| Literature DB >> 32848900 |
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Recent meta-analyses reported placebo response rate in antidepressant trials to be stable since the 1970s. These meta-analyses however were limited in considering only linear time trends, assessed trial-level covariates based on single-model hypothesis testing only, and did not adjust for small-study effects (SSE), a well-known but not yet formally assessed bias in antidepressant trials.Entities:
Keywords: antidepressants; meta-analysis; placebo; small-study effects; time trend
Year: 2020 PMID: 32848900 PMCID: PMC7399231 DOI: 10.3389/fpsyt.2020.00633
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Psychiatry ISSN: 1664-0640 Impact factor: 4.157
Multimodel averaged covariate estimates.
| Efficacy (cont.) | Response | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model year only | β (95% CI) | β (95% CI) | ||
| Year linear | −0.21 (−0.34 to −0.07) | 0.39 (0.25 to 0.53) | ||
| Year nonlinear | 0.09 (−0.03 to 0.21) | −00.28 (−0.41 to −00.16) | ||
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Year linear | −0.10 (−0.14 to −00.05) | 1.0 | 0.26 (0.12 to 0.40) | 1.0 |
| Year nonlinear | 0.01 (−0.01 to 0.02) | 0.1 | −00.19 (−0.32 to −00.07) | 1.0 |
| Center | −0.20 (−0.30 to −00.10) | 1.0 | 0.28 (0.18 to 0.37) | 1.0 |
| Dosing | −0.01 (−0.06 to 0.03) | 0.5 | 0.01 (−0.03 to 0.05) | 0.3 |
| Length | 0.00 (−0.01 to 0.01) | 0.3 | 0.02 (−0.02 to 0.06) | 0.7 |
| Size | 0.00 (−0.01 to 0.01) | 0.2 | −00.01 (−0.03 to 0.02) | 0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Year linear | −00.07 (−0.12 to −00.02) | 1.0 | 0.07 (−0.05 to 0.18) | 0.8 |
| Year nonlinear | 0.00 (−0.02 to 0.02) | 0.2 | −00.05 (−0.14 to 0.05) | 0.6 |
| Center | −00.00 (−0.02 to 0.01) | 0.1 | 0.01 (−0.03 to 0.05) | 0.3 |
| Dosing | 0.00 (−0.02 to 0.02) | 0.3 | 0.00 (−0.01 to 0.02) | 0.2 |
| Length | 0.00 (−0.01 to 0.01) | 0.3 | 0.02 (−0.01 to 0.05) | 0.8 |
| Size | 0.02 (−0.01 to 0.05) | 0.7 | −00.05 (−0.08 to 0.02) | 1.0 |
Listed are standardized covariate estimates (95% confidence intervals, CI) for the model adjusted for year only and the multimodel average before and after accounting for small-study effects (SSE). The relative covariate importance is given in terms of AICc evidence weights (W), with larger values indicting greater importance, whereas values near zero indicate that there is little or no evidence that the given covariate of interest explains variation in the corresponding outcomes. Significant effects (p < 0·05) are highlighted (red).
Figure 1Efficacy (continuous). Meta-regression plot illustrating the effect of study year on placebo efficacy (continuous) for the model adjusted for year only and the multimodel average considering both main and interaction effects, before and after accounting for small-study effects (SSE). Values larger on the log-transformed change score scale indicate increase in efficacy (continuous). Circle size is proportional to study size. Circle color is proportional to the power of individual studies (100% high power [white], 100-80% adequate power [light gray], <80% low power [dark gray]). Slopes are illustrated at the means of all covariates.
Figure 2Response rate. Meta-regression plot illustrating the effect of study year on placebo response rate. Shown are the model adjusted for year only and the multimodel average considering both main and interaction effects, before and after accounting for small-study effects (SSE). Values smaller on the log-transformed proportion scale indicate increase in response rate. Circle size is proportional to study size. Circle color is proportional to the power of individual studies (100% high power [white], 100-80% adequate power [light gray], <80% low power [dark gray]). Slopes are illustrated at the means of all covariates.
Multimodel averaged heterogeneity statistics.
| Efficacy (cont.) | τ2(%) | I2 | G2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model year only | 0.0456 (−13%) | 88% | |
| Multimodel | 0.0449 (−15%) | 88% | |
| Multimodel (SSE) | 0.0282 (−46%) | 82% | 3% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Model year only | 0.0386 (−12%) | 71% | |
| Multimodel | 0.0377 (−13%) | 71% | |
| Multimodel (SSE) | 0.0141 (−68%) | 47% | 24% |
Listed are heterogeneity statistics for the model adjusted for year only and the multimodel average considering both main and interaction effects, before and after accounting for small-study effects (SSE), in terms of τ2 [with the percentage reduction (%) compared to the unadjusted model] and I2. Listed is also the heterogeneity statistic G2 (scaled 0–100%) derived from the limit meta-analysis, interpreted as the proportion of unexplained heterogeneity after accounting for SSE.