| Literature DB >> 32658868 |
Xiaoyu Fang1,2, Shen Li3, Hao Yu4, Penghao Wang3, Yao Zhang2, Zheng Chen2, Yang Li5, Liqing Cheng6, Wenbin Li7, Hong Jia1, Xiangyu Ma2.
Abstract
A systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted in an attempt to systematically collect and evaluate the associations of epidemiological, comorbidity factors with the severity and prognosis of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The systematic review and meta-analysis was conducted according to the guidelines proposed by the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA). Sixty nine publications met our study criteria, and 61 studies with more than 10,000 COVID-19 cases were eligible for the quantitative synthesis. We found that the males had significantly higher disease severity (RR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.13-1.27, P <0.001) and more prognostic endpoints. Older age was found to be significantly associated with the disease severity and six prognostic endpoints. Chronic kidney disease contributed mostly for death (RR: 7.10, 95% CI: 3.14-16.02), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) for disease severity (RR: 4.20, 95% CI: 2.82-6.25), admission to intensive care unit (ICU) (RR: 5.61, 95% CI: 2.68-11.76), the composite endpoint (RR: 8.52, 95% CI: 4.36-16.65,), invasive ventilation (RR: 6.53, 95% CI: 2.70-15.84), and disease progression (RR: 7.48, 95% CI: 1.60-35.05), cerebrovascular disease for acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) (RR: 3.15, 95% CI: 1.23-8.04), coronary heart disease for cardiac abnormality (RR: 5.37, 95% CI: 1.74-16.54). Our study highlighted that the male gender, older age and comorbidities owned strong epidemiological evidence of associations with the severity and prognosis of COVID-19.Entities:
Keywords: 2019-nCoV; COVID-19; SARS-Cov-2; meta-analysis
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32658868 PMCID: PMC7377860 DOI: 10.18632/aging.103579
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Aging (Albany NY) ISSN: 1945-4589 Impact factor: 5.682
Figure 1PRISMA flow diagram.
Quantitative data synthesis for the associations of the epidemiological, comorbidity factors with severity of COVID-19.
| Sex, male | 33 | 8916 | 0.078 | 27.2 | 1.20 (1.13-1.27) | <0.001 | 0.040 |
| Smoking | 11 | 5237 | <0.001 | 80.8 | 1.56 (0.95-2.57) | 0.082 | 0.956 |
| Current smoking | 2 | 2879 | 0.133 | 55.6 | 1.17 (0.92-1.50) | 0.198 | - |
| Ex-smoking | 2 | 2879 | 0.019 | 81.7 | 2.17 (0.61-7.70) | 0.232 | - |
| Drinking | 4 | 2274 | 0.067 | 58.0 | 0.83 (0.48-1.44) | 0.516 | 0.722 |
| Local residents of Wuhan | 4 | 1931 | <0.001 | 90.9 | 0.66 (0.32-1.36) | 0.256 | 0.441 |
| Exposure to Hubei Province | 10 | 3127 | <0.001 | 90.9 | 1.21 (0.88-1.65) | 0.240 | 0.115 |
| Contact with confirmed or suspect cases | 13 | 5007 | 0.041 | 45.8 | 0.98 (0.86-1.13) | 0.801 | 0.072 |
| Family cluster | 5 | 2578 | 0.857 | 0.0 | 0.94 (0.86-1.04) | 0.224 | 0.856 |
| Huanan seafood market exposure | 5 | 2342 | 0.001 | 79.9 | 1.79 (0.38-8.35) | 0.459 | 0.212 |
| Comorbidities | 16 | 6219 | <0.001 | 83.4 | 1.72 (1.44-2.06) | <0.001 | 0.710 |
| Hypertension | 23 | 7739 | <0.001 | 75.0 | 2.09 (1.74-2.52) | <0.001 | 0.154 |
| Diabetes | 23 | 7739 | 0.017 | 42.6 | 1.95 (1.60-2.36) | <0.001 | 0.272 |
| Malignancy | 14 | 5905 | 0.137 | 30.0 | 1.56 (1.11-2.21) | 0.011 | 0.644 |
| Cardiovascular disease | 18 | 6841 | 0.019 | 45.5 | 2.74 (2.03-3.70) | <0.001 | <0.001 |
| Coronary heart disease | 8 | 3899 | 0.087 | 43.7 | 2.03 (1.39-2.15) | <0.001 | 0.040 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 12 | 5756 | 0.074 | 40.0 | 2.77 (1.70-4.52) | <0.001 | 0.595 |
| Cardiovascular/cerebrovascular disease | 6 | 3057 | <0.001 | 84.0 | 2.31 (1.31-4.08) | 0.004 | 0.502 |
| COPD | 14 | 6609 | 0.492 | 0.0 | 4.20 (2.82-6.25) | <0.001 | 0.580 |
| Respiratory system disease | 18 | 7522 | 0.661 | 0.0 | 3.25 (2.48-4.27) | <0.001 | 0.577 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 15 | 4861 | 0.173 | 25.5 | 2.27 (1.55-3.32) | <0.001 | 0.179 |
| Chronic liver disease | 11 | 3248 | 0.201 | 25.5 | 1.35 (0.89-2.05) | 0.165 | 0.782 |
| Hepatitis B infection | 3 | 1710 | 0.448 | 0.0 | 2.69 (1.32-5.51) | 0.007 | 0.735 |
| Lithiasis | 2 | 308 | 0.873 | 0.0 | 3.03 (0.73-12.58) | 0.127 | - |
| Autoimmune disease | 5 | 2202 | 0.727 | 0.0 | 2.52 (0.80-7.90) | 0.113 | 0.997 |
| Abnormal lipid metabolism | 4 | 2246 | 0.648 | 0.0 | 0.57 (0.26-1.25) | 0.162 | 0.080 |
| Digestive disease | 5 | 1013 | 0.492 | 0.0 | 1.80 (1.13-2.87) | 0.014 | 0.717 |
| Thyroid disease | 3 | 348 | 0.350 | 0.0 | 2.37 (0.66-8.50) | 0.186 | 0.387 |
| Tuberculosis | 2 | 592 | 0.473 | 0.0 | 2.74 (0.72-10.4) | 0.141 | - |
| Nervous system disease | 3 | 796 | 0.368 | 0.0% | 1.64 (0.68-3.93) | 0.270 | 0.160 |
| Endocrine system disease | 3 | 796 | <0.001 | 89.6 | 3.09 (0.70-13.64) | 0.136 | 0.622 |
Quantitative data synthesis for the associations of age with severity and prognosis of COVID-19.
| Severity | 32 | 8140 | <0.001 | 92.4 | 0.73 (0.53-0.94) | <0.001 | 0.331 |
| Death | 9 | 3725 | 0.005 | 63.9 | 1.06 (0.85-1.26) | <0.001 | 0.610 |
| Admission to ICU | 5 | 2224 | 0.189 | 34.9 | 0.78 (0.60-0.96) | <0.001 | 0.538 |
| Composite endpoint | 2 | 2879 | 0.055 | 72.9 | 0.88 (0.56-1.21) | <0.001 | - |
| ARDS | 3 | 2090 | 0.939 | 0 | 0.83 (0.67-0.99) | <0.001 | 0.882 |
| Invasive ventilation | 2 | 1825 | 0.493 | 0.0 | 0.84 (0.54-1.14) | <0.001 | - |
| Cardiac abnormality | 4 | 439 | 0.041 | 63.6 | 0.92 (0.44-1.41) | <0.001 | 0.885 |
| Disease progression | 2 | 219 | <0.001 | 95.4 | 2.37 (0.00-4.74) | 0.050 | - |
Quantitative data synthesis for the associations of the epidemiological, comorbidity factors with prognosis of COVID-19 (P value<0.05).
| Death | |||||||
| Sex, male | 10 | 4214 | 0.443 | 0.0 | 1.23 (1.14-1.33) | <0.001 | 0.276 |
| Comorbidities | 8 | 4499 | <0.001 | 88.7 | 1.68 (1.32-2.13) | <0.001 | 0.248 |
| Hypertension | 11 | 4860 | <0.001 | 84.4 | 1.74 (1.31-2.30) | <0.001 | 0.418 |
| Diabetes | 10 | 4748 | 0.001 | 67.1 | 1.75 (1.27-2.41) | 0.001 | 0.057 |
| Malignancy | 6 | 3978 | 0.262 | 22.8 | 3.09 (1.59-6.00) | 0.001 | 0.006 |
| Cardiovascular disease | 11 | 4860 | <0.001 | 75.9 | 2.67 (1.60-4.43) | <0.001 | 0.654 |
| Coronary heart disease | 5 | 2452 | <0.001 | 87.7 | 3.16 (1.45-6.91) | 0.004 | 0.435 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 6 | 3771 | 0.457 | 0.0 | 4.61 (2.51-8.47) | <0.001 | 0.766 |
| COPD | 4 | 3677 | 0.279 | 22.0 | 5.31 (2.63-10.71) | <0.001 | 0.107 |
| Respiratory system disease | 7 | 4472 | 0.185 | 31.8 | 3.22 (2.12-4.90) | <0.001 | 0.761 |
| Chronic kidney disease | 5 | 2219 | 0.477 | 0.0 | 7.10 (3.14-16.02) | <0.001 | 0.772 |
| Admission to ICU | |||||||
| Sex, male | 5 | 2224 | 0.011 | 69.6 | 1.29 (1.13-1.47) | <0.001 | 0.651 |
| Comorbidities | 5 | 3747 | 0.038 | 60.5 | 1.82 (1.45-2.29) | <0.001 | 0.646 |
| Hypertension | 5 | 3747 | 0.601 | 0.0 | 2.31 (1.97-2.70) | <0.001 | 0.312 |
| Diabetes | 5 | 3747 | 0.084 | 51.4 | 1.88 (1.10-3.23) | 0.021 | 0.457 |
| Malignancy | 5 | 3747 | 0.427 | 0.0 | 2.52 (1.38-5.59) | 0.003 | 0.158 |
| Cardiovascular disease | 5 | 3747 | 0.511 | 0.0 | 2.74 (1.92-3.92) | <0.001 | 0.692 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 3 | 3508 | 0.349 | 4.9 | 5.12 (2.86-9.17) | <0.001 | 0.273 |
| COPD | 4 | 3549 | 0.800 | 0.0 | 5.61 (2.68-11.76) | <0.001 | 0.740 |
| Respiratory system disease | 4 | 3549 | 0.613 | 0.0 | 4.66 (2.59-8.40) | <0.001 | 0.637 |
| Composite endpoint | |||||||
| Smoking | 2 | 2879 | 0.604 | 0.0 | 2.67 (1.91-3.73) | <0.001 | - |
| Comorbidities | 2 | 3370 | <0.001 | 95.3 | 1.96 (1.06-3.60) | 0.031 | - |
| Hypertension | 2 | 3370 | 0.011 | 84.5 | 2.20 (1.44-3.36) | <0.001 | - |
| Cardiovascular disease | 2 | 3370 | 0.927 | 0.0 | 3.09 (2.09-4.57) | <0.001 | - |
| Coronary heart disease | 2 | 3370 | 0.473 | 0.0 | 3.36 (2.15-5.25) | <0.001 | - |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 2 | 3370 | 0.225 | 32.0 | 4.10 (2.34-7.18) | <0.001 | - |
| COPD | 2 | 3370 | 0.185 | 43.0 | 8.52 (4.36-16.65) | <0.001 | - |
| Respiratory system disease | 2 | 3370 | 0.185 | 43.0 | 8.52 (4.36-16.65) | <0.001 | - |
| ARDS | |||||||
| Sex, male | 3 | 2090 | 0.464 | 0.0 | 1.15 (1.01-1.30) | 0.033 | 0.353 |
| Hypertension | 3 | 2090 | 0.377 | 0.0 | 1.90 (1.57-2.30) | <0.001 | 0.520 |
| Diabetes | 3 | 2090 | 0.068 | 62.9 | 3.07 (1.28-7.36) | 0.012 | 0.066 |
| Cardiovascular disease | 3 | 2090 | 0.244 | 29.2 | 2.26 (1.43-3.58) | <0.001 | 0.422 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 2 | 1889 | 0.152 | 51.2 | 3.15 (1.23-8.04) | 0.016 | - |
| Respiratory system disease | 2 | 1889 | 0.303 | 5.6 | 2.44 (1.20-4.97) | 0.014 | - |
| Invasive ventilation | |||||||
| Sex, male | 2 | 1825 | 0.403 | 0.0 | 1.35 (1.11-1.64) | 0.002 | - |
| Family cluster | 2 | 1825 | 0.646 | 0.0 | 1.58 (1.13-2.14) | 0.006 | - |
| Comorbidities | 3 | 3415 | 0.005 | 81.2 | 1.83 (1.19-2.79) | 0.006 | 0.569 |
| Hypertension | 3 | 3415 | 0.131 | 50.9 | 2.35 (1.92-2.89) | <0.001 | 0.366 |
| Diabetes | 3 | 3415 | 0.131 | 50.8 | 1.85 (1.24-2.76) | 0.003 | 0.021 |
| Cardiovascular disease | 3 | 3415 | 0.844 | 0.0 | 2.90 (1.63-5.15) | <0.001 | 0.618 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 2 | 3370 | 0.602 | 0.0 | 3.98 (1.77-8.93) | 0.001 | - |
| COPD | 2 | 3370 | 0.383 | 0.0 | 6.53 (2.70-15.84) | <0.001 | - |
| Respiratory system disease | 3 | 3415 | 0.260 | 25.7 | 4.34 (2.04-9.26) | <0.001 | 0.567 |
| Cardiac abnormality | |||||||
| Sex, male | 4 | 439 | 0.211 | 33.6 | 1.33 (1.02-1.72) | 0.036 | 0.624 |
| Hypertension | 4 | 439 | 0.947 | 0.0 | 2.97 (1.65-5.34) | <0.001 | 0.610 |
| Cardiovascular disease | 4 | 439 | 0.915 | 0.0 | 4.90 (1.82-13.21) | 0.002 | 0.177 |
| Coronary heart disease | 3 | 386 | 0.819 | 0.0 | 5.37 (1.74-16.54) | 0.003 | 0.408 |
| Disease progression | |||||||
| Hypertension | 2 | 219 | 0.547 | 0.0 | 2.90 (1.45-5.81) | 0.003 | - |
| Diabetes | 2 | 219 | 0.746 | 0.0 | 3.30 (1.08-10.07) | 0.036 | - |
| COPD | 2 | 219 | 0.848 | 0.0 | 7.48 (1.60-35.05) | 0.011 | - |
| Respiratory system disease | 2 | 219 | 0.848 | 0.0 | 7.48 (1.60-35.05) | 0.011 | - |