| Literature DB >> 32736567 |
Huan-Huan Yang1,2, Yi-Lv Lv1, Xing-Hai Fan1,2, Zhi-Yong Ai2, Xiu-Chun Xu2, Bo Ye3, Ding-Zhong Hu4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: To investigate predictors of pathological invasiveness and prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma in patients with pure ground-glass nodules (pGGNs).Entities:
Keywords: Adenocarcinoma; Computed tomography; Ground-glass nodule
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32736567 PMCID: PMC7393870 DOI: 10.1186/s13014-020-01628-x
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Radiat Oncol ISSN: 1748-717X Impact factor: 3.481
Fig. 1Flow chart of the classification process
Baseline patient characteristics by diagnostic category
| Variable | Total | Pre-IAC | IAC | χ2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sex | 5.042 | 0.025 | |||
| Male | 200 (30.3%) | 148 (28.3%) | 52 (38.2%) | ||
| Female | 459 (69.7%) | 375 (71.7%) | 84 (61.8%) | ||
| Age, years | 40.540 | < 0.001 | |||
| ≤ 55 | 325 (49.3%) | 291 (55.6%) | 34 (25.0%) | ||
| > 55 | 334 (50.7%) | 232 (44.4%) | 102 (75.0%) | ||
| Smoking history | 4.985 | 0.723 | |||
| Never | 350 (53.1%) | 283 (54.1%) | 67 (49.3%) | ||
| Current or former | 309 (46.9%) | 240 (45.9%) | 69 (50.7%) | ||
| Symptoms | 5.742 | 0.831 | |||
| Absent | 480 (72.8%) | 410 (78.4%) | 70 (51.5%) | ||
| Present | 179 (27.2%) | 113 (21.6%) | 66 (48.5%) | ||
| Serum CEA, μg/L | .069 | 0.792 | |||
| < 5 | 652 (99.1%) | 518 (99.2%) | 134 (98.5%) | ||
| ≥ 5 | 6 (0.9%) | 4 (0.8%) | 2 (1.5%) | ||
| Maximal diameter, cm | 145.831 | < 0.001 | |||
| ≤ 1 | 430 (65.2%) | 401 (76.7%) | 29 (21.3%) | ||
| > 1 | 229 (34.8%) | 122 (23.3%) | 107 (78.7%) | ||
| Mean diameter, cm | 188.727 | < 0.001 | |||
| ≤ 1 | 475 (72.0%) | 441 (84.3%) | 34 (25.0%) | ||
| > 1 | 184 (28.0%) | 82 (15.7%) | 102 (75.0%) | ||
| CT density, HU | 21.374 | < 0.001 | |||
| ≤ −600 | 344 (52.2%) | 297 (56.8%) | 47 (34.6%) | ||
| > −600 | 315 (47.8%) | 226 (43.2%) | 89 (65.4%) | ||
| Pleural retraction | 0.033 | 0.857 | |||
| Absent | 633 (96.1%) | 502 (96.0%) | 131 (96.3%) | ||
| Present | 26 (3.9%) | 21 (4.0%) | 5 (3.7%) | ||
| Air bronchogram sign | .000 | 1.00 | |||
| Absent | 647 (98.2%) | 513 (98.1%) | 134 (98.5%) | ||
| Present | 12 (1.8%) | 10 (1.9%) | 2 (1.5%) | ||
| Bubble lucency sign | 0.278 | 0.598 | |||
| Absent | 598 (90.7%) | 473 (90.4%) | 125 (91.9%) | ||
| Present | 61 (9.3%) | 50 (9.6%) | 11 (8.1%) | ||
| Spiculated sign | 5.329 | 0.021 | |||
| Absent | 560 (85.0%) | 453 (86.6%) | 107 (78.7%) | ||
| Present | 99 (15.0%) | 70 (13.4%) | 29 (21.3%) |
CEA carcinoembryonic antigen, CT computed tomography, HU Hounsfield units, IAC invasive adenocarcinoma
Optimal cutoff values for continuous predictors
| Indicator | AUC | p | Cut off value | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 0.704 (0.657,0.751) | < 0.001 | 53 | 52% | 79% | 91% | 30% |
| Serum CEA (μg/L) | 0.495 (0.440,0.550) | 0.862 | 2.19 | 90% | 15% | 80% | 28% |
| Max diameter (mm) | 0.845 (0.805,0.885) | < 0.001 | 10.78 | 81% | 79% | 94% | 52% |
| CT value (HU) | 0.664 (0.613,0.715) | < 0.001 | −582.28 | 66% | 60% | 87% | 32% |
| Mean diameter (mm) | 0.852 (0.813,0.89) | < 0.001 | 10.09 | 86% | 75% | 93% | 58% |
aCutoff values were determined via the maximal Youden index (sensitivity + specificity −1).AUC area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, CEA carcinoembryonic antigen, CT computed tomography, HU Hounsfield units, Max maximal, NPV negative predictive value, PPV positive predictive value
Fig. 2Receiver operating characteristic curves for age (a), serum carcinoembryonic antigen concentration (b), maximal diameter (c), mean diameter (d), and computed tomography-determined density (e). AUC, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve
Univariable and multivariable analysis of associations between invasive adenocarcinoma and potential predictors thereof. Working correlation structure in the generalized estimation model was determined via quasi-likelihood under the independence model criterion, and unstructured working correlation structure was selected. Multivariable model 1 only included variables whose p values were < 0.1 in the univariable model. Multivariable model 2 included all potential variables, and was performed as a sensitivity analysis
| Univariable model | Multivariable Model 1 | Multivariable Model 2 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Characteristics | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | ||||
| Sex | Female | 0.634 (0.427, 0.942) | 0.024 | 0.784 (0.468, 1.313) | 0.356 | 0.708 (0.415, 1.208) | 0.205 |
| Male | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Age, years | > 55 | 3.764 (2.464, 5.748) | < 0.001 | 2.240 (1.370, 3.665) | 0.001 | 2.732 (1.605, 4.651) | < 0.001 |
| ≤55 | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Smoking history | Current or former | 0.801 (0.590, 1.284) | 0.722 | – | – | 0.721 (0.401, 1.023) | 0.942 |
| Never | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Symptoms | Present | 1.080 (0.780, 2.196) | 0.830 | – | – | 0.988 (0.697, 2.010) | 0.984 |
| Absent | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Serum CEA, μg/L | > 1 | 1.932 (0.350, 10.661) | 0.45 | – | – | 0.967 (0.235, 3.978) | 0.963 |
| ≤1 | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Maximal diameter, cm | > 1 | 13.058 (8.192, 20.814) | < 0.001 | 2.690 (0.994, 7.276) | 0.051 | 2.992 (1.098, 8.153) | 0.032 |
| ≤1 | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Mean diameter, cm | > 1 | 16.190 (10.285, 25.486) | < 0.001 | 6.207 (2.352, 16.383) | < 0.001 | 4.707 (1.761, 12.583) | 0.002 |
| ≤1 | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| CT density, HU | > − 600 | 2.612 (1.756, 3.885) | < 0.001 | 3.542 (2.155, 5.822) | < 0.001 | 3.886 (2.307, 6.548) | < 0.001 |
| ≤ − 600 | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Pleural retraction | Present | 0.991 (0.329, 2.986) | 0.988 | – | – | 2.042 (0.444, 9.390) | 0.359 |
| Absent | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Air bronchogram sign | Present | 0.765 (0.166, 3.535) | 0.732 | – | – | 0.193 (0.042, 0.882) | 0.034 |
| Absent | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Bubble lucency sign | Present | 0.824 (0.415, 1.639) | 0.582 | – | – | 0.583 (0.249, 1.365) | 0.214 |
| Absent | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
| Spiculated sign | Present | 1.761 (1.093, 2.838) | 0.02 | 1.445 (0.781, 2.671) | 0.241 | 1.758 (0.880, 3.511) | 0.11 |
| Absent | Reference | Reference | Reference | ||||
CEA carcinoembryonic antigen, CI confidence interval, CT computed tomography, HU Hounsfield units, IAC invasive adenocarcinoma, OR odds ratio (estimated from generalized estimation model)
Fig. 3Scatter plot of pure ground-glass nodule maximal diameters plotted by pathological type (AIS, adenocarcinoma in situ; IAC, invasive adenocarcinoma; MIA, minimally invasive adenocarcinoma)
Fig. 4Scatter plot of computed tomography-determined density of pure ground-glass nodules plotted by pathological type (AIS, adenocarcinoma in situ; CT, computed tomography; HU, Hounsfield units; IAC, invasive adenocarcinoma; MIA, minimally invasive adenocarcinoma)
Multicollinearity test from multivariable models 1 and 2
| Index | Criterion | Multivariable Model 1 | Multivariable Model 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conditional index | < 10 | 6.52 | 6.48 |
| Minimal tolerance | > 0.1 | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| Maximal variance inflation factor | < 10 | 3.83 | 3.69 |
Fig. 5Forest plot of all results of univariable and multivariable analyses