| Literature DB >> 32591972 |
J Zhao1,2, G Liang2,3, H Huang1,2, L Zeng2,3, W Yang2,3, J Pan2,3, J Liu4,5.
Abstract
The purpose of this study was to identify risk factors for falls in postmenopausal women and provide evidence for the primary prevention of falls in postmenopausal women. The protocol for this meta-analysis is registered with PROSPERO (CRD42020170927). We searched PubMed, the Cochrane Library and EMBASE for observational studies on the risk factors for falls in postmenopausal women. Review Manager 5.3 was used to calculate the relative risk (RR) or weighted mean difference (WMD) of potential risk factors related to falls. STATA 14.0 was used for the quantitative evaluation of publication bias. Eleven studies with 42,429 patients from 7 countries were included. The main risk factors for falls in postmenopausal women were patient sociodemographic risk factors (age: WMD = 0.37, 95% CI 0.07 to 0.68; body weight: WMD = 0.88, 95% CI 0.56 to 1.12; BMI: WMD = 0.34, 95% CI 0.21 to 0.46; exercise: RR = 0.97, 95% CI 0.94 to 0.99; and FES-I: WMD = 6.60, 95% CI 0.72 to 12.47) and medical risk factors (dietary calcium intake: WMD = - 16.91, 95% CI - 25.80 to - 8.01; previous fracture history: RR = 1.21, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.29; previous falls: RR = 2.02, 95% CI 1.91 to 2.14; number of diseases, ˃ 2: RR = 1.17, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.23; and number of reported chronic health disorders: WMD = 0.30, 95% CI 0.10 to 0.49). Knowledge of the many risk factors associated with falls in postmenopausal women can aid in fall prevention. However, we cannot rule out some additional potential risk factors (age at the onset of menopause, years since last menstruation, hormone therapy and BMD) that need further clinical research.Entities:
Keywords: Falls; Meta-analysis; Postmenopausal women; Risk factors
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32591972 PMCID: PMC7497515 DOI: 10.1007/s00198-020-05508-8
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Osteoporos Int ISSN: 0937-941X Impact factor: 5.071
Fig. 1Flow diagram of the study selection
Characteristics of the included studies
| Author | Year | Country | Study design | Sample size | Age, years | Fall definition | Fall ascertainment | Fall reference period | Identified significant risk factors | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall | Non-fall | Fall | Non-fall | ||||||||
| Chu-Hsu Lin 2016 [ | 2016 | Taiwan, China | Co, P | 183 | 770 | 68.8 ± 8.3 | 66.4 ± 8.4 | Falling with landing on the ground or lower level | Telephone interview | Previous 24 months | Age, hypertension, diabetes |
| Wojciech Pluskiewicz 2016 [ | 2016 | Poland | Co, P | 328 | 650 | 67.2 ± 7.7 | 65.2 ± 7.5 | “From an upright position” | Interviews | Previous 12 months | Age, rural stay, prior fracture, diabetes type 1, bronchial asthma, and depression |
| Nadia Afrin 2016 [ | 2016 | Finland | Co, P | 3593 | 7001 | 52.2 ± 2.9 | 52.3 ± 2.9 | “From an upright position” | Self-report | Previous 12 months | Weight, BMI, surgery, current use of prescribed medications, smoking, previous fracture |
| Nadia Afrin 2018 [ | 2018 | Finland | Co, P | 3397 | 5259 | 62.1 ± 2.9 | 62.2 ± 2.9 | “From an upright position” | Self-report | Previous 12 months | BMI, number of prescribed medications, number of chronic diseases, mobility, smoker, alcohol, number of women with musculoskeletal disorders |
| B.Drozdzowska 2013 [ | 2013 | Poland | Co, P | 211 | 407 | 67.6 ± 7.9 | 65.6 ± 7.7 | NR | Interviews | Previous 12 months | Age, height, menopause, instrumental activity of daily living |
| Yuksel Ersoy 2009 [ | 2009 | Turkey | Co, P | 35 | 90 | 64.5 ± 8.1 | 60.2 ± 7.5 | Unintentionally coming to rest on the ground, floor, or other lower level | Self-report | Previous 12 months | Age, Berg Balance Scale, TUG test, FES-I, fear |
| F. Hita-Contreras 2013 [ | 2013 | Spain | Co, P | 20 | 76 | 56.6 ± 4.2 | 57.9 ± 3.9 | An unexpected event in which the participants come to rest on the ground, floor, or lower level | Interviews | Previous 12 months | FES-I, velocity, sway area |
| Kerri M. Winters-Stone 2011 [ | 2011 | USA | Co, P | 34 | 25 | 59.2 ± 7.1 | 57.4 ± 12.4 | Unintentionally coming to rest on the ground or at some other lower level, not as a result of a major intrinsic event or overwhelming hazard | Self-report | Previous 6 months | Balance disturbances of vestibular origin, delays in detecting low contrast visual stimuli |
| Shawna Follis 2018 [ | 2018 | USA | Co, P | 2509 | 7415 | 50–79 | 50–79 | Fall and land on the floor or ground | Self-report | Previous 12 months | Sarcopenic obesity |
| Kaisa M. Randell 2001 [ | 2001 | Finland | Co, P | 3049 | 6743 | 57.5 ± 2.8 | 57.6 ± 2.9 | NR | Self-report | Previous 12 months | Weight, number of disorders, dairy Ca intake, physically active, smoking |
| Abdulrahim A. Rouzi 2015 [ | 2015 | Saudi Arabia | Co, P | 91 | 543 | 61.64 ± 5.69 | 59.6 ± 5.95 | Asudden unintentional change in position causing an individual to land at a lower level on an object, on the floor, or on the ground | Interviews | Previous 12 months | Age, time since menopause, bone mineral density, handgrip strength, TUG test |
Co, cohort study; P, prospective study; NR, not report; TUG, timed up and go; BMI, body mass index; FES-I, Falls Efficacy Scale International
Newcastle-Ottawa Scale for risk of bias assessment of cohort studies included in the meta-analysis
| Study | Selection | Comparability | Outcome | Overall | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Representativeness of exposed cohort | Selection of non-exposed | Ascertainment of exposure | Outcome not present at start | Assessment of outcome | Adequate follow-up length | Adequacy of follow-up | |||
| Chu-Hsu Lin 2016 [ | ☆ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | 7 |
| Wojciech Pluskiewicz 2016 [ | ☆ | ★ | ★ | ☆ | ★★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | 7 |
| Nadia Afrin 2016 [ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | 8 |
| Nadia Afrin 2018 [ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ☆ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | 7 |
| B. Drozdzowska 2013 [ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | 8 |
| Yuksel Ersoy 2009 [ | ☆ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | 7 |
| F. Hita-Contreras 2013 [ | ☆ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | 8 |
| Kerri M. Winters-Stone 2011 [ | ☆ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ☆ | 6 |
| Shawna Follis 2018 [ | ☆ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | 8 |
| Kaisa M. Randell 2001 [ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | 9 |
| Abdulrahim A. Rouzi 2015 [ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | ★★ | ★ | ★ | ★ | 9 |
★, score of 1; ★★, score of 2; ☆, score of 0
The main outcomes of meta-analysis and subgroup analysis
| Risk factors | No. of studies | RR or WMD | LL 95% CI | UL 95% CI | Analysis model | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sociodemographic risk factors | |||||||
| Age, years | 10 | 0.37† | 0.07 | 0.68 | 85 | IV, random | |
| Age (eliminate heterogeneous sources) | 7 | 1.83† | 0.93 | 2.73 | 52 | IV, random | |
| Body weight, kg | 6 | 0.88† | 0.56 | 1.21 | 0 | IV, fixed | |
| Body height, cm | 7 | − 0.16† | − 0.40 | 0.08 | 0.20 | 56 | IV, random |
| BMI (kg/m2) | 9 | 0.34† | 0.21 | 0.46 | 0 | IV, fixed | |
| Age of menopause, years | 5 | − 0.31† | − 0.91 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 64 | IV, random |
| Years since last menstruation, years | 4 | 0.01† | − 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.94 | 37 | IV, fixed |
| Exercise (yes vs. no) | 4 | 0.97* | 0.94 | 0.99 | 0 | M-H, fixed | |
| Smoking (yes vs. no) | 3 | 0.78* | 0.72 | 0.85 | 0 | M-H, fixed | |
| Alcohol use, heavy use, > 30 drinks/month (yes vs. no) | 2 | 0.98* | 0.85 | 1.13 | 0.77 | 43 | M-H, fixed |
| FES-I, point | 2 | 6.60† | 0.72 | 12.47 | 79 | IV, random | |
| TUG test, second | 2 | 1.32† | − 1.21 | 3.86 | 0.31 | 90 | IV, random |
| 5-STS, second | 3 | 0.30† | − 0.36 | 0.96 | 0.37 | 0 | IV, fixed |
| Medical risk factors | |||||||
| Dietary calcium intake, mg/day | 3 | − 16.91† | − 25.80 | − 8.01 | 7 | IV, fixed | |
| Previous fracture history (yes vs. no) | 3 | 1.21* | 1.13 | 1.29 | 0 | M-H, fixed | |
| Previous fallers (yes vs. no) | 3 | 2.02* | 1.91 | 2.14 | 0 | M-H, fixed | |
| Hormone therapy (yes vs. no) | 4 | 1.00* | 0.98 | 1.03 | 0.80 | 0 | M-H, fixed |
| Number of diseases, ˃ 2 (yes vs. no) | 2 | 1.17* | 1.11 | 1.23 | 0 | M-H, fixed | |
| Number of reported chronic health disorders | 2 | 0.30† | 0.10 | 0.49 | 94 | IV, random | |
| BMD, g/cm3, neck femur | 2 | 0.00† | − 0.02 | 0.02 | 1.00 | 0 | IV, fixed |
Note: The forest map of all risk factors is shown in Supplementary appendix 2
TUG, timed up and go; 5-STS, five-times sit-to-stand; BMI, body mass index; FES-I, Falls Efficacy Scale International; BMD, bone mineral density; RR, relative risk; WMD, standardized mean differences; LL, lower limit; UL, upper limit; M-H, Mantel Haenszel test; IV, inverse variance
*RR
†WMD