| Literature DB >> 33097758 |
Anooshe Kafash1,2,3, Sohrab Ashrafi4,5, Masoud Yousefi1,6, Eskandar Rastegar-Pouyani7, Mahdi Rajabizadeh8, Faraham Ahmadzadeh9, Marc Grünig2,3, Loïc Pellissier2,3.
Abstract
Spatial gradients of species richness can be shaped by the interplay between historical and ecological factors. They might interact in particularly complex ways in heterogeneous mountainous landscapes with strong climatic and geological contrasts. We mapped the distribution of 171 lizard species to investigate species richness patterns for all species (171), diurnal species (101), and nocturnal species (70) separately. We related species richness with the historical (past climate change, mountain uplifting) and ecological variables (climate, topography and vegetation). We found that assemblages in the Western Zagros Mountains, north eastern and north western parts of Central Iranian Plateau have the highest number of lizard species. Among the investigated variables, annual mean temperature explained the largest variance for all species (10%) and nocturnal species (31%). For diurnal species, temperature change velocity shows strongest explained variance in observed richness pattern (26%). Together, our results reveal that areas with annual temperature of 15-20 °C, which receive 400-600 mm precipitation and experienced moderate level of climate change since the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) have highest number of species. Documented patterns of our study provide a baseline for understanding the potential effect of ongoing climate change on lizard diversity in Iran.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 33097758 PMCID: PMC7584626 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-74867-3
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Figure 1Richness map of all (a) diurnal (b) and nocturnal (c) lizards in Iran. All species richness range from 0 to 37, diurnal from 0 to 23 and nocturnal from 0 to 17. Maps were generated using QGIS 3.4.1 (https://www.qgis.org).
Results of generalized linear model with quasi-Poisson distribution.
| Group | Predictor | Slope (linear) | z value | AIC | D2 | Predictor | Slope (quadratic) | z value | AIC | D2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | 2.21E+00 | 75.74*** | Intercept | 2.796446 | 585.197*** | |||||
| Temperature velocity | 1.24E−03 | 8.614*** | 18,760 | 0.0457 | Precipitation | − 2.14503 | − 7.236*** | 18,370 | 0.0253 | |
| Precipitation | − 1.59E−03 | − 14.073*** | 18,910 | 0.0224 | Temperature velocity | − 1.7505 | − 3.887*** | 18,630 | 0.0654 | |
| Topo-heterogeneity | 5.71E−03 | 1.961* | 18,940 | 0.0177 | NDVI | − 0.98842 | − 3.883*** | 18,700 | 0.0559 | |
| Precipitation velocity | 4.67E−04 | 5.635*** | 19,050 | 0.0014 | Precipitation velocity | 0.174253 | 0.581 | 18,830 | 0.0355 | |
| NDVI | − 1.22E+00 | − 21.612*** | 19,060 | 0.0002 | Topo-heterogeneity | 0.958962 | 3.633*** | 18,880 | 0.0274 | |
| Geo | 5.40E−10 | 1.931 | 19,060 | 0 | Geo | 2.833519 | 9.111*** | 19,060 | 0 | |
| Full model | – | – | 17,680 | 0.213 | Full model | – | – | 16,830 | 0.3437 | |
| Intercept | 2.36E+00 | 71.152*** | Intercept | 2.409271 | 444.02*** | |||||
| Temperature | 1.11E−03 | 21.284*** | 18,080 | 0.1079 | NDVI | − 0.30654 | − 0.612 | 17,750 | 0.1715 | |
| Precipitation velocity | 1.36E−03 | 14.359*** | 18,300 | 0.0704 | Temperature | − 3.00657 | − 8.113*** | 18,020 | 0.122 | |
| Precipitation | − 1.37E−03 | − 7.857*** | 18,400 | 0.0526 | Precipitation velocity | − 0.21334 | − 0.573 | 18,220 | 0.0846 | |
| NDVI | − 8.31E−01 | − 13.794*** | 18,460 | 0.041 | Precipitation | − 1.23191 | − 4.006*** | 18,320 | 0.0656 | |
| Topo-heterogeneity | 3.58E−02 | 10.995*** | 18,630 | 0.0092 | Topo-heterogeneity | − 0.40011 | − 1.257 | 18,630 | 0.009 | |
| Geo | 1.04E−09 | 3.25** | 18,680 | 0 | Geo | 3.325387 | 8.851*** | 18,680 | 0.0009 | |
| Full model | – | – | 17,240 | 0.2658 | Full model | 16,600 | 0.5221 | |||
| Intercept | − 9.98E−02 | − 1.919*** | Intercept | 1.42242 | 137.94*** | |||||
| NDVI | − 3.13E+00 | − 25.14*** | 18,830 | 0.0845 | Precipitation velocity | − 16.5552 | − 20.062*** | 17,910 | 0.1759 | |
| Topo-heterogeneity | 7.43E−02 | 15.469*** | 19,440 | 0.0245 | NDVI | − 11.7424 | − 10.3*** | 18,680 | 0.1 | |
| Precipitation velocity | − 1.99E−03 | − 12.669*** | 19,550 | 0.013 | Topo-heterogeneity | − 0.04915 | − 0.104 | 19,370 | 0.0314 | |
| Geo | 3.38E−09 | 7.673*** | 19,640 | 0.004 | Temperature velocity | − 2.05889 | − 4.303*** | 19,610 | 0.0072 | |
| Precipitation | − 2.06E−03 | − 24.405*** | 19,670 | 0.0011 | Geo | 0.45501 | 0.803 | 19,620 | 0.0067 | |
| Temperature velocity | 1.57E−03 | 5.727*** | 19,670 | 0.0016 | Precipitation | − 5.05909 | − 5.223*** | 19,660 | 0.0023 | |
| Full model | – | – | 14,930 | 0.4726 | Full model | – | – | 13,590 | 0.6062 | |
The table shows linear and quadratic estimates, associated z‐ values with p‐values (asterisks), the Akaike information criterion values (AIC) and explained deviance (D2) of variables. The AIC values and the explained deviance were estimated for each predictor separately and in combination for full model. The most important variables for all lizards, diurnal lizards and nocturnal lizards were indicated in bold. Significance codes: 0 ‘***’ 0.001 ‘**’ 0.01 ‘*’ 0.05.
Figure 2A topographic overview of Iran with its major geomorphological features. Map was generated using QGIS 3.4.1 (https://www.qgis.org).
List of ecological and historical predictors used to explore drivers of lizard richness.
| Units | Variable (abbreviation) and references |
|---|---|
| Degrees celsius | Annual mean temperature (temperature)[ |
| Millimeters | Annual precipitation (precipitation)[ |
| Meters | Topographic heterogeneity (topo-heterogeneity)[ |
| – | Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI)[ |
| Degrees celsius | Temperature change velocity (temperature velocity)[ |
| Millimeters | Precipitation change velocity (precipitation velocity)[ |
| Million years | Mountain uplifting age (Geo) [ |
Figure 3Iran’s terrestrial biomes[110], together with representative lizards species occur in Temperate Broadleaf and Mixed Forests: 2.1 Paralaudakia microlepis, 2.2 Timon kurdistanicus, 2.3 Anguis colchica, 2.4 Pseudopus apodus; Temperate Grasslands, Savannahs, and Shrublands: 2.5 Lacerta media; Temperate Conifer Forests: 2.6 Paralaudakia caucasia, 2.7 Eremias papenfussi; Montane grasslands and shrublands: 2.8 Eremias kopetdaghica, 2.9 Darevskia kopetdaghica, 2.10 Eremias isfahanica; Deserts and Xeric Shrublands: 2.11 Eremias fasciata, 2.12 Teratoscincus scincus, 2.13 Phrynocephalus mystaceus, 2.14 Varanus griseus 2.15 Eremias persica. Map was generated using QGIS 3.4.1 (https://www.qgis.org).