| Literature DB >> 32838050 |
Shohei Doi1,2, Takayuki Mizuno2,3, Naoya Fujiwara4,3.
Abstract
Timely estimation of the distribution of socioeconomic attributes and their movement is crucial for academic as well as administrative and marketing purposes. In this study, assuming personal attributes affect human behavior and movement, we predict these attributes from location information. First, we predict the socioeconomic characteristics of individuals by supervised learning methods, i.e., logistic Lasso regression, Gaussian Naive Bayes, random forest, XGBoost, LightGBM, and support vector machine, using survey data we collected of personal attributes and frequency of visits to specific facilities, to test our conjecture. We find that gender, a crucial attribute, is as highly predictable from locations as from other sources such as social networking services, as done by existing studies. Second, we apply the model trained with the survey data to actual GPS log data to check the performance of our approach in a real-world setting. Though our approach does not perform as well as for the survey data, the results suggest that we can infer gender from a GPS log.Entities:
Keywords: Human behavior; Location information; Machine learning; Socioeconomic attributes; Survey data
Year: 2020 PMID: 32838050 PMCID: PMC7271143 DOI: 10.1007/s42001-020-00073-w
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Comput Soc Sci ISSN: 2432-2725
Fig. 1Comparison between population and sample
Fig. 2Example of stop detection from GPS log
Confusion matrix
| Ground truth | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | True positive (TP) | False positive (FP) | |
| False negative (FN) | True negative (TN) | ||
Fig. 3Prediction of gender
Fig. 4Prediction of age
Fig. 5Overall in-sample performance of XGBoost for all attributes
Comparison between survey data and GPS log
| Metrics | Survey | GPS |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 0.735333 | 0.629371 |
| MCC | 0.472466 | 0.291346 |
| AUC (ROC) | 0.824475 | 0.637745 |
| AUC (PR) | 0.803007 | 0.737777 |
| 0.746033 | 0.569106 | |
| Accuracy | 0.747094 | 0.474820 |
| MCC | 0.404128 | 0.109331 |
| AUC (ROC) | 0.772475 | 0.556818 |
| AUC (PR) | 0.875023 | 0.799741 |
| 0.818239 | 0.496552 | |
List of location information
| Facility | |
|---|---|
| Laundry | |
| Supermarket | |
| Electronics store | |
| Outdoor equipment or sport shop | |
| Furniture or interior store | |
| DIY store | |
| Discount store | |
| Department or brand store | |
| Shopping mall | |
| Car dealership | |
| Kindergarten or nursery | |
| Elementary, middle or high school | |
| University or college | |
| Cultural center | |
| Language school | |
| Dentist | |
| Clinic | |
| Hospital | |
| Nursing care store | |
| Animal hospital/pet shop | |
| Baseball field (to play) or batting center | |
| Soccer stadium (to play) | |
| Baseball field (to watch) | |
| Soccer stadium (to watch) | |
| Event hall or theater | |
| Golf course | |
| Tennis court | |
| Pool or gym | |
| Executive hotel | |
| Hot spring | |
| Camp site | |
| Ski area | |
| Sea | |
| Zoo, aquarium or botanical garden | |
| Museum | |
| Park | |
| Amusement park | |
| Arcade or bowling alley | |
| Racecourse | |
| Pachinko or slots | |
| Movie theater | |
| Bar or tavern | |
| Beauty salon | |
| Barber shop | |
| Restaurant | |
| Karaoke or internet cafe | |
| Shrine or temple | |
| Church | |
| Wedding hall | |
| Funeral hall |
List of district information
| Category | |
|---|---|
| Average income | |
| Distance from City Hall to Tokyo Station | |
| Travel time from City Hall to Tokyo Station | |
| Fare from City Hall to Tokyo Station | |
| Average land price | |
| Crime rate | |
| Average household size | |
| Foreign people ratio | |
| Population | |
| Population (0–9 years old) | |
| Population (10–19 years old) | |
| Population (20–29 years old) | |
| Population (30–39 years old) | |
| Population (40–49 years old) | |
| Population (50–59 years old) | |
| Population (60–69 years old) | |
| Population (70–79 years old) | |
| Population (80–89 years old) | |
| Population (over 90 years old) |
List of socioeconomic attributes
| Attribute | Note |
|---|---|
| Gender | Female or male |
| Age | |
| Marital status | Single or married |
| Job | Employee, civil servant, self-employed, part-time worker, housewife or other |
| Unemployed | Unemployed or not |
| Permanent staff | Permanent or not |
| Education | Undergraduate, graduate or other |
| Religion | Buddhist, Christian, other or no religion |
| Drinking | More than once a month or less |
| Smoking | Every day or less |
| More than once a month or less | |
| More than once a month or less | |
| More than once a month or less | |
| YouTube | More than once a month or less |
| LINE | More than once a month or less |
| More than once a month or less | |
| TikTok | More than once a month or less |
| Living with infants | yes or no |
| Living with 6–18 year old | Yes or no |
| Living with 19–29 year old | Yes or no |
| Living with 30–39 year old | Yes or no |
| Living with 40–49 year old | Yes or no |
| Living with 50–64 year old | Yes or no |
| Living with 65–74 year old | Yes or no |
| Living with over 75 years old | More than one or not |
| Individual income | More than 9 million yen or less |
| Household income | Less than 1.2 million, between 1.2 million and 2 million yen or more than 2 million yen |
| Individual savings | Less than 1.2 million, between 1.2 million and 2 million yen or more than 2 million yen |
| Household savings | Less than 1.2 million, between 1.2 million and 2 million yen or more than 2 million yen |
| Individual asset | Less than 1.2 million, between 1.2 million and 2 million yen or more than 2 million yen |
| Household asset | Less than 1.2 million, between 1.2 million and 2 million yen or more than 2 million yen |
| Playing baseball | Yes or no |
| Playing soccer or futsal | Yes or no |
| Practicing martial arts | Yes or no |
| Playing golf | Yes or no |
| Playing bowling | Yes or no |
| Playing tennis | Yes or no |
| Playing marine sports | Yes or no |
| Skiing or snowboarding | Yes or no |
| Camping, fishing and other outdoor activities | Yes or no |
| Watching baseball | Yes or no |
| Watching soccer | Yes or no |
| Watching martial arts | Yes or no |
| Movie | Yes or no |
| Museum | Yes or no |
| Concert or event | Yes or no |
| Musical or play | Yes or no |
| Reading | Yes or no |
| Video games, PC or amateur radio | Yes or no |
| Exercise or swimming | Yes or no |
| Shopping | Yes or no |
| Pachinko or slot | Yes or no |
| Horse, boat, bicycle or auto racing | Yes or no |
| Karaoke | Yes or no |
| Traveling | Yes or no |
| Driving or motorcycle touring | Yes or no |
| Having pets (dogs or cats) | Yes or no |