| Literature DB >> 32732997 |
Zuzanna M Swirad1,2, Nick J Rosser3, Matthew J Brain3, Dylan H Rood4, Martin D Hurst5, Klaus M Wilcken6, John Barlow7.
Abstract
Predicted sea-level rise and increased storminess are anticipated to lead to increases in coastal erosion. However, assessing if and how rocky coasts will respond to changes in marine conditions is difficult due to current limitations of monitoring and modelling. Here, we measured cosmogenic 10Be concentrations across a sandstone shore platform in North Yorkshire, UK, to model the changes in coastal erosion within the last 7 kyr and for the first time quantify the relative long-term erosive contribution of landward cliff retreat, and down-wearing and stripping of rock from the shore platform. The results suggest that the cliff has been retreating at a steady rate of 4.5 ± 0.63 cm yr-1, whilst maintaining a similar profile form. Our results imply a lack of a direct relationship between relative sea level over centennial to millennial timescales and the erosion response of the coast, highlighting a need to more fully characterise the spatial variability in, and controls on, rocky coast erosion under changing conditions.Entities:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32732997 PMCID: PMC7393086 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-17611-9
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Nat Commun ISSN: 2041-1723 Impact factor: 14.919
Fig. 1Maps of sampling sites.
a Location of North Yorkshire on British Isles (red box). b Location of the 300-m profile (elevation distribution in Fig. 2a) and 21 sampling sites for exposure dating across the Hartle Loup shore platform; background: LiDAR-derived ortho-photomap, 2016 (for survey details, see Benjamin et al.[41]).
Fig. 2Across-shore distribution of cosmogenic 10Be concentrations.
a Raw measured concentrations ± AMS measurement error and background uncertainty propagating in quadrature (Supplementary Note 1); dashed line delimits concentration due to deep muon production (geological inheritance); grey shadow (secondary axis) represents the elevation distribution across the profile indicated in Fig. 1b; grey lines indicate tidal levels: MHWS = 2.59-m AOD: mean high water level of spring tides; MHWN = 1.50-m AOD: mean high water level of neap tides; MLWN = −0.75-m AOD: mean low water level of neap tides; MLWS = −2.01-m AOD: mean low water level of spring tides (https://www.ntslf.org/). b Measured concentrations corrected for geological inheritance (concentration at #0 subtracted from raw measurements) ± AMS measurement error and background- and inheritance uncertainties propagating in quadrature (Supplementary Note 1) and those modelled using the scenario of steady cliff retreat rate of 4.5 ± 0.63 cm yr−1 and profile-parallel coastal erosion (solid line and red error envelope). Dashed line and grey error envelope represent modelled concentrations, including the rate of step back-wearing (mean ± standard deviation). Vertical blue lines and boxes indicate major influences on relative sea level at the study location.
Fig. 3Results of modelling 10Be concentrations.
Across the 300-m Hartle Loup platform profile (shown in Fig. 1) under 58 scenarios of changing cliff retreat rates (colour scale) and 4 scenarios of foreshore down-wearing: a zero-surface down-wearing, b profile-parallel coastal erosion, c platform widening and d empirically based model of platform down-wearing. Points represent measured 10Be concentrations corrected for geological inheritance (concentration at #0 subtracted from raw measurements) ± AMS measurement error and background- and inheritance uncertainties propagating in quadrature (Supplementary Note 1).