Mohamed Abdel-Maboud1,2, Amr Menshawy3, Ahmed Elgebaly4, Eshak I Bahbah5, Gehad El Ashal6, Ahmed Negida7,8. 1. Faculty of Medicine, Al-Azhar University, Cairo, Egypt. MohamedAbdel-Maboud.6.206@azhar.edu.eg. 2. Al-Hussein University Hospital, Cairo, Egypt. MohamedAbdel-Maboud.6.206@azhar.edu.eg. 3. Faculty of Medicine, Al-Azhar University, Cairo, Egypt. 4. Department of Clinical Pathology, Faculty of Medicine, Al-Azhar University, Cairo, Egypt. 5. Faculty of Medicine, Al-Azhar University, New Damietta, Egypt. 6. Ministry of Health Hospitals, Cairo, Egypt. 7. Zagazig University Hospitals, Zagazig University, Sharkia, Egypt. 8. School of Pharmacy and Biomedical Sciences, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth, UK.
The COVID-19 pandemic has affected more than 21 million individuals around the world, with over 750,000 deaths. A large body of evidence suggests that COVID-19 is associated with coagulopathy and induced hypercoagulation. Major thromboembolic events were found in postmortem studies of COVID-19patients [1]. Likewise, a recent study found a possible anti-inflammatory role of heparin prophylaxis lowering the levels of interleukin-6—which play a role in the cytokine storm of severe COVID-19 [2].Therefore, some experts recommend prophylactic heparin to prevent thromboembolic events in COVID-19 [3, 4]. On the other hand, heparin might induce thrombocytopenia and increase the mortality risk rather than improving patients’ outcomes. Still, it is unclear whether prophylactic heparin is associated with decreased COVID-19mortality. Because patients with COVID-19 show paradoxical incidence of thrombotic events along with bleeding events, it is not clear whether a strategy of low-dose or full-dose prophylactic anticoagulants would result in net benefit or harm.To answer this question, we conducted this meta-analysis to investigate whether prophylactic heparin use is associated with lower. The detailed methods of systematic literature search, screening, selection, data extraction, and data analysis are detailed in the supplementary file no.1.We included eight studies (n = 2946 patients), summarized in the supplementary file Table 1. Three studies were conducted in China, one study in United States, one study in Italy, one in Brazil, one in the Netherlands, and one in Spain. The age of the included patients ranged from 39 to 85 years. Seventy percent of the included cohort were males, and 18% had suffered from comorbidities. Of them, five studies were included in the meta-analysis with a total of 2772 patients (prophylactic heparin group n = 2006 patients vs. non-prophylactic heparin group n = 766 patient.Of our pertaining cohort, 72% of the COVID-19patients received prophylactic heparin (2.5% were UFH) during their treatment course. The pooled risk ratio of mortality did not favor either of the two groups (RR 0.96, with 95% CI from 0.807 to 1.147; Fig. 1a).
Fig. 1
a Shows a forest plot of the pooled risk ratio of mortality between the prophylactic heparin and non-prophylactic heparin groups with the corresponding 95% confidence intervals. b Shows the overall meta-regression risk ratio of the interaction between severity/D-dimer on x-axis and mortality on y-axis
Similarly, prophylactic heparin was not associated with significant reductions or increases in the mortality rates in moderate COVID-19patients (RR 0.87, with 95% CI from 0.69 to 1.10) or severe COVID-19patients (RR 1.09, with 95% CI from 0.835 to 1.433).Meanwhile, dosages ranged from 40 to 60 mg or 4000–8000 IU b.i.d-depending on the BMI, some reports included an additional subgroup of 10,000–15,000 U/day. To differentiate between low prophylactic dose and high dose used for prophylaxis: we performed a further subgroup analysis (supplementary file; Fig. 1), which revealed no significant difference.a Shows a forest plot of the pooled risk ratio of mortality between the prophylactic heparin and non-prophylactic heparin groups with the corresponding 95% confidence intervals. b Shows the overall meta-regression risk ratio of the interaction between severity/D-dimer on x-axis and mortality on y-axisThese findings come against several preliminary reports suggesting the potential role of heparin in reducing mortality [5]. Meanwhile, regression models (Fig. 1b) revealed no significant effect of age, sex, comorbidities or co-interventions (P = 0.3, 0.2, 0.6, 0.4; respectively). However, interaction regressions of combined severity, D-dimer > 3 µg/L, platelet count > 100 × 109/L and PT < 14 s were approximate to significance (P = 0.05).High expression of cytokines in response to severe lung inflammation and endothelial damage could explain the hypercoagulable state in COVID-19patients [6]. Elevated D-dimer levels in COVID-19patients might result from the upregulation of intrinsic fibrinolysis cascades in the lung and cleaved in the blood. Gaertner and Massberg hypothesize a bidirectional relationship between thrombin formation and cytokines upregulation [7].Additionally, heparin has an anti-inflammatory effect that may also be pertinent in this activity. Several reports were illustrating this anti-inflammatory property, and one of the described mechanisms proposes the attachment of heparin to the pro-inflammatory cytokines. In turn, this significantly inhibits neutrophil chemotaxis and leukocytes migration. Also, positively charged peptides complement factors are neutralized, and the acute phase proteins are cloistered [8]. A systematic literature review reported that heparin could reduce the pro-inflammatory cytokines, but this evidence was based on preliminary data with limited sample sizes [9]. Tang et al. [5] suggested that certain patients might benefit from heparin prophylaxis. They reported that patients with sepsis index score ≥ 4 or elevated D-dimer level > 3ɥg/L had lower mortality with heparin prophylaxis [5].To the best of our knowledge, this is the first meta-analysis to investigate whether patients receiving prophylactic heparin had lower mortality. It is worth notice that most of the included studies were retrospective studies with small sample size, which potentially encompass selection bias and confounding bias.In conclusion, current evidence is not sufficient to support the role of prophylactic heparin in reducing mortality among COVID-19patients. However, the positive effect of prophylactic heparin seems to favor patients of moderate symptoms with a combined D-dimer > 3 µg/L, a platelet count > 100 × 109/L, and a PT < 14 s; regardless of comorbidity, sex or age. We recommend further randomized-controlled trials with patient stratification according to D-dimer levels, PT and platelet count.Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.Supplementary material 1 (DOCX 55.4 kb)
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