| Literature DB >> 32839534 |
Selcuk Gormez1, Erkan Ekicibasi2, Aleks Degirmencioglu3, Ashok Paudel4, Refik Erdim5, Hilal Kurtoglu Gumusel6, Elif Eroglu7, Ibrahim Halil Tanboga8,9,10, Sinan Dagdelen7, Nevin Sariguzel11, Ceyda Erel Kirisoglu12, Burak Pamukcu13.
Abstract
The aim of this study was to investigate the possible relationship between worse clinical outcomes and the use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) or angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) in hospitalized COVID-19 patients. A total of 247 adult patients (154 males, 93 females; mean age: 51.3 ± 14.2 years) hospitalized for COVID-19 as confirmed by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) were retrospectively reviewed. Demographic and clinical characteristics and laboratory parameters were analyzed using various statistical modeling. Primary outcomes were defined as the need for intensive care unit (ICU), mechanical ventilation, or occurrence of death. Of the patients, 48 were treated in the ICU with a high flow oxygen/noninvasive mechanical ventilation (NIMV, n = 12) or mechanical ventilation (n = 36). Median length of ICU stay was 13 (range, 7-18) days. Mortality was seen in four of the ICU patients. Other patients were followed in the COVID-19 services for a median of 7 days. There was no significant correlation between the primary outcomes and use of ACEIs/ARBs (frequentist OR = 0.82, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.29-2.34, p = 0.715 and Bayesian posterior median OR = 0.80, 95% CI 0.31-2.02) and presence of hypertension (frequentist OR = 1.23, 95% CI 0.52-2.92, p = 0.631 and Bayesian posterior median OR = 1.25, 95% CI 0.58-2.60). Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and D-dimer levels were strongly associated with primary outcomes. In conclusion, the presence of hypertension and use of ACEIs/ARBs were not significantly associated with poor primary clinical outcomes; however, NLR and D-dimer levels were strong predictors of clinical worsening.Entities:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32839534 PMCID: PMC7444679 DOI: 10.1038/s41371-020-00405-3
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Hum Hypertens ISSN: 0950-9240 Impact factor: 3.012
Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics of patients with COVID-19.
| Group 1 | Group 2 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 247 | 49.8 ± 13.7 | 56.5 ± 14.8 | |
| Gender (female) % ( | 247 | 41% (81) | 25% (12) | |
| Diabetes mellitus % ( | 247 | 13% (25) | 15% (73) | |
| Hypertension % ( | 247 | 28% (55) | 48% (23) | |
| Coronary heart disease % ( | 247 | 8% (16) | 15% (7) | |
| Congestive heart failure % ( | 247 | 0% (0) | 4% (2) | |
| COPD % ( | 247 | 5% (9) | 10% (5) | |
| Chronic kidney disease % ( | 247 | 3% (5) | 10% (5) | |
| Obesity % ( | 247 | 9% (17) | 4% (2) | |
| Cancer % ( | 247 | 4% (8) | 4% (2) | |
| ACEIs/ARBs % ( | 247 | 18% (36) | 27% (13) | |
| Calcium channel blockers % ( | 247 | 14% (28) | 21% (10) | |
| LMWH % ( | 247 | 25% (49) | 83% (40) | |
| Hemoglobin (g/dL) | 175 | 12.70/13.60/14.80 | 12.05/12.90/14.05 | |
| Platelet count 103/μL | 242 | 159/198/239 | 135/178/252 | |
| C-reactive protein (mg/dL) | 242 | 0.63/1.71/4.96 | 4.36/8.86/14.50 | |
| Ferritin (ng/mL) | 206 | 86/234/490 | 290/566/1037 | |
| D-dimer (μg/mL) | 217 | 0.265/0.429/0.725 | 0.610/1.070/2.380 | |
| Creatinine (mg/dL) | 238 | 0.70/0.86/1.00 | 0.80/0.99/1.15 | |
| NLR | 235 | 8.13 ± 5.82 | 3.18 ± 2.33 |
Group 1: patients treated in COVID-19 service; Group 2: patients treated in the intensive care unit.
ACEI/ARB angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker, COPD chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, LMWH low molecular weight heparin, NLR neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio.
Symptoms of patients at the time of presentation (n = 247).
| Group 1 | Group 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Fever | 83.8% | 89.6% | 0.377 |
| Cough | 79.2% | 81.3% | 0.844 |
| Fatigue | 58.4% | 64.6% | 0.514 |
| Dyspnea | 31.5% | 72.9% | <0.0005 |
| Myalgia | 28.4% | 54.2% | 0.002 |
| Sore throat | 22.3% | 47.9% | 0.001 |
| Arthralgia | 10.7% | 33.3% | <0.0005 |
| Vomiting | 10.2% | 4.2% | 0.087 |
| Hypo or anosmia | 7.1% | 22.9% | 0.001 |
| Diarrhea | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.316 |
| Nausea | 6.1% | 2.1% | 1.00 |
| Headache | 6.1% | 10.4% | 0.383 |
| Rhinitis | 3.6% | 8.3% | 0.232 |
| Syncope | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.586 |
| Vertigo | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.00 |
Data are given in number and percentage, unless otherwise stated. Group 1: patients treated in COVID-19 service; Group 2: patients treated in the intensive care unit.
Adjusted OR and 95% CIs for individual predictors included in models.
| Model-1 | Model-2 | Model-3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (from 41 to 60 years) | OR = 1.15 (0.68–1.95), | OR = 1.22 (0.66–2.24), | OR = 1.09 (0.61–1.94), |
| Sex (female) | OR = 0.76 (0.31–1.85), | OR = 0.77 (0.32–1.88), | OR = 0.76 (0.31–1.85), |
| D-dimer (from 0.3 to 0.9 U) | OR = 2.34 (1.47–3.71), | OR = 2.32 (1.46–3.69), | OR = 2.33 (1.47–3.70), |
| CRP (from 0.8 to 7.4 mg/dl) | OR = 3.08 (1.38–6.89), | OR = 3.07 (1.37–6.90), | OR = 3.11 (1.39–6.97), |
| NLR (from 1.8 to 5.0) | OR = 2.98 (1.65–5.35), | OR = 3.02 (1.67–5.46), | OR = 2.90 (1.60–5.26), |
| ACEIs/ARBs | – | OR = 0.82, (0.29–2.34), | – |
| Hypertension | – | – | OR = 1.23 (0.52–2.92), |
ACEI angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor, ARB angiotensin receptor blocker, CI confidence interval, CRP C-reactive protein, NLR neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, OR odds ratio.
Fig. 1Relative importance of predictors.
In all models NLR, D-Dimer, and CRP levels evaluated by partial χ2 values indicated a strong correlation with outcomes. CRP C-reactive protein, NLR neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio.
Fig. 2Partial effect plots for Model-2 and Model-3.
CRP C-reactive protein, NLR neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, ACEI angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor, ARB angiotensin receptor blocker.
Fig. 33-dimentional plot for NLR, D-dimer level, and probability of outcome.
NLR neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio. The relationship between the outcomes and NLR and D-dimer levels, as the strongest predictors in our models.
Comparisons of model performances.
| Model-1 | Model-2 | Model-3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Likelihood ratio | 83.7 | 83.9 | 83.9 |
| AIC | 173 | 174 | 174 |
| BIC | 193 | 198 | 198 |
| Frequentist | 0.451 | 0.452 | 0.452 |
| c-index | 0.887 | 0.888 | 0.886 |
| Brier score | 0.093 | 0.093 | 0.093 |
| Bayesian | 0.368 | 0.358 | 0.355 |
| WAIC | 164 (21) | 167 (21) | 167 (21) |
| LOOIC (ELPD) | 0.0 (0.0) | −1.1 (0.5) | −1.3 (0.5) |
χ chi-square, AIC Akaite information criterion, BIC Bayesian information criterion, WAIC widely applicable information criterion, LOOIC leave-one-out information criterion.
Fig. 4A back-to-back histogram plot for distribution of probability of primary outcome in Models-1, 2, and 3.
The inclusion of ACEIs/ARBs use and hypertension to the models had no significant effect on model performances.
Fig. 5Supportive Bayesian analyses.
The supportive Bayesian analyses found that the posterior probability of any (OR > 1) harmful effect using ACEIs/ARBs of 0.34 and 0.40 with weakly and mildly skeptical informative priors.