| Literature DB >> 33047444 |
Rosalind J Dodd1,2, David R Chadwick2, Ian M Harris2, Adrian Hines3, Dan Hollis3, Theodoros Economou4, Dylan Gwynn-Jones5, John Scullion5, David A Robinson6, David L Jones2,7.
Abstract
Extreme weather events have become a dominant feature of the narrative surrounding changes in global climate with large impacts on ecosystem stability, functioning and resilience; however, understanding of their risk of co-occurrence at the regional scale is lacking. Based on the UK Met Office's long-term temperature and rainfall records, we present the first evidence demonstrating significant increases in the magnitude, direction of change and spatial co-localisation of extreme weather events since 1961. Combining this new understanding with land-use data sets allowed us to assess the likely consequences on future agricultural production and conservation priority areas. All land-uses are impacted by the increasing risk of at least one extreme event and conservation areas were identified as the hotspots of risk for the co-occurrence of multiple event types. Our findings provide a basis to regionally guide land-use optimisation, land management practices and regulatory actions preserving ecosystem services against multiple climate threats.Entities:
Keywords: Ecosystem service; extreme weather; land-use
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 33047444 DOI: 10.1111/ele.13620
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ecol Lett ISSN: 1461-023X Impact factor: 9.492