Literature DB >> 32507882

Estimating Neonatal Herpes Simplex Virus Incidence and Mortality Using Capture-recapture, Florida.

James Matthias1,2, Sonya du Bernard2, Julia A Schillinger1,3, Jaeyoung Hong1, Victoria Pearson2, Thomas A Peterman1.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Neonatal herpes simplex virus infection (nHSV) leads to severe morbidity and mortality, but national incidence is uncertain. Florida regulations require that healthcare providers report cases, and clinical laboratories report test results when herpes simplex virus (HSV) is detected. We estimated nHSV incidence using laboratory-confirmed provider-reported cases and electronic laboratory reports (ELR) stored separately from provider-reported cases. Mortality was estimated using provider-reported cases, ELR, and vital statistics death records.
METHODS: For 2011-2017, we reviewed: provider-reported cases (infants ≤ 60 days of age with HSV infection confirmed by culture or polymerase chain reaction [PCR]), ELR of HSV-positive culture or PCR results in the same age group, and death certificates containing International Classification of Disease, Tenth Revision, codes for herpes infection: P35.2, B00.0-B00.9, and A60.0-A60.9. Provider-reported cases were matched against ELR reports. Death certificates were matched with provider and ELR reports. Chapman's capture-recapture method was used to estimate nHSV incidence and mortality. Mortality from all 3 sources was estimated using log-linear modeling.
RESULTS: Providers reported 114 nHSV cases, and ELR identified 197 nHSV cases. Forty-six cases were common to both datasets, leaving 265 unique nHSV reports. Chapman's estimate suggests 483 (95% confidence interval [CI], 383-634) nHSV cases occurred (31.5 infections per 100 000 live births). The nHSV deaths were reported by providers (n = 9), ELR (n = 18), and vital statistics (n = 31), totaling 34 unique reports. Log-linear modeling estimates 35.8 fatal cases occurred (95% CI, 34-40).
CONCLUSIONS: Chapman's estimates using data collected over 7 years in Florida conclude nHSV infections occurred at a rate of 1 per 3000 live births. Published by Oxford University Press for the Infectious Diseases Society of America 2020.

Entities:  

Keywords:  capture-recapture; estimation; neonatal herpes; surveillance

Mesh:

Year:  2021        PMID: 32507882      PMCID: PMC8935354          DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciaa727

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Clin Infect Dis        ISSN: 1058-4838            Impact factor:   20.999


  28 in total

1.  Neonatal herpes morbidity and mortality in California, 1995-2003.

Authors:  Sheldon R Morris; Heidi M Bauer; Michael C Samuel; Deborah Gallagher; Gail Bolan
Journal:  Sex Transm Dis       Date:  2008-01       Impact factor: 2.830

Review 2.  Capture-recapture methods in epidemiology: methods and limitations.

Authors:  E B Hook; R R Regal
Journal:  Epidemiol Rev       Date:  1995       Impact factor: 6.222

3.  Capture-recapture methods for assessing the completeness of case ascertainment when using multiple information sources.

Authors:  J T Wittes; T Colton; V W Sidel
Journal:  J Chronic Dis       Date:  1974-02

4.  Incidence of neonatal herpes simplex virus infections in the United States, 2006.

Authors:  Elaine W Flagg; Hillard Weinstock
Journal:  Pediatrics       Date:  2010-12-13       Impact factor: 7.124

5.  Neonatal herpes simplex virus infections in Canada: results of a 3-year national prospective study.

Authors:  Rhonda Y Kropp; Thomas Wong; Louise Cormier; Allison Ringrose; Sandra Burton; Joanne E Embree; Marc Steben
Journal:  Pediatrics       Date:  2006-06       Impact factor: 7.124

Review 6.  Completeness of notifiable infectious disease reporting in the United States: an analytical literature review.

Authors:  Timothy J Doyle; M Kathleen Glynn; Samuel L Groseclose
Journal:  Am J Epidemiol       Date:  2002-05-01       Impact factor: 4.897

7.  Incidence and Characteristics of Neonatal Herpes: Comparison of Two Population-Based Data Sources, New York City, 2006-2015.

Authors:  Steven Lao; Elaine W Flagg; Julia A Schillinger
Journal:  Sex Transm Dis       Date:  2019-02       Impact factor: 2.830

8.  The incidence of neonatal herpes infection.

Authors:  Nichole Mahnert; Scott W Roberts; Vanessa R Laibl; Jeanne S Sheffield; George D Wendel
Journal:  Am J Obstet Gynecol       Date:  2007-05       Impact factor: 8.661

9.  Estimating unreported malaria cases in England: a capture-recapture study.

Authors:  S J Cathcart; J Lawrence; A Grant; D Quinn; C J M Whitty; J Jones; P L Chiodini; G Fraser
Journal:  Epidemiol Infect       Date:  2009-11-18       Impact factor: 2.451

10.  Measuring underreporting and under-ascertainment in infectious disease datasets: a comparison of methods.

Authors:  Cheryl L Gibbons; Marie-Josée J Mangen; Dietrich Plass; Arie H Havelaar; Russell John Brooke; Piotr Kramarz; Karen L Peterson; Anke L Stuurman; Alessandro Cassini; Eric M Fèvre; Mirjam E E Kretzschmar
Journal:  BMC Public Health       Date:  2014-02-11       Impact factor: 3.295

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