| Literature DB >> 32801969 |
Xiao-Cong Liu1, Lin Liu1, Yu-Ling Yu1, Jia-Yi Huang1, Chao-Lei Chen1, Kenneth Lo2, Yu-Qing Huang1, Ying-Qing Feng1.
Abstract
PURPOSE: Previous studies suggested inconsistent relationship between subscapular skinfold and all-cause, cardiovascular, and cerebrovascular mortality. Therefore, the present study aimed to investigate the associations between subscapular skinfold with all-cause, cardiovascular, and cerebrovascular mortality. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data were collected from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES, 1999-2006) with follow-up data through 31 December 2015. Participants were categorized by subscapular skinfold quartiles. The hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were evaluated using the multivariate Cox regression model and subgroup analysis. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to present cause-specific mortalities and used Cox cubic regression splines to examine the association of subscapular skinfold with cause-specific mortalities.Entities:
Keywords: NHANES; all-cause mortality; cardiovascular disease; cerebrovascular disease; subscapular skinfold
Year: 2020 PMID: 32801969 PMCID: PMC7407759 DOI: 10.2147/RMHP.S262300
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Risk Manag Healthc Policy ISSN: 1179-1594
Figure 1The research flow chart.
Baseline Demographic and Clinical Parameters Among Participants by Subscapular Skinfold Quartiles
| Total | Subscapular Skinfold Thickness, mm | P-value | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1: <13.20 | Q2: 13.20–18.70 | Q3: 18.71–24.79 | Q4: ≥24.80 | |||
| Number | 16,402 | 4063 | 4120 | 4103 | 4116 | |
| Age, years | 45.80 ± 20.78 | 41.51 ± 22.93 | 46.55 ± 21.34 | 48.57 ± 19.71 | 46.52 ± 18.23 | <0.001 |
| Age ≥ 65 years, n (%) | 3894 (23.74) | 919 (22.62) | 1070 (25.97) | 1087 (26.49) | 818 (19.87) | <0.001 |
| Subscapular skinfold, mm | 19.43 ± 7.78 | 10.05 ± 1.95 | 15.95 ± 1.59 | 21.58 ± 1.74 | 30.03 ± 3.96 | <0.001 |
| Body mass index, kg/m2 | 26.48 ± 4.96 | 21.94 ± 2.80 | 25.27 ± 3.18 | 27.59 ± 3.56 | 31.04 ± 4.87 | <0.001 |
| Systolic blood pressure, mmHg | 117.42 ± 14.79 | 115.00 ± 14.20 | 117.06 ± 14.54 | 118.63 ± 14.90 | 119.07 ± 15.18 | <0.001 |
| Diastolic blood pressure, mmHg | 68.34 ± 12.92 | 66.20 ± 12.97 | 67.70 ± 12.76 | 69.12 ± 12.99 | 70.43 ± 12.56 | <0.001 |
| Total cholesterol, mg/dL | 198.52 ± 43.90 | 184.82 ± 43.33 | 199.18 ± 42.73 | 205.50 ± 43.98 | 204.18 ± 42.50 | <0.001 |
| HDL cholesterol, mg/dL | 53.60 ± 15.90 | 58.22 ± 16.81 | 54.08 ± 15.79 | 51.61 ± 15.41 | 50.50 ± 14.36 | <0.001 |
| C-reactive protein, mg/L | 0.65 ± 1.50 | 0.59 ± 1.72 | 0.63 ± 1.49 | 0.67 ± 1.46 | 0.71 ± 1.30 | 0.003 |
| Alcohol consumption, gm | 9.45 ± 29.48 | 11.84 ± 38.23 | 10.87 ± 29.23 | 8.46 ± 23.54 | 6.71 ± 24.63 | <0.001 |
| eGFR, mg/min/1.73m2 | 93.83 ± 34.59 | 95.81 ± 34.38 | 92.64 ± 32.52 | 92.28 ± 34.05 | 94.65 ± 37.12 | <0.001 |
| Gender-Male, n (%) | 8137 (49.61) | 2289 (56.34) | 2215 (53.76) | 2071 (50.48) | 1562 (37.95) | <0.001 |
| Smoking, n (%) | 7093 (48.99) | 1703 (53.57) | 1840 (50.34) | 1854 (48.51) | 1696 (44.39) | <0.001 |
| Race-white, n (%) | 8151 (49.70) | 2189 (53.88) | 2130 (51.70) | 2032 (49.52) | 1800 (43.73) | <0.001 |
| Education level- High school or above, n (%) | 11,098 (67.77) | 2762 (68.15) | 2775 (67.50) | 2748 (67.07) | 2813 (68.36) | 0.580 |
| Marital status-Married, n (%) | 7898 (49.39) | 1438 (36.11) | 2056 (51.40) | 2258 (56.24) | 2146 (53.73) | <0.001 |
| Comorbidities, n (%) | ||||||
| Cardiovascular disease | 605 (4.20) | 114 (3.60) | 153 (4.21) | 186 (4.87) | 152 (4.00) | 0.058 |
| Diabetes | 1537 (9.37) | 157 (3.86) | 310 (7.52) | 511 (12.45) | 559 (13.58) | <0.001 |
| Hypertension | 5034 (30.69) | 853 (20.99) | 1174 (28.50) | 1435 (34.97) | 1572 (38.19) | <0.001 |
| Treatment, n (%) | ||||||
| Antihypertensive drugs | 2952 (18.00) | 508 (12.50) | 687 (16.67) | 858 (20.91) | 899 (21.84) | <0.001 |
| Lipid-lowering drugs | 1328 (8.10) | 171 (4.21) | 321 (7.79) | 417 (10.16) | 419 (10.18) | <0.001 |
| Hypoglycemic agents | 761 (4.64) | 66 (1.62) | 136 (3.30) | 270 (6.58) | 289 (7.02) | <0.001 |
| Antiplatelet drugs | 195 (1.19) | 38 (0.94) | 43 (1.04) | 58 (1.41) | 56 (1.36) | 0.124 |
| Outcomes, n (%) | ||||||
| All-cause mortality | 3078 (18.77) | 876 (21.56) | 827 (20.07) | 794 (19.35) | 581 (14.12) | <0.001 |
| Cardiovascular disease mortality | 392 (2.39) | 119 (2.93) | 115 (2.79) | 88 (2.14) | 70 (1.70) | <0.001 |
| Cerebrovascular disease mortality | 128 (0.78) | 34 (0.84) | 35 (0.85) | 38 (0.93) | 21 (0.51) | 0.143 |
Note: Values are mean ± standardized differences or n (%).
Abbreviations: Q, quartile; HDL, high-density lipoprotein; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate.
Figure 2Association of subscapular skinfold thickness with all-cause (A), cardiovascular (B), and cerebrovascular (C) mortality using Cox cubic spline regression models. Adjusted for age, gender, race, education level, married, smoking, alcohol consumption, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, estimated glomerular filtration rate, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, total cholesterol, C-reactive protein, hypertension, diabetes, cardiovascular disease, antihypertensive drugs, hypoglycemic agents, antiplatelet drugs, and lipid-lowering drugs.
Multivariate Cox Regression Analysis of Subscapular Skinfold with Cause-Specific Mortality
| Model I | Model II | Model III | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Subscapular Skinfold (per mm increment) | 0.98 (0.97, 0.98) <0.001 | 0.97 (0.97, 0.98) <0.001 | 0.98 (0.97, 0.99) <0.001 |
| Subscapular skinfold group | |||
| Q1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Q2 | 0.92 (0.84, 1.01) 0.079 | 0.71 (0.64, 0.78) <0.001 | 0.74 (0.63, 0.88) <0.001 |
| Q3 | 0.88 (0.80, 0.97) 0.009 | 0.68 (0.61, 0.76) <0.001 | 0.75 (0.63, 0.90) 0.002 |
| Q4 | 0.62 (0.56, 0.69) <0.001 | 0.60 (0.53, 0.69) <0.001 | 0.71 (0.57, 0.89) 0.002 |
| P for trend | <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.007 |
| Subscapular Skinfold (per mm increment) | 0.97 (0.96, 0.98) <0.001 | 0.98 (0.96, 1.00) 0.017 | 0.97 (0.94, 1.00) 0.083 |
| Subscapular skinfold group | |||
| Q1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Q2 | 0.94 (0.73, 1.21) 0.619 | 0.77 (0.58, 1.02) 0.064 | 0.41 (0.24, 0.69) <0.001 |
| Q3 | 0.72 (0.54, 0.94) 0.017 | 0.65 (0.47, 0.89) 0.007 | 0.49 (0.29, 0.82) 0.008 |
| Q4 | 0.55 (0.41, 0.74) <0.001 | 0.66 (0.45, 0.97) 0.033 | 0.44 (0.23, 0.83) 0.011 |
| P for trend | <0.001 | 0.015 | 0.023 |
| Subscapular Skinfold (per mm increment) | 0.98 (0.96, 1.00) 0.086 | 1.00 (0.97, 1.03) 0.937 | 0.99 (0.94, 1.05) 0.838 |
| Subscapular skinfold group | |||
| Q1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Q2 | 1.00 (0.62, 1.60) 0.995 | 0.88 (0.52, 1.47) 0.622 | 0.80 (0.31, 2.05) 0.641 |
| Q3 | 1.08 (0.68, 1.72) 0.740 | 1.02 (0.59, 1.77) 0.931 | 0.74 (0.27, 2.01) 0.553 |
| Q4 | 0.58 (0.34, 1.00) 0.051 | 0.76 (0.38, 1.54) 0.445 | 0.66 (0.20, 2.15) 0.491 |
| P for trend | 0.100 | 0.653 | 0.501 |
Notes: Model I adjust for none; Model II adjust for age, gender, and body mass index; Model III adjust for age, gender, race, education level, married, smoking, alcohol consumption, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, estimated glomerular filtration rate, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, total cholesterol, C-reactive protein, comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease), and medication use (antihypertensive drugs, hypoglycemic agents, antiplatelet drugs, and lipid-lowering drugs).
Abbreviations: HR, hazard ratios; CI, confidence intervals; Q, quartile.
Figure 3Kaplan–Meier survival curves of all-cause (A), cardiovascular (B), and cerebrovascular (C) mortality based on subscapular skinfold quartiles.
Subgroup Analysis of Subscapular Skinfold with All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality
| All-Cause Mortality | Cardiovascular Mortality | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI), P-value | P-interaction | HR (95% CI), P-value | P-interaction | |
| Age, years | <0.001 | <0.001 | ||
| <65 | 0.99 (0.97, 1.01) 0.188 | 0.97 (0.91, 1.03) 0.301 | ||
| ≥65 | 0.97 (0.96, 0.98) <0.001 | 0.96 (0.92, 0.99) 0.028 | ||
| Gender | 0.797 | 0.236 | ||
| Male | 0.99 (0.97, 1.00) 0.044 | 0.99 (0.95, 1.04) 0.796 | ||
| Female | 0.97 (0.96, 0.99) 0.002 | 0.92 (0.87, 0.98) 0.007 | ||
| Race | 0.749 | 0.403 | ||
| Non-white | 0.98 (0.96, 1.00) 0.014 | 0.94 (0.89, 1.00) 0.041 | ||
| White | 0.98 (0.97, 1.00) 0.013 | 0.99 (0.94, 1.03) 0.509 | ||
| BMI, kg/m2 | 0.203 | 0.800 | ||
| <25 | 0.94 (0.92, 0.97) <0.001 | 0.92 (0.87, 0.99) 0.017 | ||
| ≥25 | 0.99 (0.98, 1.00) 0.044 | 0.99 (0.95, 1.03) 0.534 | ||
Note: When analyzing a subgroup variable, age, gender, race, education level, married, smoking, alcohol consumption, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, estimated glomerular filtration rate, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, total cholesterol, C-reactive protein, comorbidities (hypertension, diabetes, and cardiovascular disease), and medication use (antihypertensive drugs, hypoglycemic agents, antiplatelet drugs, and lipid-lowering drugs) except the variable itself.
Abbreviations: HR, hazard ratios; CI, confidence intervals.