| Literature DB >> 32796045 |
Jose L Pablos1,2, María Galindo3, Loreto Carmona4, Ana Lledó3, Miriam Retuerto3, Ricardo Blanco5, Miguel A Gonzalez-Gay5, David Martinez-Lopez5, Isabel Castrejón6, José M Alvaro-Gracia6, David Fernández Fernández7, Antonio Mera-Varela7, Sara Manrique-Arija8, Natalia Mena Vázquez8, Antonio Fernandez-Nebro8.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: The impact of inflammatory rheumatic diseases on COVID-19 severity is poorly known. Here, we compare the outcomes of a cohort of patients with rheumatic diseases with a matched control cohort to identify potential risk factors for severe illness.Entities:
Keywords: ankylosing; arthritis; autoimmune diseases; epidemiology; psoriatic; rheumatoid; spondylitis
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32796045 PMCID: PMC7430185 DOI: 10.1136/annrheumdis-2020-218296
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ann Rheum Dis ISSN: 0003-4967 Impact factor: 19.103
Description of the cohorts compared
| Characteristics | n | Non-rheumatic n=228 | Rheumatic n=228 | P value |
| Age, median (IQR) | 456 | 65 (53–77) | 63 (54–78) | 0.865 |
| Age >60 years | 456 | 132 (57.9) | 127 (55.7) | 0.636 |
| Male sex | 456 | 95 (41.7) | 87 (38.2) | 0.444 |
| Comorbidity | ||||
| Obesity | 451 | 38 (16.6) | 71 (31.7) | <0.001 |
| Diabetes | 456 | 39 (17.1) | 46 (20.2) | 0.400 |
| Hypertension | 455 | 99 (43.4) | 111 (48.9) | 0.241 |
| Cardiovascular disease | 455 | 42 (18.4) | 64 (28.2) | 0.014 |
| Lung disease | 455 | 48 (21.1) | 45 (19.8) | 0.745 |
Values in cells represent n (%) unless otherwise indicated.
Baseline therapies of patients with rheumatic diseases
| Treatment | n (%) |
| Glucocorticoids | 91 (40.1) |
| Dose*, m±SD when taken | 9.9±11.5 |
| >10 mg/day prednisone equivalent | 15 (6.6) |
| csDMARD | 129 (56.6) |
| Methotrexate | 64 (28.1) |
| Antimalarial drugs | 28 (12.4) |
| Leflunomide | 20 (8.9) |
| Sulfasalazine | 17 (7.5) |
| Other immunosuppressants | 28 (12.3) |
| Mofetil mycophenolate | 12 (5.3) |
| Azathioprine | 7 (3.1) |
| Cyclophosphamide | 2 (0.8) |
| Calcineurin inhibitors | 7 (3.1) |
| ts/bDMARD | 53 (23.2) |
| TNF-α antagonists | 35 (15.4) |
| Rituximab | 5 (2.2) |
| IL-17/IL-23 antagonists | 4 (1.8) |
| Abatacept | 3 (1.3) |
| Tocilizumab | 2 (0.8) |
| Sarilumab | 1 (0.4) |
| Tofacitinib | 3 (1.3) |
*In mg/day of prednisone equivalents.
csDMARD, conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drug; IL, interleukin; TNF, tumour necrosis factor; ts/bDMARD, targeted synthetic or biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drug.
Description of evolution and therapy of COVID-19 in the compared cohorts
| COVID-19 evolution | n | Non-rheumatic n=228 | Rheumatic n=228 | P value |
| No days before PCR+* | 428 | 7.9±6.0 | 7.0±6.4 | 0.117 |
| Radiographic pneumonia | 443 | 183 (83.2) | 154 (69.1) | <0.001 |
| Hospitalisation | 455 | 175 (77.1) | 162 (71.1) | 0.142 |
| Duration of hospital stay* | 267 | 12.6±10.0 | 12.0±8.7 | 0.626 |
| Respiratory insufficiency | 455 | 143 (62.7) | 128 (56.4) | 0.169 |
| ICU admission | 453 | 16 (7.1) | 15 (6.7) | 0.882 |
| Respiratory category | 453 | 0.103 | ||
| No oxygen was necessary | 96 (42.1) | 100 (44.4) | ||
| Oxygen by nasal cannula | 99 (43.4) | 103 (45.8) | ||
| Oxygen with reservoir | 14 (6.1) | 3 (1.3) | ||
| Non-invasive ventilation | 13 (5.7) | 11 (4.9) | ||
| Invasive ventilation | 6 (2.6) | 8 (3.6) | ||
| Significant complications | 452 | 55 (24.1) | 63 (28.1) | 0.333 |
| Heart failure | 448 | 4 (1.8) | 11 (5.0) | 0.056 |
| Encephalopathy | 449 | 8 (3.5) | 3 (1.4) | 0.140 |
| Thrombotic event | 448 | 6 (2.6) | 6 (2.7) | 0.962 |
| Kidney failure | 449 | 32 (14.0) | 30 (13.6) | 0.888 |
| Septic shock | 447 | 11 (4.8) | 15 (6.9) | 0.361 |
| Death | 455 | 30 (13.2) | 41 (18.1) | 0.150 |
| Days from first symptom* | 431 | 52.0±17.9 | 47.6±19.5 | 0.191 |
| Severe COVID-19† | 456 | 64 (28.1) | 72 (31.6) | 0.413 |
| Laboratory tests (peak value)* | ||||
| C reactive protein (mg/dL) | 386 | 12.5±12.0 | 11.0±10.1 | 0.199 |
| IL-6 (μg/mL) | 87 | 496±1990 | 134±8535 | 0.268 |
| Lymphocytes (cells/μL) | 386 | 903±480 | 993±1586 | 0.445 |
| D-dimer (μg/L) | 291 | 2356±5605 | 2505±10 769 | 0.883 |
| Serum creatinine (mg/dL) | 375 | 1.0±0.7 | 1.2±1.1 | 0.030 |
| Lactate dehydrogenase (U/L) | 355 | 390±210 | 377±174 | 0.558 |
| Ferritin (μg/L) | 207 | 1056±1098 | 1201±2244 | 0.551 |
| COVID-19 therapy | ||||
| Hydroxychloroquine | 450 | 172 (76.1) | 157 (70.1) | 0.150 |
| Azithromycin | 450 | 128 (56.6) | 103 (46.0) | 0.024 |
| Antivirals | ||||
| Lopinavir/ritonavir | 449 | 94 (41.8) | 86 (38.4) | 0.464 |
| Remdesivir | 450 | 2 (0.9) | 2 (0.9) | 0.685 |
| Glucocorticoids | 449 | 53 (23.5) | 57 (25.6) | 0.603 |
| Anticytokines | 456 | 24 (10.5) | 16 (7.1) | 0.185 |
| IL-6 inhibitors | 448 | 22 (9.8) | 15 (6.7) | 0.241 |
| IL-1 inhibitors | 449 | 2 (0.9) | 3 (1.4) | 0.684 |
| Jakinibs | 450 | 1 (0.4) | 1 (0.5) | 1.000 |
| Intravenous immunoglobulin | 449 | – | 1 (0.5) | 0.314 |
Values in cells represent n (%) unless otherwise indicated.
*Mean±SD.
†Death, ICU admission or serious COVID-19 complication.
ICU, intensive care unit; IL, interleukin.
Analysis of individual risk factors for poor outcome: total and by cohort
| Variable | Relative risk (95% CI) | P value* | |
| Non-rheumatic cohort | Rheumatic cohort | ||
| Age over 60 years |
|
| 0.841 |
| Male sex |
|
| 0.286 |
| Obesity | 1.22 (0.72 to 2.06) |
| 0.393 |
| Diabetes | 0.95 (0.53 to 1.70) |
| 0.038 |
| Hypertension |
|
| 0.290 |
| CV disease | 1.44 (0.90 to 2.33) |
| 0.020 |
| Lung disease |
|
| 0.723 |
Bold values indicate statistically significant associations with outcome.
*From a Mantel-Haenszel test of homogeneity. If p<0.01, the cohort of origin is modifying the effect.
CV, cardiovascular.
Association of risk factors with poor outcome in COVID-19
| Factors | OR (95% CI) | P value | OR (95% CI) | P value |
| Rheumatic disease | 1.29 (0.86 to 1.93) | 0.218 | ||
| CTD | 1.64 (1.02 to 2.66) | 0.042 | 1.82 (1.00 to 3.30) | 0.050 |
| Chronic IA | 0.90 (0.58 to 1.41) | 0.659 | ||
| Age >60 years | 6.06 (3.65 to 10.06) | <0.001 | 4.83 (2.78 to 8.37) | <0.001 |
| Male sex | 2.34 (1.55 to 3.53) | <0.001 | 1.93 (1.21 to 3.07) | 0.006 |
| Comorbidity | ||||
| Obesity | 1.78 (1.13 to 2.81) | 0.013 | 1.47 (0.86 to 2.51) | 0.164 |
| Diabetes | 1.81 (1.11 to 2.95) | 0.018 | 0.82 (0.46 to 1.46) | 0.493 |
| Hypertension | 2.60 (1.72 to 3.94) | <0.001 | ||
| Heart failure | 3.49 (2.21 to 5.51) | <0.001 | 1.57 (0.93 to 2.66) | 0.092 |
| Lung disease | 2.15 (1.34 to 3.45) | 0.001 | ||
| Medication | ||||
| Glucocorticoids (any dose) | 2.20 (1.36 to 3.54) | 0.001 | 1.10 (0.60 to 2.01) | 0.755 |
| HCQ | 1.15 (0.51 to 2.62) | 0.733 | ||
| csDMARDs | 1.04 (0.64 to 1.72) | 0.864 | ||
| ts/bDMARDs | 0.45 (0.21 to 0.96) | 0.039 | ||
| Other IS | 0.99 (0.40 to 2.44) | 0.981 | ||
| COVID-19 drugs used | ||||
| HCQ | 2.26 (1.35 to 3.79) | 0.002 | ||
| Antivirals | 2.37 (1.58 to 3.59) | <0.001 | 2.05 (1.30 to 3.23) | <0.001 |
csDMARD, conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drug; CTD, connective tissue disease; HCQ, hydroxychloroquine; IA, inflammatory arthritis; IS, immunosuppressants; ts/bDMARD, targeted synthetic or biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drug.
Figure 1ORs with 95% CIs of the best fitted model to predict ‘severe COVID-19’, adjusted for selected comorbidities and glucocorticoids use. CV, cardiovascular; CTD, connective tissue disease.