| Literature DB >> 33100794 |
Adel Sadeq1, Ahmed Sadeq2, Asil Sadeq3, Israa Yousif Alkhidir4, Salahedin Aburuz5, Abdullah Abu Mellal6, Munther S Al Najjar1, Asim Ahmed Elnour7.
Abstract
AIM: The aim of this study was to develop a risk factor model for hospital readmission in patients with heart failure.Entities:
Keywords: Heart failure; model; prediction; readmission; risk factors
Year: 2020 PMID: 33100794 PMCID: PMC7574751 DOI: 10.4103/jpbs.JPBS_323_20
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Pharm Bioallied Sci ISSN: 0975-7406
Sociodemographic data for patients with heart failure
| Variable | Male, | Female, | Total population |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | 84 (49.4) | 86 (50.6) | 170 |
| Age | |||
| <65 years | 39 (60.9) | 25 (39.1) | 64 |
| ≥65 years | 45 (42.5) | 61 (57.5) | 106 |
| Employment | |||
| Currently working | 34 (57.6) | 25 (42.4) | 59 |
| Retired | 50 (45.0) | 61 (55.0) | 111 |
| Education | |||
| Patients with elementary education only | 47 (48.0) | 51 (52.0) | 98 |
| Patients with more than elementary education | 37 (51.4) | 35 (48.6) | 72 |
| Medications | |||
| Mean number of cardiovascular medications on admission | 5.4 ± 1.8 | 5.5 ± 1.3 | 5.5 ± 1.6 |
| LOS | |||
| Mean LOS (days) | 10.4 ± 2.1 | 10.2 ± 1.7 | 10.3 ± 1.8 |
LOS = length of hospital stay; N = frequency.
The clinical profile data of patients with heart failure
| Clinical profile data | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | Overall patient (frequency) | Readmitted patients (%) | OR | |
| Age | <65 (64) | 53.1 | 1.87 | 0.050 |
| ≥65 (106) | 37.7 | |||
| Occupational status | ||||
| Employed | (59) | 54.2 | 1.94 | 0.040 |
| Retired | (111) | 37.8 | ||
| Daily dosing regimen (number of daily doses) | >2 (52) | 55.8 | 2.04 | 0.032 |
| ≤2 (118) | 38.1 | |||
| Other associated cardiovascular diseases | Yes (55) | 54.5 | 1.93 | 0.033 |
| No (115) | 38.5 | |||
| Diabetes mellitus | Yes (110) | 49.1 | 1.92 | 0.033 |
| No (60) | 33.3 | |||
| Number of prescribed medications | ≥5 (132) | 48.5 | 2.63 | 0.013 |
| <5 (38) | 26.3 | |||
| Prescribed ACE inhibitors | Yes (117) | 38.5 | 0.52 | 0.035 |
| No (53) | 54.7 | |||
| Prescribed aspirin | Yes (64) | 38.7 | 0.48 | 0.038 |
| No (106) | 56.8 | |||
| Prescribed diuretics | Yes (146) | 46.6 | 2.61 | 0.043 |
| No (24) | 25.0 | |||
ACE = angiotensin-converting enzyme; OR = odds ratio.
Variables significantly related to at least one prior hospital admission in the previous 12 months (chi-squared; P < 0.10). P value was calculated from the likelihood ratio test.
The patient interview data
| Patient interview data | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | Overall patient (frequency) | Readmitted patients (%) | OR | |
| Patients reported skipping dose or doses daily | Yes (109) | 49.5 | 2.01 | 0.033 |
| No (61) | 32.8 | |||
| Patients reported taking extra dose or doses monthly | Yes (20) | 25.0 | 0.39 | 0.025 |
| No (150) | 46.0 | |||
| Prescribed medication knowledge | Poor (148) | 46.5 | 2.97 | 0.033 |
| Fair (22) | 22.7 | |||
| Problems with medication use, e.g., opening container, swallowing | Yes (20) | 65.0 | 2.71 | 0.040 |
| No (150) | 40 | |||
| Patients experienced side-effects with HF medications used | Yes (132) | 47.7 | 2.24 | 0.037 |
| No (38) | 28.9 | |||
| Patients believed that side-effects are the cause of hospitalization | Yes (38) | 57.9 | 2.11 | 0.043 |
| No (132) | 39.4 | |||
| Patients experiencing cough | Yes (97) | 51.9 | 1.87 | 0.040 |
| No (93) | 36.6 | |||
| OTCs number | ≤1 (139) | 39.6 | 0.41 | 0.028 |
| >1 (31) | 61.3 | |||
| Education | Primary (98) | 50.0 | 1.88 | 0.046 |
| Higher school (72) | 34.7 | |||
| Patients with table salt restriction in diet | Yes (43) | 30.2 | 0.39 | 0.039 |
| No (127) | 48.0 | |||
| Patients sleeping with extra pillows | Yes (24) | 25.0 | 0.38 | 0.043 |
| No (146) | 46.6 | |||
| Patients taking regular exercise | Yes (32) | 28.1 | 0.44 | 0.047 |
| No (138) | 47.1 | |||
| Patients complaining of edema or swelling in extremities | Yes (89) | 51.7 | 2.02 | 0.024 |
| No (81) | 34.6 | |||
| Patients experiencing orthopnea | Yes (107) | 49.5 | 1.96 | 0.038 |
| No (63) | 33.3 | |||
| Current cigarette smoking | Yes (116) | 49.1 | 2.10 | 0.029 |
| No (54) | 31.5 | |||
| Patients bound to home as a result of HF disease | Yes (120) | 48.3 | 1.98 | 0.048 |
| No (50) | 32.0 | |||
HF = heart failure; OR = odds ratios; OTC = over-the-counters medications.
Variables significantly related to at least one prior hospital admission in the previous 12 months (chi-squared; P < 0.10). P value was calculated from the likelihood ratio test.
The final logistic regression model for unplanned readmission of patients with heart failure at Al Ain hospital, United Arab Emirates
| Variables | Variable coefficient ( | OR | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four or more prescribed medications | 1.407 | 4.132 | 3.501–4.132 | 0.003 |
| Dosing regimen: more than two dosing times/day | 0.852 | 2.345 | 1.081–5.093 | 0.023 |
| Poor knowledge of prescribed medications | 1.445 | 4.243 | 1.213–14.781 | 0.006 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 1.332 | 3.781 | 1.642–8.702 | 0.006 |
| Patient complaining of edema or swelling in the extremities | 0.974 | 2.642 | 1.252–5.600 | 0.011 |
| Patients bound to home as a result of HF disease | 1.022 | 2.772 | 1.231–6.264 | 0.014 |
| Prescribed diuretics | 1.303 | 3.691 | 1.482–9.206 | 0.042 |
CI = confidence interval; OR = odds ratios.
P value was calculated from the likelihood ratio test.
Observed and predicted values, sensitivities, and specificities from the logistic regression model for unplanned readmission of patients with heart failure
| Observed | Predicted | Row totals | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | No | ||
| Yes | 45 | 29 | 74 |
| No | 17 | 79 | 96 |
| Column totals | 62 | 108 | 170 |
The specificity of this model was 82.2%, the sensitivity was 74.3%, and the overall accuracy was 72.9%.