1.79 | 2.82 | 0.18 | 0.71 | 0.52 | 0.09 | 0.50 | 0.41 | 0.75 | 0.40 | 0.31 | 0.64 |
| DE_AF_af_siteam6_5899 | Bog | −1.64 | −2.72 | −0.09 | 1.77 | 2.77 | 0.12 | 0.68 | 0.52 | 0.07 | 0.56 | 0.47 | 0.85 | 0.42 | 0.40 | 0.74 |
| DE_BM | Bog | −3.43 | −5.36 | −0.20 | 3.47 | 5.37 | 0.23 | 0.48 | 0.32 | 0.11 | 0.37 | 0.31 | 0.62 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 0.48 |
| DE_BM_bm_gw1_0579 | Bog | −3.44 | −5.37 | −0.21 | 3.47 | 5.38 | 0.24 | 0.49 | 0.33 | 0.12 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 0.63 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 0.44 |
| DE_BM_bm_gw3_0503 | Bog | −3.41 | −5.33 | −0.18 | 3.44 | 5.34 | 0.21 | 0.48 | 0.32 | 0.11 | 0.38 | 0.31 | 0.64 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.45 |
| DE_BM_bm_gw4_9837 | Bog | −3.49 | −5.42 | −0.26 | 3.52 | 5.43 | 0.28 | 0.49 | 0.32 | 0.11 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 0.60 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 0.48 |
| DE_BM_bm_gw5_0560 | Bog | −3.30 | −5.23 | −0.07 | 3.34 | 5.24 | 0.13 | 0.48 | 0.32 | 0.11 | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.50 |
| DE_HMB_HM 83 | Bog | −3.18 | −5.46 | 0.24 | 3.24 | 5.47 | 0.26 | 0.62 | 0.31 | 0.10 | 0.78 | 0.74 | 0.92 | - | - | - |
| DE_HMB_HM 94 | Bog | −3.53 | −5.81 | −0.13 | 3.59 | 5.82 | 0.16 | 0.65 | 0.32 | 0.09 | 0.89 | 0.87 | 0.98 | - | - | - |
| DE_HMB_HM 98 | Bog | −3.68 | −5.89 | −0.15 | 3.72 | 5.89 | 0.18 | 0.55 | 0.26 | 0.10 | 0.84 | 0.83 | 0.91 | - | - | - |
| DE_REM_K2 | Bog | −1.18 | −1.21 | −0.06 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 0.08 | 0.56 | 0.50 | 0.06 | 0.26 | 0.15 | 0.75 | - | - | - |
| DE_SF_mes_hang_ost_6012 | Bog | −1.36 | −1.94 | −0.07 | 1.45 | 1.98 | 0.09 | 0.49 | 0.36 | 0.06 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.72 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.67 |
| DE_SF_mes_hangwest_6267 | Bog | −1.32 | −1.85 | −0.05 | 1.42 | 1.90 | 0.08 | 0.52 | 0.43 | 0.07 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.72 | 0.36 | 0.26 | 0.68 |
| DE_SF_mes_logger_2407 | Bog | −1.36 | −1.87 | −0.05 | 1.46 | 1.92 | 0.09 | 0.53 | 0.44 | 0.07 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.69 | 0.35 | 0.30 | 0.65 |
| DE_SF_mes_site_diver_6025 | Bog | −1.36 | −1.90 | −0.09 | 1.46 | 1.94 | 0.11 | 0.53 | 0.43 | 0.07 | 0.40 | 0.32 | 0.71 | 0.36 | 0.28 | 0.67 |
| DE_SFS | Bog | −1.29 | −1.82 | −0.06 | 1.40 | 1.87 | 0.09 | 0.54 | 0.44 | 0.07 | 0.38 | 0.32 | 0.70 | 0.35 | 0.30 | 0.67 |
| EE_MAE_kaev_222 | Bog | −1.45 | −2.18 | 0.07 | 1.74 | 2.30 | 0.13 | 0.97 | 0.74 | 0.11 | 0.44 | 0.29 | 0.63 | 0.50 | 0.25 | 0.65 |
| EE_MAE_kaev_225 | Bog | −1.56 | −2.29 | −0.05 | 1.84 | 2.40 | 0.11 | 0.96 | 0.73 | 0.10 | 0.51 | 0.34 | 0.70 | 0.49 | 0.24 | 0.67 |
| RU_MU_H2 | Bog | −1.02 | −1.27 | −0.03 | 1.18 | 1.37 | 0.06 | 0.59 | 0.52 | 0.05 | 0.80 | 0.78 | 0.84 | 0.81 | 0.76 | 0.82 |
| RU_MU_H3 | Bog | −1.00 | −1.21 | −0.10 | 1.17 | 1.32 | 0.11 | 0.61 | 0.54 | 0.05 | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.87 | 0.88 | 0.90 | 0.86 |
| RU_MU_H4 | Bog | −0.88 | −1.11 | −0.08 | 1.02 | 1.19 | 0.09 | 0.51 | 0.44 | 0.05 | 0.90 | 0.93 | 0.78 | 0.77 | 0.81 | 0.75 |
| RU_MU_H8 | Bog | −1.14 | −1.38 | −0.21 | 1.29 | 1.48 | 0.22 | 0.60 | 0.54 | 0.05 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.73 | 0.74 | 0.80 |
| RU_Staroselsky_Moch_Hollow | Bog | −1.70 | −1.93 | −0.23 | 1.84 | 2.04 | 0.25 | 0.69 | 0.66 | 0.09 | 0.56 | 0.32 | 0.79 | 0.53 | 0.31 | 0.73 |
| SE_FAJ | Bog | −1.19 | −1.53 | −0.16 | 1.46 | 1.80 | 0.20 | 0.84 | 0.96 | 0.11 | 0.36 | 0.34 | 0.72 | 0.39 | 0.37 | 0.59 |
| US_S1_EM1 | Bog | −2.56 | −3.62 | −0.37 | 2.58 | 3.63 | 0.39 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.13 | 0.52 | 0.56 | 0.51 | 0.31 | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| US_S1_EM2 | Bog | −2.59 | −3.65 | −0.40 | 2.61 | 3.66 | 0.42 | 0.30 | 0.24 | 0.13 | 0.48 | 0.52 | 0.47 | 0.30 | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| BY_d6992_azery | Fen | −2.48 | −4.38 | −0.26 | 2.58 | 4.40 | 0.29 | 0.68 | 0.39 | 0.12 | 0.85 | 0.87 | 0.58 | 0.90 | 0.92 | 0.61 |
| BY_d7504_azeryv | Fen | −2.77 | −4.61 | −0.32 | 2.85 | 4.63 | 0.35 | 0.68 | 0.41 | 0.14 | 0.82 | 0.78 | 0.87 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.77 |
| BY_d7523_svanets_aw | Fen | −3.25 | −4.84 | −0.32 | 3.27 | 4.85 | 0.33 | 0.39 | 0.25 | 0.07 | 0.84 | 0.82 | 0.79 | 0.54 | 0.53 | 0.63 |
| BY_eig_f0910 | Fen | −2.91 | −5.42 | −0.23 | 2.94 | 5.43 | 0.29 | 0.36 | 0.30 | 0.16 | 0.73 | 0.62 | 0.72 | 0.70 | 0.56 | 0.64 |
| BY_f1020_sp_zdit_ghg | Fen | −3.02 | −5.21 | −0.11 | 3.05 | 5.22 | 0.23 | 0.42 | 0.18 | 0.20 | 0.90 | 0.88 | 0.77 | 0.85 | 0.84 | 0.64 |
| BY_scara_3 | Fen | −2.68 | −4.50 | 0.29 | 2.75 | 4.52 | 0.30 | 0.64 | 0.37 | 0.09 | 0.67 | 0.64 | 0.75 | - | - | - |
| BY_sp_vy_p1 | Fen | −2.88 | −5.39 | −0.20 | 2.91 | 5.39 | 0.24 | 0.38 | 0.32 | 0.13 | 0.72 | 0.57 | 0.74 | 0.66 | 0.44 | 0.67 |
| BY_sp-pesch-p1 | Fen | −2.74 | −5.20 | −0.20 | 2.77 | 5.21 | 0.24 | 0.41 | 0.33 | 0.13 | 0.67 | 0.58 | 0.65 | 0.56 | 0.46 | 0.49 |
| CA_FOM_PAUCI | Fen | −4.10 | −6.17 | −0.25 | 4.17 | 6.18 | 0.28 | 0.76 | 0.33 | 0.13 | 0.34 | 0.28 | 0.59 | −0.01 | −0.07 | 0.32 |
| CA_FOM_POP | Fen | −2.87 | −5.23 | −0.28 | 2.88 | 5.23 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 0.12 | 0.56 | 0.55 | 0.58 | 0.65 | 0.61 | 0.73 |
| CA_FOM_SAL | Fen | −3.90 | −6.00 | −0.22 | 3.94 | 6.01 | 0.28 | 0.56 | 0.38 | 0.18 | 0.00 | −0.09 | 0.38 | −0.20 | −0.27 | 0.24 |
| CA_SK_FEN | Fen | −1.59 | −3.06 | −0.23 | 1.62 | 3.07 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.15 | 0.28 | 0.42 | 0.64 | 0.41 | 0.53 | 0.71 |
| CA_URSA_171_15 | Fen | −1.89 | −2.76 | −0.09 | 1.91 | 2.77 | 0.16 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.13 | 0.57 | 0.48 | 0.51 | 0.08 | −0.07 | 0.15 |
| CA_WP1 | Fen | −3.42 | −4.49 | −0.15 | 3.43 | 4.49 | 0.20 | 0.27 | 0.17 | 0.12 | 0.32 | 0.40 | 0.46 | 0.45 | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| CA_WP2 | Fen | −4.55 | −6.68 | −0.09 | 4.56 | 6.68 | 0.13 | 0.26 | 0.16 | 0.09 | 0.48 | 0.30 | 0.61 | 0.34 | 0.06 | 0.57 |
| CA_WP3 | Fen | −2.49 | −3.17 | −0.24 | 2.52 | 3.17 | 0.26 | 0.33 | 0.16 | 0.10 | 0.37 | 0.36 | 0.25 | 0.59 | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| DE_AKM | Fen | −2.37 | −4.76 | −0.23 | 2.45 | 4.77 | 0.26 | 0.64 | 0.37 | 0.11 | 0.42 | 0.20 | 0.72 | 0.26 | −0.07 | 0.53 |
| DE_AKM_PEA_ak_r2_p1 | Fen | −2.26 | −4.69 | −0.18 | 2.36 | 4.71 | 0.20 | 0.68 | 0.35 | 0.10 | 0.49 | 0.32 | 0.73 | 0.34 | 0.07 | 0.52 |
| DE_BIR_P10 | Fen | −1.33 | −1.69 | 0.09 | 1.68 | 1.74 | 0.10 | 1.03 | 0.40 | 0.05 | 0.83 | 0.75 | 0.95 | 0.70 | 0.68 | 0.84 |
| DE_BIR_P11 | Fen | −1.36 | −1.72 | 0.06 | 1.70 | 1.76 | 0.07 | 1.03 | 0.40 | 0.04 | 0.85 | 0.77 | 0.96 | 0.67 | 0.60 | 0.87 |
| DE_BIR_P13 | Fen | −1.59 | −1.90 | −0.10 | 1.89 | 1.95 | 0.12 | 1.04 | 0.41 | 0.05 | 0.83 | 0.73 | 0.90 | 0.58 | 0.51 | 0.58 |
| DE_BIR_P8 | Fen | −1.23 | −1.61 | 0.04 | 1.58 | 1.65 | 0.11 | 0.99 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.80 | 0.72 | 0.90 | 0.64 | 0.65 | 0.78 |
| DE_BIR_P9 | Fen | −1.23 | −1.61 | 0.03 | 1.61 | 1.67 | 0.07 | 1.03 | 0.43 | 0.06 | 0.85 | 0.78 | 0.87 | 0.70 | 0.66 | 0.80 |
| FI_HA | Fen | 0.00 | −0.20 | −0.07 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.08 | 0.50 | 0.53 | 0.04 | 0.70 | 0.74 | 0.82 | 0.80 | 0.81 | 0.77 |
| FI_LOM | Fen | −0.07 | −0.18 | −0.14 | 0.49 | 0.57 | 0.15 | 0.49 | 0.54 | 0.05 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| PL_BPN_126 | Fen | −1.90 | −2.89 | −0.14 | 1.94 | 2.91 | 0.26 | 0.41 | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.62 | 0.71 | 0.74 | 0.47 | 0.61 | 0.65 |
| PL_BPN_144 | Fen | −2.14 | −3.30 | 0.11 | 2.17 | 3.31 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.74 | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0.63 | 0.74 | 0.76 |
| PL_BPN_151 | Fen | −2.32 | −3.69 | −0.04 | 2.35 | 3.70 | 0.18 | 0.37 | 0.23 | 0.17 | 0.77 | 0.85 | 0.88 | 0.61 | 0.75 | 0.83 |
| PL_BPN_154 | Fen | −2.53 | −4.31 | −0.16 | 2.65 | 4.34 | 0.18 | 0.77 | 0.51 | 0.08 | 0.68 | 0.62 | 0.78 | 0.64 | 0.56 | 0.77 |
| PL_BPN_162 | Fen | −2.04 | −3.06 | −0.28 | 2.09 | 3.08 | 0.30 | 0.46 | 0.35 | 0.10 | 0.57 | 0.73 | 0.79 | 0.51 | 0.68 | 0.78 |
| PL_BPN_177 | Fen | −2.34 | −3.63 | −0.07 | 2.37 | 3.64 | 0.21 | 0.38 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 0.72 | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0.57 | 0.72 | 0.76 |
| PL_BPN_179 | Fen | −2.52 | −3.93 | 0.00 | 2.56 | 3.94 | 0.17 | 0.45 | 0.30 | 0.17 | 0.66 | 0.76 | 0.73 | 0.53 | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| PL_BPN_185 | Fen | −2.55 | −3.84 | −0.07 | 2.57 | 3.84 | 0.18 | 0.35 | 0.23 | 0.17 | 0.77 | 0.83 | 0.90 | 0.61 | 0.70 | 0.83 |
| PL_BPN_189 | Fen | −2.34 | −3.64 | 0.02 | 2.37 | 3.65 | 0.16 | 0.37 | 0.29 | 0.16 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 0.86 | 0.73 | 0.70 | 0.81 |
| PL_BPN_191 | Fen | −2.62 | −4.06 | −0.17 | 2.66 | 4.08 | 0.22 | 0.43 | 0.31 | 0.15 | 0.67 | 0.73 | 0.80 | 0.55 | 0.65 | 0.77 |
| PL_BPN_208 | Fen | −2.44 | −3.51 | −0.11 | 2.45 | 3.51 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.75 | 0.79 | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0.87 | 0.86 |
| PL_BPN_212 | Fen | −2.08 | −3.11 | 0.19 | 2.09 | 3.11 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.20 | 0.24 | 0.76 | 0.80 | 0.79 | 0.70 | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| SE_DEG | Fen | −0.31 | −0.49 | 0.00 | 0.65 | 0.80 | 0.07 | 0.57 | 0.63 | 0.07 | 0.56 | 0.58 | 0.68 | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.60 |
| US_LOS | Fen | −2.5 | −4.4 | −0 | 2.55 | 4.45 | 0.18 | 0.58 | 0.85 | 0.18 | 0.65 | 0.6 | 0.71 | 0.66 | 0.61 | 0.73 |
Figure 7.Z-transformed groundwater table depth () time series at (a) Mer Bleue (CA_MER) and (b) Degerö (SE_DEG). The tick for each year is located on 1 January. Shown are (red dots) field observations and 30″ simulations of (black) ExpA, (blue) ExpB, and (green) ExpC. The gray background marks some periods of interest (see text).
Figure 8.Long-term (a) bias and (b) correlation coefficient (R) in groundwater table depth for ExpC at each cluster of observational sites (underlying the data shown for ExpC in Figure 6). Circles indicate bog clusters, and squares indicate fen clusters.
/; <.> indicating temporal means), evapotranspiration efficiency (<λE>/
) and Bowen ratio ( /<λE>) based on the 9-km simulations of ExpA, ExpB, and ExpC. Values of <λE>/ and /<λE> were calculated for snow-free and unfrozen periods for consistency with reported literature values (Lafleur, 2008), whereas the calculation of runoff efficiency included snow and frozen periods given the importance of snowmelt water for runoff. ExpA and ExpB show similar patterns; both, though, show large differences with ExpC. In general, ExpC simulates higher /(more runoff), lower <λE>/
(less net radiation turned into evapotranspiration) and higher /<λE> (more sensible heat). On average, runoff increased by 38% while evapotranspiration decreased by 19% in ExpC (relative to ExpB).
Figure 9.Long-term (1 January 1988 through 31 December 2017) (a) runoff efficiency ( ), (b) evapotranspiration efficiency (<λE>//
/(<0.1) values are seen over the Boreal Plains for all three simulation experiments (Figure 9a). This region is characterized by extremely low mean annual runoff fluxes from forest catchments and only slightly greater runoff from peatland-dominated catchments, with significant runoff generation occurring only about once every 20 years (Devito et al., 2005, 2017). The very low runoff amounts entail that equation (12) practically simplifies to E, which, in turn, leads to <λE>/
values that are rather similar for all experiments over the Boreal Plains (Figure 9b). For regions with higher /, ExpC produces an evapotranspiration that is lower (and a runoff that is accordingly higher) than that in ExpA and ExpB. Consequently,
/<λE> is greater in ExpC, with values that increase from about 0.45 in the south of Canada and Russia to 0.75 at the permafrost boundary and with greater values further northward. Based on a literature review of field observations from sites between 45°N and 60°N and in New Zealand, Lafleur (2008) reported median Bowen ratios (in the growing season) of 0.60 for bogs and 0.46 for fens and mean evapotranspiration efficiencies that reach 0.46 for bogs and 0.59 for fens. Due to the strong influence of site-specific climatic conditions and measurement periods on observed evapotranspiration efficiency and Bowen ratio, it is impossible to determine which experiment agrees better with average literature values. Nevertheless, the results do indicate that PEAT-CLSM simulates flux ratios that are generally realistic.
Figure 10.Daytime evapotranspiration rate (3-hourly resolution; mm/day) (a) bias (model-minus-observation), (b) root-mean-squared difference (RMSD), (c) unbiased root-mean-squared difference (ubRMSD), (d) time series correlation coefficient (R), and (e) anomaly time series correlation coefficient (anomR) for the 30″ simulations (ExpA, ExpB, and ExpC), computed separately for bogs and fens. Bog metrics are based on four sites. Fen metrics are based on seven sites. The anomR metric is based on two fewer fen sites. The time period (1988–2017) varies with site depending on data availability and the length of the snow and freezing periods, which were excluded. Also shown are 95% confidence intervals.
Skill Metrics for 3-Hourly Daytime Evapotranspiration Rates (mm/day) at the 11 Eddy Covariance Sites
| Site | Type | BIAS (mm/day) | RMSD (mm/day) | ubRMSD (mm/day) | R (−) | anomR (−) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ExpA | ExpB | ExpC | ExpA | ExpB | ExpC | ExpA | ExpB | ExpC | ExpA | ExpB | ExpC | ExpA | ExpB | ExpC | ||
| CA_MER | Bog | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.84 | 0.61 | 0.62 | 0.59 | |
| DE_BM | Bog | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.69 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.19 | |
| DE_SFS | Bog | 1.1 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 0.79 | 0.79 | 0.80 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.38 | |
| SE_FAJ | Bog | 3.5 | 3.9 | 4.4 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.56 | 0.55 | 0.55 | |
| Average | Bog | 2.0 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 2.6 | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.79 | 0.79 | 0.77 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.43 |
| Mean absolute bias | Bog | 2.0 | 2.6 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| CA_WP1 | Fen | −1.6 | −1.2 | − | 2.8 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.74 | 0.84 | 0.88 | 0.37 | 0.53 | 0.61 |
| CA_WP2 | Fen | −1.3 | −1.1 | − | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 0.79 | 0.80 | 0.80 | - | - | - |
| CA_WP3 | Fen | −0.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 0.55 | 0.76 | 0.82 | - | - | - |
| DE_AKM | Fen | − | 0.4 | −0.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0.81 | 0.83 | 0.75 | 0.56 | 0.58 | 0.47 |
| FI_LOM | Fen | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.73 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 0.71 | |
| SE_DEG | Fen | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.63 | 0.52 | 0.51 | 0.52 | |
| US_LOS | Fen | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3.2 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 0.84 | 0.86 | 0.84 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.51 | |
| Average | Fen | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.73 | 0.79 | 0.78 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 0.56 |
| Mean absolute bias | Fen | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Note. For the bias, the best model is underlined for each site.