Literature DB >> 32877921

Rapid Real-time Tracking of Nonpharmaceutical Interventions and Their Association With Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Positivity: The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Pandemic Pulse Study.

Steven J Clipman1, Amy P Wesolowski2, Dustin G Gibson1, Smisha Agarwal1, Anastasia S Lambrou1, Gregory D Kirk2,3, Alain B Labrique1,2, Shruti H Mehta2, Sunil S Solomon2,3.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Current mitigation strategies for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) rely on the population-wide adoption of nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs). Monitoring the adoption of NPIs and their associations with SARS-CoV-2 infection history can provide key information for public health.
METHODS: We sampled 1030 individuals in Maryland from 17-28 June 2020 to capture sociodemographically and geographically resolved information about NPI adoption and access to SARS-CoV-2 testing, and examine associations with self-reported SARS-CoV-2 positivity.
RESULTS: Overall, 92% reported traveling for essential services and 66% visited friends/family. Use of public transport was reported by 18%. In total, 68% reported strict social distancing indoors and 53% reported strict masking indoors; indoor social distancing was significantly associated with age, and race/ethnicity and income were associated with masking. Overall, 55 participants (5.3%) self-reported ever testing positive for SARS-CoV-2, with strong dose-response relationships between several forms of movement frequency and SARS-CoV-2 positivity. In a multivariable analysis, a history of SARS-CoV-2 infection was negatively associated with strict social distancing (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] for outdoor social distancing, 0.10; 95% confidence interval, .03-.33). Only public transport use (aOR for >7 times vs never, 4.3) and visiting a place of worship (aOR for ≥3 times vs never, 16.0) remained significantly associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection after adjusting for strict social distancing and demographics.
CONCLUSIONS: These results support public health messaging that strict social distancing during most activities can reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Additional considerations are needed for indoor activities with large numbers of persons (places of worship and public transportation), where even NPIs may not be possible or sufficient.
© The Author(s) 2020. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.

Entities:  

Keywords:  SARS-CoV-2; nonpharmaceutical interventions; social distancing; testing; transmission

Mesh:

Year:  2021        PMID: 32877921      PMCID: PMC7499535          DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciaa1313

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Clin Infect Dis        ISSN: 1058-4838            Impact factor:   9.079


The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS CoV-2) and associated coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic continues to evolve at a rapid pace, having affected more than 23 million persons globally and more than 5.7 million in the United States as of 25 August 2020 [1]. While there has been rapid progress in therapeutics [2, 3] and vaccine development [4, 5], nothing to date is a panacea. The primary means of curtailing transmission remain testing, contact tracing, and continued implementation of nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), such as social distancing and masking [6, 7]. A growing number of reports have demonstrated the impact of social distancing on reducing SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Many of these reports have modeled these impacts using state- and/or county-level data on government-imposed interventions/restrictions or geolocation data from mobile phone users as a surrogate for social distancing and mobility [8-14]. While these analyses allow for an examination of trends across multiple geographies and large sample sizes, they are ecological in nature, and thus need to be supplemented by methods that can capture finer-scale changes in behavior, such as population-based surveys. Monitoring trends in the adoption of NPIs via surveys may provide insight into the trajectory of local SARS-CoV-2 epidemics, and can guide public health practice and policy [8]. Declining or poor levels of NPI adoption could signal an impending upsurge in cases, indicating a need to mobilize resources to medical facilities and expand testing to facilitate early diagnosis and isolation. In contrast, high levels of NPI adoption could support decisions related to reopening businesses. Such approaches can also help to identify subgroups (eg, race, income, age) who are differentially practicing social distancing or other preventive behaviors, and can directly collect data to help distinguish between travel for essential services/employment versus leisure, both of which will be important for eventual public health messaging. While some data collected via mobile phone applications may also be able to provide information on the type of location visited (eg, a restaurant vs residence), there may still exist nuances in the reasons for travel (eg, an employee vs guest at a restaurant) that would be unavailable; further, information about the differences in travel by sociodemographic subgroups may not be always available. While surveys could capture this type of granular information at frequent intervals, to date most surveys have focused on symptoms, COVID-19 impacts, and attitudes towards NPIs [15-17]. We used an online panel to rapidly sample persons in Maryland to capture granular information on NPI adoption, travel, access to SARS-CoV-2 testing, and associations with self-reported SARS-CoV-2 positivity.

METHODS

Study Setting

As of 30 June 2020, Maryland had nearly 68 000 confirmed COVID-19 cases and more than 3200 deaths; the current positive test proportion is 4.56% [18]. Community transmission has been sustained since 12 March 2020 [18], and statewide stay-at-home orders were implemented from 30 March to 15 May 2020. As of 18 April 2020, Maryland required face coverings on public transit and within retail outlets for employees and customers. Stage 2 of phased reopening began on 12 June 2020, allowing indoor restaurant dining to resume at 50% capacity; on 19 June 2020, gyms, retail stores, salons, barbershops, nail salons, amusement parks, outdoor pools, and indoor worship services were permitted to open with capacity restrictions [19].

Study Sample

Participants were recruited from across Maryland from 17–28 June 2020 using Dynata (https://www.dynata.com), which is among the largest first-party global data platforms. Dynata maintains a database of potential participants who are randomized to specific surveys if they meet the specified demographic targets of the survey; participants receive modest compensation for participation. Security checks and quality verifications are used to verify identity and prevent duplication before participants begin surveys. These include digital fingerprinting to prevent duplication, spot checking via third-party verification to prove identity, and a dedicated panelist quality team. Dynata staff are active in multiple online research quality initiatives, including the European Society for Opinion and Marketing Research. We provided Dynata with quotas for age, gender, race, and income based on the population composition of Maryland. Quotas were monitored through the Dynata internal router system and self-reported survey data. Dynata distributed survey invitations to 2322 persons. Of these, 1466 visited the survey site and responded to at least 1 question: 109 started but did not complete the survey, and 310 responses were excluded for noneligibility (age <18 years or residence outside Maryland). We further excluded 17 participants who did not provide a response to ever being tested for SARS-CoV-2, for a final sample size of 1030 (target = 1000).

Survey

The electronic survey was based on a combination of existing COVID-19 surveys and new questions on sociodemographic characteristics, adoption of NPIs (including social distancing and mask wearing), and access to SARS-CoV-2 testing. All questions were asked with respect to the prior 2 weeks. To understand social distancing practices, participants were asked about the types of places/locations they visited in the prior 2 weeks and the frequency of those visits, including to indoor locations, such as large gatherings, homes of friends and family members, gyms, salons, grocery stores, pharmacies, restaurants, and places of worship, and to outdoor locations, such as beaches and pools. Participants were also asked about social distancing practices and mask wearing at these locations.

Statistical Analysis

Chi-square tests and Mann-Whitney tests were used to compare categorical and continuous variables, respectively. Logistic regression was used to identify the variables associated with ever testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Variables of interest included demographics; mobility patterns, including types of outdoor and indoor locations visited in the prior 2 weeks; and adoption of masking and social distancing. Variables were considered for inclusion in multivariable models if they held biological significance, were statistically significant in univariable models (P < .05), and/or had significant variable importance scores, as determined by machine-learning feature selection using random forest with a Boruta wrapper algorithm [20]. As a sensitivity analyses, we restricted the outcome to a self-report of a recent (prior 2 weeks) positive SARS-CoV-2 test.

Ethical Clearance

The study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health (IRB00012413), and all participants consented to participate.

RESULTS

Characteristics of Study Population

The median age of participants was 43 years, and 55% were women. The majority (n = 618, 60%) were White, and 239 (23%) and 74 (7%) self-identified as Black/African American and Hispanic/Latino, respectively (Table 1). About 69% of the participants reported attending college or possessing a graduate degree, and the majority (55%) reported a household income less than $70 000. There were 303 (29%) respondents who reported working outside of their home. Participants were sampled from all 24 counties in Maryland, with the largest proportion from the most populous counties. In general, the sociodemographic characteristics of the study sample were reflective of the Maryland state population (Supplementary Figure S1).
Table 1.

Characteristics of Study Sample

OverallNever tested positive for SARS-CoV-2Ever tested positive for SARS-CoV-2
n = 1030n = 975n = 55
Median age (IQR)43 (32–57)44 (34–57)28 (22–35)
Median household size (IQR)2 (2–4)2 (2–4)2 (1–4)
Gender, n (%)
 Female563 (55%)542 (95%)21 (4%)
 Male461 (45%)428 (92%)33 (7%)
 Other5 (.6%)4 (80%)1 (20%)
Race/ethnicity, n (%)
 White/Caucasian618 (60%)598 (97%)20 (3%)
 Black/African American239 (23%)217 (91%)22 (9%)
 Hispanic/Latino74 (7%)65 (88%)9 (12%)
 Asian/Pacific Islander52 (5%)50 (96%)2 (4%)
 American Indian/Alaska Native12 (1%)10 (83%)2 (17%)
 Mixed/Other35 (4%)35 (100%)0 (0%)
Educational attainment, n (%)
 High school degree or less212 (21%)201 (95%)11 (5%)
 Associate degree104 (10%)99 (95%)5 (5%)
 Some college, no degree192 (19%)188 (97%)4 (2%)
 Bachelor’s degree283 (27%)263 (92%)20 (7%)
 Graduate degree236 (23%)221 (93%)15 (6%)
Annual household income, n (%)
 <$20 000113 (11%)104 (92%)9 (8%)
 $20 000–$39 000162 (16%)150 (93%)12 (7%)
 $40 000–$49 00096 (9%)90 (94%)6 (6%)
 $50 000–$69 000200 (19%)192 (96%)8 (4%)
 $70 000+ 429 (42%)409 (95%)20 (5%)
Employment status, n (%)
 Employed, working outside the home303 (29%)271 (89%)32 (10%)
 Employed, working from home337 (33%)324 (95%)13 (4%)
 Unemployed191 (19%)186 (96%)5 (3%)
 Retired188 (18%)184 (97%)4 (2%)

Data are shown by self-reported SARS-CoV-2 infection status. In the column representing the overall description, we have listed the column percentage to reflect the overall population characteristics; in the columns stratified by self-reported SARS-CoV-2 positivity status, we have listed the row percentage to allow for comparison of self-reported positivity by various subgroups. Overall column percentages may not sum to 100 if some participants elected not to answer a given question.

Abbreviations: IQR, interquartile range; SARS-C0V-2, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2.

Characteristics of Study Sample Data are shown by self-reported SARS-CoV-2 infection status. In the column representing the overall description, we have listed the column percentage to reflect the overall population characteristics; in the columns stratified by self-reported SARS-CoV-2 positivity status, we have listed the row percentage to allow for comparison of self-reported positivity by various subgroups. Overall column percentages may not sum to 100 if some participants elected not to answer a given question. Abbreviations: IQR, interquartile range; SARS-C0V-2, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2.

Recent Movement

Overall, 990 (96%) participants reported leaving their home at least once during the prior 2 weeks. Of these, almost all (92%) reported traveling for essential services (eg, grocery store or pharmacy) at least once, and 40% reported going 3 or more times in the prior 2 weeks. Following travel for essential services, the next most frequented places were visiting friends/family (66%); indoor venues such as bars, salons, or restaurants (49%); and outdoor venues such as beaches or pools (25%; Figure 1; Supplementary Figure S2). Among those who reported travel, 18% and 15% reported using public transport and visiting a place of worship, respectively. Activities were positively correlated with each another (Supplementary Figure S3). There were 5% who reported engaging in all activities. About a quarter (26%) reported attending at least 1 gathering of 10 or more people in the prior 2 weeks, of whom 8% reported attending 3 or more gatherings; 104 (10%) reported attending at least 1 gathering of 100 or more.
Figure 1.

Sankey diagram showing participant mobility for essential and nonessential services and public transportation use in the past 2 weeks. Participant responses are depicted in each rectangular node, with flows proportional to how many individuals responded: for example, individuals who responded “yes” to both essential services and nonessential services are reflected in the flow connecting the 2 “yes” nodes for these variables. Individuals who have ever tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 are shown in red, whereas all others are shown in gray. A total of 51 (5%) participants responded “yes” to all mobility questions, and 39 (4%) responded “no” to all; 17 (31%) of those who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 responded “yes” to all and 2 (4%) responded “no” to all. The thickness of the flow is directly proportional to the number of respondents who report that behavior. Abbreviation: SARS-CoV-2, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2.

Sankey diagram showing participant mobility for essential and nonessential services and public transportation use in the past 2 weeks. Participant responses are depicted in each rectangular node, with flows proportional to how many individuals responded: for example, individuals who responded “yes” to both essential services and nonessential services are reflected in the flow connecting the 2 “yes” nodes for these variables. Individuals who have ever tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 are shown in red, whereas all others are shown in gray. A total of 51 (5%) participants responded “yes” to all mobility questions, and 39 (4%) responded “no” to all; 17 (31%) of those who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 responded “yes” to all and 2 (4%) responded “no” to all. The thickness of the flow is directly proportional to the number of respondents who report that behavior. Abbreviation: SARS-CoV-2, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2.

Adoption of NPIs

The majority reported practicing social distancing when visiting indoor and outdoor locations, although adoption of social distancing increased with age. For example, 81% of those over the age of 65 reported always practicing social distancing at outdoor activities, compared to 58% of those aged 18–24 (P < .001; Figure 2). About half (53%) reported that they always wore a mask when visiting indoor and outdoor locations; 17% and 19% reported never wearing a mask when visiting indoor or outdoor locations, respectively. While age was not significantly associated with self-reported mask use, race and income were. About three-fourths (72%) of Blacks reported always wearing a mask outdoors, compared to 44% of Whites (P < .001). Further, 62% of those with a household income less than $20 000/year reported always wearing a mask outdoors, compared to 48% of those with household income of $70 000 or greater (P = .018).
Figure 2.

Self-reported uptake of nonpharmaceutical interventions in the prior 2 weeks by (A) race/ethnicity, (B) age, and (C) annual household income.

Self-reported uptake of nonpharmaceutical interventions in the prior 2 weeks by (A) race/ethnicity, (B) age, and (C) annual household income.

SARS-CoV-2 Infection and Access to Testing

Overall, 55 participants (5.3%) self-reported ever testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Participants who self-reported having tested positive were significantly more likely to be male, younger, self-identify as Black/African American or Hispanic/Latino, and be required to travel outside of home for work (Table 1). The distribution of self-reported SARS-CoV-2 positivity by Maryland counties is presented in Supplementary Figure S4. In the prior 2 weeks, 102 persons reported wanting or needing a SARS-CoV-2 test, of whom 62 (61%) were able to get a test. Of those tested, 18 (29%) tested positive, and 16 (89%) reported subsequent hospitalization (see Supplementary Figure S5). While 18 (29%) reported getting a test the same day they wanted/needed it, about a third (34%) reported waiting 3 or more days. Over half (53%) reported waiting 3 or more days to receive a test result; 7 (11%) had not received their results at the time of the survey.

Association Between Prior SARS-CoV-2 Infection Status, Travel History, and Adoption of NPIs

In an unadjusted analysis, a self-reported history of SARS-CoV-2 infection was significantly more frequent among those who were younger, male, and Black/African American or Hispanic/Latino (P values < .05 for all; Table 2). SARS-CoV-2 infection was also significantly more common among those who reported using public transportation, attending a place of worship, visiting friends or family, attending gatherings of more than 10 people and more than 100 people, and visiting indoor or outdoor venues where people gather (P values < .05 for all; Supplementary Figure S6). Infection was significantly less common in those who reported strict social distancing indoors and outdoors (P values < .05 for both).
Table 2.

Factors Associated With Ever Testing Positive for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2, by Univariable and Multivariable Logistic Regression

VariableEver tested positive OR (95% CI)Ever tested positive aOR (95% CI)
Race/ethnicity
 White Ref.Ref.
 Black/African American3.03 (1.62–5.66)1.06 (.44–2.54)
 Hispanic/Latino4.14 (1.81–9.47)2.75 (.87–8.70)
Age, per 5-year increase.69 (.61–.78).84 (.71–.99)
Male gender2.00 (1.13–3.45)1.55 (.69–3.47)
Annual household income
 <$20 000 Ref.
 $20 000–$39 000.92 (.38–2.27)
 $40 000–$49 000.77 (.26–2.25)
 $50 000–$69 000.48 (.18–1.29)
 $70 000+ .57 (.25–1.28)
Work outside the home3.61 (2.08–6.29)
Practice social distancing indoors
 Never Ref.Ref.
 Sometimes.71 (.31–1.63).26 (.08–.90)
 Always.30 (.14–.67).32 (.10–.99)
Practice social distancing outdoors
 Never Ref.Ref.
 Sometimes.70 (.28–1.73).34 (.10–1.19)
 Always.19 (.08–.46).10 (.03–.33)
Used public transport
 Never Ref.Ref.
 Once or twice8.06 (3.80–17.1)6.00 (2.13–16.9)
 3–7 times12.2 (5.64–26.3)3.80 (1.18–12.3)
 More than 7 times18.8 (7.59–46.4)4.29 (1.12–16.5)
Attended gathering of >10 people
 Never Ref.
 Once or twice3.37 (1.56–7.25)
 3–7 times15.5 (7.22–33.4)
 More than 7 times28.7 (10.4–78.7)
Attended gathering of >100 people
 Never Ref.
 Once or twice6.51 (2.77–15.3)
 3–7 times26.4 (11.37–61.4)
 More than 7 times34.0 (13.2–87.7)
Visited place of worship
 Never Ref.Ref.
 Once or twice2.91 (1.06–8.02)1.41 (.38–5.31)
 3 or more times23.9 (12.5–45.9)16.0 (5.97–42.7)
Visited friends or family
 Never Ref.
 Once or twice1.12 (.52–2.42)
 3–7 times3.87 (1.77–8.46)
 More than 7 times5.42 (1.89–15.6)
Went to a grocery store/pharmacy
 Never Ref.
 Once or twice.43 (.17–1.13)
 3–7 times.69 (.27–1.81)
 More than 7 times2.23 (.77–6.51)
Went to an indoor bar, restaurant, salon, or other indoor establishment
 Never Ref.
 Once or twice1.10 (.53–2.29)
 3–7 times4.14 (1.98–8.68)
 More than 7 times9.76 (3.83–24.9)
Went to a beach, pool, or other outdoor gathering place
 Never Ref.
 Once or twice2.45 (1.16–5.18)
 3–7 times9.30 (4.47–19.3)
 More than 7 times8.28 (2.56–26.7)
Mask wearing in public indoors
 Never or sometimes
 Always.63 (.36–1.09)
Always wear mask in public outdoors
 Never or sometimes
 Always1.06 (.61–1.85)
Number of close contacts indoors
 0 Ref.
 13.96 (1.41–11.2)
 2–54.46 (1.92–10.3)
 6–104.87 (1.72–13.8)
 >106.16 (1.72–22.0)
Number of close contacts outdoors
 0Ref.
 15.90 (2.00–17.4)
 2–56.30 (2.54–15.6)
 6–109.58 (3.31–27.7)
 >104.26 (.83–21.9)

Abbreviations: aOR, adjusted odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; Ref., reference.

Factors Associated With Ever Testing Positive for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2, by Univariable and Multivariable Logistic Regression Abbreviations: aOR, adjusted odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; Ref., reference. In a multivariable analysis, a history of SARS-CoV-2 infection remained significantly more likely among younger respondents, those who took public transportation (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] for more than 7 times vs never, 4.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1 – 16.5), and those who visited a place of worship (aOR for those who visited ≥ 3 times vs never, 16.0; 95% CI, 6.0 – 42.7), and significantly less common among those who always practiced social distancing (aOR for indoor social distancing, 0.32 [95% CI, .10–.99]; aOR for outdoor social distancing, 0.10 [95% CI, .03–.33]; Table 2). Associations were similar in sensitivity analyses of self-reported SARS-CoV-2 infection in the prior 2 weeks (Supplementary Table S7).

DISCUSSION

We utilized an online panel survey to provide a rapid, cost-efficient snapshot of travel patterns and NPI adoption across population subgroups in Maryland. These data indicate that nonessential travel and uneven NPI adoption could influence community transmission of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Over two-thirds of the respondents reported recent travel for nonessential services; self-reported SARS-CoV-2 infections were significantly more common among those who reported using public transport or visiting places of worship, and significantly less common among those who always practiced social distancing. Significant differences in NPI adoption were observed by age, race, and income, suggesting that communication campaigns should tailor messaging to specific subgroups. Positive dose-response relationships were demonstrated between recent movement and prior SARS-CoV-2 infection. The more frequently an individual participated in an activity, the more likely they were to have tested positive. Additionally, consistent with ecologic analyses [21], lower levels of SARS-CoV-2 positivity were observed among those always practicing social distancing. Indeed, when adjusting for movement types, social distancing, and other demographic factors associated with positivity, most associations between recent movement and SARS-CoV-2 positivity were no longer statistically significant. This supports public health messaging that incorporating appropriate NPIs while visiting indoor and outdoor venues helps reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Importantly, this was not the case for using public transport and visiting a place of worship in the prior 2 weeks, which remained significantly associated with SARS-CoV-2 positivity even after adjustment. Of course, while mask use is mandated for public transport, social distancing may be challenging and the use of public transport may reflect necessity versus a personal choice. While in Maryland, although many religious gatherings moved to remote services, indoor religious gatherings were allowable with restrictions at the time of the survey. We specifically surveyed about physically visiting places of worship, but were unable to discriminate the reasons why persons attended a place of worship (eg, service vs food distribution vs Narcotics Anonymous). It is important to note that data on movement and NPI adoption, albeit self-reported, was limited to the prior 2 weeks to minimize recall bias. While these data demonstrated a negative association between consistent indoor mask use and ever testing positive for SARS-CoV-2, this association failed to achieve statistical significance. The collection of data related to mask use is nuanced, as several factors that are challenging to collect can affect the efficacy of masks, such as fit, type of mask, frequency of touching/adjusting mask, and so forth. Further, guidance on mask use has been evolving since March, with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) only endorsing mask use on 3 April 2020, which could have affected associations with ever testing positive. In sensitivity analyses that restricted analyses to recent SARS-CoV-2 infection, consistent indoor mask use was significantly associated with a lower likelihood of infection. These analyses could not establish temporality between exposures and SARS-CoV-2 positivity, and those who tested positive may have been more likely to practice these behaviors when they were infected or may have changed their behaviors after testing positive because of an altered risk perception. Sensitivity analyses demonstrating similar associations with recent SARS-CoV-2 infection and the dose-response associations observed suggest that reverse causality does not likely explain these associations. Regardless of directionality, these findings have implications for community transmission risk, particularly in light of incomplete understanding both of viral shedding and infectiousness among infected persons and of the role and duration of acquired immunity on protection from SARS-CoV-2 reinfection [22-25]. Of interest, these data were collected just as Maryland began to relax restrictions, and the state witnessed an uptick [18] in cases about a month after the survey, particularly among younger persons, the strata who reported maximum mobility in this survey. Aside from the widescale adoption of NPIs, early diagnosis, appropriate contact tracing measures, and isolation and/or referral to care are critical to curtailing SARS-CoV-2 transmission [22]. It is vital that all persons who seek a test are able to obtain a test with minimal delays, followed by prompt receipt of results. In this sample, almost 40% of those who wanted a test were not able to get tested; even in those tested, there were significant delays, and over half waited 3 or more days for results. To effectively curb transmission, these delays need to be addressed. We were limited in our ability to generalize results, because the sample cannot necessarily be considered to be representative of Maryland state. Indeed, self-reported positivity was more than double that estimated among those 18 and older by case-count data (2.5%) [26]. It is important to note, however, that there has not yet been a seroprevalence study in Maryland, and that case count data are subject to many biases, including who can access a test and how this access has changed over time. Most seroprevalence studies have demonstrated that prevalence is 6–24 times higher than what has been estimated by case count data [27]. Regardless, it is important to note that by using quotas for various key demographic characteristics, online samples such as ours can be structured to recruit samples with demographic distributions comparable to the target population [28]. Notably, despite the higher overall prevalence as compared to the case count data prevalence, the self-reported positivity rates reflect the distribution of cases in Maryland [18], with higher positivity among men, Hispanics, African-Americans, and younger populations. Also of importance, the proportion of respondents in the sample who reported taking the flu vaccine last year was 53.1% (data not shown), compared to the CDC [29] estimate of 52.3% in the 2018–19 flu season, suggesting this approach yields similar results as other commonly used approaches, such as random digit dialing. We were additionally limited because individuals required Internet connectivity to participate; however, Internet access has been improving and has been facilitated by recent discounts offered by major providers. It is estimated that 86% of Maryland residents have Internet connectivity [30]. The sample also likely misses homeless populations and very low–income groups, 2 populations where NPI adoption may be especially challenging [31]. Among those with Internet connectivity, it is not possible to sample randomly, and the “frame error” of those willing to participate in such panels is likely large but cannot be proven to be systematic. Despite these limitations, several advantages of the approach are also noteworthy. This sample of 1030 respondents was recruited in under 2 weeks at a cost of $3000. In a rapidly evolving epidemic where behaviors are constantly changing, this approach did not require face-to-face visits, maximizing participant safety and minimizing administration costs. Finally, any biases will likely remain constant over time, allowing for examining trends longitudinally in serial, cross-sectional samples using the same method. To monitor these trends, we developed an online interactive dashboard (sclipman.github.io/PandemicPulse). In conclusion, we present a rapid, cost-efficient approach of monitoring NPI adoption and adherence, which can help inform public health responses. While our survey illustrated this approach within a single state, the rapidity and efficiency of this methodology can be replicated in other settings, recognizing the highly variable and geographically localized SARS-CoV-2 transmission patterns and risk mitigation responses. Repeating these surveys over time can further unveil additional insights around changes in population behaviors, potentially informing adaptive responses to evolving disease dynamics. Overall, these data continue to highlight the role of movement and social distancing on SARS-CoV-2 transmission risk, and support public health messaging that strict social distancing during most activities can mitigate SARS-CoV-2 transmission. In Maryland, these data support targeted messaging to young adults, given their high rates of positivity and lower rates of NPI adoption; establishing partnerships with faith-based organizations could also be critical to curbing spread. Moreover, measures need to be implemented to make public transportation safe and to improve access to SARS-CoV-2 testing. Continued monitoring of NPI adoption, access to testing, and the subsequent impact on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Maryland, as well as more broadly, will be critical for pandemic control.

Supplementary Data

Supplementary materials are available at Clinical Infectious Diseases online. Consisting of data provided by the authors to benefit the reader, the posted materials are not copyedited and are the sole responsibility of the authors, so questions or comments should be addressed to the corresponding author. Click here for additional data file.
  17 in total

1.  Effectiveness of isolation, testing, contact tracing, and physical distancing on reducing transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in different settings: a mathematical modelling study.

Authors:  Adam J Kucharski; Petra Klepac; Andrew J K Conlan; Stephen M Kissler; Maria L Tang; Hannah Fry; Julia R Gog; W John Edmunds
Journal:  Lancet Infect Dis       Date:  2020-06-16       Impact factor: 25.071

2.  Universal Masking to Prevent SARS-CoV-2 Transmission-The Time Is Now.

Authors:  John T Brooks; Jay C Butler; Robert R Redfield
Journal:  JAMA       Date:  2020-08-18       Impact factor: 56.272

3.  Seroprevalence of Antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 in 10 Sites in the United States, March 23-May 12, 2020.

Authors:  Fiona P Havers; Carrie Reed; Travis Lim; Joel M Montgomery; John D Klena; Aron J Hall; Alicia M Fry; Deborah L Cannon; Cheng-Feng Chiang; Aridth Gibbons; Inna Krapiunaya; Maria Morales-Betoulle; Katherine Roguski; Mohammad Ata Ur Rasheed; Brandi Freeman; Sandra Lester; Lisa Mills; Darin S Carroll; S Michele Owen; Jeffrey A Johnson; Vera Semenova; Carina Blackmore; Debra Blog; Shua J Chai; Angela Dunn; Julie Hand; Seema Jain; Scott Lindquist; Ruth Lynfield; Scott Pritchard; Theresa Sokol; Lynn Sosa; George Turabelidze; Sharon M Watkins; John Wiesman; Randall W Williams; Stephanie Yendell; Jarad Schiffer; Natalie J Thornburg
Journal:  JAMA Intern Med       Date:  2020-07-21       Impact factor: 21.873

4.  Health Surveys Using Mobile Phones in Developing Countries: Automated Active Strata Monitoring and Other Statistical Considerations for Improving Precision and Reducing Biases.

Authors:  Alain Labrique; Emily Blynn; Saifuddin Ahmed; Dustin Gibson; George Pariyo; Adnan A Hyder
Journal:  J Med Internet Res       Date:  2017-05-05       Impact factor: 5.428

5.  An mRNA Vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 - Preliminary Report.

Authors:  Lisa A Jackson; Evan J Anderson; Nadine G Rouphael; Paul C Roberts; Mamodikoe Makhene; Rhea N Coler; Michele P McCullough; James D Chappell; Mark R Denison; Laura J Stevens; Andrea J Pruijssers; Adrian McDermott; Britta Flach; Nicole A Doria-Rose; Kizzmekia S Corbett; Kaitlyn M Morabito; Sijy O'Dell; Stephen D Schmidt; Phillip A Swanson; Marcelino Padilla; John R Mascola; Kathleen M Neuzil; Hamilton Bennett; Wellington Sun; Etza Peters; Mat Makowski; Jim Albert; Kaitlyn Cross; Wendy Buchanan; Rhonda Pikaart-Tautges; Julie E Ledgerwood; Barney S Graham; John H Beigel
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  2020-07-14       Impact factor: 91.245

6.  Relationships Between Initial COVID-19 Risk Perceptions and Protective Health Behaviors: A National Survey.

Authors:  Wändi Bruine de Bruin; Daniel Bennett
Journal:  Am J Prev Med       Date:  2020-05-22       Impact factor: 5.043

7.  Assessment of SARS-CoV-2 Infection Prevalence in Homeless Shelters - Four U.S. Cities, March 27-April 15, 2020.

Authors:  Emily Mosites; Erin M Parker; Kristie E N Clarke; Jessie M Gaeta; Travis P Baggett; Elizabeth Imbert; Madeline Sankaran; Ashley Scarborough; Karin Huster; Matt Hanson; Elysia Gonzales; Jody Rauch; Libby Page; Temet M McMichael; Ryan Keating; Grace E Marx; Tom Andrews; Kristine Schmit; Sapna Bamrah Morris; Nicole F Dowling; Georgina Peacock
Journal:  MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep       Date:  2020-05-01       Impact factor: 17.586

8.  Enacting national social distancing policies corresponds with dramatic reduction in COVID19 infection rates.

Authors:  Daniel J McGrail; Jianli Dai; Kathleen M McAndrews; Raghu Kalluri
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2020-07-30       Impact factor: 3.240

9.  Duration of serum neutralizing antibodies for SARS-CoV-2: Lessons from SARS-CoV infection.

Authors:  Qingqing Lin; Li Zhu; Zuowei Ni; Haitao Meng; Liangshun You
Journal:  J Microbiol Immunol Infect       Date:  2020-03-25       Impact factor: 4.399

10.  Dexamethasone in Hospitalized Patients with Covid-19.

Authors:  Peter Horby; Wei Shen Lim; Jonathan R Emberson; Marion Mafham; Jennifer L Bell; Louise Linsell; Natalie Staplin; Christopher Brightling; Andrew Ustianowski; Einas Elmahi; Benjamin Prudon; Christopher Green; Timothy Felton; David Chadwick; Kanchan Rege; Christopher Fegan; Lucy C Chappell; Saul N Faust; Thomas Jaki; Katie Jeffery; Alan Montgomery; Kathryn Rowan; Edmund Juszczak; J Kenneth Baillie; Richard Haynes; Martin J Landray
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  2020-07-17       Impact factor: 91.245

View more
  13 in total

1.  The Changing Nature of Telehealth Use by Primary Care Physicians in the United States.

Authors:  Timothy Callaghan; Carly McCord; David Washburn; Kirby Goidel; Cason Schmit; Tasmiah Nuzhath; Abigail Spiegelman; Julia Scobee
Journal:  J Prim Care Community Health       Date:  2022 Jan-Dec

Review 2.  Non-pharmaceutical interventions during the COVID-19 pandemic: A review.

Authors:  Nicola Perra
Journal:  Phys Rep       Date:  2021-02-13       Impact factor: 25.600

3.  Social Determinants of Adherence to COVID-19 Risk Mitigation Measures Among Adults With Cardiovascular Disease.

Authors:  Kobina K Hagan; Zulqarnain Javed; Miguel Cainzos-Achirica; Dirk Sostman; Farhaan S Vahidy; Javier Valero-Elizondo; Isaac Acquah; Tamer Yahya; Bita Kash; Julia D Andrieni; Prachi Dubey; Adnan A Hyder; Khurram Nasir
Journal:  Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes       Date:  2021-05-06

4.  SARS-CoV-2 Testing in Florida, Illinois, and Maryland: Access and Barriers.

Authors:  Steven J Clipman; Amy Wesolowski; Shruti H Mehta; Smisha Agarwal; Sarah E Cobey; Derek A T Cummings; Dustin G Gibson; Alain B Labrique; Gregory D Kirk; Sunil S Solomon
Journal:  medRxiv       Date:  2020-12-24

5.  Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Antibody Status in Decedents Undergoing Forensic Postmortem Examination in Maryland, May 24 to June 30, 2020.

Authors:  Keri N Althoff; Oliver Laeyendecker; Rong Li; Sally B Coburn; Ethan Klock; Owen R Baker; Thomas C Quinn; Jeffrey Michael; Wendy C Shields; Johnathon Ehsani; F Dennis Thomas; Lindsey A Graham; Zabiullah Ali; Yukari C Manabe; Ling Li
Journal:  Open Forum Infect Dis       Date:  2020-12-15       Impact factor: 3.835

6.  Social determinants of health related to stay-at-home order adherence and social distancing attitudes among a diverse Deep South population.

Authors:  Jennifer L Lemacks; Tammy Greer; Sermin Aras; Laurie Abbott; Darlene Willis; June Gipson; Mohamed O Elasri
Journal:  BMC Public Health       Date:  2021-11-23       Impact factor: 3.295

7.  Direct Observation of COVID-19 Prevention Behaviors and Physical Activity in Public Open Spaces.

Authors:  Richard R Suminski; Gregory M Dominick; Norman J Wagner; Iva Obrusnikova
Journal:  Int J Environ Res Public Health       Date:  2022-01-25       Impact factor: 3.390

8.  Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Antibody Seroprevalence in Decedents Undergoing Forensic Postmortem Examination: Feasibility for 
Real-Time Pandemic Surveillance.

Authors:  Sally B Coburn; Yukari C Manabe; Oliver Laeyendecker; Susan G Sherman; Owen R Baker; Thomas C Quinn; Lindsey A Graham; F Dennis Thomas; Pamela Southall; Victor W Weedn; Johnathon Ehsani; Ethan Klock; Rong Li; Wendy C Shields; Jeffrey Paul Michael; Ling Li; Keri N Althoff
Journal:  Open Forum Infect Dis       Date:  2022-04-10       Impact factor: 3.835

9.  COVID-19 risk perceptions of social interaction and essential activities and inequity in the USA: results from a nationally representative survey.

Authors:  Daniel J Erchick; Alexander J Zapf; Prativa Baral; Jeffrey Edwards; Shruti H Mehta; Sunil S Solomon; Dustin G Gibson; Smisha Agarwal; Alain B Labrique
Journal:  BMJ Open       Date:  2022-02-07       Impact factor: 2.692

10.  Emergency seed funding for COVID-19 research: lessons from Johns Hopkins University.

Authors:  Julie Messersmith; Chasmine Stoddart-Osumah; Marc Lennon; Denis Wirtz
Journal:  J Clin Invest       Date:  2021-01-04       Impact factor: 14.808

View more

北京卡尤迪生物科技股份有限公司 © 2022-2023.