| Literature DB >> 32764917 |
Konstantinos Kostikas1, David Price2, Florian S Gutzwiller3, Bethan Jones4, Emil Loefroth3, Andreas Clemens3,5, Robert Fogel6, Rupert Jones7, Hui Cao6.
Abstract
Purpose: Previous studies have shown that opportunities to diagnose chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) early are often missed in primary care. This retrospective study aimed to utilize secondary data from the United Kingdom (UK) healthcare system to understand the impact of early versus late diagnosis of COPD. Patients andEntities:
Keywords: COPD; UK-CPRD; chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; clinical practice research datalink; early diagnosis of COPD; healthcare utilization; late diagnosis of COPD
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32764917 PMCID: PMC7371991 DOI: 10.2147/COPD.S255414
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis ISSN: 1176-9106
Figure 1Study design. *Index date was the time of the first recorded physician’s diagnosis of COPD during the identification time frame.
Abbreviation: COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
Baseline Characteristics of Early- versus Late-Diagnosed COPD Patients
| Characteristics | Early Diagnosis of COPD | Late Diagnosis of COPD | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | |||
| Mean ± SD | 67.28 ± 10.21 | 69.32 ± 10.55 | <0.0001 |
| Age, ≥40 to <65 years | 1297 (38.4%) | 2160 (31.8%) | |
| Age, ≥65 years | 2078 (61.6%) | 4623 (68.2%) | |
| Gender, Male | 2132 (63.2%) | 3516 (51.8%) | <0.0001 |
| BMI, mean ± SD | 27.01 ± 6.16 | 27.5 ± 6.16 | 0.0009 |
| Smoking status | |||
| Never smoker | 137 (4.1%) | 360 (5.3%) | 0.0078 |
| Ex-smoker | 1637 (48.5%) | 3752 (55.3%) | |
| Current smoker | 1593 (47.2%) | 2649 (39.1%) | |
| Missing | 8 (0.2%) | 22 (0.3%) | |
| mMRC score | |||
| <2 | 1823 (54.0%) | 3280 (48.4%) | <0.0001 |
| ≥2 | 897 (26.6%) | 2514 (37.1%) | |
| Missing | 655 (19.4%) | 989 (14.6%) | |
| Lung function | |||
| FEV1 (L)a, mean ± SD | 1.88 ± 0.78 | 1.77 ± 0.72 | <0.0001 |
| Percentage predicted FEV1b, mean ± SD | 61.07 ± 18.76 | 62.78 ± 19.38 | 0.0011 |
| FEV1/FVC (%)c, mean ± SD | 58.04 ± 16.94 | 59.40 ± 17.72 | 0.0014 |
| FEV1/FVC ≥ 70% predicted | 483 (19.5%) | 1164 (24.4%) | <0.0001 |
| FEV1/FVC < 70% predicted | 1999 (80.5%) | 3614 (75.6%) | |
| Comorbidities in the pre-index periodd | |||
| Hypertension | 1759 (52.1%) | 3919 (57.8%) | <0.0001 |
| Depression | 878 (26.1%) | 2197 (32.4%) | <0.0001 |
| Anxiety | 730 (21.6%) | 1985 (29.3%) | <0.0001 |
| Hyperlipidemia | 751 (22.3%) | 1757 (25.9%) | <0.0001 |
| Diabetes | 344 (10.2%) | 931 (13.7%) | <0.0001 |
| Pneumonia | 188 (5.6%) | 903 (13.3%) | <0.0001 |
| Atrial fibrillation or other cardiac arrhythmias | 280 (8.3%) | 856 (12.6%) | <0.0001 |
| Acute myocardial infarction | 238 (7.1%) | 642 (9.5%) | <0.0001 |
| Stroke | 208 (6.2%) | 568 (8.4%) | <0.0001 |
| Osteoporosis | 142 (4.2%) | 497 (7.3%) | <0.0001 |
| Heart failure | 109 (3.2%) | 395 (5.8%) | <0.0001 |
| Lung cancer | 13 (0.4%) | 95 (1.4%) | <0.0001 |
| CCI score in the pre-index period, mean ± SD | |||
| Eosinophils (cells/µL) | |||
| <150 | 717 (33.57%) | 1461 (32.68%) | 0.0313 |
| ≥150 and <300 | 725 (33.94%) | 1575 (35.23%) | |
| >300 | 694 (32.49%) | 1434 (32.08%) |
Notes: Data presented as n (%) unless otherwise stated. aEarly (n = 2693) versus late (n = 5337) diagnosed patients. bEarly (n = 1966) versus late (n = 3909) diagnosed patients. cEarly (n = 2482) versus late (n = 4778) diagnosed patients. dPrior to the date of the first COPD diagnosis during the identification period.
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CCI, Charlson Comorbidity Index; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; FEV1, forced expiratory volume in 1 second; FVC, forced vital capacity; mMRC, modified Medical Research Council; SD, standard deviation.
Figure 2Time-to-first exacerbation in the early and late-diagnosed COPD patients.
Abbreviation: COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
Hazard Ratio of First Exacerbation for Early versus Late COPD Diagnosis
| Variables | Adjusteda HR (95% CI) |
|---|---|
| Late versus early diagnosis of COPD | 1.46 (1.38–1.55); |
| Age, ≥ 65 years versus ≥ 40 to < 65 years | 0.92 (0.87–0.98) |
| CCI score 0 versus ≥ 1 to ≤ 2 | 1.00 (0.68–1.46) |
| CCI score 0 versus > 2 | 1.09 (0.74–1.59) |
| Underweight versus normal weightb | 1.13 (0.99–1.28) |
| Overweight versus normal weightb | 0.98 (0.91–1.05) |
| Obese versus normal weightb | 0.90 (0.83–0.96) |
| Ex-smoker versus never smoker | 1.02 (0.90–1.15) |
| Current smoker versus never smoker | 1.13 (1.00–1.28) |
| GOLD B versus GOLD A | 1.23 (1.11–1.37) |
| GOLD C versus GOLD A | 1.54 (1.41–1.67) |
| GOLD D versus GOLD A | 1.83 (1.68–1.99) |
| Adherencec to COPD medication versus non-adherence | 0.07 (0.07–0.08) |
| Patients with depression versus without depression | 1.18 (1.09–1.27) |
| Patients with pneumonia versus without pneumonia | 1.12 (1.06–1.18) |
| Patients with osteoporosis versus without osteoporosis | 1.10 (1.00–1.22) |
Notes: P-value from the Wald test obtained from an adjusted Cox model. aAdjusted for depression and the “a priori” variables, namely age, CCI, BMI, smoking status, GOLD severity, and adherence to COPD treatment. bWeight was measured based on BMI.
cCalculated based on MPR. The number of patients with good adherence versus poor adherence was very low, especially in patients not having an exacerbation. This may be attributed to the difficulties around recording of medication in the CPRD database.
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CCI, Charlson Comorbidity Index; CI, confidence interval; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CPRD, Clinical Practice Research Datalink; GOLD, Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease; HR, hazard ratio; MPR, medicine possession ratio.
Annual Rate of Exacerbations in the 1-, 2-, and 3-Year Periods Following the Index Date
| Variable | Number of Exacerbations | Person-Years | Exacerbation Rate (Per 100 Person-Years) | Unadjusted* | Adjusted† |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rate Ratio (95% CI); | Rate Ratio (95% CI); | ||||
| 1-year follow-up after the index date | |||||
| Late COPD diagnosis | 6052 | 6430.72 | 94.11 | 1.99 (1.84–2.15); | 1.67 (1.56–1.80); |
| Early COPD diagnosis | 1513 | 3163.26 | 47.83 | ||
| 2-year follow-up after the index date | |||||
| Late COPD diagnosis | 11,521 | 11,406.45 | 101.00 | 1.96 (1.84–2.09); | 1.68 (1.58–1.79); |
| Early COPD diagnosis | 2924 | 5560.81 | 52.58 | ||
| 3-year follow-up after the index date | |||||
| Late COPD diagnosis | 15,715 | 14,425.96 | 108.94 | 1.95 (1.83–2.07); | 1.68 (1.59–1.79); |
| Early COPD diagnosis | 4013 | 7011.69 | 57.23 | ||
Notes: P-value from the Wald test obtained from both the adjusted and unadjusted negative binomial regression model. *Used only late/early as independent variable. Adjusted for pneumonia, depression, baseline eosinophil levels, osteoporosis, atrial fibrillation, and the “a priori” variables, which include age, CCI, BMI, smoking status, GOLD severity, and adherence to COPD treatment.
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CCI, Charlson Comorbidity Index; CI, confidence interval; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; GOLD, Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease.
Annual Rate of COPD-Related Clinic Visits, A&E Visits, and Hospitalizations After 1, 2, and 3 Years from the Index Date
| Variable | Number of Visits | Person-Years | Rate (Per 1000 Person-Years) | Adjusteda | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rate Ratio (95% CI) | |||||
| Clinic visitsb | |||||
| Within 1 year after the index date | |||||
| Late COPD diagnosis | 10,253 | 6431 | 159.44 | 0.91 (0.87–0.94) | <0.0001 |
| Early COPD diagnosis | 5544 | 3163 | 175.26 | ||
| Within 2 years after the index date | |||||
| Late COPD diagnosis | 19,229 | 11,406 | 168.58 | 0.99 (0.96–1.02) | 0.5024 |
| Early COPD diagnosis | 9614 | 5561 | 172.89 | ||
| Within 3 years after the index date | |||||
| Late COPD diagnosis | 25,712 | 14,426 | 178.23 | 1.03 (1.00–1.06) | 0.0687 |
| Early COPD diagnosis | 12,453 | 7012 | 177.60 | ||
| A&E visits | |||||
| Within 1 year after the index date | |||||
| Late COPD diagnosis | 325 | 6431 | 5.05 | 1.03 (0.79–1.33) | 0.8488 |
| Early COPD diagnosis | 127 | 3163 | 4.01 | ||
| Within 2 years after the index date | |||||
| Late COPD diagnosis | 706 | 11,406 | 6.19 | 1.11 (0.91–1.35) | 0.3140 |
| Early COPD diagnosis | 254 | 5561 | 4.57 | ||
| Within 3 years after the index date | |||||
| Late COPD diagnosis | 999 | 14,426 | 6.93 | 1.19 (1–1.42) | 0.0482 |
| Early COPD diagnosis | 345 | 7012 | 4.92 | ||
| Hospitalizations | |||||
| Within 1 year after the index date | |||||
| Late COPD diagnosis | 3241 | 6431 | 50.40 | 1.05 (0.93–1.19) | 0.3916 |
| Early COPD diagnosis | 1196 | 3163 | 37.81 | ||
| Within 2 years after the index date | |||||
| Late COPD diagnosis | 7192 | 11,406 | 63.05 | 1.12 (1.02–1.23) | 0.0165 |
| Early COPD diagnosis | 2476 | 5561 | 44.53 | ||
| Within 3 years after the index date | |||||
| Late COPD diagnosis | 10,606 | 14,426 | 73.52 | 1.18 (1.08–1.28) | 0.0001 |
| Early COPD diagnosis | 3538 | 7012 | 50.46 | ||
Notes: P-value from the Wald test obtained from an adjusted negative binomial regression model. aAdjusted for the “a priori” variables plus for each parameter presented in the table. Clinic visits: depression, lung cancer, and diabetes. A&E visits: pneumonia, acute myocardial infarction, depression, and atrial fibrillation. Hospitalizations: baseline eosinophil groups, pneumonia, atrial fibrillation, hypertension, heart failure, and hyperlipidemia. Overall model: pneumonia, baseline eosinophil group, atrial fibrillation, depression, heart failure, and diabetes. bEach occurrence of a COPD-related clinic visit at different dates from the clinical or referral CPRD dataset with the COPD code.
Abbreviations: A&E, accident and emergency; CI, confidence interval; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CPRD, clinical practice research database.