| Literature DB >> 32922876 |
Zongze Li1,2, Li Ma1,2,3, Chunxue Wu4, Jun Ma4, Xiaolin Chen1,2,3,5,6.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Children with brain arteriovenous malformations (bAVM) are at risk of life-threatening hemorrhage contributing to unfavorable neurological deficit in their early lives. Our aim was to propose a classification system predicting the unfavorable hemorrhage in children with bAVM.Entities:
Keywords: Arteriovenous malformation; Children; Hemorrhage; Risk prediction
Year: 2018 PMID: 32922876 PMCID: PMC7398325 DOI: 10.1186/s41016-018-0123-x
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Chin Neurosurg J ISSN: 2057-4967
Association of Potential Predictors with Unfavorable Hemorrhage-free Survival before Treatmenta
| Characteristic | Univariable Cox Proportional Hazards | Multivariable Cox Proportional Hazardsb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95%CI | HR | 95%CI | |||
| Periventricular location | 2.88 | 1.41–5.89 | 0.004 | 4.46 | 1.93–10.31 | < 0.001 |
| Non-temporal lobe location | 2.26 | 1.04–4.90 | 0.039 | 2.72 | 1.20–6.15 | 0.016 |
| Long pial draining vein | 1.75 | 0.93–3.28 | 0.083 | 3.26 | 1.53–6.97 | 0.002 |
| Maximal AVM size (mm) | 0.99 | 0.98–1.01 | 0.484 | 0.99 | 0.97–1.01 | 0.213 |
| Gender, male | 0.83 | 0.44–1.54 | 0.546 | 0.90 | 0.44–1.84 | 0.778 |
| Deep location | 1.32 | 0.71–2.45 | 0.377 | 0.78 | 0.35–1.76 | 0.553 |
| Posterior fossa location | 1.28 | 0.39–4.17 | 0.682 | 2.01 | 0.51–7.96 | 0.323 |
| Eloquence | 0.79 | 0.43–1.47 | 0.456 | 0.68 | 0.34–1.38 | 0.286 |
| Exclusively deep venous drainage | 1.72 | 0.72–4.09 | 0.220 | 2.80 | 1.01–7.79 | 0.048 |
| Associated aneurysm | 2.05 | 0.80–5.28 | 0.137 | 1.63 | 0.55–4.86 | 0.377 |
aP value in boldface indicates statistical significance
bAdjusted for gender, deep location, infratentorial location, eloquence, associated aneurysm, maximal nidus size
Fig. 1bAVM morphologic model predictive of unfavorable hemorrhage. Type I based on periventricular and non-temporal location with or without long draining vein (purple color) (a and b). Subtype Ia based on corpus callosum, basal ganglia or thalamus adjacent to ventricle; Subtype Ib were based on frontal, parietal, occipital lobe or cerebellum adjacent to ventricle; Type II (c) were with long pial draining vein and based on non-periventricular location (frontal, parietal or occipital lobe or deep location) or temporal lobe; Type III (d) were also based on non-periventricular location or temporal lobe but without long draining vein
Baseline Characteristics of BAVM by Unfavorable or No unfavorable hemorrhagea
| Characteristic | No unfavorable hemorrhage | Unfavorable hemorrhage | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demographic | ||||
| Gender | .36 | |||
| Female | 42 (37.2) | 22 (44.9) | 64 (39.5) | |
| Male | 71 (62.8) | 27 (55.1) | 98 (60.5) | |
| Age at diagnosis (ys) | 12.66 ± 4.00 | 11.59 ± 3.43 | 12.33 ± 3.85 | .14 |
| Clinical | ||||
| mRS at presentation | < .001c | |||
| 0 | 11 (9.7) | 0 (0) | 11 (6.8) | |
| 1 | 53 (46.9) | 0 (0) | 53 (32.7) | |
| 2 | 27 (23.9) | 1 (2.1) | 28 (17.3) | |
| 3 | 22 (19.5) | 3 (6.1) | 25 (15.4) | |
| 4 | 0 (0) | 20 (40.8) | 20 (12.4) | |
| 5 | 0 (0) | 25 (51.0) | 25 (15.4) | |
| Radiological | ||||
| Supratentorial location | 107 (94.7) | 45 (91.8) | 152 (93.8) | .74b |
| Deep location | 36 (31.9) | 23 (46.9) | 59 (36.4) | .08 |
| Eloquence | 55 (48.8) | 22 (44.9) | 77 (47.5) | .66 |
| Periventricular location | 55 (48.7) | 37 (75.5) | 92 (56.8) | .002 |
| Temporal lobe location | 44 (38.9) | 10 (20.4) | 54 (33.3) | .02 |
| Maximal nidus size (mm) | 11.49 ± 4.21 | 39.13 ± 19.96 | 39.49 ± 18.73 | .88 |
| Exclusively Deep Venous drainage | 10 (8.8) | 7 (14.3) | 17 (10.5) | .30 |
| Long pial draining vein | 49 (43.4) | 30 (61.0) | 79 (48.8) | .04 |
| Associated aneurysm | 11 (9.7) | 6 (12.2) | 17 (10.5) | .63 |
aTable entries are No. (%) or mean ± SD. P value in boldface indicates statistical significance
bP values are from the χ2 test (correction for continuity)
cP values are from the Mann-Whitney U test
Fig. 2Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrating unfavorable hemorrhage-free survival difference between bAVMs with and without certain morphologic features. a There was a significant difference between the time to unfavorable hemorrhage for patients with periventricular and non-periventricular bAVMs (log-rank, P = .002). b There was also a significant difference between the time to unfavorable hemorrhage for patients with temporal location and non-temporal bAVMs (log-rank, P = .03). c Children with non-temporal bAVMs tended to present unfavorable hemorrhage earlier than non-temporal lobe bAVMs (log-rank, P = .08). d The unfavorable-hemorrhage free survival was similar in children with or without one biomarker. In contrast, children harboring two or more biomarkers were at higher risk for early unfavorable hemorrhage (log-rank, P < .001). bAVMs were further classified into four types with these features. e Children with Type Ia and Ib lesions presented with unfavorable hemorrhage earlier than those with Type II lesions (log-rank, P < .001)
BAVM morphologic classification associated with unfavorable hemorrhage riska
| Characteristics | Type Ia | Type Ib | Type II | Type III |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morphologic Features | ||||
| Nidus location | Periventricular and non-temporal (corpus callosum, basal ganglia or thalamus) | Periventricular and non-temporal (frontal, parietal, occipital lobe or cerebellum) | Non-periventricular or temporal lobe | Non-periventricular or temporal lobe |
| Long pial draining vein | 13 (43.3) | 14 (48.3) | 52 (100.0) | 0 (0) |
| Hemorrhage | ||||
| mRS at bAVM rupture | ||||
| ≤ 2 | 9 (30) | 12 (41.4) | 30 (57.7) | 41 (80.4) |
| >2 | 21 (70) | 17 (58.6) | 22 (42.3) | 10 (19.6) |
| Unfavorable hemorrhage | ||||
| No | 12 (40.0) | 15 (51.7) | 38 (73.1) | 48 (94.1) |
| Yes | 18 (60.0) | 14 (48.3) | 14 (26.9) | 3 (5.9) |
| Follow-up period, patient-years | 367 | 280 | 667 | 711 |
| Annual rate of unfavorable hemorrhage, % | 4.9 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.4 |
| Spetzler-Martin Grade | ||||
| I-II | 7 (23.3) | 20 (70.0) | 30 (57.7) | 29 (56.9) |
| III | 11 (36.7) | 6 (20.7) | 14 (26.9) | 18 (35.3) |
| IV-V | 12 (40.0) | 3 (10.3) | 8 (15.4) | 4 (7.8) |
aTable entries are No. (%)
Fig. 3Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses for unfavorable hemorrhage predictive models using all variants in regression model (blue curve), the bAVM classification system (green curve), and concise regression system including significant risk factors from the full model (red curve) (reference line shown in teal). The predictive accuracy of bAVM classification system (ROC areas of 0.77) was not less than that of full regression and concise regression model (ROC areas of 0.76 and 0.72, respectively; pairwise comparison of ROC curves, P = 0.87 for bAVM classification system versus full regression model and P = 0.08 for bAVM classification system versus concise regression model)