Literature DB >> 32632003

Six hundred years of South American tree rings reveal an increase in severe hydroclimatic events since mid-20th century.

Mariano S Morales1,2, Edward R Cook3, Jonathan Barichivich4,5, Duncan A Christie5,6, Ricardo Villalba7, Carlos LeQuesne5, Ana M Srur7, M Eugenia Ferrero7, Álvaro González-Reyes8, Fleur Couvreux9, Vladimir Matskovsky7,10, Juan C Aravena11, Antonio Lara5,6, Ignacio A Mundo7,12, Facundo Rojas7, María R Prieto7, Jason E Smerdon3, Lucas O Bianchi7,13, Mariano H Masiokas7, Rocio Urrutia-Jalabert5,6,14, Milagros Rodriguez-Catón7,3, Ariel A Muñoz6,15, Moises Rojas-Badilla5, Claudio Alvarez5, Lidio Lopez7, Brian H Luckman16, David Lister17, Ian Harris17, Philip D Jones17, A Park Williams3, Gonzalo Velazquez5, Diego Aliste5,6, Isabella Aguilera-Betti15,18, Eugenia Marcotti7,19, Felipe Flores5, Tomás Muñoz5, Emilio Cuq5, José A Boninsegna7.   

Abstract

South American (SA) societies are highly vulnerable to droughts and pluvials, but lack of long-term climate observations severely limits our understanding of the global processes driving climatic variability in the region. The number and quality of SA climate-sensitive tree ring chronologies have significantly increased in recent decades, now providing a robust network of 286 records for characterizing hydroclimate variability since 1400 CE. We combine this network with a self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI) dataset to derive the South American Drought Atlas (SADA) over the continent south of 12°S. The gridded annual reconstruction of austral summer scPDSI is the most spatially complete estimate of SA hydroclimate to date, and well matches past historical dry/wet events. Relating the SADA to the Australia-New Zealand Drought Atlas, sea surface temperatures and atmospheric pressure fields, we determine that the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) are strongly associated with spatially extended droughts and pluvials over the SADA domain during the past several centuries. SADA also exhibits more extended severe droughts and extreme pluvials since the mid-20th century. Extensive droughts are consistent with the observed 20th-century trend toward positive SAM anomalies concomitant with the weakening of midlatitude Westerlies, while low-level moisture transport intensified by global warming has favored extreme rainfall across the subtropics. The SADA thus provides a long-term context for observed hydroclimatic changes and for 21st-century Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) projections that suggest SA will experience more frequent/severe droughts and rainfall events as a consequence of increasing greenhouse gas emissions.
Copyright © 2020 the Author(s). Published by PNAS.

Entities:  

Keywords:  South America hydroclimate; Southern Hemisphere climate modes; drought atlas; extreme hydroclimate events; palaeoclimate reconstruction

Year:  2020        PMID: 32632003     DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2002411117

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A        ISSN: 0027-8424            Impact factor:   11.205


  7 in total

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Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2020-08-24       Impact factor: 11.205

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  7 in total

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