| Literature DB >> 32584823 |
Abstract
Evidence exists that depression interacts with physical illness to amplify the impact of chronic conditions like diabetes. The co-occurrence of these two conditions leads to worse health outcomes and higher healthcare costs. This study seeks to understand what demographic and socio-economic indicators can be used to predict co-occurrence at both the state and the individual level. Diabetes and depression are modeled as a bivariate normal distribution using data from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System 2016-2017 cohorts. The tetrachoric (latent) correlation between diabetes and depression is 17.2% and statistically significant, however the likelihood of any person being diagnosed with both conditions is small-as high as 4.3% (Arizona) and as low as 2.3% (Utah). We find that demographic characteristics (sex, age, and race) operate in opposite directions in predicting diabetes and depression diagnosis. Behavioral indicators (BMI≥30, smoking, and exercise); and life outcomes, (schooling attainment, marital and veteran status) work in the same direction to produce co-occurrence and as such are more powerful predictors of co-occurrence than demographic characteristics. It is important to have a rapid and efficient instrument to diagnoses co-occurrence. Simple questions about lifestyle choices, educational attainment and family life could help bridge the gap between primary care and psychological services with beneficial spillovers for patient-doctor communication.Entities:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32584823 PMCID: PMC7316423 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0234718
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Bivariate diabetes and depression model coefficients.
| diabetes | depression | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | Coef. | SE | P>|t| | 95% CI (Lower, Upper) | Coef. | SE | P>|t| | 95% CI (Lower, Upper) | ||
| Male | 4.6% | 0.012 | < .0001 | 2.2% | 7.0% | -45.4% | 0.010 | < .0001 | -47.5% | -43.4% |
| non-Hispanic white | (omitted) | |||||||||
| non-Hispanic black | 26.2% | 0.017 | < .0001 | 22.8% | 29.7% | -31.5% | 0.018 | < .0001 | -35.0% | -28.0% |
| Hispanic | 17.3% | 0.021 | < .0001 | 13.3% | 21.4% | -35.2% | 0.018 | < .0001 | -38.8% | -31.7% |
| Asian | 33.3% | 0.045 | < .0001 | 24.5% | 42.0% | -48.7% | 0.044 | < .0001 | -57.3% | -40.0% |
| Native | 35.1% | 0.036 | < .0001 | 27.9% | 42.2% | 0.0% | 0.033 | 0.949 | -6.4% | 6.5% |
| Other | 11.9% | 0.034 | < .0001 | 5.0% | 18.8% | 8.1% | 0.031 | 0.007 | 2.1% | 14.2% |
| Age 18 to 24 | (omitted) | (omitted) | ||||||||
| Age 25 to 29 | 12.7% | 0.051 | 0.009 | 2.8% | 22.6% | 0.1% | 0.024 | 0.808 | -4.7% | 4.8% |
| Age 30 to 34 | 38.7% | 0.048 | < .0001 | 29.3% | 48.1% | 0.0% | 0.024 | 0.768 | -4.8% | 4.8% |
| Age 35 to 39 | 62.6% | 0.045 | < .0001 | 53.8% | 71.4% | -0.2% | 0.025 | 0.768 | -5.2% | 4.8% |
| Age 40 to 44 | 84.1% | 0.044 | < .0001 | 75.6% | 92.6% | 0.8% | 0.026 | 0.516 | -4.4% | 6.0% |
| Age 45 to 49 | 104.4% | 0.042 | < .0001 | 96.1% | 112.7% | 3.2% | 0.026 | 0.089 | -1.9% | 8.2% |
| Age 50 to 54 | 119.9% | 0.041 | < .0001 | 112.0% | 127.8% | 0.6% | 0.024 | 0.452 | -4.1% | 5.4% |
| Age 55 to 59 | 137.1% | 0.041 | < .0001 | 129.1% | 145.1% | 3.4% | 0.024 | 0.059 | -1.4% | 8.1% |
| Age 60 to 64 | 150.3% | 0.041 | < .0001 | 142.5% | 158.2% | 2.7% | 0.025 | 0.110 | -2.2% | 7.5% |
| Age 65 to 69 | 165.5% | 0.041 | < .0001 | 157.6% | 173.4% | -9.6% | 0.025 | 0.001 | -14.6% | -4.6% |
| Age 70 to 74 | 170.4% | 0.042 | < .0001 | 162.3% | 178.5% | -21.9% | 0.027 | < .0001 | -27.1% | -16.6% |
| Age 75 to 79 | 167.8% | 0.044 | < .0001 | 159.3% | 176.3% | -38.5% | 0.032 | < .0001 | -44.8% | -32.2% |
| Age 80 or older | 157.1% | 0.044 | < .0001 | 148.6% | 165.6% | -52.6% | 0.032 | < .0001 | -58.8% | -46.4% |
| Veteran | 7.0% | 0.016 | < .0001 | 3.8% | 10.2% | 14.7% | 0.016 | < .0001 | 11.6% | 17.8% |
| BMI≥30 | 44.9% | 0.000 | < .0001 | 42.3% | 47.4% | 15.1% | 0.000 | < .0001 | 13.2% | 17.1% |
| Exercise | -24.8% | 0.012 | < .0001 | -27.2% | -22.4% | -22.7% | 0.011 | < .0001 | -24.8% | -20.5% |
| Daily smoker | 2.7% | 0.019 | 0.089 | -1.0% | 6.3% | 52.0% | 0.014 | < .0001 | 49.2% | 54.7% |
| Occasional smoker | -8.4% | 0.027 | 0.004 | -13.8% | -2.9% | 43.3% | 0.020 | < .0001 | 39.4% | 47.2% |
| Former smoker | 6.7% | 0.012 | < .0001 | 4.3% | 9.2% | 27.7% | 0.012 | < .0001 | 25.4% | 30.0% |
| Never smoker | (omitted) | (omitted) | ||||||||
| Married | (omitted) | (omitted) | ||||||||
| Divorced | 6.2% | 0.017 | < .0001 | 3.0% | 9.4% | 34.5% | 0.014 | < .0001 | 31.8% | 37.1% |
| Widowed | 10.3% | 0.019 | < .0001 | 6.7% | 13.9% | 21.8% | 0.019 | < .0001 | 18.2% | 25.5% |
| Separated | 9.2% | 0.034 | 0.006 | 2.6% | 15.8% | 43.0% | 0.028 | < .0001 | 37.5% | 48.5% |
| Never married | 11.0% | 0.019 | < .0001 | 7.3% | 14.7% | 27.2% | 0.015 | < .0001 | 24.3% | 30.1% |
| Member of an Unmarried couple | -0.2% | 0.038 | 0.732 | -7.5% | 7.2% | 23.6% | 0.024 | < .0001 | 18.8% | 28.3% |
| Did not graduate from high school | 37.8% | 0.020 | < .0001 | 33.9% | 41.7% | 20.3% | 0.018 | < .0001 | 16.8% | 23.9% |
| Graduated high school | 20.5% | 0.014 | < .0001 | 17.8% | 23.3% | 0.9% | 0.013 | 0.387 | -1.6% | 3.3% |
| Some college | 18.1% | 0.014 | < .0001 | 15.2% | 20.9% | 8.3% | 0.012 | < .0001 | 6.0% | 10.6% |
| Graduated college | (omitted) | (omitted) | ||||||||
| Constant | -2.85 | 0.047 | < .0001 | -2.94 | -2.77 | -0.93 | 0.028 | < .0001 | -0.98 | -0.88 |
| 17.2% | 0.008 | < .0001 | 0.157 | 0.188 | ||||||
(omitted) flags the references categories have been omitted. ρ is the tetrachoric correlation between diabetes and depression.
Marginal effects for the joint probabilities.
| diabetes and depression P(y1 = 1, y2 = 1) | diabetes only P(y1 = 1, y2 = 0) | depression only P(y1 = 0, y2 = 1) | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | dy/dx | P>|t| | [95% Conf. Interval] | dy/dx | P>|t| | [95% Conf. Interval] | dy/dx | P>|t| | [95% Conf. Interval] | |||
| Male | -0.79% | < .0001 | -0.87% | -0.70% | 1.37% | < .0001 | 1.1% | 1.6% | -9.78% | < .0001 | -10.21% | -9.35% |
| non-Hispanic black | -0.02% | 0.777 | -0.14% | 0.10% | 3.88% | < .0001 | 3.4% | 4.4% | -6.45% | < .0001 | -6.99% | -5.92% |
| Hispanic | -0.29% | < .0001 | -0.41% | -0.18% | 2.70% | < .0001 | 2.2% | 3.2% | -6.95% | < .0001 | -7.50% | -6.40% |
| Asian | -0.28% | 0.038 | -0.54% | -0.02% | 5.53% | < .0001 | 4.0% | 7.0% | -8.65% | < .0001 | -9.60% | -7.70% |
| Native | 1.17% | < .0001 | 0.79% | 1.56% | 4.53% | < .0001 | 3.4% | 5.7% | -1.17% | 0.074 | -2.45% | 0.12% |
| Other | 0.56% | 0.001 | 0.24% | 0.87% | 1.09% | 0.006 | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.43% | 0.038 | 0.08% | 2.78% |
| Age 25 to 29 | 0.37% | 0.028 | 0.04% | 0.70% | 1.37% | 0.020 | 0.2% | 2.5% | -0.35% | 0.503 | -1.39% | 0.68% |
| Age 30 to 34 | 1.28% | < .0001 | 0.87% | 1.69% | 4.91% | < .0001 | 3.5% | 6.4% | -1.27% | 0.013 | -2.27% | -0.26% |
| Age 35 to 39 | 2.29% | < .0001 | 1.82% | 2.76% | 9.21% | < .0001 | 7.5% | 10.9% | -2.34% | < .0001 | -3.34% | -1.34% |
| Age 40 to 44 | 3.40% | < .0001 | 2.84% | 3.97% | 13.84% | < .0001 | 11.9% | 15.8% | -3.22% | < .0001 | -4.20% | -2.24% |
| Age 45 to 49 | 4.72% | < .0001 | 4.08% | 5.36% | 18.88% | < .0001 | 16.8% | 21.0% | -3.96% | < .0001 | -4.88% | -3.04% |
| Age 50 to 54 | 5.33% | < .0001 | 4.71% | 5.96% | 23.01% | < .0001 | 20.9% | 25.1% | -5.18% | < .0001 | -6.00% | -4.37% |
| Age 55 to 59 | 6.65% | < .0001 | 5.95% | 7.35% | 28.04% | < .0001 | 25.7% | 30.4% | -5.85% | < .0001 | -6.65% | -5.05% |
| Age 60 to 64 | 7.36% | < .0001 | 6.63% | 8.09% | 32.11% | < .0001 | 29.8% | 34.4% | -6.72% | < .0001 | -7.48% | -5.97% |
| Age 65 to 69 | 6.83% | < .0001 | 6.11% | 7.56% | 39.11% | < .0001 | 36.7% | 41.6% | -8.99% | < .0001 | -9.60% | -8.39% |
| Age 70 to 74 | 5.69% | < .0001 | 5.02% | 6.36% | 42.94% | < .0001 | 40.3% | 45.6% | -10.29% | < .0001 | -10.83% | -9.76% |
| Age 75 to 79 | 3.91% | < .0001 | 3.26% | 4.56% | 44.27% | < .0001 | 41.4% | 47.1% | -11.33% | < .0001 | -11.80% | -10.85% |
| Age 80 or older | 2.50% | < .0001 | 2.00% | 2.99% | 41.36% | < .0001 | 38.5% | 44.3% | -11.90% | < .0001 | -12.34% | -11.46% |
| Veteran | 0.54% | < .0001 | 0.40% | 0.68% | 0.38% | 0.024 | 0.1% | 0.7% | 3.11% | < .0001 | 2.37% | 3.85% |
| BMI≥30 | 1.44% | < .0001 | 1.35% | 1.52% | 3.94% | < .0001 | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.05% | < .0001 | 1.65% | 2.46% |
| Exercise | -1.35% | < .0001 | -1.46% | -1.23% | -2.12% | < .0001 | -2.4% | -1.8% | -4.28% | < .0001 | -4.78% | -3.79% |
| Daily smoker | 1.31% | < .0001 | 1.12% | 1.50% | -0.96% | < .0001 | -1.3% | -0.6% | 13.33% | < .0001 | 12.51% | 14.15% |
| Occasional smoker | 0.64% | < .0001 | 0.40% | 0.87% | -1.64% | < .0001 | -2.0% | -1.2% | 11.48% | < .0001 | 10.31% | 12.66% |
| Former smoker | 0.82% | < .0001 | 0.71% | 0.92% | 0.06% | 0.630 | -0.2% | 0.3% | 6.13% | < .0001 | 5.57% | 6.69% |
| Divorced | 1.01% | < .0001 | 0.85% | 1.17% | -0.19% | 0.219 | -0.5% | 0.1% | 8.17% | < .0001 | 7.45% | 8.90% |
| Widowed | 0.85% | < .0001 | 0.67% | 1.03% | 0.55% | 0.006 | 0.2% | 0.9% | 4.75% | < .0001 | 3.83% | 5.68% |
| Separated | 1.42% | < .0001 | 1.03% | 1.81% | -0.17% | 0.580 | -0.8% | 0.4% | 10.71% | < .0001 | 9.08% | 12.33% |
| Never married | 0.96% | < .0001 | 0.80% | 1.11% | 0.49% | 0.011 | 0.1% | 0.9% | 5.88% | < .0001 | 5.17% | 6.59% |
| Member of an Unmarried couple | 0.51% | 0.001 | 0.21% | 0.80% | -0.53% | 0.121 | -1.2% | 0.1% | 5.61% | < .0001 | 4.36% | 6.87% |
| Did not graduate from high school | 1.93% | < .0001 | 1.69% | 2.17% | 3.95% | < .0001 | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.19% | < .0001 | 2.34% | 4.03% |
| Graduated high school | 0.61% | < .0001 | 0.50% | 0.72% | 2.18% | < .0001 | 1.9% | 2.5% | -0.41% | 0.124 | -0.93% | 0.11% |
| Some college | 0.71% | < .0001 | 0.59% | 0.82% | 1.70% | < .0001 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.27% | < .0001 | 0.76% | 1.78% |
The derivative of y with respect to x (dy/dx) represent the marginal probabilities. Exercise is defined as a binary response to the question: During the past month, other than your regular job, did you participate in any physical activities or exercises such as running, calisthenics, golf, gardening, or walking for exercise?
Fig 1Marginal probabilities of diabetes and depression across states.
The vertical axis shows the state’s average marginal probability of being diagnosed with diabetes and the horizontal axis shows the state’s average marginal probability of being diagnosed with depression.
Fig 2Predicting probabilities of diabetes and depression at the patient level.
The vertical axis and horizontal axes shows the patient’s probability of being diagnosed with diabetes and depression, respectively. Green dots represent non-veterans, non-white females, with a BMI<30, never smoked, currently married, exercise, and finished college. Red dots represent white men, veterans, with a BMI≥30, smokers, unmarried, and without a college degree.