| Literature DB >> 32547935 |
Chuanbo Xie1, Haojiang Li2, Yue Yan1, Shaobo Liang3, Yanhong Li1, Lizhi Liu2, Chunyan Cui2, Yuying Liu1.
Abstract
Distant metastasis is among the main reasons for treatment failure in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients. To identify patients with a high risk of distant metastasis is important to guide posttreatment surveillance, appropriate time treatments, and prolonging their long-term survival. In this study, we systematically examined the associations between a series of nodal-related characteristics and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) by detailed MRI reading and established a nomogram for DMFS in NPC patients. T-stage, age group, Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) level, central nodal necrosis, and nodal number were identified as independent risk factors for distant metastasis and were included into the final nomogram. The calibration plot showed a high agreement between the prediction by the nomogram and actual observations. Our established nomogram achieved a high C-index in predicting distant metastasis in both of the training cohort (0.737) and the validation cohort (0.718). This nomogram incorporated several readily available nodal features from the MR images, and it might be useful for guiding clinical decision and NPC patients' posttreatment surveillance. It also provides cues for how to redefine N-stage. Additional research is needed to confirm our conclusions.Entities:
Keywords: distant metastasis; magnetic resonance imaging; nasopharyngeal carcinoma; nodal features; nomogram
Year: 2020 PMID: 32547935 PMCID: PMC7273517 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2020.00616
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 6.244
Sociodemographic and clinical characteristics of the participants.
| Age groups | |||
| <45 | 368 (50.2) | 174 (41.0) | 0.003 |
| ≥45 | 365 (49.8) | 250 (59.0) | |
| Sex | |||
| Male | 534 (72.9) | 320 (75.5) | 0.329 |
| Female | 199 (27.2) | 104 (24.5) | |
| WHO histologic types | |||
| I | 5 (0.7) | 0 (0.0) | <0.010 |
| II | 39 (5.3) | 0 (0.0) | |
| III | 689 (94.0) | 424 (100.0) | |
| EBV level copies/ml | |||
| <4,000 | 421 (57.4) | 395 (93.2) | <0.010 |
| ≥4,000 | 312 (42.6) | 29 (6.8) | |
| T-stage | |||
| T1 | 184 (25.1) | 117 (27.6) | 0.042 |
| T2 | 87 (11.9) | 57 (13.4) | |
| T3 | 282 (38.5) | 128 (30.2) | |
| T4 | 180 (24.6) | 122 (28.8) | |
| N-stage | |||
| N0 | 174 (23.7) | 73 (17.2) | 0.022 |
| N1 | 398 (54.3) | 236 (55.7) | |
| N2 | 105 (14.3) | 82 (19.3) | |
| N3 | 56 (7.6) | 33 (7.8) | |
| AJCC stage | |||
| I | 68 (9.3) | 36 (8.5) | 0.810 |
| II | 157 (21.4) | 98 (23.1) | |
| III | 285 (38.9) | 156 (36.8) | |
| IV | 223 (30.4) | 134 (31.6) | |
| Induction chemotherapy | |||
| No | 379 (51.7) | 197 (46.5) | 0.086 |
| Yes | 354 (48.3) | 227 (53.5) | |
| Chemotherapy | |||
| No | 99 (13.5) | 69 (16.3) | 0.198 |
| Yes | 634 (86.5) | 355 (83.7) | |
| Laterality of RLN metastasis | |||
| No/unilaterality | 540 (73.7) | 279 (68.2) | 0.050 |
| Bilaterality | 193 (26.3) | 130 (31.8) | |
| Cervical lymph nodes metastasis | 598 (81.6) | 324 (76.4) | 0.035 |
| No/unilaterality | |||
| Bilaterality | 135 (18.4) | 100 (23.6) | |
| Regions | |||
| No | 174 (23.7) | 73 (17.2) | 0.033 |
| Upper region | 505 (68.9) | 318 (75.0) | |
| Lower region | 54 (7.4) | 33 (7.8) | |
| Nodal size | |||
| <6 cm | 729 (99.4) | 410 (96.7) | <0.010 |
| ≥6 cm | 4 (0.6) | 14 (3.3) | |
| Nodal grouping | |||
| No | 560 (76.4) | 340 (80.2) | 0.135 |
| Yes | 173 (23.6) | 84 (19.8) | |
| Central nodal necrosis | |||
| No/unilaterality | 692 (94.4) | 336 (79.3) | <0.010 |
| Bilaterality | 41 (5.6) | 88 (20.8) | |
| Extracapsular spread | |||
| No | 653 (89.1) | 384 (90.6) | 0.426 |
| Yes | 80 (10.9) | 40 (9.4) | |
EBV, Epstein–Barr virus; AJCC, American Joint Committee on Cancer; RLN, retropharyngeal lymph node.
8th version of the TNM staging system.
Figure 1Distant metastasis-free survival stratified by the pretreatment Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) DNA level and nodal features. (A) Pretreatment EBV DNA level. (B) Cervical regions of lymph nodes metastasis. (C) Bilaterality of retropharyngeal lymph nodes' metastasis. (D) Nodal grouping. (E) Bilaterality of central nodal necrosis. (F) Extracapsular spread. (G) Bilaterality of cervical lymph nodes metastasis. (H) Nodal size >6 cm.
Association between clinical- and nodal-related characteristics and distant metastasis-free survival.
| Age groups | ||||
| <45 | ||||
| ≥45 | 1.6 (1.1, 2.6) | 0.028 | 1.6 (1.0, 2.5) | 0.050 |
| Sex | ||||
| Male | ||||
| Female | 1.1 (0.7, 1.8) | 0.582 | 1.2 (0.7, 1.9) | 0.540 |
| WHO histologic types | ||||
| I | ||||
| II | 0.8 (0.1, 6.6) | 0.828 | 0.6 (0.1, 5.2) | 0.643 |
| III | 0.5 (0.1, 3.9) | 0.548 | 0.3 (0.0, 2.3) | 0.256 |
| EBV level in copies/ml | ||||
| <4,000 | ||||
| ≥4,000 | 2.8 (1.8, 4.5) | 0.001 | 1.8 (1.1, 3.0) | 0.028 |
| T-stage | ||||
| T1 | ||||
| T2 | 2.0 (0.8, 4.9) | 0.138 | 1.4 (0.6, 3.5) | 0.463 |
| T3 | 2.0 (1.0, 4.1) | 0.059 | 1.5 (0.7, 3.3) | 0.264 |
| T4 | 3.9 (1.9, 8.0) | 0.000 | 2.6 (1.2, 5.6) | 0.015 |
| N-stage | ||||
| N0 | ||||
| N1 | 1.5 (0.8, 2.9) | 0.257 | 1.2 (0.6, 2.4) | 0.634 |
| N2 | 4.0 (1.9, 8.1) | 0.000 | 2.8 (1.3, 6.2) | 0.012 |
| N3 | 4.3 (1.9, 9.8) | 0.001 | 2.9 (1.2, 7.0) | 0.022 |
| AJCC stage | ||||
| I | ||||
| II | 2.0 (0.4, 9.2) | 0.376 | 1.3 (0.3, 6.3) | 0.733 |
| III | 3.7 (0.9, 15.5) | 0.073 | 2.4 (0.5, 10.5) | 0.252 |
| IV | 7.6 (1.8, 31.3) | 0.005 | 4.2 (1.0, 18.7) | 0.057 |
| Induction chemotherapy | ||||
| No | ||||
| Yes | 1.5 (1.0, 2.3) | 0.078 | 0.9 (0.6, 1.4) | 0.638 |
| Chemotherapy | ||||
| No | ||||
| Yes | 3.3 (1.2, 9.0) | 0.020 | 1.8 (0.6, 5.4) | 0.270 |
| Laterality of RLN metastasis | ||||
| No/unilaterality | ||||
| Bilaterality | 2.2 (1.4, 3.4) | 0.001 | 1.2 (0.7, 2.0) | 0.528 |
| Cervical lymph nodes metastasis | ||||
| No/unilaterality | ||||
| Bilaterality | 2.9 (1.9, 4.6) | <0.0001 | 1.3 (0.7, 2.4) | 0.433 |
| Regions | ||||
| No | ||||
| Upper region | 2.0 (1.0, 3.7) | 0.042 | 0.9 (0.4, 1.9) | 0.837 |
| Lower region | 4.4 (2.0, 10.1) | 0.000 | 0.7 (0.2, 2.4) | 0.586 |
| Nodal size | ||||
| <6 cm | ||||
| ≥6 cm | 3.2 (0.4, 22.7) | 0.253 | 2.3 (0.3, 18.0) | 0.432 |
| Nodal grouping | ||||
| No | ||||
| Yes | 2.2 (1.4, 3.4) | 0.001 | 1.0 (0.5, 1.9) | 0.899 |
| Central nodal necrosis | ||||
| No/unilaterality | ||||
| Bilaterality | 4.6 (2.7, 8.1) | <0.0001 | 2.1 (1.1, 4.4) | 0.036 |
| Extracapsular spread | ||||
| No | ||||
| Yes | 1.9 (1.1, 3.4) | 0.025 | 0.9 (0.5, 1.8) | 0.850 |
| Nodal number | 1.1 (1.1, 1.1) | <0.0001 | 1.1 (1.0, 1.2) | 0.088 |
EBV, Epstein–Barr virus; AJCC, American Joint Committee on Cancer; RLN, retropharyngeal lymph node.
8th version of the TNM staging system.
Figure 2Nomogram for predicting distant metastasis using MRI-related nodal characteristics.
Figure 3The calibration plots of the established nomogram in predicting the 3- and 5-year distant metastasis-free survival in the training cohort (A,B) and validation cohort (C,D).