Ayanaw Tamene1, Gedefaw Abeje2, Zelalem Addis1. 1. Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia. 2. Department of Reproductive Health, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The complication of prematurity is the second commonest cause of under-five mortality in Ethiopia. Amhara region has the highest neonatal mortality rate in the country. There was no previous study and this study aimed to assess the survival of preterm neonates and its associated factors of preterm neonatal mortality admitted to Felege Hiwot Specialized Hospital, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia, to take necessary action to maximize survival of preterm babies in developing countries. METHODS: A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted among 686 preterm neonates admitted in Felege Hiwot Specialized Hospital from 1 August 2017 to 30 July 2018. Kaplan-Meier survival curve was used to show the survival rate of preterm neonates and the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify covariates of survival of preterm neonates. Those variables having a p-value less than 0.05 were statistically significant for the survival of preterm neonates. RESULT: Out of 686 preterm neonates admitted from 1 August 2017 to 30 July 2018, 49.1% neonates were improved and discharged and 36.1% died. The survival rate was 0%, 19.4%, 46.7% and 75% for gestational age <28 weeks, 28-31 + 6 weeks, 32-33 + 6 weeks and 34-36 + 6 weeks, respectively. In the multivariate Cox regression model, respiratory distress syndrome, necrotizing enterocolitis, asphyxia, hospital-acquired infection, birth weight, gestational age and place of delivery were significantly associated with time to death of preterm neonates at 95% confidence level (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: The mortality rate (36.1%) of preterm neonates is unacceptably high in Felege Hiwot hospital compared to other similar hospitals in Ethiopia. More than 50% of preterm neonatal deaths can be prevented with available resources. Neonatal units with adequate and committed manpower, using a strict aseptic technique, proper follow-up, early detection and timely management of complications, are recommended to improve the survival of preterm neonates.
BACKGROUND: The complication of prematurity is the second commonest cause of under-five mortality in Ethiopia. Amhara region has the highest neonatal mortality rate in the country. There was no previous study and this study aimed to assess the survival of preterm neonates and its associated factors of preterm neonatal mortality admitted to Felege Hiwot Specialized Hospital, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia, to take necessary action to maximize survival of preterm babies in developing countries. METHODS: A retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted among 686 preterm neonates admitted in Felege Hiwot Specialized Hospital from 1 August 2017 to 30 July 2018. Kaplan-Meier survival curve was used to show the survival rate of preterm neonates and the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify covariates of survival of preterm neonates. Those variables having a p-value less than 0.05 were statistically significant for the survival of preterm neonates. RESULT: Out of 686 preterm neonates admitted from 1 August 2017 to 30 July 2018, 49.1% neonates were improved and discharged and 36.1% died. The survival rate was 0%, 19.4%, 46.7% and 75% for gestational age <28 weeks, 28-31 + 6 weeks, 32-33 + 6 weeks and 34-36 + 6 weeks, respectively. In the multivariate Cox regression model, respiratory distress syndrome, necrotizing enterocolitis, asphyxia, hospital-acquired infection, birth weight, gestational age and place of delivery were significantly associated with time to death of preterm neonates at 95% confidence level (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: The mortality rate (36.1%) of preterm neonates is unacceptably high in Felege Hiwot hospital compared to other similar hospitals in Ethiopia. More than 50% of preterm neonatal deaths can be prevented with available resources. Neonatal units with adequate and committed manpower, using a strict aseptic technique, proper follow-up, early detection and timely management of complications, are recommended to improve the survival of preterm neonates.
The neonatal period is defined as the first 28 days after birth or up to the 44th
post-menstrual week in preterm infants. Live born infants delivered before 37 weeks
or 259 days of gestation from the first day of the last menstrual period are termed
premature which is a major determinant of neonatal mortality and
morbidity.[1,2]
Preterm neonates are classified based on birth weight into normal birth weight (NBW)
(2500–3999 g), low birth weight (LBW) (1500–2499 g), very low birth weight (VLBW)
(1000–1499 g) and extremely very low birth weight (EVLBW) (<1000 g), which are
inverse proportional to their survival.[3]Globally, 15 million preterms are born every year and their number is rising. Of
these, 1.1 million preterms die from a complication of preterm birth each
year.[2,4] Africa accounts
for 31% of preterm births in the globe. In many developing countries, infants
weighing less than 2000 g (corresponding to about 32 weeks of gestation in the
absence of intrauterine growth retardation) have little chance of survival. In
contrast, the survival rate of infants born at 32 weeks in developed countries is
similar to that of infants born at term.[5]Prematurity is associated with increased neonatal morbidity and mortality.[3,6] Prematurity is the second
leading cause of under-five mortality. Of all early neonatal deaths (deaths within
the first 7 days of life) that are not related to congenital malformations, 28% is
due to preterm birth.[7] Preterm birth complications account for 35% of neonatal mortality in which
more than three-quarters of premature babies can be saved with feasible and
cost-effective care.[8]Even though the survival of preterm infants has been globally improving during the
second half of the 20th century, survival in Africa is the poorest in the world. The
average decline in child mortality in Africa is 42%, compared with a decline of
60%–72% in other regions over the same period.[9,10] Preterm babies have a risk of
death that is around 13 times higher than full-term babies.[11]The preterm rate in Ethiopia is 10%–14%, ranking 11th in the world in 2010.[9] Ethiopia is the country with the lowest survival of premature babies. The
complication of prematurity is the second (24.5%) commonest cause of under-five
mortality in Ethiopia.[12] In a study done at Tikur Anbessa specialized hospital, the overall survival
was 69.3%.[13] The neonatal mortality rate of the Amhara regional state is higher (47) than
the national neonatal mortality rate (29) per 1000 birth births in 2016.[12] This research aimed to study the survival rate, time to discharge, time to
death and peak time to death of preterm neonates in Felege Hiwot specialized
hospital (FHSH) neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) and contributing factors of
mortality.
Methods
Study area
The study was conducted in Bahir Dar city, Northwest Ethiopia. Bahir Dar is the
capital of Amhara regional state, located 578 km away north-northwest of Addis
Ababa. The total population of the city is 649,429 by 2012. Felege Hiwot
specialized Hospital is established in 1963 and serving more than 8 million
peoples.
Study design and period
A hospital-based retrospective cross-sectional study was conducted among preterm
neonates admitted to Felege Hiwot specialized hospital from 1 August 2017 to 30
July 2018. The study was conducted from 1 December 2018 to 8 February 2019.
Sample size determination
All preterm neonates (686) who had a complete chart and no congenital anomaly
admitted to FHSH NICU from 1 August 2017 to 30 July 2018 were included as study
units. We used the whole cases as sample size as it was not possible to use
sample size calculation formula of survival analysis for this study as there was
no known relative hazard and censoring rate of our variables from previous study
in same setups.
Sampling procedures
From 1083 preterm neonates admitted to FHSH NICU from 1 August 2017 to 30 July
2018, 686 preterm neonates were selected as the study sample. Others were
excluded from the study unit due to the congenital anomaly or incompleteness of
charts (Figure 1).
Figure 1.
Flow diagram of the overall recruitment of preterm neonates in Felege
Hiwot hospital, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia, from 1 August 2017 to 30 July
2018.
Flow diagram of the overall recruitment of preterm neonates in Felege
Hiwot hospital, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia, from 1 August 2017 to 30 July
2018.
Inclusion and exclusion criteria
Inclusion criteria
Preterm neonates admitted in Felege Hiwot specialized hospital NICU from 1
August 2017 to 30 July 2018.
Exclusion criteria
Preterm neonates admitted to FHSH NICU and who had congenital anomaly and
incomplete charts are considered under exclusion criteria.Inborn: a baby who was born in Felege Hiwot specialized hospital.Out born: neonate who was born outside the Felege Hiwot specialized
hospital.Discharged against medical advice: The family of the newborn refused the
continuation of inpatient management and left the hospital while the
neonate was not a candidate for discharge.Neonatal death: neonate died in the hospital and death summary was
written on a chart.
Data collection tools and procedures
A structured data abstraction sheet was used to collect the data from the preterm
neonate’s chart. The questionnaire was taken from different kinds of literature
and modified to the required variables (see supplemental material). Two BSc nurse data collectors and one
BSc nurse supervisor participated during the data collection process. The data
were collected from 1 December 2018 to 10 January 2019.
Statistical analysis
Data were entered and cleaned using EpiData version 3.1 and exported to SPSS
program version 21 for further analysis. Descriptive data were presented using
text, tables and figures. Kaplan–Meier (KM) chart to estimate the survival rate
and multivariate Cox regression model to identify covariates of survival of
preterm neonates was used. A bivariate Cox regression model analysis was
performed (at p < 0.20) for each independent and outcome of interest (time to
death and discharge of preterm neonates) to identify independent predictors.
Variable with a bivariate test of a p-value < 0.20 was a candidate for the
multivariate Cox regression model along with all variables. Covariates having
p < 0.05 in multivariate Cox regression analysis were considered as
statistically significant for preterm survival and finally verified by different
model assessment both graphically and numerically.
Results
Socio-demographic and health factors of mothers
The antenatal steroid was given to 85 (12.4%) of mothers of preterm babies. Of
the mothers who had preterm neonate, 130 (19%) had preterm premature rupture of
membrane (PPROM) and/or chorioamnionitis, 115 (16.8%) had preeclampsia/eclampsia
and 32 (4.7%) had antepartum hemorrhage which was responsible for overall 40.5%
of preterm labor. Around 28% of mothers of preterm babies had a medical problem
such as diabetes mellitus (0.7%), cardiac illness (0.3%) and chronic
hypertension (0.1%). Forty (5.8%) mothers who delivered preterm babies were less
than 20 years. The mean maternal age was 27 years and the mean parity was 2.66.
The youngest mother was 16 years old and the oldest mother was 48 years old. The
residential area was Bahir Dar city in 55.7% of mothers.
Neonatal and health service characteristics
In this study, a total of 686 preterm neonates were included. The mode of
delivery was spontaneous vaginal delivery (SVD) in 75.2% of cases and 23.2% were
delivered by cesarean section (CS). Only 5.8% of neonates were born at home and
53.6% were inborn. Out of all neonates, 426 (62.1%) were males. About 88.9% of
preterm babies admitted in first day of life. Fifteen (2.2%) of preterm neonates
were below 28 weeks of gestational age (GA), which is said to be not viable by
definition in Ethiopia.Moderate to severe hypothermia was diagnosed in 484 (70.55%) of preterm neonates
at admission. Appearance, pulse, grimace, activity and respiratory (APGAR)
scores were not reported in 246 (35.9%) out born neonates (Table 1). Weight for
GA was appropriate for 89.2% preterm babies and 10.2% were small for GA. The
diagnosis of sepsis, respiratory distress syndrome (RDS) and hyperbilirubinemia
was made in 632 (92.1%), 305 (40.5%) and 237 (34.5%), respectively, at the time
of admission. From the total preterm neonates, 16.5% developed necrotizing
enterocolitis (NEC) and 5.4% had perinatal asphyxia (PNA) with stage II or III
hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy. Twins and triplets accounted for 38.3% and 2.8%
of preterm neonates, respectively. Eighty-eight (12.8%) preterm neonates were
diagnosed to have a healthcare-associated infection.
Table 1.
Frequency distribution of different variables of preterm neonates
admitted to FHSH, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia, from 1 August 2017 to 30 July
218.
Variables
Category
Number of cases
Outcome
Improved and discharged
Death
Age at admission
0–1 day
610 (88.9%)
286 (46.9%)
234 (38.3%)
1.01–3
40 (5.8%)
24 (60%)
7 (17.5%)
3.01–7
24 (3.5%)
18 (75%)
4 (16.6%)
7.1–28
12 (1.7%)
9 (75%)
2 (16.7%)
Gestational age
26–27.9
15 (2.2%)
0 (0%)
15 (100%)
28–31.9
201 (29.3%)
39 (19.4%)
122 (60.7%)
32–33.9
199 (29%)
93 (46.7%)
65 (32.7%)
34–36.9
271 (39.5%)
205 (75.6%)
45 (16.6%)
Admission temperature
>37.5
94 (13.7%)
15 (75%)
2 (10%)
36.5–37.5
88 (12.8%)
59 (62.7%)
22 (23.4%)
36–36.4
476 (69.4%)
49 (55.7%)
22 (25%)
32–35.9
8 (1.2%)
211 (44.3%)
198 (41.6%)
<32
20 (2.9%)
3 (37.5%)
3 (37.5%)
Fifth-minute APGAR score
0–3
3 (0.4%)
1 (33.3%)
2 (66.7%)
4–6
49 (7.1%)
15 (30.6%)
29 (59.2%)
7–10
388 (56.6%)
213 (54.9%)
122 (31.4%)
Unknown
246 (35.9%)
108 (43.9%)
94 (38.2%)
Hypoglycemia
77 (11.2%)
43 (55.8%)
27 (35.1%)
Meningitis
37 (5.4%)
19 (51.4%)
7 (18.9%)
Anemia
38 (5.5%)
14 (36.8%)
20 (52.6%)
Polycythemia
15 (2.2%)
7 (46.7%)
3 (20%)
Total
337 (49.1%)
247 (36.1%)
FHSH: Felege Hiwot specialized hospital.
Frequency distribution of different variables of preterm neonates
admitted to FHSH, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia, from 1 August 2017 to 30 July
218.FHSH: Felege Hiwot specialized hospital.More than half (58%) was LBW (Figure 1). The minimum and maximum birth weights were 620 and
3400 g. The mean and standard deviation of admission weight and GA were1684 g
(SD = ±455) and 32.9 weeks (SD = ±2.5), respectively. The mean age at admission
is 15 h and the duration of hospital stay was 10 days and the mean duration of
antibiotics was 8 days. The minimum and maximum hospital stays were 5 h and
53 days, respectively.
KM survival curves
The KM curve shows that the pattern of the patients who have RDS lying below than
those who have no RDS, which means that patients who have RDS had lower survival
compared with patients who have no RDS. The mortality of preterm babies
increases as the GA decreases (Figures 2–5).
Figure 2.
Kaplan–Meier curve comparing survival of preterm with neonates RDS versus
without RDS.
Figure 3.
Kaplan–Meier curve of survival of preterm neonates based on gestational
age category.
Figure 4.
KM curve comparing survival of preterm neonates based on admission
temperature.
Figure 5.
KM curve comparing survival of preterm neonates based on place of
birth.
Kaplan–Meier curve comparing survival of preterm with neonates RDS versus
without RDS.Kaplan–Meier curve of survival of preterm neonates based on gestational
age category.KM curve comparing survival of preterm neonates based on admission
temperature.KM curve comparing survival of preterm neonates based on place of
birth.
Survival analysis and outcome
Out of 686 admitted preterm babies, 247 (36.1%) were died (Figure 2) and 94 (13.7%) neonates
discharged against medical advice. The survival rate of EVLBW, VLBW, LBW and NBW
were 0%, 19.9%, 66.1% and 87.5%, respectively. The survival rate was 0%, 19.4%,
40%, 46.7% and 75% for GA < 28 weeks, 28–31 + 6 weeks, 32–33 + 6 weeks and
34–36 + 6 weeks, respectively (Table 1). The survival rate of preterm
babies with RDS, sepsis, NEC, hospital-acquired infection (HAI), asphyxia,
meningitis and severe hypothermia was 30.2%, 47.3%, 15%, 42%, 37.8%, 51.4%,
47.4% and 37.5%, respectively. As shown in Figure 3, RDS was the commonest cause of
death of preterm babies. Based on time to an event, more than 50% of preterm
neonates were discharged improved in the first 10 days of life. Only 16.6% of
preterm neonatal death occurred in first 24 h of life (Figure 6).
Figure 6.
Summary of KM survival estimate of time to death of neonates admitted at
FHSH, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia, from 1 August 2017 to 30 July 2018 (n = 686).
The graph shows the proportion of neonates who died during the hospital
stay. During the first 10 days, the graph went down sharply which shows
a higher proportion of death of neonates. More than 92% of death occurs
in the first 10 days of admission.
Summary of KM survival estimate of time to death of neonates admitted at
FHSH, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia, from 1 August 2017 to 30 July 2018 (n = 686).
The graph shows the proportion of neonates who died during the hospital
stay. During the first 10 days, the graph went down sharply which shows
a higher proportion of death of neonates. More than 92% of death occurs
in the first 10 days of admission.
Bivariate and multivariate analysis
In the bivariate Cox regression model, RDS, sepsis, NEC, meningitis,
hyperbilirubinemia, asphyxia, anemia, HAI, admission temperature, birth weight,
GA and place of delivery were independent predictors of preterm neonatal
mortality at 80% confidence level (p < 0.2). In the multivariate Cox
regression model, RDS, NEC, hyperbilirubinemia, asphyxia, HAI, birth weight, GA
and place of delivery were significantly associated with time to death of
preterm neonates at 95% confidence level (p < 0.05).Neonates who had RDS were 1.77 times (adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) = 1.77, 95% CI:
1.317, 2.382) higher likelihood of death compared to those neonates who had no
RDS. The risk of death of neonates whose GA was less 28 weeks was 2.4 times
higher (AHR = 2.4, 95% CI: 1.979, 5.856) compared to those with GA 34 weeks and
above. Preterm neonates whose birth weights less than 1000 g were 10.97 times
more likely to die compared to those who had NBW. Preterm neonates who had stage
III asphyxia were 2.49 times higher likelihood of death compared to those who
had no asphyxia (Table
2).
Table 2.
Bivariate and multivariate cox regression analysis of preterm neonatal
mortality admitted in FHSH, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia, from 1 August 2017 to
30 July 2018 (n = 584).
Bivariate and multivariate cox regression analysis of preterm neonatal
mortality admitted in FHSH, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia, from 1 August 2017 to
30 July 2018 (n = 584).FHSH: Felege Hiwot specialized hospital; HR: hazard ratio; CI:
confidence interval; AHR: adjusted hazard ratio; CHR: crude hazard
ratio; RDS: respiratory distress syndrome; GA: gestational age; NEC:
necrotizing enterocolitis; PNA: perinatal asphyxia; HAI:
hospital-acquired infection.
Discussion
This study showed that 49.1% of preterm neonates were improved and discharged and the
mortality rate was 36.1% which is nearer to Jimma University Specialized Hospital
(34.9%) from a cohort study done 4 years back which had less than half the number of
total admissions than Felege specialized Hiwot hospital.[14] The overall mortality rate of preterm neonates is higher than 30.7% in Tikur
Anbessa[13,15] and 25.2% in Gondar university hospital.[12] This higher preterm neonatal mortality in FHSH is likely due to poor quality
of care in FHSH.The survival of preterm babies with PNA (37.8%) was lower than that of Jimma
University (64.3%) possibly better set up and experienced.[14] Prematurity and LBW have been associated with an increased incidence of
sepsis. Chorioamnionitis and rupture of the membrane increase the risk of sepsis to
2–4 folds.[2] The diagnosis of sepsis is high (92%) in this study in which the diagnosis
was made clinically in almost all cases. Clinical diagnosis of sepsis has poor
sensitivity and specificity as signs and symptoms of sepsis in premature are
non-specific and overlapping.Clinical diagnosis of sepsis has to be supported by blood culture and other
investigations. High incidence of HAI (12.8%) in this study may be due to a higher
number of admissions compared to the number of beds, overcrowding and poor adherence
to an aseptic technique by health professionals in the hospital.[3] Of all admissions, 83.4% had hypothermia and 77.1% of total and 72.1% inborn
had moderate hypothermia at admission which is better than in the Tikur Anbessa
hospital but worse than Jimma University hospital.[13,14] Only 27.9% of inborn neonates
had normal admission temperature, while the labor ward is only two floors away from
NICU. This shows warm chain transport and early referral were not properly
practiced.GA and birth weight are the major determinants of survival in premature babies. The
survival rate of preterm neonates were 0%, 19.4%, 46.7% and 75.6% for
GA < 28 weeks, 28–31 + 6 weeks, 32–33 + 6 weeks and 34–36 + 6 weeks,
respectively, in Felege Hiwot hospital. The survival rate of neonates below 28 weeks
was equivalent to Gondar university hospital unlike that of other setups that have a
higher survival rate. Over 90% of extremely preterm babies (<28 weeks) born in
low-income countries die within the first few days of life; yet less than 10% of
babies of this gestation die in high-income settings, a 10:90 survival gap.[9] From a retrospective chart review of 397 preterms from 1 July 2011 to 30 June
2012 G.C. in Tikur Anbessa hospital survival of infants was 40% for
GA < 28 weeks, 54.5% for 28–31 weeks, 74.6% for 32–34 weeks and 100% for
35–36 + 6days of GA. One research 5 years ago in Kenya showed 86.7% survival rate of
neonates whose GA < 34 weeks.[9,13,16,17] The survival rate of EVLBW
infants was found to be 34.43% in Tikur Anbessa hospital. EVLBW infants (<1000 g)
remain at high risk for death and disability with 30%–50% mortality in the
USA.[18,19] Overall
survival was 70.5%. Survival of infants below 1001 g birth weight was 34.9% compared
to 85.8% for those between 1001 and 1500 g at birth in Johannesburg Academic
Hospital 9 years ago.[20] This study showed that the survival of preterm babies is significantly low at
Felege Hiwot hospital at each respective GA and birth weight even compared to
low-income countries. This may be due to a lack of well-equipped neonatal ICU setup,
neonatologist, political commitment, standard laboratory service and advanced
treatment modalities of preterm babies.In this study, it was found that 85% of the preterm neonates died in the first 7 days
of life, and of this, 16.6% of them died in the first 24 h of life and 43% died in
first 72 h of life. The first 24 h of life mortality was significantly lower
compared to other research works in which the highest mortality occurs in the first
24 h of life. This indicates that care during the first few hours of life is
acceptable. Most of the death occurred from second to seventh day of life,
particularly 3–7 days (42% of death) which showed the later complication of
prematurity is responsible for the majority of death. A poor preventive strategy,
poor follow-up, failure to detect complication and taking timely intervention after
first day of life is the possible explanation for this problem.[3,4,7]Trophic feeding was the mode of initial feeding for all GA < 34 weeks and birth
weight <1500 g. Despite this, NEC was among the major (16.5%) cause morbidity and
mortality (33.2%). Only 15% of neonates who developed NEC survived in this hospital
which is alarmingly high compared to other studies.[2,3,6] This low survival of neonates
who developed NEC in FHSH is possibly due to improper time of initiation and feeding
advancement, detection at an advanced stage, lack of serial bedside X-ray and lack
of surgical experience. Absence of parenteral feeding option when enteral feeding is
not possible also hampers the recovery from NEC.The leading causes of death were RDS (35.73%), uncontrolled sepsis (22.89%) and NEC
(12.85%) which accounted for 71.47% of overall death in this NICU. There may be an
overlapping cause of death but only one most likely cause is incriminated as a cause
of each death. Other causes of death were asphyxia, apnea of prematurity, pulmonary
hemorrhage and immediate lack of oxygen. Lack of oxygen directly or indirectly
incriminated for the death of 17 (6.83%) infants. This was due to the dependence of
the hospital on oxygen importation from Addis Ababa, the capital of Ethiopia, which
was not sustainable due to political unrest. None report of death due to an
immediate lack of oxygen from other setups. Oxygen plantation in this city totally
can prevent the problem. This means that more than 50% of preterm neonatal death can
be prevented with available resources in FHSH.In this study, the potential determinant of premature infants’ mortality was
identified by applying the stepwise selection of covariates in a Cox regression
model. RDS, NEC, PNA, place of delivery, hyperbilirubinemia, HAI, GA and birth
weight were statistically significant variables for mortality of premature infants.
These significant variables are statistically associated with time to death of
premature infants admitted to this NICU and consistent with previous
studies.[6,19] Premature neonates who had RDS and home delivery were 43.5%
(AHR = 0.565, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.42, 0.76) and 51.6% (AHR = 0.481, 95%
CI: 0.291, 0.794) more likely to die than those infants without RDS and
institutional delivery, respectively. If preterm neonate develops NEC or HAI, the
risk of death will increase to 45.9% (AHR = 0.541, 95% CI: 0.401, 0.73) and 45.2%
(AHR = 0.548, 95% CI: 0.363, 0.829), respectively. The HR (95% CI) for premature
infants admitted to NICU who had RDS was 1.771 (1.317, 2.382) of premature infants
those who had RDS 1.77 times higher than those infants without RDS. Preterm neonates
with RDS had a hazard of death lower than that of Jimma University.[15]The strength of this study is that it had included most of predictors of preterm
neonatal survival and associated factors. Data collection was also complete and
reliable. The sample size was large and enables to get more reliable result for
generalization for most hospitals of Ethiopia. The limitation of the study is 24.9%
of preterm babies were excluded due to incompleteness of charts as the study was
retrospective and 5.4% withdraw from treatment. The study was conducted only in
public referral hospital where high risk neonates were admitted. Home deliveries
were not part of the study, as we failed to track the deaths that occurred at home
and this may underestimate the neonatal mortality rate because home deliveries are
at increased risk of complications and deaths. Moreover, withdrawal neonates may
encounter deaths that could underestimate our neonatal mortality rate.
Conclusion
The survival rate of EVLBW, VLBW, LBW and NBW was 0%, 19.9%, 66.1% and 87.5%,
respectively. The survival rate was 0%, 19.4%, 40%, 46.7% and 75% for
GA < 28 weeks, 28–31 + 6 weeks, 32–33 + 6 weeks and 34–36 + 6 weeks,
respectively. Neonates with GA < 28 weeks, weight <1000 g and acute bilirubin
encephalopathy had no chance of survival. The overall survival rate of preterm
neonates was 49.1% and the overall mortality rate was 36.1% which signifies very low
survival and high mortality rate compared to other hospitals with similar setups in
Ethiopia.Hypothermia, sepsis, RDS, NEC, hyperbilirubinemia and HAI were among the leading
causes of morbidity. RDS, sepsis and NEC were the leading cause of death. A higher
number of neonatal death occurred after 24 h of life. RDS, NEC, PNA, home delivery,
hyperbilirubinemia, HAI, abnormal admission temperature, lower birth weight and far
GA from term were statistically significant variables for mortality of premature
neonates at 95% confidence level (p < 0.05). More than 50% of preterm neonatal
deaths can be prevented with available resources in FHSH.
Recommendation
A prospective study is recommended to get more reliable and complete data of
patients. Following strict aseptic technique by the caregiver and attendants,
isolating septic neonates in a separate room, decreasing overcrowding (establishing
other NICUs in other hospitals) and early discharge is vital to decrease HAI. Most
of the death occurs after 24 h of life, proper follow-up, early detection and timely
management of complications are mandatory. Timely initiation, proper escalating of
trophic feeding according to patient’s condition and proper follow-up to pick NEC as
early as possible is the key to decrease it.Click here for additional data file.Supplemental material, Questionnaire for Survival and associated factors of
mortality of preterm neonates admitted to Felege Hiwot specialized hospital,
Bahir Dar, Ethiopia by Ayanaw Tamene, Gedefaw Abeje and Zelalem Addis in SAGE
Open Medicine
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