| Literature DB >> 32736612 |
Marta Macarena Paz Cortés1, Rosa Rojo2, Esther Alía García1, Maria Rosa Mourelle Martínez3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to evaluate and compare the validity and accuracy of the Willems, Demirjian and Nolla methods in predicting chronological age in a Spanish ethnicity population.Entities:
Keywords: Demirjian method; Dental age estimation; Nolla method; Spanish; Willems method; forensic odontology
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32736612 PMCID: PMC7393889 DOI: 10.1186/s12887-020-02247-x
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Pediatr ISSN: 1471-2431 Impact factor: 2.125
Distribution of the sample by age groups and sex
| Age groups | Total | Mean | SD | Girls | Boys |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6.9 | 122 | 6.43 | 0.52 | 59 | 63 |
| 7-7.9 | 119 | 7.55 | 0.30 | 65 | 54 |
| 8-8.9 | 136 | 8.45 | 0.29 | 69 | 67 |
| 9-10.9 | 130 | 9.93 | 0.57 | 67 | 63 |
| 11-13.9 | 97 | 12.14 | 0.61 | 42 | 55 |
| Total | 604 | 302 | 302 | ||
| SD Standard deviation | |||||
Results of the degree of inter and intra observer agreement. All results with p < 0.05
| Inter-examiner | Intra-examiner | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6.9 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| 7-7.9 | 0.91 | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.93 |
| 8-8.9 | 0.92 | 0.93 | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| 9-10.9 | 0.95 | 0.97 | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| 11-13.9 | 0.98 | 0.99 | 0.99 | 0.99 |
| Total | 0.98 | 0.98 | 0.99 | 0.99 |
Results of the calculation of the dental age with the Willems method. The Wilcoxon test for paired data was applied by age groups and sex to compare the chronological age and dental age. Statistical tests were performed at a 95% confidence level (p ≤ 0.05). DA Dental age, CA Chronological age, Diff.SD Standard deviation differences, SD Standard deviation, O Overestimation, U Underestimation
| 4-6.9 | 59 | 6.46 | 0.48 | 7.00 | 0.89 | 0.000 | -0.54 | 0.70 | O |
| 7-7.9 | 65 | 7.50 | 0.30 | 7.77 | 0.79 | 0.008 | -0.26 | 0.73 | O |
| 8-8.9 | 69 | 8.45 | 0.28 | 8.37 | 0.60 | 0.145 | 0.08 | 0.59 | U |
| 9-10.9 | 67 | 9.97 | 0.57 | 10.13 | 1.25 | 0.321 | -0.16 | 1.05 | O |
| 11-13.9 | 42 | 12.14 | 0.63 | 12.08 | 1.32 | 0.965 | 0.05 | 1.22 | U |
| Total | 302 | ||||||||
| 4-6.9 | 63 | 6.40 | 0.55 | 6.88 | 1.24 | 0.000 | -0.48 | 0.93 | O |
| 7-7.9 | 54 | 7.60 | 0.28 | 8.26 | 1.09 | 0.000 | -0.66 | 1.04 | O |
| 8-8.9 | 67 | 8.45 | 0.29 | 8.81 | 0.76 | 0.000 | -0.36 | 0.67 | O |
| 9-10.9 | 63 | 9.89 | 0.58 | 10.11 | 1.16 | 0.163 | -0.23 | 1.03 | O |
| 11-13.9 | 55 | 12.15 | 0.60 | 12.16 | 0.88 | 0.782 | -0.01 | 0.87 | O |
| Total | 302 | ||||||||
Results of the calculation of the dental age with the Demirjian method. The Wilcoxon test for paired data was applied by age groups and sex to compare the chronological age and dental age
| 4-6.9 | 59 | 6.46 | 0.48 | 7.48 | 0.82 | 0.000 | -1.02 | 0.65 | O |
| 7-7.9 | 65 | 7.50 | 0.30 | 8.20 | 0.83 | 0.000 | -0.69 | 0.78 | O |
| 8-8.9 | 69 | 8.45 | 0.28 | 8.92 | 0.79 | 0.000 | -0.48 | 0.76 | O |
| 9-10.9 | 67 | 9.97 | 0.57 | 10.77 | 1.34 | 0.000 | -0.80 | 1.18 | O |
| 11-13.9 | 42 | 12.14 | 0.63 | 12.84 | 1.28 | 0.000 | -0.70 | 1.21 | O |
| Total | 302 | ||||||||
| 4-6.9 | 63 | 6.40 | 0.55 | 7.28 | 1.09 | 0.000 | -0.88 | 0.78 | O |
| 7-7.9 | 54 | 7.60 | 0.28 | 8.43 | 1.04 | 0.000 | -0.84 | 0.99 | O |
| 8-8.9 | 67 | 8.45 | 0.29 | 9.03 | 0.87 | 0.000 | -0.57 | 0.76 | O |
| 9-10.9 | 63 | 9.89 | 0.58 | 10.47 | 1.31 | 0.001 | -0.59 | 1.63 | O |
| 11-13.9 | 55 | 12.15 | 0.60 | 12.65 | 1.00 | 0.000 | -0.50 | 1.00 | O |
| Total | 302 | ||||||||
Results of the calculation of the dental age with the Nolla method. The Wilcoxon test for paired data was applied by age groups and sex to compare the chronological age and dental age
| 4-6.9 | 59 | 6.46 | 0.48 | 6.17 | 0.72 | 0.000 | 0.29 | 0.60 | U |
| 7-7.9 | 65 | 7.50 | 0.30 | 6.85 | 0.81 | 0.000 | 0.66 | 0.76 | U |
| 8-8.9 | 69 | 8.45 | 0.28 | 7.51 | 0.83 | 0.000 | 0.94 | 0.81 | U |
| 9-10.9 | 67 | 9.97 | 0.57 | 8.97 | 1.00 | 0.000 | 1.00 | 0.96 | U |
| 11-13.9 | 42 | 12.14 | 0.63 | 10.79 | 1.59 | 0.000 | 1.35 | 1.49 | U |
| Total | 302 | ||||||||
| 4-6.9 | 63 | 6.40 | 0.55 | 6.43 | 0.91 | 0.813 | -0.03 | 0.69 | O |
| 7-7.9 | 54 | 7.60 | 0.28 | 7.52 | 0.93 | 0.355 | 0.77 | 0.87 | U |
| 8-8.9 | 67 | 8.45 | 0.29 | 7.99 | 0.69 | 0.000 | 0.47 | 0.60 | U |
| 9-10.9 | 63 | 9.89 | 0.58 | 9.24 | 1.10 | 0.000 | 0.65 | 1.02 | U |
| 11-13.9 | 55 | 12.15 | 0.60 | 11.05 | 0.97 | 0.000 | 1.10 | 1.00 | U |
General and sex results of the comparison of chronological age with each dental method. The Wilcoxon test for paired data was applied
| Method | n | CA | DA of the method | CA-DA | Diff.SD | Trend | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willems method for boys | 302 | 8.71 | 1.88 | 8.88 | 1.93 | 0.001 | -0.17 | 0.88 | O |
| Willems method for girls | 302 | 8.84 | 2.00 | 9.19 | 2.04 | 0.000 | -0.35 | 0.93 | O |
| Willems method | 604 | 8.77 | 1.94 | 9.04 | 1.99 | 0.000 | -0.26 | 0.91 | O |
| Demirjian method for boys | 302 | 8.71 | 1.88 | 9.44 | 2.05 | 0.000 | -0.73 | 0.94 | O |
| Demirjian method for girls | 302 | 8.84 | 2.00 | 9.52 | 2.11 | 0.000 | -0.68 | 0.95 | O |
| Demirjian method | 604 | 8.77 | 1.94 | 9.48 | 2.08 | 0.000 | -0.70 | 0.95 | O |
| Nolla method for boys | 302 | 8.71 | 1.88 | 7.88 | 1.80 | 0.000 | 0.82 | 0.98 | U |
| Nolla method for girls | 302 | 8.84 | 2.00 | 8.40 | 1.81 | 0.000 | 0.44 | 0.93 | U |
| Nolla method | 604 | 8.77 | 1.94 | 8.14 | 1.82 | 0.000 | 0.63 | 0.97 | U |
Fig. 1Graphical representation of the Spearman correlation between the dental age of the Willems method and the chronological age
Fig. 2Graphical representation of the Spearman correlation between the dental age of the Demirjian method and the chronological age
Fig. 3Graphical representation of the Spearman correlation between the dental age of the Nolla method and the chronological age
Linear regression analysis grouped by sex. Model 1: Demirjian method in girls, Model 2: Demirjian method in boys, Model 3: Willems method in girls, Model 4: Willems method in boys, Model 5: Nolla method in girls and Model 6: Nolla method in boys. * p < 0.001
| Model | β | SE β | t | p | β (95% CI) | F | R2 | R2 adjusted | Formula to predict CA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) Constant | 1.01 | 0.23 | 4.33 | 0.000 | 0.55 | 1.47 | 1133.66* | 0.7907 | 0.7900 | CA = 1.01 + 0.81 x DA Demirjian girls |
| Predictor | 0.81 | 0.02 | 33.67 | 0.000 | 0.77 | 0.86 | ||||
| (2) Constant | 0.74 | 0.24 | 3.09 | 0.002 | 0.27 | 1.22 | 1191.13* | 0.7988 | 0.7981 | CA = 0.74 + 0.85 x DA Demirjian boys |
| Predictor | 0.85 | 0.02 | 34.51 | 0.000 | 0.80 | 0.90 | ||||
| (3) Constant | 1.01 | 0.23 | 4.43 | 0.000 | 0.56 | 1.47 | 1183.02* | 0.7977 | 0.7970 | CA = 1.01 + 0.87 x DA Willems girls |
| Predictor | 0.87 | 0.03 | 34.40 | 0.000 | 0.82 | 0.92 | ||||
| (4) Constant | 0.76 | 0.24 | 3.19 | 0.002 | 0.29 | 1.24 | 1194.54* | 0.7993 | 0.7986 | CA = 0.76 + 0.88 x DA Willems boys |
| Predictor | 0 0.88 | 0.03 | 34.56 | 0.000 | 0.83 | 0.93 | ||||
| (5) Constant | 1.65 | 0.25 | 6.60 | 0.000 | 1.16 | 2.14 | 844.76* | 0.7379 | 0.7371 | CA = 1.65 + 0.90 x DA Nolla girls |
| Predictor | 0.90 | 0 0.03 | 29.06 | 0.000 | 0.84 | 0.96 | ||||
| (6) Constant | 0.59 | 0.25 | 2.31 | 0.022 | 0.09 | 1.09 | 1099.80* | 0.7857 | 0.7850 | CA = 0.59 + 0.98 x DA Nolla boys |
| Predictor | 0.98 | 0.03 | 33.16 | 0.000 | 0.92 | 1.04 | ||||