| Literature DB >> 32579983 |
Tristan W Clark1, Nathan J Brendish2, Stephen Poole3, Vasanth V Naidu4, Christopher Mansbridge4, Nicholas Norton4, Helen Wheeler5, Laura Presland5, Sean Ewings6.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Management of the COVID-19 pandemic is hampered by long delays associated with centralised laboratory PCR testing. In hospitals this leads to poor patient flow and nosocomial transmission and so rapid, accurate diagnostic tests are urgently required. The FebriDx is a point-of-care test that detects an antiviral host response protein in finger prick blood within 10 min, but its accuracy for the identification of COVID-19 is unknown.Entities:
Keywords: Accuracy; COVID-19; Host response; MxA; Point of care testing; SARS-CoV-2
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32579983 PMCID: PMC7306108 DOI: 10.1016/j.jinf.2020.06.051
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Infect ISSN: 0163-4453 Impact factor: 6.072
Fig. 2Examples of positive and negative FebriDx read-outs.
Fig. 1Flow of participants through the study.
Baseline demographics and clinical characteristics in all patients, COVID-19 positive patients and COVID-19 negative patients.
| All patients | COVID-19 | COVID-19 | p value* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age, years | 70 (52 to 81) | 67 (49 to 79) | 72 (58 to 81) | 0.13 |
| Sex | ||||
| Male | 135/248 (54) | 69/118 (58) | 66/130 (51) | 0.25 |
| Female | 113/248 (46) | 49/118 (42) | 64/130 (49) | – |
| White British | 219/245 (89) | 94/116 (81) | 125/129 (97) | <0.0001 |
| Current smoker | 21/211 (10) | 6/102 (6) | 15/109 (14) | 0.067 |
| Influenza vaccine† | 127/189 (67) | 63/92 (69) | 63/97 (65) | 0.53 |
| Pregnant | 4/46 (9) | 2/22 (9) | 2/25 (8) | 0.99 |
| Duration of symptoms, days‡ | 3 (1 to 7) | 8 (5 to 12) | 4 (2 to 11) | 0.0006 |
| Hypertension | 97/246 (39) | 48/117 (41) | 49/129 (38) | 0.69 |
| Cardiovascular disease | 79/247(32) | 35/118 (30) | 44/129 (34) | 0.49 |
| Respiratory disease | 98/248 (40) | 37/118 (31) | 61/130 (47) | 0.014 |
| Renal disease | 20/245 (8) | 8/118 (7) | 12/127 (9) | 0.49 |
| Liver disease | 8/247 (3) | 4/118 (3) | 4/129 (3) | 1.0 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 53/247 (22) | 25/118 (21) | 28/129 (22) | 0.88 |
| Cancer | 16/247 (7) | 8/118 (7) | 8/129 (6) | 1.0 |
| Immunosuppression | 10/244 (4) | 5/117 (4) | 5/127 (4) | 1.0 |
| Dementia | 26/148 (11) | 9/118 (8) | 17/130 (13) | 0.21 |
| Temperature, °C | 36.9 (36.5 to 37.8) | 37.2 (36.6 to 38.2) | 36.7 (36.4 to 37.4) | 0.0042 |
| Temperature ≥38 °C | 55/242 (23) | 36/114 (32) | 19/128 (15) | 0.0021 |
| Pulse rate, bpm | 92 (81 to 108) | 92 (92 to 109) | 92 (81 to 108) | 0.91 |
| Respiratory rate, bpm | 24 (20 to 28) | 25 (20 to 28) | 23 (19 to 28) | 0.023 |
| Oxygen saturations,% | 96 (94 to 97) | 95 (92 to 97) | 96 (94 to 98) | 0.030 |
| Supplementary O2 | 90/246 (37) | 45/116 (39) | 44/128 (34) | 0.51 |
| Blood pressure, mmHg | ||||
| Systolic | 130 (120 to 146) | 130 (120 to 145) | 132 (118 to 150) | 0.52 |
| Diastolic | 75 (66 to 83) | 75 (68 to 83) | 74 (65 to 84) | 0.60 |
| NEWS2 score | 5 (3 to 6) | 5 (3 to 7) | 4 (2 to 6) | 0.017 |
| CRP, mg/L | 60 (14 to 128) | 83 (32 to 136) | 33 (9 to 114) | 0.0003 |
| WCC, 109/L | 8.5 (6.1 to 12.7) | 6.6 (5.0 to 8.7) | 11.1 (7.9 to 15.4) | <0.0001 |
| CXR performed | 241/245 (98) | 116/116 (100) | 125/129 (97) | 0.12 |
| Pneumonia | 143 (58) | 92/116 (79) | 51/129 (40) | <0.0001 |
| Other | 102 (42) | 24/116 (21) | 78/129 (60) | – |
All data are given as n/n (%) and median (inter-quartile range). COVID-19 positive and negative status is defined by PCR positivity.
or negativity for SARS-CoV-2. *P value relate to comparison between COVID-19 positive and negative patients. NEWS=National.
Early Warning Score 2, CRP=C reactive protein, WCC=White cell count. †For the most recent influenza season. ‡Duration of symptoms.
prior to presentation, evaluated in 215 patients.
Measures of diagnostic accuracy of FebriDx MxA for identification of COVID-19, compared to the reference standard of PCR positivity, n = 248.
| n/n | Value (95%CI) | |
|---|---|---|
| Prevalence of Covid-19 | 118/248 | 48 (41 to 54) |
| Sensitivity | 110/118 | 93 (87 to 97) |
| Specificity | 112/130 | 86 (79 to 92) |
| Positive predictive value | 110/128 | 86 (79 to 91) |
| Negative predictive value | 112/120 | 93 (87 to 97) |
| Positive likelihood ratio | 6.73 (4.37 to 10.37) | |
| Negative likelihood ratio | 0.08 (0.04 to 0.15) | |
| Overall accuracy | 222/248 | 90 (86 to 93) |
CI=Confidence interval.
Measures of diagnostic accuracy of FebriDx MxA for identification of any respiratory virus, compared to the reference standard of PCR positivity, n = 248.
| n/n | Value (95%CI) | |
|---|---|---|
| Prevalence of any virus* | 135/248 | 54 (48 to 61) |
| SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) | 118/248 | 48 (41 to 54) |
| Rhino/enterovirus | 10/248 | 4 (2 to 7) |
| Human Metapneumovirus | 4/248 | 2 (1 to 4) |
| Human Coronavirus OC43 | 2/248 | 2 (1 to 4) |
| Human Coronavirus HKU1 | 1/248 | 1 (0 to 2) |
| Human Coronavirus NL63 | 1/248 | 1 (0 to 2) |
| Sensitivity† | 117/135 | 87 (80 to 92) |
| Specificity | 102/113 | 90 (83 to 95) |
| Positive predictive value | 117/128 | 91 (86 to 94) |
| Negative predictive value | 112/120 | 85 (78 to 90) |
| Positive likelihood ratio | 8.9 (5.1 to 15.7) | |
| Negative likelihood ratio | 0.15 (0.1 to 0.23) | |
| Overall accuracy | 219/248 | 88 (83 to 92) |
CI=Confidence interval. *One patient had co-detection of SARS-CoV-2 and HCoV HKU1. † Viral detections associated with false negative MxA were: SARS-CoV-2 × 8, Rhino/enterovirus x 7 and Human Coronavirus x 3.
Measures of diagnostic accuracy of FebriDx MxA for identification of COVID-19, according to duration of illness.
| n/n | ≤7 days of | n/n | >7 days of | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median (IQR) duration, days | 4 (1 to 6) | 14 (8 to 14) | ||
| Prevalence of COVID-19 | 52/129 | 40 (32 to 49) | 53/86 | 62 (51 to 71) |
| Sensitivity | 49/52 | 94 (84 to 98) | 48/53 | 91 (80 to 96) |
| Specificity | 65/77 | 84 (75 to 91) | 29/33 | 88 (73 to 95) |
| Positive predictive value | 49/61 | 80 (69 to 88) | 48/52 | 92 (82 to 97) |
| Negative predictive value | 65/68 | 96 (88 to 99) | 29/34 | 85 (71 to 93) |
| Positive likelihood ratio | 6.05 (3.58 to 10.0) | 7.47 (2.96 to 19.0) | ||
| Negative likelihood ratio | 0.07 (0.02 to 0.21) | 0.11 (0.5 to 0.25) |
IQR=Interquartile range, CI=Confidence interval.
Results for multivariable model.
| Variable | Regression | 95% confidence | p-value | Adjusted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FebriDx MxA result | 92.3 | 31.6 to 269.6 | <0.0001 | 49.8 |
| Cough | 2.1 | 0.67 to 6.9 | 0.21 | 1.9 |
| Fever | 0.9 | 0.3 to 2.9 | 0.85 | 0.9 |
| Shortness of breath | 0.7 | 0.2 to 2.1 | 0.48 | 0.7 |
| Supplementary O2 | 0.7 | 0.3 to 1.9 | 0.49 | 0.7 |
| Sex | 1.0 | 0.4 to 2.7 | 0.92 | 1.0 |
| Age | 1.0 | 1.0 to 1.0 | 0.74 | 1.0 |
| Respiratory rate | 1.1 | 1.0 to 1.2 | 0.03 | 1.1 |
| Temperature | 1.2 | 0.7 to 1.9 | 0.52 | 1.1 |
| Intercept | 0.1 | 0.02 to 0.27 | <0.0001 | 0.1 |
Nagelkerke's R2 = 0.71; Brier score 0.09. Unless otherwise indicated, all reference categories for categorical variables are no/absence.