| Literature DB >> 32685577 |
Gaurav Suri1, David Chandiwana2, Adam Lee3, Rohit Mistry1.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of ribociclib plus letrozole versus palbociclib plus letrozole in post-menopausal women with hormone receptor positive (HR+) and human epidermal growth receptor 2 negative (HER2-) advanced breast cancer from a UK payer perspective.Entities:
Keywords: Cost-effective; HR+/HER2−; Palbociclib; Ribociclib; UK; advanced breast cancer
Year: 2019 PMID: 32685577 PMCID: PMC7299496 DOI: 10.36469/9725
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Health Econ Outcomes Res ISSN: 2326-697X
Figure 1Survival curves based on PFS and OS data to track state occupancy
PFS: progression-free survival; PPS: post-progression survival; OS: overall survival
The proportion of patients in the progressed-disease state are presented in the figure under the post-progression curve
Model inputs
| Characteristics | Ribociclib plus letrozole | Palbociclib plus letrozole |
|---|---|---|
| Rate parameter for PFS | 0.045 | |
| Shape parameter for OS | 2.110 | |
| Scale parameter for OS | 52.278 | |
| Overall response rate | 28.74% | |
| Rate parameter for TTD | 0.042 | |
| Hazard ratio for PFS | 0.524 (0.407, 0.676) | 0.580 (0.460, 0.720) |
| Hazard ratio for TTD | - | 1.000 (0.730, 1.390) |
| Hazard ratio for OS | 0.682 (0.456, 1.021) | 0.813 (0.492, 1.345) |
| Odds ratio for OR | 1.420 (1.200, 1.66) | 1.230 (1.030, 1.440) |
| Drug acquisition | £2 950/£1 967/£983 | £2 950 |
| Healthcare professional visits | £255 | £302 |
| Hospitalization | £147 | £1 031 |
| Monitoring | £1 | £3 |
| Imaging | £41 | £49 |
| Total | £445 | £1 384 |
| Second line (endocrine) | £6579 | |
| Second line (chemotherapy) | £1285 | |
| Third line (endocrine) | £7499 | |
| Third line (chemotherapy) | £1716 | |
| Total cost of subsequent therapies | £5823 | |
| Monthly subsequent therapy | £284 | |
| Progression-free (response) | 0.8345 (0.0068) | |
| Progression-free (SD) | 0.8296 (0.0063) | |
| Progressed-disease | 0.5050 (0.0443) | |
Parameters for parametric model via exponential distribution (with AIC values = 1693.3) fitted to placebo plus letrozole arm for OS endpoint to which the HR (vs. placebo plus letrozole) for ribociclib plus letrozole and palbociclib plus letrozole were applied
Parameters for parametric model via Weibull distribution (with AIC values = 733.7) fitted to placebo plus letrozole arm for OS endpoint to which the HR (vs. placebo plus letrozole) for ribociclib plus letrozole and palbociclib plus letrozole were applied
Response rates observed in the placebo plus letrozole
Parameter for parametric model via exponential distribution (with AIC values = 1837.6) fitted to ribociclib plus letrozole arm for TTD endpoint to which the HR (vs. palbociclib plus letrozole) were applied
Odds ratios for overall response (relative to placebo plus letrozole) were applied to proportion of patients responding to the placebo plus letrozole treatment to generate the response rate in the ribociclib and palbociclib arm
Health care resource use data were assumed conditional on health state irrespective of the combination therapy
Subsequent therapy costs were also assumed similar for both combination therapy
OR: Overall response, OS: Overall survival, PD: Progressed-disease, PF: Progression-free, PFS: Progression–free survival, TTD: Time-to-treatment discontinuation
Results of the cost-effectiveness analysis
| Treatment | Clinical projections | Costs | Total QALYs | Inc. costs | Inc. QALYs | ICER (Inc. costs/Inc. QALYs) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| ||||||
| Modelled PFS at | ||||||
| 1 year: 74.6% | Total: £104 230 | |||||
| 2 years: 56.3% | Acquisition: £58 358 | |||||
| 5 years: 24.2% | Drug monitoring: £602 | |||||
| 40 years: 0.0% | Drug-wastage: £0 | Total: 3.296 | ||||
| Ribociclib | PFS costs: £17 179 | PF: 2.673 | ||||
| Modelled OS at | PD costs: £20 466 | PD: 0.68 | ||||
| 1 year: 96.7% | Subs. therapy costs: £4201 | Total: −£8464 | ||||
| 2 years: 87.1% | Terminal care: £3266 | Acquisition: −£10 166 | ||||
| 5 years: 39.5% | AE: £157 | Drug monitoring: £525 | ||||
| 40 years: 0.0% | Drug-wastage: −£1482 | Total: 0.261 | ||||
|
| ||||||
| PFS costs: £1495 | PFS: 0.233 | Ribociclib is dominant | ||||
| Modelled PFS at | PD costs: £1107 | PD: 0.028 | ||||
| 1 year: 72.3% | Total: £112 694 | Subs. therapy costs: £191 | ||||
| 2 years: 52.9% | Acquisition: £68 524 | Terminal care: −£44 | ||||
| 5 years: 20.7% | Drug monitoring: £77 | AE: £85 | ||||
| 40 years: 0.0% | Drug-wastage: £1482 | Total: 3.034 | ||||
| Palbociclib | PFS costs: £15 684 | PF: 2.673 | ||||
| Modelled OS at | PD costs: £19 535 | PD: 0.68 | ||||
| 1 year: 96.1% | Subs. therapy costs: £4010 | |||||
| 2 years: 84.8% | Terminal care: £3310 | |||||
| 5 years: 33.1% | AE: £72 | |||||
| 40 years: 0.0% | ||||||
|
| ||||||
|
| ||||||
| Ribociclib | NE | £107 740 (95% CI: £107 265, £108 214) | 3.404 (95% CI: 3.389, 3.418) | −£7914 | 0.273 | Ribociclib is dominant |
|
| ||||||
| Palbociclib | NE | £115 654 (95% CI: £115 134, £116 173) | 3.130 (95% CI: 3.116, 3.144) | |||
AE: Adverse event, 95% CI: 95% confidence interval, ICER: Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, NE: Not evaluated, PD: Progressed-disease, PF: Progression-free, PFS: Progression-free survival, QALYs: Quality-adjusted life years
Figure 2Cost-effectiveness plane
WTP: Willingness to pay threshold at £30 000/QALY
QALY: Quality-adjusted life year
Figure 3Cost-efficiency acceptability curve
Figure 4Tornado plot demonstrating the top five key drivers of cost-effectiveness results
HR: Hazard ratio; OS: Overall survival; PFS: Progression-free survival; vs.: versus