| Literature DB >> 32544622 |
S Andrew McCullough1, Parag Goyal2, Udhay Krishnan1, Justin J Choi3, Monika M Safford3, Peter M Okin4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a respiratory syndrome with high rates of mortality, and there is a need for easily obtainable markers to provide prognostic information. We sought to determine whether the electrocardiogram (ECG) on hospital presentation provides prognostic information, specifically related to death. METHODS ANDEntities:
Keywords: COVID-19; electrocardiography; mortality; myocardial injury
Mesh:
Year: 2020 PMID: 32544622 PMCID: PMC7293518 DOI: 10.1016/j.cardfail.2020.06.005
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Card Fail ISSN: 1071-9164 Impact factor: 5.712
Figure 1Patients presenting with coronavirus disease-19 from March 3, 2020, to April 9, 2020.
Baseline Clinical Characteristics of 756 Patients Hospitalized With Coronavirus Disease-19 With 12-Lead Electrocardiograms, Overall and by Survival Status
| Variable | All ( | Survived ( | Died ( | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | <.001 | |||
| Mean ± SD | 63.3 ± 16.0 | 61.1 ± 15.3 | 79.3 ± 11.8 | |
| Median | 64.0 | 62.0 | 79.6 | |
| Interquartile range | 51.9–74.6 | 50.6–72.2 | 72.2–88.4 | |
| Female sex | 278 (36.8%) | 248 (37.2%) | 30 (33.3%) | .546 |
| Race | <.001 | |||
| White | 296 (39.2%) | 243 (36.5%) | 53 (58.9%) | |
| Black | 89 (11.8%) | 83 (12.5%) | 6 (6.7%) | |
| Asian | 56 (7.4%) | 47 (7.1%) | 9 (10.0%) | |
| Other | 162 (21.4%) | 154 (23.1%) | 8 (8.9%) | |
| Not specified | 153 (20.2%) | 139 (20.9%) | 14 (15.6%) | |
| Smoker | .001 | |||
| Never smoker | 554 (73.3%) | 499 (74.9%) | 55 (61.1%) | |
| Active smoker | 29 (3.8%) | 28 (4.2%) | 1 (1.1%) | |
| Former smoker | 173 (22.9%) | 139 (20.9%) | 34 (37.7%) | |
| Obesity ( | 267 (37.3%) | 241 (38.3%) | 26 (30.2%) | .185 |
| Coronary artery disease | 109 (14.4%) | 80 (12.0%) | 29 (32.2%) | <.001 |
| Heart failure | 55 (7.3%) | 39 (5.9%) | 16 (17.8%) | <.001 |
| Stroke | 55 (7.3%) | 38 (5.7%) | 17 (18.9%) | <.001 |
| Diabetes | 222 (29.4%) | 194 (29.1%) | 28 (31.1%) | .792 |
| Hypertension | 427 (56.5%) | 360 (54.1%) | 67 (74.4%) | <.001 |
| Pulmonary disease | 142 (18.8%) | 116 (17.4%) | 26 (28.9%) | .013 |
| Home oxygen use | 155 (20.5%) | 135 (20.3%) | 20 (22.2%) | .771 |
| Renal disease | 72 (9.5%) | 58 (8.7%) | 14 (15.6%) | .059 |
| Rheumatic disease | 46 (6.1%) | 41 (6.2%) | 5 (5.6%) | 1.000 |
| Active cancer | 42 (5.6%) | 29 (4.4%) | 13 (14.4%) | <.001 |
| Immunosuppressed | 25 (3.3%) | 15 (2.3%) | 10 (11.1%) | <.001 |
| Hypoxemia within 3 hours | 414 (54.8%) | 343 (51.5%) | 71 (78.9%) | <.001 |
| Home medication number > median (4) | 323 (42.7%) | 264 (39.6%) | 59 (66.3%) | <.001 |
SD, standard deviation.
Hypoxemia within 3 hours defined by need for supplemental oxygen. Obesity if body mass index >30 kg/m2 or ≥27.5 kg/m2 in Asians.
Baseline Electrocardiographic Characteristics of 756 Patients Hospitalized With Coronavirus Disease-19 With 12-Lead Electrocardiograms, Overall and by Survival Status
| Variable | All ( | Survived ( | Died ( | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heart rate (bpm) | 90 ± 19 | 90 ± 18 | 89 ± 24 | .553 |
| Bazett-corrected QT interval (ms) | 449 ± 144 | 448 ± 153 | 459 ± 42 | .506 |
| Atrial fibrillation or flutter | 42 (5.6%) | 32 (4.8%) | 10 (11.1%) | .027 |
| Atrial premature contractions | 58 (7.7%) | 40 (6.0%) | 18 (20.0%) | <.001 |
| Ventricular premature contractions | 26 (3.4%) | 20 (3.0%) | 6 (6.7%) | .138 |
| Atrioventricular block | .025 | |||
| None | 736 (97.4%) | 652 (97.9%) | 84 (93.3%) | |
| First degree | 19 (2.5%) | 14 (2.1%) | 5 (5.6%) | |
| Third degree | 1 (0.1%) | 0 (0%) | 1 (1.1%) | |
| Abnormal axis | 146 (19.3%) | 110 (16.5%) | 36 (40.0%) | <.001 |
| Intraventricular conduction block | <.001 | |||
| None | 667 (88.2%) | 605 (90.8%) | 62 (68.9%) | |
| Right bundle branch block | 59 (7.8%) | 40 (6.0%) | 19 (21.1%) | |
| Left bundle branch block | 11 (1.5%) | 10 (1.5%) | 1 (1.1%) | |
| Nonspecific intraventricular block | 19 (2.5%) | 11 (1.7%) | 8 (8.9%) | |
| Left ventricular hypertrophy | 117 (15.5%) | 95 (14.3%) | 22 (24.4%) | .019 |
| Right ventricular hypertrophy | 30 (4.0%) | 22 (3.3%) | 8 (8.9%) | .024 |
| Myocardial infarction age undetermined | 105 (13.9%) | 82 (12.3%) | 23 (25.6%) | .001 |
| Localized ST elevation (injury) | 5 (0.7%) | 4 (0.6%) | 1 (1.1%) | 1.000 |
| Localized T-wave inversion (ischemia) | 80 (10.5%) | 61 (9.2%) | 19 (21.1%) | .001 |
| Nonspecific repolarization abnormality | 219 (29.0%) | 182 (27.3%) | 37 (41.1%) | .010 |
Hypoxemia within 3 hours defined by need for supplemental oxygen. Obesity if body mass index ≥30 kg/m2 or ≥27.5 kg/m2 in Asians.
Univariate Logistic Regression Prediction of Mortality in 756 Patients Hospitalized With COVID-19 With 12-Lead Electrocardiograms
| Variable | χ2 | Odds Ratio | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinical characteristics | ||||
| Age (per 10 years) | 81.7 | <.001 | 2.83 | 2.24–3.47 |
| Male sex | 0.5 | .471 | 1.19 | 0.75–1.89 |
| Race (relative to white) | 20.1 | <.001 | ||
| Black | 6.0 | .014 | 0.33 | 0.14–0.80 |
| Asian | 0.1 | .741 | 0.88 | 0.41–1.90 |
| Other | 13.3 | <.001 | 0.24 | 0.11–0.52 |
| Not specified | 5.9 | .015 | 0.46 | 0.25–0.86 |
| Smoker | 13.5 | .001 | ||
| Active | 1.2 | .281 | 0.33 | 0.04–2.47 |
| Former | 11.6 | .001 | 2.26 | 1.42–3.61 |
| Obesity ( | 2.1 | .151 | 0.70 | 0.43–1.14 |
| Coronary artery disease | 23.9 | <.001 | 3.48 | 2.11–5.74 |
| Heart failure | 15.0 | <.001 | 3.48 | 1.85–6.53 |
| Stroke | 18.1 | <.001 | 3.85 | 2.07–7.16 |
| Diabetes | 0.2 | .698 | 1.10 | 0.68–1.77 |
| Hypertension | 12.8 | <.001 | 2.48 | 1.51–4.07 |
| Pulmonary disease | 6.7 | .010 | 1.93 | 1.17–3.17 |
| Home oxygen use | 0.2 | .667 | 1.12 | 0.66–1.91 |
| Renal disease | 4.2 | .041 | 1.93 | 1.03–3.63 |
| Rheumatic disease | 0.1 | .823 | 0.90 | 0.35–2.23 |
| Active cancer | 13.6 | <.001 | 3.71 | 1.85–7.44 |
| Immunosuppressed | 15.8 | <.001 | 5.43 | 2.36–12.48 |
| Hypoxia within 3 hours | 21.8 | <.001 | 3.52 | 2.07–5.97 |
| Home medication number > median (4) | 21.3 | <.001 | 3.00 | 1.88–4.77 |
| Electrocardiographic characteristics | ||||
| Heart rate (bpm) | 0.5 | .464 | 1.00 | 0.98–1.01 |
| Bazett-corrected QT interval (ms) | 0.4 | .533 | 1.00 | 0.99–1.01 |
| Atrial fibrillation or flutter | 5.7 | .017 | 2.48 | 1.17–5.23 |
| Atrial premature contractions | 19.4 | <.001 | 3.92 | 2.13–7.18 |
| Ventricular premature contractions | 3.0 | .081 | 2.31 | 0.90–5.91 |
| Atrioventricular block (any) | 2.6 | .161 | 2.77 | 0.97–7.90 |
| Abnormal axis | 25.8 | <.001 | 3.37 | 2.11–5.38 |
| RBBB or IVB | 36.4 | <.001 | 5.17 | 3.03–8.81 |
| Left ventricular hypertrophy | 6.1 | .013 | 1.95 | 1.15–3.30 |
| Right ventricular hypertrophy | 6.0 | .014 | 2.86 | 1.23–6.62 |
| Myocardial infarction age undetermined | 11.1 | .001 | 2.45 | 1.44–4.14 |
| Localized ST elevation (injury) | 0.3 | .581 | 1.86 | 0.21–16.82 |
| Localized T-wave inversion (ischemia) | 11.2 | .001 | 2.65 | 1.50–4.70 |
| Nonspecific repolarization abnormality | 7.2 | .007 | 1.86 | 1.18–2.92 |
CI, confidence interval; IVB, intraventricular conduction block; RBBB, right bundle branch block.
Hypoxemia within 3 hours defined by need for supplemental oxygen. Obesity if body mass index ≥30 kg/m2 or ≥27.5 kg/m2 in Asians
Multivariable Logistic Regression Prediction of Mortality in 756 Patients Hospitalized With Coronavirus Disease-19 With 12-Lead Electrocardiograms
| Variable | χ2 | Odds Ratio | 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age + Clinical variables (model χ2 = 170.7, | ||||
| Age (per 10 years) | 66.8 | <.001 | 2.89 | 2.24–3.72 |
| Coronary artery disease | 7.4 | .007 | 2.27 | 1.26–4.10 |
| Stroke | 3.8 | .051 | 2.04 | 1.00–4.19 |
| Pulmonary disease | 4.8 | .029 | 1.96 | 1.07–3.58 |
| Immunosuppressed | 8.5 | .004 | 4.77 | 1.67–13.64 |
| Hypoxia within 3 hours | 18.1 | <.001 | 3.71 | 2.03–6.78 |
| Age + Electrocardiographic variables (model χ2 = 158.9, | ||||
| Age (per 10 years) | 65.8 | <.001 | 2.72 | 2.15–3.44 |
| Atrial premature contractions | 6.9 | .009 | 2.58 | 1.27–5.21 |
| RBBB or IVB | 8.9 | .003 | 2.66 | 1.40–5.04 |
| Localized T-wave inversion (ischemia) | 13.4 | <.001 | 4.12 | 1.93–8.79 |
| Nonspecific repolarization abnormality | 12.2 | <.001 | 2.76 | 1.56–4.89 |
| Age + clinical + electrocardiographic variables (model χ2 = 189.1, | ||||
| Age (per 10 years) | 55.2 | <.001 | 2.72 | 2.11–3.51 |
| Coronary artery disease | 6.5 | .011 | 2.26 | 1.21–4.23 |
| Immunosuppressed | 10.5 | .001 | 5.79 | 2.00–16.80 |
| Hypoxia within 3 hours | 16.3 | <.001 | 3.69 | 1.95–6.96 |
| Atrial premature contractions | 6.4 | .012 | 2.57 | 1.23–5.36 |
| RBBB or IVB | 7.6 | .006 | 2.61 | 1.32–5.18 |
| Localized T-wave inversion (ischemia) | 9.3 | .002 | 3.49 | 1.56–7.80 |
| Nonspecific repolarization abnormality | 7.4 | .006 | 2.31 | 1.27–4.21 |
CI, confidence interval; IVB, intraventricular conduction block; RBBB, right bundle branch block
Hypoxemia within 3 hours defined by need for supplemental oxygen. Obesity if body mass index ≥30 kg/m2 or ≥27.5 kg/m2 in Asians.