| Literature DB >> 32825816 |
Amanda M Rojek1,2,3, Genevieve E Martin4, Peter W Horby5.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: New emerging infections have no known treatment. Assessing potential drugs for safety and efficacy enables clinicians to make evidence-based treatment decisions and contributes to overall outbreak control. However, it is difficult to launch clinical trials in the unpredictable environment of an outbreak. We conducted a bibliometric systematic review for the 2009 influenza pandemic to determine the speed and quality of evidence generation for treatments. This informs approaches to high-quality evidence generation in this and future pandemics.Entities:
Keywords: Clinical trial; H1N1; Influenza; Pandemic; Systematic review
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32825816 PMCID: PMC7441224 DOI: 10.1186/s12916-020-01732-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Med ISSN: 1741-7015 Impact factor: 8.775
Detailed objectives and rationale with respect to evidence generation during a pandemic
| Aim | Reason |
|---|---|
| Quantify the volume of data that described patient treatment, stratified by research type | The volume of research gives an indication of the scale of the response mounted. Comparisons of different types of research (clinical trial, hypothesis-driven observational study, case series) describe the quality of evidence available |
| Document the time taken to initiate and complete this clinical research and compare this to the outbreak epidemiology | The faster that clinical research is commenced, the greater the pool of potential participants, and the greater the likelihood of enrolling a sufficient sample size and completing within the timeframe of the outbreak |
| Document the time taken to submit and publish this research and compare this to the outbreak epidemiology | Research can only influence patient treatment in the current outbreak by providing enhanced evidence if it is available to clinicians treating patients within the time-frame of the outbreak |
| Describe the extent to which manuscripts report key clinical parameters, including those needed for stratification of treatment effect (the age of patients, the pregnancy status of patients) or indicate the quality of reporting of treatment effect (adverse events due to treatment) | We have selected key parameters for assessment that would be necessary to know in order to evaluate a treatment effect. |
| Describe the outcomes of clinical research that was prospectively registered | This expands discussion around limits to conducting high-quality research as we can comment on the proportion of planned research that was able to complete. |
Fig. 1Study selection
Volume of treatment courses described in the literature for hospitalised patients
| Treatment name | Number of publications reporting use | Total number of patients receiving treatment | Median (IQR) number of patients receiving treatment per publication | FDA drug approval status for use in influenza in 2009 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oseltamivir | 154 | 31,737 | 63 (21–188) | Approved for acute uncomplicated influenza, expanded under EUA April 2009 |
| Zanamivir | 54 | 368 | 2 (1–9) | Approved for acute uncomplicated influenza, expanded under EUA April 2009 |
| Peramivir | 14 | 403 | 1 (1–3) | Unapproved, eIND in April 2009, EUA October 2009 |
| Amantadine | 11 | 86 | 3 (1–13) | Approved for acute uncomplicated influenza, but resistance to A(H1N1)pdm09 demonstrated |
| Rimantadine | 5 | 32 | 3 (1–13) | Approved for acute uncomplicated influenza, but resistance to A(H1N1)pdm09 demonstrated |
| Ribavirin | 5 | 34 | 2 (1–6) | Not approved for influenza |
| Intravenous immunoglobulin | 4 | 44 | 4 (2–20) | Not approved for influenza |
| Chinese medicines | 3 | 1051 | 245 (56–750) | Not approved for influenza |
| Convalescent Plasma | 2 | 52 | 26 | Not approved for influenza |
| Macrolides3 | 1 | 31 | 31 | Not approved for influenza |
| Sirolimus | 1 | 19 | 19 | Not approved for influenza |
| Statins3 | 1 | 12 | 12 | Not approved for influenza |
Volume of treatment courses described in the literature for hospitalised patients with 2009 H1N1 influenza during the pandemic period
eIND emergency investigational new drug authorisation, EUA emergency use authorization
1Some patients received more than one treatment
2When publication describes use of that drug
3Where clear indication was influenza
Fig. 2Publication of included studies over time. Studies are shown according to the type of the study and the number of treatment courses described. The pandemic period ranges from the 1st of April 2009 to the end of the PHEIC on 10th of August 2009
Fig. 3Anticipated and actual enrolment of patients in A(H1N1)pdm09 studies registered on clinical trials database. Table insert displays the enrolment number and publishing timeline for completed studies with results published. An asterisk denotes where conflict existed between numbers in the clinical trial record and publication, publication numbers were used
Enrolment number and publishing timeline for completed studies
| Registration number | Type of study | Treatment | Planned enrolment ( | Total patients | H1N1 patients | First patient enrolment | Last patient enrolment | Date published (month, year) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NCT00298233 | Phase 2 | Oseltamivir | 400 | 326 | 72 | Apr. 2007 | Feb. 2010 | May 2013 [ |
| NCT00391768 | Phase 1/2 | Oseltamivir | 108 | 87 | 37 | Jan. 2007 | Apr. 2010 | Mar. 2013 [ |
| NCT00949533 | Phase 3 | Oseltamivir | 125 | 37 | Unknown | Aug. 2009 | Oct. 2010 | Apr. 2016 (Unp) |
| NCT00957996 | Phase 3 | Peramivir | 300 | 127 | 94 | Oct. 2009 | Oct. 2010 | Aug. 2013 [ |
| NCT01199744 | Prospective cohort | Zanamivir | N/R | 1575 | Unknown | Nov. 2009 | Apr. 2010 | Mar. 2011(Unp) |
| NCT01014988 | Phase 2 | Zanamivir | 150 | 130 | 92 | Nov. 2009 | Sep. 2011 | Feb. 2014 [ |
| NCT01052961 | Phase 4 | Oseltamivir | 400 | 155 | 34 | Jan. 2010 | Jun. 2012 | Dec. 2013 [ |
| NCT01050257 | Phase 3 | Oseltamivir | 200 | 118 | Unknown | Jan. 2010 | Sep. 2012 | Aug. 2013 (Unp) |
| NCT01068912 | Phase 2 | Favipiravir | 384 | 530 | 110 | Feb. 2010 | May 2012 | Feb. 2014 (Unp) |
Enrolment number and publishing timeline for completed studies where results are published in the literature (date followed by reference) or on the clinical trials registration site (date followed by Unp)
N/R not reported
1Where conflict existed between numbers in the clinical trial record and publication, publication numbers were used