| Literature DB >> 32663793 |
Doriana Landi1, Marta Ponzano2, Carolina Gabri Nicoletti3, Gianluca Cecchi3, Gaia Cola3, Giorgia Mataluni3, Nicola Biagio Mercuri4, Maria Pia Sormani2, Girolama Alessandra Marfia3.
Abstract
Background Aiming to safeguard its population from COVID19 infection, Italian government provided specific advices, especially to fragile individuals such those affected by Multiple Sclerosis (MS), to respect social distancing, to arrange remote work and to use personal protective equipment (PPE). The aim of this study is to investigate real adherence to these measures among MS patients and to evaluate its impact on exposure to infection. Methods MS patients followed at the MS center of Tor Vergata University hospital, Rome, Italy were asked to complete an anonymous 35-items web-survey exploring demographics, residency, employment, social distancing habits, use of PPE, MS features and COVID19 infection data, including self-reported information about contacts with SARS-CoV-2 positive/presumed positive persons. In order to estimate adherence to social distancing and use of PPE, an overall 'Lockdown Score' (LS) on 0-10 scale was created analyzing four main domains (Working (0 - 4), Social distancing and PPE use (0 - 4), Assistance for shopping needs (0 - 2), Residency (-2 - 0)). Mean scores for several pre-defined subgroups of patients were compared using both univariable and multivariable analyses. Accuracy of the score in discriminating subjects at higher risk of coming in contact with SARS-CoV-2 positive/presumed positive individuals was calculated as the area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUC). The optimal cut-off was identified and used to dichotomize LS (high/ low). Logistic regression model was applied to estimate individuals' characteristics associated with high/low LS and odds ratio of coming in contact with SARS-CoV-2 positive/presumed positive persons based on continous and dichotomised LS. Results Respondents (N = 551) had a mean(±SD) overall LS of 6.52±2.11 (Working 3.16±1.19, Social distancing and PPE use 2.69±1.33, Assistance 0.66± 0.62, Residency penalty applied in 4 cases). Female, disabled and unemployed individuals had significantly higher mean LS (p<0.05). The AUC of the LS was 0.68 (95% CI, 0.59-0.77) and the optimal LS cut-off for discrimination was 6.0. Consistently, female, disabled and unemployed individuals had higher odd of getting a high LS (≥ 6) compared to male, independent and employed (p<0.05). Odd of coming in contact with SARS-CoV-2 positive/presumed positive individuals was significantly reduced for one-unit increase in LS (0.74 (95% CI: 0.64-0.85)) and among individuals with high LS (0.37 (95% CI: 0.19-0.72)). Only one subject among respondents declared to have been diagnosed with COVID19. Conclusions MS patients, especially those with social unfavorable conditions, demonstrated good adherence to social distancing and use of protection equipment. Implementing domains, such as social assistance, may improve protection from infection. LS score is potentially able to identify subjects with behaviors at greater risk of infection, although it needs to be validated against MS population living in higher incidence areas.Entities:
Keywords: COVID19; Lockdown; Multiple sclerosis; SARS-CoV-2; Social distancing
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32663793 PMCID: PMC7333605 DOI: 10.1016/j.msard.2020.102359
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Mult Scler Relat Disord ISSN: 2211-0348 Impact factor: 4.339
Lockdown Score and single domain contributions.
| Domain | Score | |
|---|---|---|
| Respondent | Remote work or unemployed | 4 |
| Partially remote work | ||
| 3 | ||
| 2 | ||
| 2 | ||
| 1 | ||
| Going to work regularly | 0 | |
| Respondent's cohabitant | For each cohabitant going to work regularly | −1 |
| Respondent | Leaving home | |
| 4 | ||
| 1 | ||
| 0 | ||
| Respondent | Wearing FFP2/FFP3* | 1 |
| Wearing gloves | 0.5 | |
| Wearing glasses | 0.5 | |
| Wearing surgical face masks | 0.25 | |
| Other (e.g. scarfs) | 0 | |
| Others | 2 | |
| Cohabitant | 1 | |
| Respondent | 0 | |
| Respondent | Low incidence province | 0 |
| High incidence region | −1 | |
| High incidence province | −2 |
*PPE and FFP stands respectively for Personal Protection Equipments and Filtering Facepiece type 2 and 3.
Subjects characteristics, lockdown score and specific domains contributions to the score.
| Lockdown Score (0–10) | Working Domain (0–4) | Social Distance and PPE Domain (0–4) | Assistance Domain (0–2) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Individual | Individual +Cohabitants | ||||||||||
| 551 (100%) | 6.52±2.11 | 3.59±1.13 | 3.16±1.19 | 2.69±1.33 | 0.66± 0.62 | ||||||
| Female | 372(68%) | 6.68±2.02 | 3.67±1.03 | 3.15±1.11 | 2.84±1.27 | 0.69±0.62 | 0.17 | ||||
| Male | 179(32%) | 6.19±2.24 | 3.43±1.31 | 3.18±1.34 | 2.39±1.41 | 0.62±0.63 | |||||
| <40 years | 197(36%) | 6.46±2.14 | 0.06 | 3.57±1.18 | 0.31 | 3.12±1.22 | 0.12 | 2.69±1.28 | 0.92 | 0.64±0.64 | 0.05 |
| 40–60 years | 294(53%) | 6.44±2.16 | 3.55±1.18 | 3.12±1.22 | 2.68±1.36 | 0.64±0.61 | |||||
| ≥60 years | 60 (11%) | 7.12±1.65 | 3.86±0.59 | 3.50±0.82 | 2.76±1.38 | 0.85±0.63 | |||||
| Independent | 423(77%) | 6.25±2.12 | 3.53±1.21 | 3.12±1.25 | 0.64 | 2.57±1.32 | 0.57±0.62 | ||||
| Need Support | 128(23%) | 7.39±1.81 | 3.81±0.81 | 3.30±0.96 | 3.11±1.30 | 0.98±0.53 | |||||
| immunomodulatory | 210(43%) | 6.38±2.14 | 0.54 | 3.52±1.25 | 0.77 | 3.15±1.26 | 0.19 | 2.69±1.34 | 0.94 | 0.55±0.61 | |
| Immunosuppressive | 273(57%) | 6.50±2.10 | 3.59±1.11 | 3.10±1.18 | 2.69±1.32 | 0.71±0.63 | |||||
| 0–10 years | 141(26%) | 6.55±2.15 | 0.68 | 3.66±1.03 | 0.41 | 3.21±1.11 | 0.92 | 2.67±1.37 | 0.37 | 0.67±0.59 | 0.63 |
| 10–15 years | 154(28%) | 6.62±1.91 | 3.65±1.05 | 3.19±1.11 | 2.82±1.29 | 0.62±0.60 | |||||
| >15 years | 256(46%) | 6.44±2.20 | 3.52±1.23 | 3.11±1.27 | 2.63±1.34 | 0.69±0.65 | |||||
| Not living with a partner | 127(22%) | 6.50±2.09 | 0.90 | 3.59±1.18 | 0.73 | 3.34±1.19 | 2.55±1.32 | 0.15 | 0.62±0.74 | 0.14 | |
| Living with a partner | 424(78%) | 6.52±2.12 | 3.59±1.12 | 3.11±1.18 | 2.74±1.34 | 0.67±0.58 | |||||
| Middle School/Below | 75(14%) | 6.64±1.77 | 0.81 | 3.94±0.46 | 3.34±0.72 | 0.12 | 2.59±1.44 | 0.71 | 0.70±0.53 | 0.37 | |
| High School | 292(53%) | 6.47±2.11 | 3.54±1.21 | 3.07±1.27 | 2.73±1.34 | 0.68±0.63 | |||||
| University/ PhD | 184(33%) | 6.54±2.23 | 3.53±1.17 | 3.24±1.20 | 2.69±1.29 | 0.62±0.64 | |||||
| < 2 rooms flat | 73(13%) | 6.48±1.89 | 0.93 | 3.73±0.86 | 0.60 | 3.33±1.00 | 0.60 | 2.62±1.33 | 0.89 | 0.52±0.64 | 0.06 |
| >=2 rooms flat | 329(60%) | 6.53±2.11 | 3.58±1.17 | 3.15±1.18 | 2.70±1.35 | 0.68±0.62 | |||||
| House | 143(26%) | 6.46±2.22 | 3.54±1.19 | 3.08±1.29 | 2.70±1.30 | 0.67±0.61 | |||||
| Employed | 356(65%) | 6.24±2.24 | 3.37±1.36 | 3.00±1.37 | 0.06 | 2.65±1.33 | 0.32 | 0.59±0.63 | < | ||
| Not Employed | 195(35%) | 7.02±1.73 | 4.00±0.00 | 3.45±0.66 | 2.77±1.35 | 0.80±0.59 | |||||
| City | 256(47%) | 6.65±2.10 | 0.44 | 3.69±0.97 | 0.06 | 3.27±1.09 | 0.15 | 2.71±1.36 | 0.37 | 0.65±0.65 | 0.67 |
| Town | 240(44%) | 6.46±2.16 | 3.46±1.30 | 3.04±1.29 | 2.73±1.32 | 0.69±0.61 | |||||
| Village | 44(8%) | 6.30±1.54 | 3.81±0.84 | 3.21±1.01 | 2.44±1.23 | 0.63±0.48 | |||||
P values were calculated using ANOVA or Kruskal-Wallis test, as appropriate.; Four people were penalized because they lived in COVID19 high risk areas (N = 1) or in regions including COVID19 high risk areas (N = 3). *Living with a partner includes partnered/de facto /religious; not living with a partner includes single/separated/divorced/widow.
Multiple Sclerosis Treatments distribution in the study's sample.
| N (%). | |
| Beta-Interferons | 45 (8%) |
| Dimethyl Fumarate | 105 (19%) |
| Teriflunomide | 29 (5%) |
| Glatiramer acetate | 31 (6%) |
| Fingolimod | 84 (15%) |
| Cladribine | 12 (2%) |
| Natalizumab | 93 (17%) |
| Ocrelizumab | 61 (11%) |
| Alemtuzumab | 1 (0.18%) |
| Rituximab | 13 (2%) |
| Experimental Drugs | 9 (1.6%) |
| 68 (12%) |
Fig. 1Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) Curve and area under the ROC curve (AUC). Prediction of coming in contact with positive/ presumed positive individuals on the basis of the Lockdown Score (LS).
Subjects’ characteristics associated with high/low LS (univariable and multivariable logistic regression models).
| High LS (LS>=6.0)) | Low LS (LS<6.0) | Univariable | Multivariable | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N(%) | N(%) | OR (95% CI) | p-value | OR (95% CI) | p-value | |
| Female | 231(71%) | 141(62%) | 0.67 (0.47–0.96) | 0.65 (0.44–0.94) | ||
| Male | 94(29%) | 85(38%) | 1.00 (ref) | 1.00 (ref) | — | |
| <40 years | 115 (35%) | 82 (36%) | 0.97(0.67–1.40) | 0.42 | ||
| 40–60 years | 170 (52%) | 124 (55%) | 1.00 (ref) | — | ||
| 60+ | 40 (12%) | 20 (9%) | 0.68 (0.38–1.23) | 0.20 | ||
| Independent | 227 (70%) | 196 (87%) | 1.00 (ref) | — | 1.00 (ref) | — |
| Need Support | 98(30%) | 30(13%) | 0.35(0.22–0.55) | 0.37 (0.23–0.61) | ||
| Immunomodulatory | 121 (43%) | 89 (44%) | 1.00 (ref) | — | ||
| Immunosuppressive | 161(57%) | 112(56%) | 0.94 (0.65–1.36) | 0.76 | ||
| 0–10 years | 81 (25%) | 60 (27%) | 0.93 (0.61–1.42) | 0.48 | ||
| 10–15 years | 101(31%) | 53(23%) | 0.66 (0.43–1.00) | 0.05 | ||
| >15 years | 143 (44%) | 113 (50%) | 1.00 (ref) | — | ||
| Not living with a partner | 72(22%) | 55 (24%) | 1.00 (ref) | — | ||
| Living with a partner | 253(78%) | 171(76%) | 0.88(0.59–1.32) | 0.54 | ||
| Middle School/Below | 47 (14%) | 28 (12%) | 0.80 (0.47–1.36) | 0.51 | ||
| High School | 168 (52%) | 124 (55%) | 1.00 (ref) | — | ||
| University/ PhD | 110 (34%) | 74 (33%) | 0.91 (0.62–1.32) | 0.94 | ||
| < 2 rooms flat | 38 (12%) | 35 (16%) | 1.00 (ref) | — | ||
| >=2 rooms flat | 199 (62%) | 130 (58%) | 0.70(0.42–1.18) | 0.22 | ||
| House | 83 (26%) | 60 (27%) | 0.78(0.44–1.38) | 0.74 | ||
| Employed | 193 (59%) | 163 (72%) | 1.00 (ref) | — | 1.00 (ref) | — |
| Not Employed | 132 (41%) | 63 (28%) | 0.56 (0.39–0.81) | 0.76 (0.51–1.13) | 0.17 | |
| City | 160 (50%) | 96 (43%) | 0.72 (0.37–1.37) | 0.16 | ||
| Town | 135 (42%) | 105 (48%) | 0.93 (0.48–1.78) | 0.64 | ||
| Village | 24 (8%) | 20 (9%) | 1.00 (ref) | — | ||
*Living with a partner includes partnered/de facto /religious; not living with a partner includes single/separated/divorced/widow.
Association of LS (continuous LS and high vs low LS) with SARS-CoV-2 positive/presumed positive person contact. Univariable logistic regression and multivariable logistic regression adjusted for sex, age, mobility and employment.
| Univariable | Multivariable | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | p-value | OR (95% CI) | p-value | |
| LS (continuous) | 0.74 (0.64–0.85) | 0.78 (0.67–0.90) | ||
| High vs Low LS | 0.37(0.19–0.72) | 0.42(0.21–0.84) |