Background: After SARS-CoV-2 set foot in India, the Government took a number of steps to limit the spread of the virus in the country. This included restricted testing, isolation, contact tracing and quarantine, and enforcement of a nation-wide lockdown starting 25 March 2020. The objectives of this study were to i) describe the age, gender distribution, and mortality among COVID-19 patients identified till 14 April 2020 and predict the range of contact rate; and ii) predict the number of COVID-19 infections after 40 days of lockdown. Methods: We used a cross-sectional descriptive design for the first objective and a susceptible-infected-removed model for in silico predictions. We collected data from government-controlled and crowdsourced websites. Results: Studying age and gender parameters of 1161 Indian COVID-19 patients, the median age was 38 years (IQR, 27-52) with 20-39 year-old males being the most affected group. The number of affected patients were 854 (73.6%) men and 307 (26.4%) women. If the current contact rate continues (0.25-27), India may have 110460 to 220575 infected persons at the end of 40 days lockdown. Conclusion: The disease is majorly affecting a younger age group in India. Interventions have been helpful in preventing the worst-case scenario in India but will be unable to prevent the spike in the number of cases. Copyright:
Background: After SARS-CoV-2 set foot in India, the Government took a number of steps to limit the spread of the virus in the country. This included restricted testing, isolation, contact tracing and quarantine, and enforcement of a nation-wide lockdown starting 25 March 2020. The objectives of this study were to i) describe the age, gender distribution, and mortality among COVID-19patients identified till 14 April 2020 and predict the range of contact rate; and ii) predict the number of COVID-19infections after 40 days of lockdown. Methods: We used a cross-sectional descriptive design for the first objective and a susceptible-infected-removed model for in silico predictions. We collected data from government-controlled and crowdsourced websites. Results: Studying age and gender parameters of 1161 Indian COVID-19patients, the median age was 38 years (IQR, 27-52) with 20-39 year-old males being the most affected group. The number of affected patients were 854 (73.6%) men and 307 (26.4%) women. If the current contact rate continues (0.25-27), India may have 110460 to 220575 infectedpersons at the end of 40 days lockdown. Conclusion: The disease is majorly affecting a younger age group in India. Interventions have been helpful in preventing the worst-case scenario in India but will be unable to prevent the spike in the number of cases. Copyright:
Authors: Neeltje van Doremalen; Trenton Bushmaker; Dylan H Morris; Myndi G Holbrook; Amandine Gamble; Brandi N Williamson; Azaibi Tamin; Jennifer L Harcourt; Natalie J Thornburg; Susan I Gerber; James O Lloyd-Smith; Emmie de Wit; Vincent J Munster Journal: N Engl J Med Date: 2020-03-17 Impact factor: 91.245
Authors: Samia A Girgis; Hala M Hafez; Hoda Ezz Elarab; Basma Sherif; Moshira H Sabry; Iman Afifi; Fatma Elzahraa Hassan; Amira Reda; Shaimaa Elsayed; Asmaa Mahmoud; Petra Habeb; Ihab S Habil; Rasha S Hussein; Isis M Mossad; Ossama Mansour; Ashraf Omar; Ayman M Saleh; Mahmoud El-Meteini Journal: PLoS One Date: 2021-07-15 Impact factor: 3.240
Authors: Tingting Ye; Suying Guo; Yang Xie; Zhaoyue Chen; Michael J Abramson; Jane Heyworth; Simon Hales; Alistair Woodward; Michelle Bell; Yuming Guo; Shanshan Li Journal: Ecotoxicol Environ Saf Date: 2021-06-30 Impact factor: 6.291