| Literature DB >> 32692757 |
Caroline V Fry1, Xiaojing Cai2,3, Yi Zhang4, Caroline S Wagner2.
Abstract
This paper seeks to understand whether a catastrophic and urgent event, such as the first months of the COVID-19 pandemic, accelerates or reverses trends in international collaboration, especially in and between China and the United States. A review of research articles produced in the first months of the COVID-19 pandemic shows that COVID-19 research had smaller teams and involved fewer nations than pre-COVID-19 coronavirus research. The United States and China were, and continue to be in the pandemic era, at the center of the global network in coronavirus related research, while developing countries are relatively absent from early research activities in the COVID-19 period. Not only are China and the United States at the center of the global network of coronavirus research, but they strengthen their bilateral research relationship during COVID-19, producing more than 4.9% of all global articles together, in contrast to 3.6% before the pandemic. In addition, in the COVID-19 period, joined by the United Kingdom, China and the United States continued their roles as the largest contributors to, and home to the main funders of, coronavirus related research. These findings suggest that the global COVID-19 pandemic shifted the geographic loci of coronavirus research, as well as the structure of scientific teams, narrowing team membership and favoring elite structures. These findings raise further questions over the decisions that scientists face in the formation of teams to maximize a speed, skill trade-off. Policy implications are discussed.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32692757 PMCID: PMC7373281 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0236307
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Data source and publication data.
| Source | Pre-COVID-19 (January 1st 2018 –December 31st 2019) | COVID-19 |
|---|---|---|
| 1,917 | 1,714 | |
| 1,448 | 822 | |
| 4,198 | 4,334 | |
| 2,147 | ||
| 6,337 | 5,083 | |
| 6,105 | 4,327 |
Author location in COVID-19 vs pre-COVID-19 research.
| Pre-COVID-19 (N = 6,105) | COVID-19 (N = 4,327) | COVID-19 (minus preprints) (N = 2,472) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | Median | Std Dev | Mean | Median | Std Dev | p-value | Mean | Median | Std Dev | p-value | |
| 0.22 | 0 | 0.41 | 0.39 | 0 | 0.49 | .000 | 0.42 | 0 | 0.49 | .000 | |
| 0.67 | 1 | 0.47 | 0.58 | 1 | 0.50 | .000 | 0.54 | 0 | 0.50 | .000 | |
| 0.35 | 0 | 0.48 | 0.28 | 0 | 0.45 | .000 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.43 | .000 | |
| 0.090 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.098 | 0 | 0.30 | .091 | 0.096 | 0 | 0.29 | .207 | |
| 0.035 | 0 | 0.19 | 0.051 | 0 | 0.22 | .000 | 0.059 | 0 | 0.24 | .000 | |
| 0.27 | 0 | 0.44 | 0.17 | 0 | 0.37 | .000 | 0.19 | 0 | 0.39 | .000 | |
| 0.15 | 0 | 0.35 | 0.11 | 0 | 0.32 | .000 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.32 | .000 | |
*, **, *** denote statistical significance at p-values of 0.1, 0.05 and 0.01 in a difference of means test comparing pre- and COVID-19 outcomes. Comparisons are between pre-COVID-19 outcomes and COVID-19 era outcomes.
Number of publications in COVID-19 vs pre-COVID-19 research, by author country.
| Pre-COVID-19 (% of total global articles) January 2018-December 31 2019 | COVID-19 (% of total global articles) January 1 2020 –April 23 2020 | COVID-19 (minus preprints) (% of total global articles) January 1 2020 –April 8 2020 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | International Teamed Articles | Overall | International Teamed Articles | Overall | International Teamed Articles | |
| 6,105 | 4,327 | 2,472 | ||||
| 1,341 (22%) | 469 (7%) | 1,671 (39%) | 507 (12%) | 1,069 (42%) | 332 (13%) | |
| 2,122 (35%) | 1,129 (18%) | 1,202 (28%) | 533 (12%) | 605 (24%) | 326 (13%) | |
Fig 1Top 10 institutions in terms of publication quantity in coronavirus research in the COVID-19 period.
Funder of COVID-19 vs pre-COVID-19 research.
| Funders | Pre-COVID-19 | COVID-19 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | % of funded articles | Rank | % of funded articles | |
| 1 | 16.9% | 3 | 12.2% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 1 | 28.3% | |
| 3 | 10.7% | 2 | 12.9% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | N/A | N/A | |
| 5 | 3.1% | N/A | N/A | |
| N/A | N/A | 4 | 3.7% | |
| N/A | N/A | 5 | 3.3% | |
| N/A | N/A | 5 | 3.3% | |
* “N/A” indicates the funder is not in the top 5 list.
Country origins of funder of COVID-19 vs pre-COVID-19 research.
| Nationality | Pre-COVID-19 | COVID-19 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | % of funded articles | Rank | % of funded articles | |
| 1 | 27.0% | 1 | 46.0% | |
| 2 | 25.8% | 2 | 18.5% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | N/A | N/A | |
| 4 | 4.8% | 5 | 3.9% | |
| 5 | 4.4% | 3 | 4.4% | |
| N/A | N/A | 4 | 4.1% | |
* “N/A” indicates the country is not in the top 5 list.
Structure of scientific teams in COVID-19 vs pre-COVID-19 research.
| Pre-COVID-19 | COVID-19 | COVID-19 (minus preprints) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | Median | Std Dev | N | Mean | Median | Std Dev | N | Mean | Median | Std Dev | N | |
| 7.09 | 6 | 5.57 | 6,105 | 7.83 | 6 | 8.58 | 4,327 | 6.38 | 5 | 7.61 | 2,472 | |
| 1.76 | 1 | 1.34 | 6,106 | 1.52 | 1 | 1.32 | 4,327 | 1.65 | 1 | 1.32 | 2,472 | |
| 0.42 | 0 | 0.49 | 6,106 | 0.31 | 0 | 0.46 | 4,327 | 0.35 | 0 | 0.48 | 2,472 | |
| 0.44 | 0 | 0.50 | 4,764 | 0.32 | 0 | 0.46 | 2,656 | 0.38 | 0 | 0.49 | 1,431 | |
| 0.35 | 0 | 0.48 | 1,341 | 0.30 | 0 | 0.46 | 1,671 | 0.31 | 0 | 0.46 | 1,041 | |
| 0.53 | 1 | 0.50 | 2,122 | 0.44 | 0 | 0.50 | 1,202 | 0.54 | 0 | 0.50 | 605 | |
*, **, *** denote statistical significance at p values of 0.1, 0.05 and 0.01 in a difference of means test comparing pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 outcomes. Comparisons are between pre-COVID-19 outcomes and COVID-19 era outcomes.
Regression analysis of the relationship between team structure and the impact factor of journals publishing coronavirus research in pre- and during COVID-19.
| Independent variables | Dependent variable—Source Normalized Impact per Paper | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | |
| COVID-19 | 0.086 | 0.088 | 0.088 | 0.064 | 0.107 |
| Authors China | -0.009 (0.013) p = .459 | 0.0012 (0.013) p = .921 | -0.023 | ||
| International Team | 0.069 | 0.078 | |||
| COVID-19 x Authors China | 0.062 (0.041) p = .127 | ||||
| COVID-19 x International Team | -0.046 (0.039) p = .235 | ||||
| 4,502 | 4,502 | 4,502 | 4,502 | 4,502 | |
Estimates stem from ordinary least square model regression specifications with dependent variables being inverse hyperbolic sine transformed SNIP of a publication in the sample, and independent variables being the period of the publication (COVID-19 or pre-COVID-19) (column 1), whether the authors of the publication are from a Chinese institution (column 2), and whether the publication author team is international (column 3). In columns 4, 5, and 6 we include interaction terms of COVID-19 period and the team structure to assess whether there is a different relationship between team structure and SNIP of a publication pre and during-COVID-19.
Robust standard errors in parentheses.
*, **, *** denote statistical significance at p values of 0.1, 0.05 and 0.01.
Network metrics for selected nations in COVID-19 and pre-COVID-19.
| Pre-COVID-19 (network based on 2,072 articles) | COVID-19 (network based on 1,112 articles) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Degree | Weighted Degree | Normalized Betweenness Centrality | Eigenvector centrality | Degree | Weighted Degree | Normalized Betweenness Centrality | Eigenvector centrality | |
| 97 | 1,915 | 0.163 | 1 | 74 | 907 | 0.204 | 1 | |
| 62 | 687 | 0.023 | 0.802 | 52 | 698 | 0.063 | 0.840 | |
| 82 | 992 | 0.064 | 0.954 | 66 | 523 | 0.129 | 0.952 | |
| 61 | 364 | 0.015 | 0.805 | 49 | 271 | 0.059 | 0.806 | |
| 78 | 639 | 0.050 | 0.930 | 55 | 261 | 0.067 | 0.873 | |
Fig 2Network of international collaborative relationships in pre-COVID-19 period, January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2019.
Edges lower than 4 are removed.
Fig 3Network of international collaborative relationships during COVID-19 period, January 1, 2020 to April 8, 2020.
Edges lower than 2 are removed.
Fig 4Ego-networks of China in pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods.
Regression analysis of the rate of pairwise collaboration between China and the United States in COVID-19 and pre-COVID-19 research.
| Independent variable | Dependent variable—China-United States Collaboration | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) | (5) | (6) | |
| COVID-19 | 0.014 | 0.069 | -0.060 | -0.055 (0.036) | 0.091 | 0.20 |
| Sample | Full | Internationally collaborative articles | Chinese authored articles | Chinese authored articles with international collaborations | United States authored articles | United States authored articles with international collaborations |
| .001 | .000 | .000 | .131 | .000 | .000 | |
| 10,432 | 3,915 | 3,012 | 976 | 3,324 | 1,662 | |
Estimates stem from linear probability models specifications with dependent variables being dummy variables taking the value of 1 if the article contains a China-United States collaboration and independent variable being COVID-19 period or pre-COVID-19. All models include controls for type of article (formal/informal). The samples for the regression in model 1 is the full sample of articles, model 2 is just the set of internationally collaborative articles, model 3 is just Chinese authored articles, 4 is just Chinese articles authored with international collaborators, model 5 if just United States authored articles and model 6 is just United States authored articles with international collaborators.
Robust standard errors in parentheses.
*, **, *** denote statistical significance at p values of 0.1, 0.05 and 0.01.
Fig 5Ego-networks of the United States in COVID-19 and pre-COVID-19 periods.
Fig 6Co-term networks of the COVID-19 research in pre- and COVID-19 periods.