Spatial assessment models to evaluate human health risk associated to soil potentially toxic elements.

Quantifying source apportionment of potentially toxic elements (PTEs) in soils and associated human health risk (HHR) is essential for soil environment regulation and pollution risk mitigation. For this purpose, an integrated method was proposed, and applied to a dataset consisting of As, Cd, Cr, Cu, Hg, Ni, Pb, Se, and Zn in 273 soil surface samples. Positive matrix factorization (PMF) was used to quantitatively examine sources contributions of PTEs in soils; and the HHR arising from the identified source was determined by combining source profiles and health risk assessment; at last, sequential Gaussian simulation (SGS) was used to identify the areas with high HHR. Four sources were identified by PMF. Natural and agricultural sources affected all 9 PTEs contents with contributions ranging from 19.2% to 62.9%. 41.9% of Cd, 40.8% of Pb, 58.6% of Se, and 29.8% of Zn were controlled by industrial and traffic emissions. Metals smelting and mining explained 35.5%, 30.5%, and 24.9% of Cr, Cu, and Ni variations, respectively. Hg was dominated by atmospheric deposition from coal combustion and coking (58.7%). The mean values of the total non-carcinogenic risks of PTEs were 1.55 × 10-1 and 9.40 × 10-1 for adults and children, and the total carcinogenic risk of PTEs had an average value of 8.86 × 10-5. Based on source-oriented HHR calculation, natural and agricultural sources were the most important factor influencing HHR, explaining 51.0% and 49.1% of non-carcinogenic risks for children and adults, and 44.2% of carcinogenic risk. SGS indicated that 1.1% of the total area was identified as hazardous areas with non-carcinogens risk for children.